San Miguel vs Deportivo Madryn — Primera Nacional
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San Miguel and Deportivo Madryn meet in the Primera Nacional 2026 season on 31 October 2026. San Miguel have recorded 6 wins from 35 matches this season (17% win rate), averaging 0.77 goals scored and 1.26 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 49% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 34%; and clean sheets in 26% of games. Deportivo Madryn have won 42% of their 36 matches, with 1.42 goals scored and 0.92 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 36%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 0.96 for San Miguel and 1.05 for Deportivo Madryn. The models give San Miguel a 28% win probability, with a draw at 30% and an Deportivo Madryn win at 43%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 33% and BTTS at 40%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| San Miguel | Home | Away | Deportivo Madryn | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 63% | 71% | 56% | 69% | 83% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 14% | 18% | 11% | 50% | 61% | 39% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 17% | 22% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 37% | 29% | 44% | 31% | 17% | 44% |
Goals Conceded
| San Miguel | Home | Away | Deportivo Madryn | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 74% | 65% | 83% | 64% | 61% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 37% | 35% | 39% | 28% | 17% | 39% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 0% | 22% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 26% | 35% | 17% | 36% | 39% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| San Miguel | Deportivo Madryn | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 | 74% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 | 34% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 6% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 6% |
| BTTS | 49% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 3% | 22% |
| BTTS & Draw | 29% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 23% | 44% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| San Miguel | Deportivo Madryn | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 17% | 31% |
| Draw 1st Half | 51% | 56% |
| Loss 1st Half | 31% | 14% |
| Scored 1st Half | 23% | 42% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 37% | 31% |
| Win 2nd Half | 26% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 40% | 42% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 34% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 49% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 54% | 47% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 54% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 17% | 31% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 4 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 35 | 19 | 8 | 8 | +7 | 65 | |
| 1 | 35 | 16 | 15 | 4 | +18 | 63 | |
| 2 | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | +13 | 60 | |
| 2 | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | +16 | 60 | |
| 3 | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | +15 | 58 | |
| 3 | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | +9 | 58 | |
| 4 | 34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | +7 | 58 | |
| 4 | 35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | +20 | 57 | |
| 5 | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | +14 | 54 | |
| 5 | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | +6 | 52 | |
| 6 | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | +1 | 51 | |
| 6 | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | +11 | 51 | |
| 7 | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | +4 | 50 | |
| 7 | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | +4 | 48 | |
| 8 | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | +1 | 48 | |
| 8 | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | +7 | 48 | |
| 9 | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | +2 | 47 | |
| 9 | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 0 | 43 | |
| 10 | 35 | 11 | 13 | 11 | +2 | 46 | |
| 10 | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | +1 | 41 | |
| 11 | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | -6 | 45 | |
| 11 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | -10 | 40 | |
| 12 | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | +2 | 42 | |
| 12 | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | -8 | 39 | |
| 13 | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | -10 | 42 | |
| 13 | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | -7 | 38 | |
| 14 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | -11 | 40 | |
| 14 | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | -12 | 38 | |
| 15 | 34 | 7 | 16 | 11 | -8 | 37 | |
| 15 | 34 | 7 | 16 | 11 | -4 | 37 | |
| 16 | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | -9 | 36 | |
| 16 | 34 | 6 | 17 | 11 | -10 | 35 | |
| 17 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | -9 | 36 | |
| 17 | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | -10 | 33 | |
| 18 | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | -14 | 32 | |
| 18 | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | -32 | 26 |
Team Insights
- ●San Miguel have failed to win in their last 10 matches.
- ●San Miguel failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●San Miguel have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●San Miguel failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●San Miguel failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 away matches.
- ●San Miguel have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●San Miguel failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 17 away matches.
- ●Deportivo Madryn have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●63% of Deportivo Madryn's goals have been scored at home.