Atletico DE Rafaela vs Patronato — Primera Nacional
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Atletico DE Rafaela and Patronato meet in the Primera Nacional 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Atletico DE Rafaela have recorded 12 wins from 36 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 0.81 goals scored and 1.06 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 33% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 31%; and clean sheets in 44% of games. Patronato have won 21% of their 34 matches, with 0.85 goals scored and 0.97 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 32%, Over 2.5 at 24%, and clean sheets at 38%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.20 for Atletico DE Rafaela and 0.58 for Patronato. The models give Atletico DE Rafaela a 50% win probability, with a draw at 30% and an Patronato win at 20%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 27% and BTTS at 31%.
Season Statistics
Atletico DE Rafaela—
Patronato11º
Position
15º
1.32
PPG
1.09
35%
Win %
21%
0.82
Goals / game
0.85
1.00
Conceded / game
0.97
33%
BTTS %
32%
44%
Clean sheet %
38%
31%
Over 2.5 %
24%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Atletico DE Rafaela
Home (17)
—
Patronato
Away (17)
2.12
PPG
0.71
65%
Win %
6%
1.29
Goals / game
0.41
0.71
Conceded / game
1.06
35%
BTTS %
29%
65%
Clean sheet %
29%
35%
Over 2.5 %
18%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Atletico DE | Home | Away | Patronato | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 58% | 82% | 37% | 50% | 65% | 35% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 11% | 24% | 0% | 26% | 47% | 6% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 6% | 12% | 0% | 9% | 18% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 42% | 18% | 63% | 50% | 35% | 65% |
Goals Conceded
| Atletico DE | Home | Away | Patronato | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 56% | 35% | 74% | 62% | 53% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 36% | 24% | 47% | 24% | 24% | 24% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 12% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% |
| Clean Sheets | 44% | 65% | 26% | 38% | 47% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Atletico DE | Patronato | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 81% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 | 50% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 | 31% | 24% |
| Over 3.5 | 14% | 9% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 6% |
| BTTS | 33% | 32% |
| BTTS & Win | 8% | 3% |
| BTTS & Draw | 8% | 26% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 25% | 15% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 9% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Atletico DE | Patronato | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 17% | 32% |
| Draw 1st Half | 53% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 31% | 18% |
| Scored 1st Half | 28% | 38% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 42% | 26% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 18% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 42% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 44% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 39% | 29% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 44% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 58% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 14% | 18% |
Recent Venue Form
Atletico DE (H)W
Quilmes1–0
Quilmes1–0L
Atlanta2–3
Atlanta2–3W
San Martin Tucuman4–2
San Martin Tucuman4–2W
Tristan Suarez2–1
Tristan Suarez2–1D
Defensores De Belgrano0–0
Defensores De Belgrano0–0W
Chacarita Juniors1–0
Chacarita Juniors1–0Patronato (A)LTristan Suarez0–1
Tristan Suarez0–1LChacarita Juniors0–1
Chacarita Juniors0–1D
Nueva Chicago1–1
Nueva Chicago1–1D
Deportivo Maipu0–0
Deportivo Maipu0–0L
Colon Santa Fe0–3
Colon Santa Fe0–3D
Colegiales2–2
Colegiales2–2Head to Head · 2 matches
1
Atletico DE
50%
1
Draws
50%
0
Patronato
0%
50%
Over 1.5
1/2
50%
Over 2.5
1/2
0%
Over 3.5
0/2
0%
BTTS
0/2
14/06/26Atletico DE Rafaela
Patronato
0–0Atletico DE Rafaela17/12/16Patronato
Atletico DE Rafaela
3–0Patronato| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ferro Carril Oeste | 35 | 19 | 8 | 8 | +7 | 65 |
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 35 | 16 | 15 | 4 | +18 | 63 |
| 2 |  Temperley | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | +13 | 60 |
| 2 |  Godoy Cruz | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | +16 | 60 |
| 3 |  Deportivo Moron | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | +15 | 58 |
| 3 |  Gimnasia Jujuy | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | +9 | 58 |
| 4 | Atlanta | 34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | +7 | 58 |
| 4 |  Deportivo Madryn | 35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | +20 | 57 |
| 5 | Colon Santa Fe | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | +14 | 54 |
| 5 |  Gimnasia Y Tiro | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | +6 | 52 |
| 6 |  Ciudad de Bolívar | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | +1 | 51 |
| 6 |  Midland | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | +11 | 51 |
| 7 | Colegiales | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | +4 | 50 |
| 7 |  Almirante Brown | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | +4 | 48 |
| 8 |  CA Estudiantes | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | +1 | 48 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | +7 | 48 |
| 9 |  San Martin S.J. | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | +2 | 47 |
| 9 |  Chaco For Ever | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 0 | 43 |
| 10 | San Martin Tucuman | 35 | 11 | 13 | 11 | +2 | 46 |
| 10 |  Los Andes | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | +1 | 41 |
| 11 | Atletico DE Rafaela | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | -6 | 45 |
| 11 |  Racing Cordoba | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | -10 | 40 |
| 12 | Quilmes | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | +2 | 42 |
| 12 |  Atletico Mitre | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | -8 | 39 |
| 13 |  Almagro | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | -10 | 42 |
| 13 | Defensores De Belgrano | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | -7 | 38 |
| 14 |  Agropecuario | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | -11 | 40 |
| 14 |  San Telmo | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | -12 | 38 |
| 15 |  Central Norte | 34 | 7 | 16 | 11 | -8 | 37 |
| 15 | Patronato | 34 | 7 | 16 | 11 | -4 | 37 |
| 16 | Chacarita Juniors | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | -9 | 36 |
| 16 |  All Boys | 34 | 6 | 17 | 11 | -10 | 35 |
| 17 | Nueva Chicago | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | -9 | 36 |
| 17 |  Acassuso | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | -10 | 33 |
| 18 |  San Miguel | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | -14 | 32 |
| 18 |  Club Atlético Güemes | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | -32 | 26 |
Team Insights
Atletico DE- ●Atletico DE Rafaela have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Atletico DE Rafaela failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Atletico DE Rafaela have kept a clean sheet in 11 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Atletico DE Rafaela failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 18 away matches.
- ●76% of Atletico DE Rafaela's goals have been scored at home.
- ●66% of Atletico DE Rafaela's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●78% of Atletico DE Rafaela's points have been earned at home.
Patronato- ●Patronato have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Patronato have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Patronato have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Patronato have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Patronato failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 17 away matches.
- ●76% of Patronato's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Patronato have scored 59% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Atletico DEDAColegiales1–1
Colegiales1–1WHQuilmes1–0
Quilmes1–0LAMidland0–4
Midland0–4LHAtlanta2–3
Atlanta2–3LAGimnasia Y Tiro0–1
Gimnasia Y Tiro0–1WHSan Martin Tucuman4–2
San Martin Tucuman4–2–HPatronato31/10
Patronato31/10PatronatoLATristan Suarez0–1
Tristan Suarez0–1WHClub Atlético Güemes2–0
Club Atlético Güemes2–0LAChacarita Juniors0–1
Chacarita Juniors0–1WHSan Martin S.J.3–0
San Martin S.J.3–0DANueva Chicago1–1
Nueva Chicago1–1DHTemperley0–0
Temperley0–0–HAgropecuario25/10
Agropecuario25/10–AAtletico DE Rafaela31/10
Atletico DE Rafaela31/10Top Scorers
Atletico DEM. Moreno7 ⚽
L. Albertengo4 ⚽
A. Obando2 ⚽
I. Protti2 ⚽
J. Bonifacio2 ⚽
M. Quiroga2 ⚽
PatronatoR. Reynaga5 ⚽
W. Rueda5 ⚽
H. Rivero3 ⚽
D. Diaz2 ⚽
A. Miro2 ⚽
B. Cortes2 ⚽
Cards Given
Atletico DEM. Moreno10 🟨
L. Flores9 🟨
F. Ponce9 🟨
J. Capurro8 🟨
A. Solveyra7 🟨
A. Obando7 🟨
PatronatoS. Piccioni10 🟨
J. Salas9 🟨
F. Meritello9 🟨
F. Bravo9 🟨
W. Rueda8 🟨
B. Cortes5 🟨