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Universidad de Concepcion vs Nublense — Primera División

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Universidad de Concepcion
Universidad de Concepcion
12º · 1.27 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 22d 23h
vs
–
–
Nublense
Nublense
3º · 1.56 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 22d 0h
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Universidad de Concepcion and Nublense meet in the Primera División 2026 season on 22 November 2026. Universidad de Concepcion have recorded 9 wins from 40 matches this season (23% win rate), averaging 0.90 goals scored and 1.77 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 55% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 55%; and clean sheets in 18% of games. Nublense have won 45% of their 42 matches, with 1.24 goals scored and 1.24 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 40%, and clean sheets at 31%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.24 for Universidad de Concepcion and 1.14 for Nublense. The models give Universidad de Concepcion a 37% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Nublense win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 43% and BTTS at 48%.

Season Statistics

Universidad de Concepcion
—
Nublense
12º
Position
3º
1.27
PPG
1.56
33%
Win %
38%
0.87
Goals / game
1.25
1.73
Conceded / game
1.19
55%
BTTS %
50%
18%
Clean sheet %
31%
55%
Over 2.5 %
40%
5.0
Avg corners
4.5
12.5
Avg shots
12.1
3.8
Avg shots on target
3.8
3.3
Avg yellow cards
2.7
10.7
Avg fouls
12.8
48.4%
Avg possession
45.9%

Home vs Away

Universidad de Concepcion
Home (7)
—
Nublense
Away (7)
1.86
PPG
1.71
57%
Win %
43%
0.86
Goals / game
1.14
0.86
Conceded / game
1.14
33%
BTTS %
38%
28%
Clean sheet %
33%
39%
Over 2.5 %
24%
5.0
Avg corners
4.5
12.5
Avg shots
12.1
3.8
Avg shots on target
3.8
3.3
Avg yellow cards
2.7
48.4%
Avg possession
45.9%

Goals Scored

Universidad deHomeAwayNublenseHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored68%56%77%79%90%67%
Over 1.5 Scored23%28%18%40%57%24%
Over 2.5 Scored0%0%0%2%5%0%
Failed To Score33%44%23%21%10%33%

Goals Conceded

Universidad deHomeAwayNublenseHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded83%72%91%69%71%67%
Over 1.5 Conceded53%39%64%33%38%29%
Over 2.5 Conceded23%11%32%7%5%10%
Clean Sheets18%28%9%31%29%33%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Universidad deNublense
Over 0.595%98%
Over 1.573%69%
Over 2.555%40%
Over 3.523%21%
Over 4.510%7%
BTTS55%50%
BTTS & Win10%17%
BTTS & Draw15%24%
BTTS & Over 2.548%38%
BTTS No & Over 2.58%2%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Universidad deNublense
Win 1st Half15%26%
Draw 1st Half38%48%
Loss 1st Half48%26%
Scored 1st Half38%50%
Conceded 1st Half63%45%
Win 2nd Half20%40%
Draw 2nd Half40%31%
Loss 2nd Half40%29%
Scored 2nd Half40%55%
Conceded 2nd Half57%40%
Over 0.5 HT78%71%
Over 1.5 HT38%36%

Recent Venue Form

Universidad de (H)
LDeportes Limache0–1
LHuachipato0–2
WUniversidad de Chile2–1
LD. La Serena0–2
LCurico Unido1–3
LA. Italiano0–1
Nublense (A)
LO'Higgins0–1
LUniversidad de Chile0–6
LD. Puerto Montt0–2
LD. La Serena1–2
LDeportes Limache0–2
WU. Catolica2–1

Number of Corners

10.9
Corners / Match
26 games
League Avg
9.9
205 games
9.3
Corners / Match
25 games
Match CornersUniversidad deNublenseLeague Avg
Over 696%76%82%
Over 785%68%73%
Over 873%56%64%
Over 958%40%51%
Over 1038%28%38%
Over 1135%28%30%
Over 1227%20%22%
Over 1327%12%16%

Team Corners

Team CornersUniversidad deNublense
Corners Earned / Match5.04.5
Corners Against / Match5.84.8
Over 2.5 Corners For88%76%
Over 3.5 Corners For73%60%
Over 4.5 Corners For50%32%
Over 2.5 Corners Against73%88%
Over 3.5 Corners Against62%64%
Over 4.5 Corners Against58%48%

Head to Head · 7 matches

0
Universidad de
0%
1
Draws
14%
6
Nublense
86%
86%
Over 1.5
6/7
57%
Over 2.5
4/7
43%
Over 3.5
3/7
57%
BTTS
4/7
01/07/26
Universidad de Concepcion
0–1
Nublense
25/06/26
Nublense
4–2
Universidad de Concepcion
06/06/26
Nublense
2–1
Universidad de Concepcion
23/05/26
Nublense
2–2
Universidad de Concepcion
30/03/26
Universidad de Concepcion
0–2
Nublense
05/04/25
Nublense
2–0
Universidad de Concepcion
31/01/25
Universidad de Concepcion
2–3
Nublense
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Colo Colo261844+2858
2Universidad de Chile261466+2448
3U. Catolica261448+1646
4Deportes Limache2612410+1140
5Everton de Vina261178+1040
6Palestino2611510+238
7Coquimbo Unido2510510+335
8Concepción2610511-235
9Nublense26989-935
10D. La Serena268108-334
11Huachipato259610-633
12O'Higgins269413-931
13A. Italiano267910-730
14Cobresal267613-1027
15Universidad de Concepcion266515-2823
16Union La Calera265615-2021

Team Insights

Universidad de
  • ●Universidad de Concepcion have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
  • ●Universidad de Concepcion failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 12 matches.
  • ●Universidad de Concepcion failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Universidad de Concepcion failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 away matches.
  • ●Universidad de Concepcion failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 12 home matches.
  • ●Universidad de Concepcion have lost 6 of their 12 home matches.
  • ●Universidad de Concepcion failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 14 away matches.
  • ●Universidad de Concepcion have lost 9 of their 14 away matches.
  • ●Universidad de Concepcion have scored in 10 of their 14 away matches.
  • ●72% of Universidad de Concepcion's goals conceded were conceded away.
  • ●Universidad de Concepcion have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.
Nublense
  • ●Nublense failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
  • ●Nublense have lost their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Nublense failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
  • ●Nublense failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 13 home matches.
LAColo Colo1º1–6
LAColo Colo1º1–6
LAColo Colo1º1–6
DACobresal15º1–1
DACobresal14º1–1
DACobresal16º1–1
LHHuachipato6º0–2

Season Schedule

Universidad de
LAColo Colo1–6
LHDeportes Limache0–1
DACobresal1–1
LHHuachipato0–2
LAPalestino1–2
LACoquimbo Unido0–1
–HO'Higgins05/11
–HNublense22/11
–AUnion La Calera29/11
Nublense
LAO'Higgins0–1
WHCoquimbo Unido2–1
LAUniversidad de Chile0–6
LHEverton de Vina1–3
LAD. La Serena1–2
LADeportes Limache0–2
–HColo Colo08/11
–AUniversidad de Concepcion22/11
–HCobresal29/11

Top Scorers

Universidad de
J. Fuentealba8 ⚽
C. Waterman5 ⚽
L. Rojas3 ⚽
C. Mesias3 ⚽
F. Mater3 ⚽
A. Urzi2 ⚽
Nublense
I. Jeraldino9 ⚽
G. Graciani5 ⚽
D. Sanhueza5 ⚽
F. Rami4 ⚽
G. Avalos4 ⚽
E. Calderon3 ⚽

Cards Given

Universidad de
C. Mesias9 🟨
6 🟨
L. Gonzalez6 🟨
David Retamal5 🟨
Bryan Ogaz5 🟨
Cristhofer Mesías5 🟨
Nublense
Pablo Calderón8 🟨
Jovany Campusano7 🟨
M. Rivera5 🟨
F. Rami4 🟨
Gabriel Graciani4 🟨
Diego Sanhueza4 🟨