Varketili vs Merani Tbilisi — Liga 3
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Varketili and Merani Tbilisi meet in the Liga 3 2026 season on 20 November 2026. Varketili have recorded 16 wins from 26 matches this season (62% win rate), averaging 2.35 goals scored and 0.58 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 42% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 50% of games. Merani Tbilisi have won 46% of their 26 matches, with 1.62 goals scored and 1.54 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 38%, Over 2.5 at 54%, and clean sheets at 38%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.10 for Varketili and 1.05 for Merani Tbilisi. The models give Varketili a 63% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Merani Tbilisi win at 16%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 61% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Varketili | Home | Away | Merani Tbilisi | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 85% | 92% | 77% | 73% | 69% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 54% | 62% | 46% | 50% | 46% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 42% | 54% | 31% | 23% | 23% | 23% |
| Failed To Score | 15% | 8% | 23% | 27% | 31% | 23% |
Goals Conceded
| Varketili | Home | Away | Merani Tbilisi | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 50% | 54% | 46% | 62% | 77% | 46% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 4% | 0% | 8% | 35% | 38% | 31% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 4% | 0% | 8% | 19% | 15% | 23% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 46% | 54% | 38% | 23% | 54% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Varketili | Merani Tbilisi | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 73% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 | 35% | 42% |
| Over 4.5 | 19% | 27% |
| BTTS | 42% | 38% |
| BTTS & Win | 19% | 12% |
| BTTS & Draw | 23% | 23% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 23% | 31% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 27% | 23% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Varketili | Merani Tbilisi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 54% | 35% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 8% | 27% |
| Scored 1st Half | 62% | 42% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 19% | 35% |
| Win 2nd Half | 54% | 42% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 31% | 35% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 15% | 23% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 62% | 65% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 35% | 54% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 69% | 65% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 35% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Varketili | Merani Tbilisi |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 0.0 | 7.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 0.0 | 3.2 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 0% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 80% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 0% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 0% |
Head to Head · 5 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 17 | 5 | 3 | +56 | 56 | |
| 2 | 25 | 16 | 8 | 1 | +44 | 56 | |
| 3 | 25 | 12 | 10 | 3 | +22 | 46 | |
| 4 | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | +10 | 44 | |
| 5 | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | +7 | 43 | |
| 6 | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | +9 | 38 | |
| 7 | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | +10 | 36 | |
| 8 | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | +3 | 36 | |
| 9 | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | +3 | 35 | |
| 10 | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | +3 | 34 | |
| 11 | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | -8 | 34 | |
| 12 | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | -15 | 26 | |
| 13 | 25 | 3 | 11 | 11 | -14 | 20 | |
| 14 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | -42 | 16 | |
| 15 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | -51 | 16 | |
| 16 | 25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | -37 | 14 |
Team Insights
- ●Varketili have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Varketili have been undefeated in their last 12 home matches.
- ●Varketili have scored in each of their last 12 home matches.
- ●Varketili have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Varketili have scored in 12 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Varketili have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 12 away matches.
- ●Varketili have won 6 of their 12 away matches.
- ●Varketili have scored in 9 of their 12 away matches.
- ●70% of Varketili's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Merani Tbilisi failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Merani Tbilisi failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 home matches.
- ●Merani Tbilisi have been undefeated in their last 6 away matches.
- ●Merani Tbilisi have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Merani Tbilisi have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Merani Tbilisi failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Merani Tbilisi have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 12 away matches.
- ●Merani Tbilisi have won 7 of their 12 away matches.
- ●Merani Tbilisi have scored in 9 of their 12 away matches.