Karlberg vs Umeå FC — Ettan - Norra
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Karlberg and Umeå FC meet in the Ettan - Norra 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Karlberg have recorded 18 wins from 40 matches this season (45% win rate), averaging 1.70 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 65%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Umeå FC have won 42% of their 38 matches, with 1.55 goals scored and 1.47 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 58%, Over 2.5 at 63%, and clean sheets at 21%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.50 for Karlberg and 1.67 for Umeå FC. The models give Karlberg a 35% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Umeå FC win at 39%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 61% and BTTS at 63%.
Season Statistics
Karlberg—
Umeå FC10º
Position
8º
1.09
PPG
1.18
27%
Win %
27%
1.45
Goals / game
1.45
1.82
Conceded / game
1.64
60%
BTTS %
58%
25%
Clean sheet %
21%
65%
Over 2.5 %
63%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Karlberg
Home (5)
—
Umeå FC
Away (6)
1.00
PPG
1.33
20%
Win %
33%
1.20
Goals / game
1.67
1.80
Conceded / game
1.67
63%
BTTS %
56%
21%
Clean sheet %
17%
63%
Over 2.5 %
56%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Karlberg | Home | Away | Umeå FC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 79% | 81% | 76% | 80% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 48% | 58% | 38% | 45% | 50% | 39% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 28% | 42% | 14% | 18% | 25% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 21% | 19% | 24% | 20% | 28% |
Goals Conceded
| Karlberg | Home | Away | Umeå FC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 79% | 71% | 79% | 75% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 53% | 58% | 48% | 39% | 45% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 28% | 21% | 33% | 24% | 25% | 22% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 21% | 29% | 21% | 25% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Karlberg | Umeå FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 97% |
| Over 1.5 | 85% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 | 65% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 | 45% | 42% |
| Over 4.5 | 25% | 16% |
| BTTS | 60% | 58% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 24% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 53% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Karlberg | Umeå FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 43% | 26% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 19% | 24% |
| Scored 1st Half | 68% | 42% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 43% | 45% |
| Win 2nd Half | 27% | 34% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 35% | 16% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 38% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 49% | 55% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 59% | 66% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 81% | 66% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 46% | 34% |
Recent Venue Form
Karlberg (H)D
Vasalund3–3
Vasalund3–3W
Sollentuna3–2
Sollentuna3–2L
Stockholm Internazionale0–2
Stockholm Internazionale0–2W
Arlanda1–0
Arlanda1–0L
AFC Eskilstuna0–3
AFC Eskilstuna0–3W
IK brage2–0
IK brage2–0Umeå FC (A)W
Järfälla2–1
Järfälla2–1W
Stocksund3–0
Stocksund3–0W
Piteå2–0
Piteå2–0WArlanda2–1
Arlanda2–1L
Gefle IF0–2
Gefle IF0–2LAFC Eskilstuna0–1
AFC Eskilstuna0–1Head to Head · 3 matches
0
Karlberg
0%
1
Draws
33%
2
Umeå FC
67%
100%
Over 1.5
3/3
100%
Over 2.5
3/3
67%
Over 3.5
2/3
100%
BTTS
3/3
03/05/26Karlberg
Umeå FC
2–1Karlberg29/09/24Umeå FC
Karlberg
2–2Umeå FC19/05/24Karlberg
Umeå FC
3–1Karlberg| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stockholm Internazionale | 28 | 20 | 4 | 4 | +45 | 64 |
| 2 | AFC Eskilstuna | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | +15 | 50 |
| 3 |  Hammarby Talang | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | +26 | 49 |
| 4 | Arlanda | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | +13 | 48 |
| 5 |  Enköping | 27 | 15 | 3 | 9 | +1 | 48 |
| 6 |  FBK Karlstad | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | +6 | 46 |
| 7 |  IF Karlstad | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | +11 | 44 |
| 8 | Umeå FC | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | -4 | 38 |
| 9 |  Assyriska FF | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | -3 | 35 |
| 10 | Gefle IF | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -13 | 35 |
| 11 | Karlberg | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | -10 | 33 |
| 12 | Sollentuna | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | -7 | 31 |
| 13 | Vasalund | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | -22 | 28 |
| 14 | Piteå | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -16 | 24 |
| 15 | Järfälla | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | -21 | 23 |
| 16 | Stocksund | 27 | 3 | 6 | 18 | -21 | 15 |
Team Insights
Karlberg- ●Karlberg failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Karlberg have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Karlberg failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Karlberg failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Karlberg have scored in 11 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Karlberg have scored 59% of their goals in the first half.
Umeå FC- ●Umeå FC have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Umeå FC have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Umeå FC have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Umeå FC have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Umeå FC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Umeå FC have won their last 4 away matches.
- ●Umeå FC have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Umeå FC have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Umeå FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Umeå FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Umeå FC have won 6 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Umeå FC have scored in 10 of their 13 away matches.
Season Schedule
KarlbergLAFBK Karlstad1–3
FBK Karlstad1–3DHVasalund3–3
Vasalund3–3WHSollentuna3–2
Sollentuna3–2DAIF Karlstad1–1
IF Karlstad1–1LHStockholm Internazionale0–2
Stockholm Internazionale0–2LAJärfälla0–5
Järfälla0–5–HUmeå FC25/10
Umeå FC25/10–HAssyriska FF01/11
Assyriska FF01/11–AGefle IF08/11
Gefle IF08/11Umeå FCWHAssyriska FF3–1
Assyriska FF3–1WAJärfälla2–1
Järfälla2–1WHHammarby Talang2–1
Hammarby Talang2–1LHFBK Karlstad1–3
FBK Karlstad1–3WAStocksund3–0
Stocksund3–0WAPiteå2–0
Piteå2–0–AKarlberg25/10
Karlberg25/10–HSollentuna01/11
Sollentuna01/11–AIF Karlstad08/11
IF Karlstad08/11Top Scorers
KarlbergA. Jemal11 ⚽
6 ⚽
N. Negash5 ⚽
M. Mitku5 ⚽
A. Jamshidi3 ⚽
H. Fernandez3 ⚽
Umeå FCR. Hadad10 ⚽
Z. Bawa8 ⚽
S. Forsman5 ⚽
E. Olawore3 ⚽
R. Andersson3 ⚽
E. Yeboah2 ⚽
Cards Given
Karlberg7 🟨
H. Aslund4 🟨
R. Sundgren3 🟨
N. Negash2 🟨
A. Gkoulios2 🟨
F. Nieminen Eriksson2 🟨
Umeå FCJ. Essombe Mambingo6 🟨
Z. Bawa6 🟨
F. Godwin5 🟨
4 🟨
E. Yeboah4 🟨
A. Shakir3 🟨