D. La Serena vs A. Italiano — Primera División
← Back
vs
–
–
Estadio La Portada de La Serena·La Serena·Chile·18,500
🔒 Pro Feature
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
from€8.99/mo
billed annually · cancel anytime
D. La Serena and A. Italiano meet in the Primera División 2026 season on 6 December 2026. D. La Serena have recorded 10 wins from 38 matches this season (26% win rate), averaging 1.42 goals scored and 1.92 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 61% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 63%; and clean sheets in 21% of games. A. Italiano have won 36% of their 45 matches, with 1.24 goals scored and 1.31 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 51%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.72 for D. La Serena and 1.13 for A. Italiano. The models give D. La Serena a 48% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an A. Italiano win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 54% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
D. La Serena—
A. Italiano11º
Position
13º
1.19
PPG
1.07
25%
Win %
27%
1.50
Goals / game
1.20
1.75
Conceded / game
1.40
61%
BTTS %
56%
21%
Clean sheet %
29%
63%
Over 2.5 %
51%
4.2
Avg corners
4.3
11.5
Avg shots
11.6
4.5
Avg shots on target
3.4
2.8
Avg yellow cards
2.5
11.9
Avg fouls
10.5
48.0%
Avg possession
50.5%
Home vs Away
D. La Serena
Home (8)
—
A. Italiano
Away (7)
1.50
PPG
0.29
38%
Win %
0%
1.63
Goals / game
0.43
1.13
Conceded / game
1.71
60%
BTTS %
55%
20%
Clean sheet %
27%
70%
Over 2.5 %
50%
4.2
Avg corners
4.3
11.5
Avg shots
11.6
4.5
Avg shots on target
3.4
2.8
Avg yellow cards
2.5
48.0%
Avg possession
50.5%
Goals Scored
| D. La | Home | Away | A. Italiano | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 76% | 70% | 83% | 76% | 78% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 47% | 55% | 39% | 33% | 43% | 23% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 16% | 20% | 11% | 13% | 22% | 5% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 30% | 17% | 24% | 22% | 27% |
Goals Conceded
| D. La | Home | Away | A. Italiano | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 79% | 80% | 78% | 71% | 70% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 53% | 50% | 56% | 38% | 35% | 41% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 37% | 35% | 39% | 16% | 9% | 23% |
| Clean Sheets | 21% | 20% | 22% | 29% | 30% | 27% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| D. La | A. Italiano | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 76% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 51% |
| Over 3.5 | 47% | 24% |
| Over 4.5 | 32% | 11% |
| BTTS | 61% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 16% |
| BTTS & Draw | 24% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 53% | 42% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 9% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| D. La | A. Italiano | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 34% | 36% |
| Draw 1st Half | 42% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 24% | 27% |
| Scored 1st Half | 55% | 56% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 44% |
| Win 2nd Half | 21% | 20% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 32% | 51% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 47% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 47% | 44% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 68% | 51% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 74% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
D. La (H)W
Concepción3–1
Concepción3–1L
Universidad de Chile0–3
Universidad de Chile0–3W
Nublense2–1
Nublense2–1D
Cobresal3–3
Cobresal3–3L
O'Higgins1–2
O'Higgins1–2L
Antofagasta2–4
Antofagasta2–4A. Italiano (A)L
Colo Colo0–1
Colo Colo0–1WConcepción1–0
Concepción1–0LColo Colo1–5
Colo Colo1–5D
Everton de Vina1–1
Everton de Vina1–1W
Universidad de Concepcion1–0
Universidad de Concepcion1–0W
Magallanes1–0
Magallanes1–0Number of Corners
10.1
Corners / Match
25 games
League Avg
9.9
191 games
9.1
Corners / Match
30 games
| Match Corners | D. La | A. Italiano | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 76% | 77% | 82% |
| Over 7 | 76% | 70% | 73% |
| Over 8 | 68% | 67% | 64% |
| Over 9 | 56% | 57% | 51% |
| Over 10 | 48% | 37% | 39% |
| Over 11 | 32% | 17% | 31% |
| Over 12 | 16% | 10% | 23% |
| Over 13 | 16% | 7% | 17% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | D. La | A. Italiano |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.2 | 4.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.9 | 4.8 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 68% | 77% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 56% | 57% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 40% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 84% | 77% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 72% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 64% | 53% |
Head to Head · 11 matches
2
D. La
18%
1
Draws
9%
8
A. Italiano
73%
100%
Over 1.5
11/11
73%
Over 2.5
8/11
27%
Over 3.5
3/11
73%
BTTS
8/11
13/06/26D. La Serena
A. Italiano
1–1D. La Serena09/05/26A. Italiano
D. La Serena
2–4A. Italiano25/03/26D. La Serena
A. Italiano
3–1D. La Serena25/10/25A. Italiano
D. La Serena
2–1A. Italiano04/05/25D. La Serena
A. Italiano
2–1D. La Serena06/11/22D. La Serena
A. Italiano
3–0D. La Serena28/05/22A. Italiano
D. La Serena
3–2A. Italiano26/08/21A. Italiano
D. La Serena
0–2A. Italiano30/03/21D. La Serena
A. Italiano
2–1D. La Serena14/02/21A. Italiano
D. La Serena
0–2A. Italiano10/09/20D. La Serena
A. Italiano
2–1D. La Serena| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 24 | 17 | 3 | 4 | +23 | 54 |
| 2 | Universidad de Chile | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | +22 | 45 |
| 3 |  U. Catolica | 23 | 13 | 3 | 7 | +17 | 42 |
| 4 | Everton de Vina | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | +13 | 39 |
| 5 |  Palestino | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | +3 | 37 |
| 6 |  Deportes Limache | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | +8 | 34 |
| 7 | D. La Serena | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | -3 | 33 |
| 8 |  Coquimbo Unido | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | +3 | 32 |
| 9 | Concepción | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | -3 | 32 |
| 10 |  Huachipato | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | -6 | 32 |
| 11 | Nublense | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | -9 | 32 |
| 12 | A. Italiano | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | -5 | 29 |
| 13 | O'Higgins | 24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | -10 | 27 |
| 14 | Cobresal | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | -10 | 25 |
| 15 | Universidad de Concepcion | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | -22 | 23 |
| 16 |  Union La Calera | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | -21 | 18 |
Team Insights
D. La- ●D. La Serena failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●D. La Serena have scored in each of their last 8 away matches.
- ●D. La Serena failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 13 home matches.
- ●D. La Serena failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 12 away matches.
- ●D. La Serena have scored in 10 of their 12 away matches.
A. Italiano- ●A. Italiano have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●A. Italiano have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●A. Italiano have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●74% of A. Italiano's goals have been scored at home.
- ●A. Italiano have scored 67% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
D. LaWHConcepción3–1
Concepción3–1LAEverton de Vina2–3
Everton de Vina2–3LHUniversidad de Chile0–3
Universidad de Chile0–3WHNublense2–1
Nublense2–1WAUnion La Calera1–0
Union La Calera1–0DHCobresal3–3
Cobresal3–3–AHuachipato01/11
Huachipato01/11–HPalestino08/11
Palestino08/11–ADeportes Limache22/11
Deportes Limache22/11A. ItalianoDHHuachipato1–1
Huachipato1–1WHO'Higgins1–0
O'Higgins1–0WAConcepción1–0
Concepción1–0LAColo Colo1–5
Colo Colo1–5DHUnion La Calera0–0
Union La Calera0–0DAEverton de Vina1–1
Everton de Vina1–1–ADeportes Limache02/11
Deportes Limache02/11–HCoquimbo Unido08/11
Coquimbo Unido08/11–ACobresal22/11
Cobresal22/11Top Scorers
D. LaJ. Vargas10 ⚽
F. Chamorro8 ⚽
M. Marin5 ⚽
G. Escalante4 ⚽
D. Rubio3 ⚽
A. Henriquez3 ⚽
A. ItalianoF. Troyansky9 ⚽
M. Fuentes7 ⚽
G. Chiaverano7 ⚽
D. Coelho6 ⚽
F. Mateos4 ⚽
I. Fuenzalida3 ⚽
Cards Given
D. LaFrancis Mac Allister8 🟨
Felipe Chamorro8 🟨
F. Dinamarca7 🟨
Gonzalo Escalante5 🟨
B. Gutierrez5 🟨
M. Marin5 🟨
A. ItalianoMarco Collao12 🟨
Federico Mateos7 🟨
Enzo Ferrario5 🟨
Diego Coelho4 🟨
F. Troyansky4 🟨
F. Mateos4 🟨