Chile · Primera División · Regular Season - 30

Huachipato

6º · 1.50 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 43d 22h

–

Nublense

3º · 1.56 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 55d 1h

Estadio CAP·Talcahuano·Chile·10,579

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Huachipato and Nublense meet in the Primera División 2026 season on 6 December 2026. Huachipato have recorded 14 wins from 41 matches this season (34% win rate), averaging 1.24 goals scored and 1.51 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 46% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 51%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Nublense have won 45% of their 40 matches, with 1.25 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 40%, and clean sheets at 33%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.79 for Huachipato and 1.43 for Nublense. The models give Huachipato a 48% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Nublense win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62% and BTTS at 63%.

Season Statistics

Huachipato

—

Nublense

6º

Position

3º

1.50

PPG

1.56

44%

Win %

38%

1.63

Goals / game

1.25

1.56

Conceded / game

1.19

46%

BTTS %

50%

29%

Clean sheet %

33%

51%

Over 2.5 %

40%

3.8

Avg corners

4.5

11.7

Avg shots

11.9

4.2

Avg shots on target

3.8

2.3

Avg yellow cards

2.6

9.7

Avg fouls

12.7

46.4%

Avg possession

45.6%

Home vs Away

Huachipato

Home (8)

—

Nublense

Away (7)

2.00

PPG

1.71

63%

Win %

43%

2.38

Goals / game

1.14

1.88

Conceded / game

1.14

62%

BTTS %

40%

24%

Clean sheet %

35%

67%

Over 2.5 %

25%

3.8

Avg corners

4.5

11.7

Avg shots

11.9

4.2

Avg shots on target

3.8

2.3

Avg yellow cards

2.6

46.4%

Avg possession

45.6%

Goals Scored

	Huachipato	Home	Away	Nublense	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	68%	76%	60%	80%	90%	70%
Over 1.5 Scored	39%	48%	30%	40%	55%	25%
Over 2.5 Scored	12%	19%	5%	3%	5%	0%
Failed To Score	32%	24%	40%	20%	10%	30%

Goals Conceded

	Huachipato	Home	Away	Nublense	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	71%	76%	65%	68%	70%	65%
Over 1.5 Conceded	49%	52%	45%	35%	40%	30%
Over 2.5 Conceded	22%	29%	15%	8%	5%	10%
Clean Sheets	29%	24%	35%	33%	30%	35%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Huachipato	Nublense
Over 0.5	93%	98%
Over 1.5	73%	70%
Over 2.5	51%	40%
Over 3.5	32%	23%
Over 4.5	17%	8%
BTTS	46%	50%
BTTS & Win	12%	15%
BTTS & Draw	12%	25%
BTTS & Over 2.5	44%	38%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	7%	3%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Huachipato	Nublense
Win 1st Half	22%	28%
Draw 1st Half	41%	48%
Loss 1st Half	37%	25%
Scored 1st Half	39%	50%
Conceded 1st Half	51%	43%
Win 2nd Half	39%	40%
Draw 2nd Half	24%	30%
Loss 2nd Half	37%	30%
Scored 2nd Half	54%	55%
Conceded 2nd Half	44%	43%
Over 0.5 HT	71%	70%
Over 1.5 HT	24%	35%

Recent Venue Form

Huachipato (H)

O'Higgins2–0

Colo Colo0–0

Deportes Limache1–3

Everton de Vina1–4

Cobresal3–3

Concepción1–2

Nublense (A)

Universidad de Chile0–6

D. Puerto Montt0–2

D. La Serena1–2

Deportes Limache0–2

U. Catolica2–1

A. Italiano2–2

Number of Corners

9.7

Corners / Match

26 games

League Avg

9.9

191 games

9.4

Corners / Match

23 games

Match Corners	Huachipato	Nublense	League Avg
Over 6	77%	78%	82%
Over 7	73%	70%	73%
Over 8	62%	57%	64%
Over 9	50%	43%	51%
Over 10	38%	30%	39%
Over 11	23%	30%	31%
Over 12	19%	22%	23%
Over 13	15%	13%	17%

Team Corners

Team Corners	Huachipato	Nublense
Corners Earned / Match	3.8	4.5
Corners Against / Match	5.9	5.0
Over 2.5 Corners For	62%	74%
Over 3.5 Corners For	42%	61%
Over 4.5 Corners For	35%	30%
Over 2.5 Corners Against	92%	87%
Over 3.5 Corners Against	81%	70%
Over 4.5 Corners Against	58%	52%

Head to Head · 15 matches

Huachipato

47%

Draws

20%

Nublense

33%

67%

Over 1.5

10/15

53%

Over 2.5

8/15

33%

Over 3.5

5/15

47%

BTTS

7/15

14/06/26

Nublense

2–2

Huachipato

24/11/25

Nublense

0–1

Huachipato

16/07/25

Huachipato

2–1

Nublense

13/07/25

Nublense

2–2

Huachipato

31/05/25

Huachipato

0–1

Nublense

10/11/24

Huachipato

1–0

Nublense

20/06/24

Nublense

3–0

Huachipato

03/12/23

Nublense

0–1

Huachipato

14/05/23

Huachipato

2–0

Nublense

22/10/22

Nublense

2–0

Huachipato

27/09/22

Nublense

2–1

Huachipato

24/09/22

Huachipato

1–0

Nublense

15/05/22

Huachipato

1–3

Nublense

13/09/21

Nublense

2–2

Huachipato

17/04/21

Huachipato

5–3

Nublense

Primera División

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Colo Colo	24	17	3	4	+23	54
2	Universidad de Chile	24	13	6	5	+22	45
3	U. Catolica	23	13	3	7	+17	42
4	Everton de Vina	24	11	6	7	+13	39
5	Palestino	24	11	4	9	+3	37
6	Deportes Limache	24	10	4	10	+8	34
7	D. La Serena	25	8	9	8	-3	33
8	Coquimbo Unido	23	9	5	9	+3	32
9	Concepción	25	9	5	11	-3	32
10	Huachipato	24	9	5	10	-6	32
11	Nublense	24	8	8	8	-9	32
12	A. Italiano	24	7	8	9	-5	29
13	O'Higgins	24	8	3	13	-10	27
14	Cobresal	24	7	4	13	-10	25
15	Universidad de Concepcion	24	6	5	13	-22	23
16	Union La Calera	24	4	6	14	-21	18

Team Insights

Huachipato

●Huachipato have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
●Huachipato have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
●Huachipato have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
●Huachipato have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
●Huachipato failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 12 home matches.
●66% of Huachipato's goals have been scored at home.

Nublense

●Nublense have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
●Nublense have lost their last 5 matches.
●Nublense failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
●Nublense have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
●Nublense have lost their last 3 away matches.
●Nublense failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
●Nublense have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
●Nublense failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 12 home matches.
●Nublense have scored in 9 of their 12 away matches.