San Telmo vs Central Norte — Primera Nacional
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San Telmo and Central Norte meet in the Primera Nacional 2026 season on 31 October 2026. San Telmo have recorded 9 wins from 35 matches this season (26% win rate), averaging 0.83 goals scored and 1.17 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 34% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 37%; and clean sheets in 37% of games. Central Norte have won 20% of their 35 matches, with 0.69 goals scored and 0.91 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 43%, Over 2.5 at 23%, and clean sheets at 34%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.10 for San Telmo and 0.85 for Central Norte. The models give San Telmo a 40% win probability, with a draw at 31% and an Central Norte win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 31% and BTTS at 39%.
Season Statistics
San Telmo—
Central Norte14º
Position
15º
1.09
PPG
1.09
26%
Win %
21%
0.83
Goals / game
0.68
1.17
Conceded / game
0.91
34%
BTTS %
43%
37%
Clean sheet %
34%
37%
Over 2.5 %
23%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
San Telmo
Home (17)
—
Central Norte
Away (17)
1.35
PPG
0.88
35%
Win %
18%
1.00
Goals / game
0.65
1.06
Conceded / game
1.18
29%
BTTS %
44%
47%
Clean sheet %
22%
35%
Over 2.5 %
33%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| San Telmo | Home | Away | Central Norte | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 51% | 53% | 50% | 54% | 59% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 26% | 35% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 6% | 12% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 49% | 47% | 50% | 46% | 41% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| San Telmo | Home | Away | Central Norte | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 63% | 53% | 72% | 66% | 53% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 34% | 35% | 33% | 17% | 6% | 28% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 17% | 18% | 17% | 6% | 6% | 6% |
| Clean Sheets | 37% | 47% | 28% | 34% | 47% | 22% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| San Telmo | Central Norte | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 80% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 | 54% | 49% |
| Over 2.5 | 37% | 23% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 9% |
| Over 4.5 | 9% | 3% |
| BTTS | 34% | 43% |
| BTTS & Win | 9% | 9% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 26% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 29% | 20% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 3% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| San Telmo | Central Norte | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 17% | 23% |
| Draw 1st Half | 51% | 51% |
| Loss 1st Half | 31% | 26% |
| Scored 1st Half | 23% | 40% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 43% | 34% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 11% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 37% | 66% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 34% | 23% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 40% | 23% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 49% | 37% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 54% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 31% | 23% |
Recent Venue Form
San Telmo (H)D
Defensores De Belgrano0–0
Defensores De Belgrano0–0W
Almirante Brown3–2
Almirante Brown3–2L
CA Estudiantes0–1
CA Estudiantes0–1D
Los Andes0–0
Los Andes0–0D
Deportivo Moron2–2
Deportivo Moron2–2W
San Miguel1–0
San Miguel1–0Central Norte (A)W
Chaco For Ever2–1
Chaco For Ever2–1D
Deportivo Madryn0–0
Deportivo Madryn0–0D
Ciudad de Bolívar0–0
Ciudad de Bolívar0–0D
Atletico Mitre2–2
Atletico Mitre2–2D
All Boys1–1
All Boys1–1L
Godoy Cruz1–2
Godoy Cruz1–2Head to Head · 3 matches
2
San Telmo
67%
1
Draws
33%
0
Central Norte
0%
67%
Over 1.5
2/3
67%
Over 2.5
2/3
33%
Over 3.5
1/3
67%
BTTS
2/3
14/06/26San Telmo
Central Norte
0–0San Telmo14/09/25Central Norte
San Telmo
3–1Central Norte13/05/25San Telmo
Central Norte
1–2San Telmo| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ferro Carril Oeste | 35 | 19 | 8 | 8 | +7 | 65 |
| 1 |  Tristan Suarez | 35 | 16 | 15 | 4 | +18 | 63 |
| 2 |  Temperley | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | +13 | 60 |
| 2 | Godoy Cruz | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | +16 | 60 |
| 3 | Deportivo Moron | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | +15 | 58 |
| 3 |  Gimnasia Jujuy | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | +9 | 58 |
| 4 |  Atlanta | 34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | +7 | 58 |
| 4 | Deportivo Madryn | 35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | +20 | 57 |
| 5 |  Colon Santa Fe | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | +14 | 54 |
| 5 |  Gimnasia Y Tiro | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | +6 | 52 |
| 6 | Ciudad de Bolívar | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | +1 | 51 |
| 6 |  Midland | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | +11 | 51 |
| 7 |  Colegiales | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | +4 | 50 |
| 7 | Almirante Brown | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | +4 | 48 |
| 8 | CA Estudiantes | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | +1 | 48 |
| 8 |  Deportivo Maipu | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | +7 | 48 |
| 9 |  San Martin S.J. | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | +2 | 47 |
| 9 | Chaco For Ever | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 0 | 43 |
| 10 |  San Martin Tucuman | 35 | 11 | 13 | 11 | +2 | 46 |
| 10 | Los Andes | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | +1 | 41 |
| 11 |  Atletico DE Rafaela | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | -6 | 45 |
| 11 |  Racing Cordoba | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | -10 | 40 |
| 12 |  Quilmes | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | +2 | 42 |
| 12 | Atletico Mitre | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | -8 | 39 |
| 13 |  Almagro | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | -10 | 42 |
| 13 | Defensores De Belgrano | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | -7 | 38 |
| 14 |  Agropecuario | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | -11 | 40 |
| 14 | San Telmo | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | -12 | 38 |
| 15 | Central Norte | 34 | 7 | 16 | 11 | -8 | 37 |
| 15 |  Patronato | 34 | 7 | 16 | 11 | -4 | 37 |
| 16 |  Chacarita Juniors | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | -9 | 36 |
| 16 | All Boys | 34 | 6 | 17 | 11 | -10 | 35 |
| 17 |  Nueva Chicago | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | -9 | 36 |
| 17 |  Acassuso | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | -10 | 33 |
| 18 | San Miguel | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | -14 | 32 |
| 18 |  Club Atlético Güemes | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | -32 | 26 |
Team Insights
San Telmo- ●San Telmo have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●San Telmo have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●San Telmo have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 17 home matches.
- ●San Telmo failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 18 away matches.
Central Norte- ●Central Norte have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Central Norte have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Central Norte have been undefeated in their last 5 away matches.
- ●Central Norte have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Central Norte failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 17 away matches.
- ●65% of Central Norte's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Central Norte have scored 57% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Central Norte have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
San TelmoLADeportivo Madryn1–4
Deportivo Madryn1–4DHDefensores De Belgrano0–0
Defensores De Belgrano0–0LACiudad de Bolívar0–1
Ciudad de Bolívar0–1WHAlmirante Brown3–2
Almirante Brown3–2WAAtletico Mitre2–0
Atletico Mitre2–0LHCA Estudiantes0–1
CA Estudiantes0–1–HCentral Norte31/10
Central Norte31/10Central NorteWAChaco For Ever2–1
Chaco For Ever2–1DHFerro Carril Oeste1–1
Ferro Carril Oeste1–1DHRacing Cordoba1–1
Racing Cordoba1–1DADeportivo Madryn0–0
Deportivo Madryn0–0LHDefensores De Belgrano0–1
Defensores De Belgrano0–1DACiudad de Bolívar0–0
Ciudad de Bolívar0–0–HAcassuso25/10
Acassuso25/10–ASan Telmo31/10
San Telmo31/10Top Scorers
San TelmoM. Batallini6 ⚽
J. Porto4 ⚽
J. Motroni4 ⚽
G. Paredes2 ⚽
F. Tisera2 ⚽
J. Gonzalez2 ⚽
Central NorteF. Borda4 ⚽
J. Mateo2 ⚽
F. Vedoya2 ⚽
E. Calderon2 ⚽
J. Lopez2 ⚽
M. Ribero2 ⚽
Cards Given
San TelmoR. Uriburu10 🟨
L. Pollacchi9 🟨
E. Britez8 🟨
G. Paredes7 🟨
E. Peralta7 🟨
J. Motroni6 🟨
Central NorteM. Villarreal9 🟨
M. Padilla9 🟨
G. Mancuso8 🟨
E. Calderon8 🟨
M. Rosales6 🟨
M. Ribero6 🟨