Gagra vs Dinamo Tbilisi — Erovnuli Liga
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Gagra and Dinamo Tbilisi meet in the Erovnuli Liga 2026 season on 24 November 2026. Gagra have recorded 10 wins from 40 matches this season (25% win rate), averaging 1.10 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 48%; and clean sheets in 18% of games. Dinamo Tbilisi have won 41% of their 44 matches, with 1.48 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 52%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.37 for Gagra and 1.69 for Dinamo Tbilisi. The models give Gagra a 28% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Dinamo Tbilisi win at 48%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Gagra—
Dinamo Tbilisi8º
Position
2º
1.00
PPG
1.80
20%
Win %
50%
0.87
Goals / game
1.67
1.43
Conceded / game
1.07
57%
BTTS %
57%
18%
Clean sheet %
25%
48%
Over 2.5 %
52%
4.9
Avg corners
5.3
9.2
Avg shots
14.1
4.1
Avg shots on target
5.9
2.2
Avg yellow cards
1.7
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
45.1%
Avg possession
52.7%
Home vs Away
Gagra
Home (15)
—
Dinamo Tbilisi
Away (15)
1.07
PPG
1.93
20%
Win %
53%
1.07
Goals / game
1.73
1.27
Conceded / game
1.00
63%
BTTS %
61%
26%
Clean sheet %
17%
42%
Over 2.5 %
57%
4.9
Avg corners
5.3
9.2
Avg shots
14.1
4.1
Avg shots on target
5.9
2.2
Avg yellow cards
1.7
45.1%
Avg possession
52.7%
Goals Scored
| Gagra | Home | Away | Dinamo Tbilisi | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 68% | 79% | 57% | 68% | 71% | 65% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 30% | 32% | 29% | 50% | 48% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 8% | 5% | 10% | 16% | 19% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 21% | 43% | 32% | 29% | 35% |
Goals Conceded
| Gagra | Home | Away | Dinamo Tbilisi | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 74% | 90% | 75% | 67% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 32% | 43% | 27% | 19% | 35% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 18% | 11% | 24% | 9% | 10% | 9% |
| Clean Sheets | 18% | 26% | 10% | 25% | 33% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Gagra | Dinamo Tbilisi | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 | 48% | 52% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 23% |
| Over 4.5 | 5% | 14% |
| BTTS | 57% | 57% |
| BTTS & Win | 15% | 30% |
| BTTS & Draw | 33% | 16% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 35% | 45% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Gagra | Dinamo Tbilisi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 22% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 46% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 32% | 28% |
| Scored 1st Half | 32% | 53% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 54% | 42% |
| Win 2nd Half | 24% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 41% | 44% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 35% | 23% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 43% | 47% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 57% | 42% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 65% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 38% | 42% |
Recent Venue Form
Gagra (H)L
Dinamo Batumi1–3
Dinamo Batumi1–3D
Meshakhte1–1
Meshakhte1–1D
Torpedo Kutaisi1–1
Torpedo Kutaisi1–1W
FC Iberia 19992–0
FC Iberia 19992–0D
Aragvi Dusheti0–0
Aragvi Dusheti0–0D
Spaeri1–1
Spaeri1–1Dinamo Tbilisi (A)W
Rustavi2–0
Rustavi2–0LDinamo Batumi0–1
Dinamo Batumi0–1WFC Iberia 19992–1
FC Iberia 19992–1W
Samgurali3–2
Samgurali3–2DTorpedo Kutaisi1–1
Torpedo Kutaisi1–1WSpaeri2–1
Spaeri2–1Number of Corners
10.0
Corners / Match
9 games
League Avg
8.8
44 games
8.6
Corners / Match
7 games
| Match Corners | Gagra | Dinamo Tbilisi | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 89% | 71% | 80% |
| Over 7 | 78% | 71% | 70% |
| Over 8 | 78% | 57% | 57% |
| Over 9 | 44% | 29% | 41% |
| Over 10 | 44% | 29% | 23% |
| Over 11 | 33% | 29% | 18% |
| Over 12 | 22% | 0% | 9% |
| Over 13 | 11% | 0% | 7% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Gagra | Dinamo Tbilisi |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.9 | 5.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.1 | 3.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 89% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 89% | 71% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 56% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 78% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 78% | 57% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 56% | 0% |
Head to Head · 20 matches
7
Gagra
35%
4
Draws
20%
9
Dinamo Tbilisi
45%
60%
Over 1.5
12/20
45%
Over 2.5
9/20
35%
Over 3.5
7/20
35%
BTTS
7/20
14/09/26Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
4–0Gagra14/06/26Dinamo Tbilisi
Gagra
2–1Dinamo Tbilisi21/04/26Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
0–1Gagra21/11/25Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
2–4Gagra13/09/25Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
0–1Gagra16/05/25Dinamo Tbilisi
Gagra
1–1Dinamo Tbilisi05/04/25Dinamo Tbilisi
Gagra
0–4Dinamo Tbilisi08/12/24Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
0–1Gagra01/10/24Dinamo Tbilisi
Gagra
0–0Dinamo Tbilisi01/06/24Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
2–0Gagra16/04/24Dinamo Tbilisi
Gagra
0–2Dinamo Tbilisi21/10/23Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
0–1Gagra13/08/23Dinamo Tbilisi
Gagra
1–6Dinamo Tbilisi06/05/23Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
0–0Gagra08/03/23Dinamo Tbilisi
Gagra
3–5Dinamo Tbilisi03/12/22Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
2–1Gagra18/09/22Dinamo Tbilisi
Gagra
0–1Dinamo Tbilisi20/06/22Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
5–0Gagra23/04/22Dinamo Tbilisi
Gagra
1–0Dinamo Tbilisi21/02/21Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
2–2Gagra| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Batumi | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | +16 | 56 |
| 2 | Dinamo Tbilisi | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | +18 | 54 |
| 3 | FC Iberia 1999 | 29 | 16 | 4 | 9 | +11 | 52 |
| 4 | Rustavi | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | +10 | 52 |
| 5 |  Dila | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | +3 | 40 |
| 6 | Samgurali | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | -12 | 38 |
| 7 | Torpedo Kutaisi | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | +8 | 37 |
| 8 | Gagra | 30 | 6 | 12 | 12 | -17 | 30 |
| 9 | Spaeri | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -11 | 27 |
| 10 | Meshakhte | 30 | 3 | 11 | 16 | -26 | 20 |
Team Insights
Gagra- ●Gagra have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
- ●Gagra have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Gagra failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Gagra failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 15 away matches.
- ●62% of Gagra's goals have been scored at home.
Dinamo Tbilisi- ●Dinamo Tbilisi have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Dinamo Tbilisi have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Dinamo Tbilisi failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Dinamo Tbilisi failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Dinamo Tbilisi have won 8 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Dinamo Tbilisi have scored in 11 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Dinamo Tbilisi have conceded 63% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
GagraDASpaeri0–0
Spaeri0–0LHDinamo Batumi1–3
Dinamo Batumi1–3LASamgurali0–3
Samgurali0–3DHMeshakhte1–1
Meshakhte1–1LADinamo Tbilisi0–4
Dinamo Tbilisi0–4DHTorpedo Kutaisi1–1
Torpedo Kutaisi1–1–HRustavi01/11
Rustavi01/11–AFC Iberia 199909/11
FC Iberia 199909/11–HDila20/11
Dila20/11Dinamo TbilisiWARustavi2–0
Rustavi2–0WHSpaeri3–1
Spaeri3–1LADinamo Batumi0–1
Dinamo Batumi0–1WAFC Iberia 19992–1
FC Iberia 19992–1WASamgurali3–2
Samgurali3–2WHGagra4–0
Gagra4–0–HFC Iberia 199931/10
FC Iberia 199931/10–ADila08/11
Dila08/11–HTorpedo Kutaisi20/11
Torpedo Kutaisi20/11Top Scorers
GagraD. Mujiri6 ⚽
A. Andreychuk5 ⚽
A. Peikrishvili4 ⚽
I. Skrypnyk3 ⚽
G. Goshteliani2 ⚽
L. Kekelidze2 ⚽
Dinamo TbilisiM. Vatsadze9 ⚽
A. Yoro5 ⚽
Leo Santos5 ⚽
Nika Ninua5 ⚽
N. Ninua4 ⚽
M. Do Couto4 ⚽
Cards Given
GagraAugusto6 🟨
A. Peikrishvili4 🟨
M. Tsintsadze4 🟨
I. Skrypnyk4 🟨
G. Sadghobelashvili4 🟨
S. Zoidze4 🟨
Dinamo TbilisiB. Osei11 🟨
N. Ugrekhelidze6 🟨
N. Ninua4 🟨
Leo Santos4 🟨
M. Vatsadze4 🟨
S. Kharebashvili4 🟨