Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Moron — Primera Nacional
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Almirante Brown and Deportivo Moron meet in the Primera Nacional 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Almirante Brown have recorded 12 wins from 34 matches this season (35% win rate), averaging 0.82 goals scored and 0.71 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 29% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 21%; and clean sheets in 53% of games. Deportivo Moron have won 50% of their 36 matches, with 1.47 goals scored and 1.06 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 53%, Over 2.5 at 53%, and clean sheets at 31%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.13 for Almirante Brown and 0.79 for Deportivo Moron. The models give Almirante Brown a 41% win probability, with a draw at 31% and an Deportivo Moron win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 30% and BTTS at 37%.
Season Statistics
Almirante Brown—
Deportivo Moron7º
Position
3º
1.41
PPG
1.71
35%
Win %
50%
0.82
Goals / game
1.50
0.71
Conceded / game
1.06
29%
BTTS %
53%
53%
Clean sheet %
31%
21%
Over 2.5 %
53%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Almirante Brown
Home (17)
—
Deportivo Moron
Away (17)
1.88
PPG
1.12
53%
Win %
29%
0.94
Goals / game
1.18
0.47
Conceded / game
1.35
24%
BTTS %
56%
59%
Clean sheet %
17%
12%
Over 2.5 %
56%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Almirante Brown | Home | Away | Deportivo Moron | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 59% | 65% | 53% | 78% | 89% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 21% | 24% | 18% | 50% | 61% | 39% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 3% | 6% | 0% | 14% | 17% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 41% | 35% | 47% | 22% | 11% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Almirante Brown | Home | Away | Deportivo Moron | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 47% | 41% | 53% | 69% | 56% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 18% | 6% | 29% | 36% | 28% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 6% | 0% | 12% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 53% | 59% | 47% | 31% | 44% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Almirante Brown | Deportivo Moron | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 76% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 41% | 81% |
| Over 2.5 | 21% | 53% |
| Over 3.5 | 12% | 19% |
| Over 4.5 | 3% | 6% |
| BTTS | 29% | 53% |
| BTTS & Win | 6% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 12% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 21% | 47% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Almirante Brown | Deportivo Moron | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 26% | 44% |
| Draw 1st Half | 59% | 36% |
| Loss 1st Half | 15% | 19% |
| Scored 1st Half | 35% | 53% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 21% | 31% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 36% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 47% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 24% | 31% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 38% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 32% | 56% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 47% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 12% | 28% |
Recent Venue Form
Almirante Brown (H)D
San Miguel1–1
San Miguel1–1L
Acassuso0–1
Acassuso0–1D
Ferro Carril Oeste0–0
Ferro Carril Oeste0–0W
Deportivo Madryn1–0
Deportivo Madryn1–0W
Ciudad de Bolívar2–0
Ciudad de Bolívar2–0W
Racing Cordoba2–0
Racing Cordoba2–0Deportivo Moron (A)L
CA Estudiantes0–2
CA Estudiantes0–2L
Los Andes1–2
Los Andes1–2WRacing Cordoba2–1
Racing Cordoba2–1W
Colon Santa Fe2–1
Colon Santa Fe2–1D
Central Norte0–0
Central Norte0–0D
San Telmo2–2
San Telmo2–2Head to Head · 12 matches
1
Almirante Brown
8%
6
Draws
50%
5
Deportivo Moron
42%
67%
Over 1.5
8/12
25%
Over 2.5
3/12
17%
Over 3.5
2/12
58%
BTTS
7/12
07/06/26Almirante Brown
Deportivo Moron
1–0Almirante Brown14/06/25Almirante Brown
Deportivo Moron
2–0Almirante Brown09/02/25Deportivo Moron
Almirante Brown
1–1Deportivo Moron25/08/24Almirante Brown
Deportivo Moron
0–1Almirante Brown06/04/24Deportivo Moron
Almirante Brown
1–1Deportivo Moron27/08/23Deportivo Moron
Almirante Brown
0–1Deportivo Moron15/04/23Almirante Brown
Deportivo Moron
2–2Almirante Brown18/06/22Deportivo Moron
Almirante Brown
1–1Deportivo Moron21/06/17Almirante Brown
Deportivo Moron
0–0Almirante Brown06/12/16Deportivo Moron
Almirante Brown
1–1Deportivo Moron14/07/15Deportivo Moron
Almirante Brown
1–2Deportivo Moron04/03/15Almirante Brown
Deportivo Moron
4–3Almirante Brown| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro Carril Oeste | 35 | 19 | 8 | 8 | +7 | 65 |
| 1 |  Tristan Suarez | 35 | 16 | 15 | 4 | +18 | 63 |
| 2 |  Temperley | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | +13 | 60 |
| 2 |  Godoy Cruz | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | +16 | 60 |
| 3 | Deportivo Moron | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | +15 | 58 |
| 3 |  Gimnasia Jujuy | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | +9 | 58 |
| 4 |  Atlanta | 34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | +7 | 58 |
| 4 | Deportivo Madryn | 35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | +20 | 57 |
| 5 | Colon Santa Fe | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | +14 | 54 |
| 5 |  Gimnasia Y Tiro | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | +6 | 52 |
| 6 | Ciudad de Bolívar | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | +1 | 51 |
| 6 |  Midland | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | +11 | 51 |
| 7 |  Colegiales | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | +4 | 50 |
| 7 | Almirante Brown | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | +4 | 48 |
| 8 | CA Estudiantes | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | +1 | 48 |
| 8 |  Deportivo Maipu | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | +7 | 48 |
| 9 |  San Martin S.J. | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | +2 | 47 |
| 9 |  Chaco For Ever | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 0 | 43 |
| 10 |  San Martin Tucuman | 35 | 11 | 13 | 11 | +2 | 46 |
| 10 | Los Andes | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | +1 | 41 |
| 11 |  Atletico DE Rafaela | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | -6 | 45 |
| 11 | Racing Cordoba | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | -10 | 40 |
| 12 |  Quilmes | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | +2 | 42 |
| 12 |  Atletico Mitre | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | -8 | 39 |
| 13 |  Almagro | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | -10 | 42 |
| 13 |  Defensores De Belgrano | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | -7 | 38 |
| 14 |  Agropecuario | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | -11 | 40 |
| 14 | San Telmo | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | -12 | 38 |
| 15 | Central Norte | 34 | 7 | 16 | 11 | -8 | 37 |
| 15 |  Patronato | 34 | 7 | 16 | 11 | -4 | 37 |
| 16 |  Chacarita Juniors | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | -9 | 36 |
| 16 |  All Boys | 34 | 6 | 17 | 11 | -10 | 35 |
| 17 |  Nueva Chicago | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | -9 | 36 |
| 17 | Acassuso | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | -10 | 33 |
| 18 | San Miguel | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | -14 | 32 |
| 18 |  Club Atlético Güemes | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | -32 | 26 |
Team Insights
Almirante Brown- ●Almirante Brown have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
- ●Almirante Brown failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Almirante Brown have kept a clean sheet in 10 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Almirante Brown have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 17 away matches.
- ●67% of Almirante Brown's goals conceded were conceded away.
Deportivo Moron- ●Deportivo Moron failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Deportivo Moron have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Deportivo Moron have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Deportivo Moron have scored in 15 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Deportivo Moron failed to keep a clean sheet in 15 of their 17 away matches.
Season Schedule
Almirante BrownDAColon Santa Fe2–2
Colon Santa Fe2–2DHSan Miguel1–1
San Miguel1–1LASan Telmo2–3
San Telmo2–3LHAcassuso0–1
Acassuso0–1LAChaco For Ever0–1
Chaco For Ever0–1DHFerro Carril Oeste0–0
Ferro Carril Oeste0–0–HDeportivo Moron25/10
Deportivo Moron25/10–AGodoy Cruz31/10
Godoy Cruz31/10Deportivo MoronLHAtletico Mitre0–2
Atletico Mitre0–2LACA Estudiantes0–2
CA Estudiantes0–2WHAll Boys2–1
All Boys2–1LALos Andes1–2
Los Andes1–2LHGodoy Cruz1–2
Godoy Cruz1–2WARacing Cordoba2–1
Racing Cordoba2–1–AAlmirante Brown25/10
Almirante Brown25/10–HCiudad de Bolívar31/10
Ciudad de Bolívar31/10Top Scorers
Almirante BrownE. Martinez4 ⚽
M. Zanotti3 ⚽
S. Vera3 ⚽
M. Santiago2 ⚽
L. Pascual2 ⚽
J. Ibanez2 ⚽
Deportivo MoronF. Fagundez14 ⚽
F. Toloza8 ⚽
J. Olivares5 ⚽
M. Levato5 ⚽
E. Iniguez2 ⚽
D. Bulacio2 ⚽
Cards Given
Almirante BrownE. Cardozo12 🟨
G. Alegre Rojas9 🟨
R. Gonzalez8 🟨
M. Abreliano5 🟨
R. Fernandez4 🟨
M. Levi4 🟨
Deportivo MoronJ. Olivares10 🟨
M. Burruchaga10 🟨
F. Vazquez10 🟨
F. Fagundez9 🟨
B. Salvareschi8 🟨
E. Contreras7 🟨