Patronato vs Agropecuario — Primera Nacional
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Patronato and Agropecuario meet in the Primera Nacional 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Patronato have recorded 7 wins from 34 matches this season (21% win rate), averaging 0.85 goals scored and 0.97 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 32% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 24%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. Agropecuario have won 29% of their 35 matches, with 0.77 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 31%, Over 2.5 at 29%, and clean sheets at 37%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.40 for Patronato and 0.72 for Agropecuario. The models give Patronato a 49% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Agropecuario win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 36% and BTTS at 39%.
Season Statistics
Patronato—
Agropecuario15º
Position
14º
1.09
PPG
1.18
21%
Win %
29%
0.85
Goals / game
0.79
0.97
Conceded / game
1.12
32%
BTTS %
31%
38%
Clean sheet %
37%
24%
Over 2.5 %
29%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Patronato
Home (17)
—
Agropecuario
Away (17)
1.47
PPG
0.65
35%
Win %
12%
1.29
Goals / game
0.59
0.88
Conceded / game
1.53
35%
BTTS %
39%
47%
Clean sheet %
17%
29%
Over 2.5 %
28%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Patronato | Home | Away | Agropecuario | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 50% | 65% | 35% | 51% | 59% | 44% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 26% | 47% | 6% | 20% | 35% | 6% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 9% | 18% | 0% | 6% | 6% | 6% |
| Failed To Score | 50% | 35% | 65% | 49% | 41% | 56% |
Goals Conceded
| Patronato | Home | Away | Agropecuario | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 62% | 53% | 71% | 63% | 41% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 24% | 24% | 24% | 40% | 24% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 12% | 12% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 11% |
| Clean Sheets | 38% | 47% | 29% | 37% | 59% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Patronato | Agropecuario | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 79% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 | 59% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 | 24% | 29% |
| Over 3.5 | 9% | 6% |
| Over 4.5 | 6% | 6% |
| BTTS | 32% | 31% |
| BTTS & Win | 3% | 9% |
| BTTS & Draw | 26% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 15% | 20% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 9% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Patronato | Agropecuario | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 32% | 14% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 49% |
| Loss 1st Half | 18% | 37% |
| Scored 1st Half | 38% | 20% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 26% | 40% |
| Win 2nd Half | 18% | 31% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 34% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 44% | 34% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 29% | 46% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 53% | 40% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 56% | 54% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 18% | 11% |
Recent Venue Form
Patronato (H)W
Club Atlético Güemes2–0
Club Atlético Güemes2–0W
San Martin S.J.3–0
San Martin S.J.3–0D
Temperley0–0
Temperley0–0L
Almagro0–1
Almagro0–1W
Atlanta2–0
Atlanta2–0D
Gimnasia Jujuy3–3
Gimnasia Jujuy3–3Agropecuario (A)W
Quilmes1–0
Quilmes1–0LAtlanta0–1
Atlanta0–1L
San Martin Tucuman0–3
San Martin Tucuman0–3DGimnasia Jujuy1–1
Gimnasia Jujuy1–1L
Tristan Suarez0–2
Tristan Suarez0–2L
Chacarita Juniors1–2
Chacarita Juniors1–2Head to Head · 5 matches
1
Patronato
20%
2
Draws
40%
2
Agropecuario
40%
80%
Over 1.5
4/5
40%
Over 2.5
2/5
20%
Over 3.5
1/5
60%
BTTS
3/5
07/06/26Patronato
Agropecuario
1–1Patronato23/06/24Agropecuario
Patronato
4–0Agropecuario02/02/24Patronato
Agropecuario
1–0Patronato16/10/23Agropecuario
Patronato
1–1Agropecuario03/06/23Patronato
Agropecuario
2–1Patronato| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ferro Carril Oeste | 35 | 19 | 8 | 8 | +7 | 65 |
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 35 | 16 | 15 | 4 | +18 | 63 |
| 2 | Temperley | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | +13 | 60 |
| 2 |  Godoy Cruz | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | +16 | 60 |
| 3 |  Deportivo Moron | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | +15 | 58 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | +9 | 58 |
| 4 | Atlanta | 34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | +7 | 58 |
| 4 |  Deportivo Madryn | 35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | +20 | 57 |
| 5 |  Colon Santa Fe | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | +14 | 54 |
| 5 |  Gimnasia Y Tiro | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | +6 | 52 |
| 6 |  Ciudad de Bolívar | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | +1 | 51 |
| 6 |  Midland | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | +11 | 51 |
| 7 |  Colegiales | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | +4 | 50 |
| 7 |  Almirante Brown | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | +4 | 48 |
| 8 |  CA Estudiantes | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | +1 | 48 |
| 8 |  Deportivo Maipu | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | +7 | 48 |
| 9 | San Martin S.J. | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | +2 | 47 |
| 9 |  Chaco For Ever | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 0 | 43 |
| 10 | San Martin Tucuman | 35 | 11 | 13 | 11 | +2 | 46 |
| 10 |  Los Andes | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | +1 | 41 |
| 11 |  Atletico DE Rafaela | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | -6 | 45 |
| 11 |  Racing Cordoba | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | -10 | 40 |
| 12 | Quilmes | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | +2 | 42 |
| 12 |  Atletico Mitre | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | -8 | 39 |
| 13 | Almagro | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | -10 | 42 |
| 13 |  Defensores De Belgrano | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | -7 | 38 |
| 14 | Agropecuario | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | -11 | 40 |
| 14 |  San Telmo | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | -12 | 38 |
| 15 |  Central Norte | 34 | 7 | 16 | 11 | -8 | 37 |
| 15 | Patronato | 34 | 7 | 16 | 11 | -4 | 37 |
| 16 | Chacarita Juniors | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | -9 | 36 |
| 16 |  All Boys | 34 | 6 | 17 | 11 | -10 | 35 |
| 17 |  Nueva Chicago | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | -9 | 36 |
| 17 |  Acassuso | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | -10 | 33 |
| 18 |  San Miguel | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | -14 | 32 |
| 18 | Club Atlético Güemes | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | -32 | 26 |
Team Insights
Patronato- ●Patronato have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Patronato have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Patronato have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Patronato have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Patronato failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 17 away matches.
- ●76% of Patronato's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Patronato have scored 59% of their goals in the first half.
Agropecuario- ●Agropecuario have kept a clean sheet in 10 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Agropecuario failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 17 away matches.
- ●63% of Agropecuario's goals have been scored at home.
- ●68% of Agropecuario's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
PatronatoLATristan Suarez0–1
Tristan Suarez0–1WHClub Atlético Güemes2–0
Club Atlético Güemes2–0LAChacarita Juniors0–1
Chacarita Juniors0–1WHSan Martin S.J.3–0
San Martin S.J.3–0DANueva Chicago1–1
Nueva Chicago1–1DHTemperley0–0
Temperley0–0–HAgropecuario25/10
Agropecuario25/10–AAtletico DE Rafaela31/10
Atletico DE Rafaela31/10AgropecuarioLHColegiales0–3
Colegiales0–3WAQuilmes1–0
Quilmes1–0DHMidland0–0
Midland0–0LAAtlanta0–1
Atlanta0–1WHGimnasia Y Tiro1–0
Gimnasia Y Tiro1–0LASan Martin Tucuman0–3
San Martin Tucuman0–3–APatronato25/10
Patronato25/10–HAlmagro31/10
Almagro31/10Top Scorers
PatronatoR. Reynaga5 ⚽
W. Rueda5 ⚽
H. Rivero3 ⚽
D. Diaz2 ⚽
A. Miro2 ⚽
B. Cortes2 ⚽
AgropecuarioB. Blando6 ⚽
A. Gagliardi5 ⚽
J. Vega5 ⚽
T. Lecanda2 ⚽
D. Vasquez2 ⚽
J. Valdez2 ⚽
Cards Given
PatronatoS. Piccioni10 🟨
J. Salas9 🟨
F. Meritello9 🟨
F. Bravo9 🟨
W. Rueda8 🟨
B. Cortes5 🟨
AgropecuarioC. Auzqui10 🟨
B. Blando8 🟨
R. Castro6 🟨
B. Aranda6 🟨
A. Aguirre6 🟨
J. Valdez4 🟨