IF Karlstad vs Umeå FC — Ettan - Norra
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Tingvalla IP·Karlstad·Sweden·10,000
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IF Karlstad and Umeå FC meet in the Ettan - Norra 2026 season on 8 November 2026. IF Karlstad have recorded 15 wins from 36 matches this season (42% win rate), averaging 1.47 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 53% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 53%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Umeå FC have won 42% of their 38 matches, with 1.55 goals scored and 1.47 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 58%, Over 2.5 at 63%, and clean sheets at 21%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.56 for IF Karlstad and 1.35 for Umeå FC. The models give IF Karlstad a 44% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Umeå FC win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
IF Karlstad—
Umeå FC1º
Position
8º
2.36
PPG
1.18
73%
Win %
27%
1.64
Goals / game
1.45
0.55
Conceded / game
1.64
53%
BTTS %
58%
33%
Clean sheet %
21%
53%
Over 2.5 %
63%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
IF Karlstad
Home (6)
—
Umeå FC
Away (6)
2.17
PPG
1.33
67%
Win %
33%
1.67
Goals / game
1.67
0.67
Conceded / game
1.67
44%
BTTS %
56%
39%
Clean sheet %
17%
50%
Over 2.5 %
56%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| IF Karlstad | Home | Away | Umeå FC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 78% | 72% | 83% | 76% | 80% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 42% | 39% | 44% | 45% | 50% | 39% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 17% | 17% | 17% | 18% | 25% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 22% | 28% | 17% | 24% | 20% | 28% |
Goals Conceded
| IF Karlstad | Home | Away | Umeå FC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 61% | 72% | 79% | 75% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 39% | 33% | 44% | 39% | 45% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 6% | 11% | 0% | 24% | 25% | 22% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 39% | 28% | 21% | 25% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| IF Karlstad | Umeå FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 97% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 42% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 16% |
| BTTS | 53% | 58% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 24% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| IF Karlstad | Umeå FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 37% | 26% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 24% |
| Scored 1st Half | 54% | 42% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 40% | 45% |
| Win 2nd Half | 40% | 34% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 16% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 31% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 51% | 55% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 51% | 66% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 74% | 66% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 34% | 34% |
Recent Venue Form
IF Karlstad (H)L
Stockholm Internazionale1–4
Stockholm Internazionale1–4W
Arlanda3–0
Arlanda3–0D
Karlberg1–1
Karlberg1–1D
FBK Karlstad0–0
FBK Karlstad0–0L
AFC Eskilstuna1–2
AFC Eskilstuna1–2L
Sandviken0–2
Sandviken0–2Umeå FC (A)W
Järfälla2–1
Järfälla2–1W
Stocksund3–0
Stocksund3–0W
Piteå2–0
Piteå2–0WArlanda2–1
Arlanda2–1L
Gefle IF0–2
Gefle IF0–2LAFC Eskilstuna0–1
AFC Eskilstuna0–1Head to Head · 10 matches
5
IF Karlstad
50%
2
Draws
20%
3
Umeå FC
30%
80%
Over 1.5
8/10
60%
Over 2.5
6/10
40%
Over 3.5
4/10
50%
BTTS
5/10
24/05/26IF Karlstad
Umeå FC
0–2IF Karlstad19/08/25Umeå FC
IF Karlstad
2–1Umeå FC26/10/24Umeå FC
IF Karlstad
3–4Umeå FC14/04/24IF Karlstad
Umeå FC
5–2IF Karlstad16/09/23Umeå FC
IF Karlstad
2–2Umeå FC21/05/23IF Karlstad
Umeå FC
3–0IF Karlstad30/10/22IF Karlstad
Umeå FC
1–1IF Karlstad30/07/22Umeå FC
IF Karlstad
1–0Umeå FC04/09/21Umeå FC
IF Karlstad
4–0Umeå FC09/05/21IF Karlstad
Umeå FC
0–1IF Karlstad| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stockholm Internazionale | 28 | 20 | 4 | 4 | +45 | 64 |
| 2 | AFC Eskilstuna | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | +15 | 50 |
| 3 |  Hammarby Talang | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | +26 | 49 |
| 4 | Arlanda | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | +13 | 48 |
| 5 |  Enköping | 27 | 15 | 3 | 9 | +1 | 48 |
| 6 | FBK Karlstad | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | +6 | 46 |
| 7 | IF Karlstad | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | +11 | 44 |
| 8 | Umeå FC | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | -4 | 38 |
| 9 |  Assyriska FF | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | -3 | 35 |
| 10 | Gefle IF | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -13 | 35 |
| 11 | Karlberg | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | -10 | 33 |
| 12 |  Sollentuna | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | -7 | 31 |
| 13 |  Vasalund | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | -22 | 28 |
| 14 | Piteå | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -16 | 24 |
| 15 | Järfälla | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | -21 | 23 |
| 16 | Stocksund | 27 | 3 | 6 | 18 | -21 | 15 |
Team Insights
IF Karlstad- ●IF Karlstad have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●IF Karlstad failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 away matches.
- ●IF Karlstad have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●IF Karlstad have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 14 home matches.
- ●IF Karlstad failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 14 away matches.
- ●IF Karlstad have won 5 of their 14 away matches.
- ●IF Karlstad have scored in 12 of their 14 away matches.
Umeå FC- ●Umeå FC have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Umeå FC have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Umeå FC have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Umeå FC have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Umeå FC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Umeå FC have won their last 4 away matches.
- ●Umeå FC have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Umeå FC have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Umeå FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Umeå FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Umeå FC have won 6 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Umeå FC have scored in 10 of their 13 away matches.
Season Schedule
IF KarlstadLHStockholm Internazionale1–4
Stockholm Internazionale1–4LAHammarby Talang1–2
Hammarby Talang1–2WHArlanda3–0
Arlanda3–0DAPiteå1–1
Piteå1–1DHKarlberg1–1
Karlberg1–1DAEnköping2–2
Enköping2–2–AVasalund01/11
Vasalund01/11–HUmeå FC08/11
Umeå FC08/11Umeå FCWHAssyriska FF3–1
Assyriska FF3–1WAJärfälla2–1
Järfälla2–1WHHammarby Talang2–1
Hammarby Talang2–1LHFBK Karlstad1–3
FBK Karlstad1–3WAStocksund3–0
Stocksund3–0WAPiteå2–0
Piteå2–0–AKarlberg25/10
Karlberg25/10–HSollentuna01/11
Sollentuna01/11–AIF Karlstad08/11
IF Karlstad08/11Top Scorers
IF KarlstadW. Miguel8 ⚽
K. Kack Ofordu6 ⚽
A. Bark4 ⚽
O. Alvers4 ⚽
J. Bengtsson3 ⚽
J. Carstrom3 ⚽
Umeå FCR. Hadad10 ⚽
Z. Bawa8 ⚽
S. Forsman5 ⚽
E. Olawore3 ⚽
R. Andersson3 ⚽
E. Yeboah2 ⚽
Cards Given
IF KarlstadE. Nilsson King9 🟨
K. Gustafsson9 🟨
S. Beko4 🟨
I. Hook4 🟨
H. Bellman3 🟨
B. Tagoe2 🟨
Umeå FCJ. Essombe Mambingo6 🟨
Z. Bawa6 🟨
F. Godwin5 🟨
4 🟨
E. Yeboah4 🟨
A. Shakir3 🟨