Merani Martvili vs Samtredia — Erovnuli Liga 2
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Merani Martvili and Samtredia meet in the Erovnuli Liga 2 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Merani Martvili have recorded 12 wins from 32 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.16 goals scored and 1.31 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 28% of games. Samtredia have won 44% of their 34 matches, with 1.76 goals scored and 1.35 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 53%, Over 2.5 at 65%, and clean sheets at 26%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.53 for Merani Martvili and 1.09 for Samtredia. The models give Merani Martvili a 44% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Samtredia win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 52%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Merani Martvili | Home | Away | Samtredia | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 66% | 76% | 53% | 79% | 84% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 34% | 47% | 20% | 53% | 63% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 12% | 13% | 24% | 26% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 34% | 24% | 47% | 21% | 16% | 27% |
Goals Conceded
| Merani Martvili | Home | Away | Samtredia | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 72% | 59% | 87% | 74% | 63% | 87% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 34% | 24% | 47% | 41% | 26% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 6% | 20% | 18% | 11% | 27% |
| Clean Sheets | 28% | 41% | 13% | 26% | 37% | 13% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Merani Martvili | Samtredia | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 65% |
| Over 3.5 | 19% | 32% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 24% |
| BTTS | 50% | 53% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 18% |
| BTTS & Draw | 9% | 12% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 41% | 47% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 18% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Merani Martvili | Samtredia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 19% | 38% |
| Draw 1st Half | 44% | 32% |
| Loss 1st Half | 38% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 25% | 56% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 44% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 31% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 47% | 24% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 22% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 59% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 59% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 22% | 44% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 15 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | +4 | 54 | |
| 2 | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | +4 | 49 | |
| 3 | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | +4 | 47 | |
| 4 | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | -4 | 43 | |
| 5 | 31 | 13 | 4 | 14 | +12 | 43 | |
| 6 | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | -9 | 40 | |
| 7 | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | -8 | 39 | |
| 8 | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 37 | |
| 9 | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | +6 | 35 | |
| 10 | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | -7 | 34 |
Team Insights
- ●Merani Martvili have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Merani Martvili have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Merani Martvili have lost their last 7 away matches.
- ●Merani Martvili failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 away matches.
- ●Merani Martvili have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Merani Martvili have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Merani Martvili failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Merani Martvili have lost 9 of their 15 away matches.
- ●67% of Merani Martvili's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Merani Martvili have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Samtredia have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Samtredia failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Samtredia have lost 10 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Samtredia have scored in 11 of their 15 away matches.
- ●62% of Samtredia's goals have been scored at home.