Rustavi vs Samgurali — Erovnuli Liga
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Rustavi and Samgurali meet in the Erovnuli Liga 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Rustavi have recorded 20 wins from 40 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.27 goals scored and 0.97 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 48%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Samgurali have won 38% of their 42 matches, with 1.52 goals scored and 1.62 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 64%, Over 2.5 at 64%, and clean sheets at 26%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.91 for Rustavi and 1.54 for Samgurali. The models give Rustavi a 51% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Samgurali win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 63% and BTTS at 62%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Rustavi | Home | Away | Samgurali | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 78% | 81% | 74% | 83% | 84% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 35% | 43% | 26% | 43% | 53% | 35% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 15% | 19% | 11% | 19% | 26% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 23% | 19% | 26% | 17% | 16% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Rustavi | Home | Away | Samgurali | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 68% | 67% | 68% | 74% | 68% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 23% | 33% | 11% | 48% | 32% | 61% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 10% | 5% | 24% | 16% | 30% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 33% | 32% | 26% | 32% | 22% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Rustavi | Samgurali | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 68% | 81% |
| Over 2.5 | 48% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 | 13% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 | 3% | 21% |
| BTTS | 50% | 64% |
| BTTS & Win | 23% | 19% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 35% | 55% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Rustavi | Samgurali | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 24% |
| Draw 1st Half | 51% | 37% |
| Loss 1st Half | 11% | 39% |
| Scored 1st Half | 49% | 44% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 22% | 51% |
| Win 2nd Half | 27% | 37% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 41% | 37% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 32% | 27% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 43% | 71% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 54% | 56% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 59% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 16% | 39% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Rustavi | Samgurali | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 71% | 80% | 80% |
| Over 7 | 57% | 80% | 70% |
| Over 8 | 57% | 50% | 57% |
| Over 9 | 43% | 40% | 41% |
| Over 10 | 29% | 20% | 23% |
| Over 11 | 29% | 20% | 18% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 10% | 9% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 10% | 7% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Rustavi | Samgurali |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.7 | 4.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.6 | 5.1 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 57% | 70% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 57% | 60% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 29% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 71% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 57% | 70% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 43% | 60% |
Head to Head · 13 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | +16 | 56 | |
| 2 | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | +18 | 54 | |
| 3 | 29 | 16 | 4 | 9 | +11 | 52 | |
| 4 | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | +10 | 52 | |
| 5 | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | +3 | 40 | |
| 6 | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | -12 | 38 | |
| 7 | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | +8 | 37 | |
| 8 | 30 | 6 | 12 | 12 | -17 | 30 | |
| 9 | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -11 | 27 | |
| 10 | 30 | 3 | 11 | 16 | -26 | 20 |
Team Insights
- ●Rustavi have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Rustavi have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Rustavi have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Rustavi have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Rustavi have scored in 11 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Samgurali have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Samgurali have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Samgurali have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Samgurali have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Samgurali failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Samgurali have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Samgurali failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Samgurali failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Samgurali have lost 9 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Samgurali have scored in 11 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Samgurali have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.

