Nublense vs Cobresal — Primera División
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Estadio Bicentenario Municipal Nelson Oyarzún·Chillán·Chile·12,000
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Nublense and Cobresal meet in the Primera División 2026 season on 29 November 2026. Nublense have recorded 18 wins from 40 matches this season (45% win rate), averaging 1.25 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 40%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Cobresal have won 21% of their 39 matches, with 1.18 goals scored and 1.87 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 51%, and clean sheets at 13%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.85 for Nublense and 1.29 for Cobresal. The models give Nublense a 50% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Cobresal win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 61% and BTTS at 61%.
Season Statistics
Nublense—
Cobresal3º
Position
15º
1.56
PPG
0.88
38%
Win %
25%
1.25
Goals / game
1.38
1.19
Conceded / game
2.00
50%
BTTS %
56%
33%
Clean sheet %
13%
40%
Over 2.5 %
51%
4.5
Avg corners
5.2
11.9
Avg shots
14.6
3.8
Avg shots on target
4.8
2.6
Avg yellow cards
2.3
12.7
Avg fouls
10.4
45.6%
Avg possession
44.1%
Home vs Away
Nublense
Home (9)
—
Cobresal
Away (9)
1.44
PPG
0.56
33%
Win %
11%
1.33
Goals / game
1.44
1.22
Conceded / game
2.22
60%
BTTS %
60%
30%
Clean sheet %
5%
55%
Over 2.5 %
60%
4.5
Avg corners
5.2
11.9
Avg shots
14.6
3.8
Avg shots on target
4.8
2.6
Avg yellow cards
2.3
45.6%
Avg possession
44.1%
Goals Scored
| Nublense | Home | Away | Cobresal | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 90% | 70% | 67% | 74% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 40% | 55% | 25% | 33% | 42% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 3% | 5% | 0% | 15% | 16% | 15% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 10% | 30% | 33% | 26% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Nublense | Home | Away | Cobresal | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 68% | 70% | 65% | 87% | 79% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 35% | 40% | 30% | 56% | 37% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 5% | 10% | 31% | 16% | 45% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 30% | 35% | 13% | 21% | 5% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Nublense | Cobresal | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 98% | 97% |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 51% |
| Over 3.5 | 23% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 26% |
| BTTS | 50% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 15% | 10% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 44% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 3% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Nublense | Cobresal | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 28% | 21% |
| Draw 1st Half | 48% | 36% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 44% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 38% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 43% | 62% |
| Win 2nd Half | 40% | 18% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 49% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 55% | 49% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 43% | 62% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 70% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 35% | 31% |
Recent Venue Form
Nublense (H)W
D. Puerto Montt2–1
D. Puerto Montt2–1L
Everton de Vina1–3
Everton de Vina1–3L
Concepción0–1
Concepción0–1W
Union La Calera2–1
Union La Calera2–1W
Rangers de Talca1–0
Rangers de Talca1–0W
Palestino2–0
Palestino2–0Cobresal (A)D
O'Higgins1–1
O'Higgins1–1L
Deportes Limache0–3
Deportes Limache0–3D
D. La Serena3–3
D. La Serena3–3L
U. Catolica0–2
U. Catolica0–2D
Huachipato3–3
Huachipato3–3L
Antofagasta0–1
Antofagasta0–1Number of Corners
9.4
Corners / Match
23 games
League Avg
9.9
191 games
11.0
Corners / Match
26 games
| Match Corners | Nublense | Cobresal | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 78% | 92% | 82% |
| Over 7 | 70% | 73% | 73% |
| Over 8 | 57% | 69% | 64% |
| Over 9 | 43% | 65% | 51% |
| Over 10 | 30% | 54% | 39% |
| Over 11 | 30% | 46% | 31% |
| Over 12 | 22% | 35% | 23% |
| Over 13 | 13% | 19% | 17% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Nublense | Cobresal |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.5 | 5.2 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.0 | 5.8 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 74% | 85% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 61% | 69% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 30% | 65% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 87% | 85% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 70% | 81% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 52% | 62% |
Head to Head · 14 matches
6
Nublense
43%
5
Draws
36%
3
Cobresal
21%
86%
Over 1.5
12/14
43%
Over 2.5
6/14
36%
Over 3.5
5/14
64%
BTTS
9/14
29/05/26Nublense
Cobresal
0–1Nublense03/05/26Cobresal
Nublense
2–0Cobresal21/03/26Nublense
Cobresal
1–1Nublense07/12/25Cobresal
Nublense
5–0Cobresal22/06/25Nublense
Cobresal
1–1Nublense14/09/24Cobresal
Nublense
1–0Cobresal20/04/24Nublense
Cobresal
2–2Nublense06/08/23Cobresal
Nublense
1–2Cobresal18/02/23Nublense
Cobresal
1–1Nublense22/07/22Cobresal
Nublense
3–2Cobresal26/02/22Nublense
Cobresal
1–1Nublense06/09/21Nublense
Cobresal
4–1Nublense12/04/21Cobresal
Nublense
3–1Cobresal04/03/18Nublense
Cobresal
2–0Nublense| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Colo Colo | 24 | 17 | 3 | 4 | +23 | 54 |
| 2 |  Universidad de Chile | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | +22 | 45 |
| 3 | U. Catolica | 23 | 13 | 3 | 7 | +17 | 42 |
| 4 | Everton de Vina | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | +13 | 39 |
| 5 | Palestino | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | +3 | 37 |
| 6 | Deportes Limache | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | +8 | 34 |
| 7 | D. La Serena | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | -3 | 33 |
| 8 |  Coquimbo Unido | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | +3 | 32 |
| 9 | Concepción | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | -3 | 32 |
| 10 | Huachipato | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | -6 | 32 |
| 11 | Nublense | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | -9 | 32 |
| 12 |  A. Italiano | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | -5 | 29 |
| 13 | O'Higgins | 24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | -10 | 27 |
| 14 | Cobresal | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | -10 | 25 |
| 15 |  Universidad de Concepcion | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | -22 | 23 |
| 16 | Union La Calera | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | -21 | 18 |
Team Insights
Nublense- ●Nublense have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Nublense have lost their last 5 matches.
- ●Nublense failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Nublense have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Nublense have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Nublense failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Nublense have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Nublense failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Nublense have scored in 9 of their 12 away matches.
Cobresal- ●Cobresal have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Cobresal have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Cobresal failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 13 away matches.
- ●Cobresal failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Cobresal failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Cobresal have lost 9 of their 13 away matches.
- ●65% of Cobresal's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●83% of Cobresal's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
NublenseLAUniversidad de Chile0–6
Universidad de Chile0–6LHEverton de Vina1–3
Everton de Vina1–3LAD. La Serena1–2
D. La Serena1–2LADeportes Limache0–2
Deportes Limache0–2LHConcepción0–1
Concepción0–1WAU. Catolica2–1
U. Catolica2–1–HCoquimbo Unido25/10
Coquimbo Unido25/10–AO'Higgins31/10
O'Higgins31/10–HColo Colo08/11
Colo Colo08/11CobresalDAO'Higgins1–1
O'Higgins1–1DHUniversidad de Concepcion1–1
Universidad de Concepcion1–1WHCoquimbo Unido3–2
Coquimbo Unido3–2LADeportes Limache0–3
Deportes Limache0–3WHPalestino2–0
Palestino2–0DAD. La Serena3–3
D. La Serena3–3–HEverton de Vina01/11
Everton de Vina01/11–AUniversidad de Chile08/11
Universidad de Chile08/11–HA. Italiano22/11
A. Italiano22/11Top Scorers
NublenseI. Jeraldino9 ⚽
G. Graciani5 ⚽
D. Sanhueza5 ⚽
G. Avalos4 ⚽
F. Rami4 ⚽
E. Calderon3 ⚽
CobresalS. Pino12 ⚽
J. Brea9 ⚽
F. Frias5 ⚽
B. Valenzuela2 ⚽
A. Nadruz2 ⚽
Guillermo Pacheco2 ⚽
Cards Given
NublensePablo Calderón7 🟨
Jovany Campusano6 🟨
M. Rivera5 🟨
L. Reyes4 🟨
F. Rami4 🟨
Ignacio Tapia4 🟨
CobresalJ. Fuentes9 🟨
Steffan Pino6 🟨
Franco Bechtholdt6 🟨
G. Pacheco5 🟨
F. Bechtholdt5 🟨
Christian Moreno4 🟨