Midland vs Gimnasia Y Tiro — Primera Nacional
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Midland and Gimnasia Y Tiro meet in the Primera Nacional 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Midland have recorded 15 wins from 37 matches this season (41% win rate), averaging 1.22 goals scored and 0.89 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 43% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 32%; and clean sheets in 41% of games. Gimnasia Y Tiro have won 39% of their 36 matches, with 1.03 goals scored and 0.92 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 31%, and clean sheets at 36%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.30 for Midland and 0.69 for Gimnasia Y Tiro. The models give Midland a 47% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Gimnasia Y Tiro win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 32% and BTTS at 37%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Midland | Home | Away | Gimnasia Y | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 76% | 82% | 70% | 67% | 82% | 53% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 41% | 35% | 31% | 29% | 32% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 18% | 30% | 33% | 18% | 47% |
Goals Conceded
| Midland | Home | Away | Gimnasia Y | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 59% | 35% | 80% | 64% | 47% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 22% | 6% | 35% | 19% | 6% | 32% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 0% | 15% | 8% | 6% | 11% |
| Clean Sheets | 41% | 65% | 20% | 36% | 53% | 21% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Midland | Gimnasia Y | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 | 65% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 | 32% | 31% |
| Over 3.5 | 16% | 17% |
| Over 4.5 | 5% | 3% |
| BTTS | 43% | 44% |
| BTTS & Win | 8% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 22% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 27% | 31% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Midland | Gimnasia Y | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 43% | 28% |
| Draw 1st Half | 35% | 53% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 19% |
| Scored 1st Half | 49% | 42% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 27% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 43% | 28% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 27% | 44% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 28% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 59% | 44% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 41% | 44% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 70% | 58% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 16% | 31% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 1 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 35 | 19 | 8 | 8 | +7 | 65 | |
| 1 | 35 | 16 | 15 | 4 | +18 | 63 | |
| 2 | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | +13 | 60 | |
| 2 | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | +16 | 60 | |
| 3 | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | +15 | 58 | |
| 3 | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | +9 | 58 | |
| 4 | 34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | +7 | 58 | |
| 4 | 35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | +20 | 57 | |
| 5 | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | +14 | 54 | |
| 5 | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | +6 | 52 | |
| 6 | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | +1 | 51 | |
| 6 | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | +11 | 51 | |
| 7 | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | +4 | 50 | |
| 7 | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | +4 | 48 | |
| 8 | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | +1 | 48 | |
| 8 | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | +7 | 48 | |
| 9 | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | +2 | 47 | |
| 9 | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 0 | 43 | |
| 10 | 35 | 11 | 13 | 11 | +2 | 46 | |
| 10 | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | +1 | 41 | |
| 11 | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | -6 | 45 | |
| 11 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | -10 | 40 | |
| 12 | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | +2 | 42 | |
| 12 | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | -8 | 39 | |
| 13 | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | -10 | 42 | |
| 13 | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | -7 | 38 | |
| 14 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | -11 | 40 | |
| 14 | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | -12 | 38 | |
| 15 | 34 | 7 | 16 | 11 | -8 | 37 | |
| 15 | 34 | 7 | 16 | 11 | -4 | 37 | |
| 16 | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | -9 | 36 | |
| 16 | 34 | 6 | 17 | 11 | -10 | 35 | |
| 17 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | -9 | 36 | |
| 17 | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | -10 | 33 | |
| 18 | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | -14 | 32 | |
| 18 | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | -32 | 26 |
Team Insights
- ●Midland have kept a clean sheet in 11 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Midland failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 17 away matches.
- ●76% of Midland's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Gimnasia Y Tiro have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Gimnasia Y Tiro failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Gimnasia Y Tiro have kept a clean sheet in 9 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Gimnasia Y Tiro failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 17 away matches.
- ●68% of Gimnasia Y Tiro's goals conceded were conceded away.