Velez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo — Liga Profesional Argentina
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Velez Sarsfield and San Lorenzo meet in the Liga Profesional Argentina 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Velez Sarsfield have recorded 15 wins from 33 matches this season (45% win rate), averaging 1.27 goals scored and 0.82 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 52% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 27%; and clean sheets in 39% of games. San Lorenzo have won 29% of their 41 matches, with 0.83 goals scored and 0.83 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 32%, Over 2.5 at 17%, and clean sheets at 46%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.08 for Velez Sarsfield and 0.73 for San Lorenzo. The models give Velez Sarsfield a 47% win probability, with a draw at 31% and an San Lorenzo win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 27% and BTTS at 33%.
Season Statistics
Velez Sarsfield—
San Lorenzo6º
Position
14º
1.75
PPG
1.38
44%
Win %
31%
1.13
Goals / game
0.88
0.75
Conceded / game
0.88
52%
BTTS %
32%
39%
Clean sheet %
46%
27%
Over 2.5 %
17%
4.7
Avg corners
4.2
11.7
Avg shots
11.8
4.1
Avg shots on target
3.9
2.3
Avg yellow cards
2.4
11.3
Avg fouls
12.3
53.6%
Avg possession
50.7%
Home vs Away
Velez Sarsfield
Home (9)
—
San Lorenzo
Away (9)
1.67
PPG
1.22
44%
Win %
22%
1.00
Goals / game
0.67
0.78
Conceded / game
0.67
42%
BTTS %
37%
47%
Clean sheet %
37%
32%
Over 2.5 %
16%
4.7
Avg corners
4.2
11.7
Avg shots
11.8
4.1
Avg shots on target
3.9
2.3
Avg yellow cards
2.4
53.6%
Avg possession
50.7%
Goals Scored
| Velez Sarsfield | Home | Away | San Lorenzo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 82% | 79% | 86% | 59% | 68% | 47% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 37% | 29% | 17% | 23% | 11% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 9% | 11% | 7% | 2% | 5% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 18% | 21% | 14% | 41% | 32% | 53% |
Goals Conceded
| Velez Sarsfield | Home | Away | San Lorenzo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 61% | 53% | 71% | 54% | 45% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 18% | 16% | 21% | 17% | 23% | 11% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 3% | 0% | 7% | 7% | 9% | 5% |
| Clean Sheets | 39% | 47% | 29% | 46% | 55% | 37% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Velez Sarsfield | San Lorenzo | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 | 61% | 46% |
| Over 2.5 | 27% | 17% |
| Over 3.5 | 21% | 10% |
| Over 4.5 | 9% | 7% |
| BTTS | 52% | 32% |
| BTTS & Win | 15% | 2% |
| BTTS & Draw | 33% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 27% | 12% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Velez Sarsfield | San Lorenzo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 36% | 15% |
| Draw 1st Half | 48% | 59% |
| Loss 1st Half | 15% | 27% |
| Scored 1st Half | 48% | 22% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 34% |
| Win 2nd Half | 36% | 37% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 45% | 41% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 18% | 22% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 52% | 44% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 36% | 29% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 64% | 49% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 24% | 20% |
Recent Venue Form
Velez Sarsfield (H)W
Gimnasia M.1–0
Gimnasia M.1–0D
Platense2–2
Platense2–2W
Tigre3–2
Tigre3–2W
Estudiantes L.P.1–0
Estudiantes L.P.1–0D
Boca Juniors0–0
Boca Juniors0–0D
Defensa Y Justicia1–1
Defensa Y Justicia1–1San Lorenzo (A)WEstudiantes L.P.2–1
Estudiantes L.P.2–1LDefensa Y Justicia0–3
Defensa Y Justicia0–3D
Independiente1–1
Independiente1–1L
Instituto Cordoba0–1
Instituto Cordoba0–1D
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto0–0
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto0–0L
Central Cordoba de Santiago0–1
Central Cordoba de Santiago0–1Number of Corners
9.2
Corners / Match
29 games
League Avg
8.8
446 games
8.8
Corners / Match
36 games
| Match Corners | Velez Sarsfield | San Lorenzo | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 76% | 72% | 75% |
| Over 7 | 66% | 64% | 64% |
| Over 8 | 48% | 50% | 52% |
| Over 9 | 41% | 47% | 39% |
| Over 10 | 34% | 33% | 30% |
| Over 11 | 24% | 14% | 20% |
| Over 12 | 21% | 8% | 13% |
| Over 13 | 10% | 8% | 9% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Velez Sarsfield | San Lorenzo |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.7 | 4.2 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.6 | 4.6 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 72% | 72% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 69% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 45% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 83% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 72% | 61% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 38% | 42% |
Head to Head · 13 matches
3
Velez Sarsfield
23%
5
Draws
38%
5
San Lorenzo
38%
31%
Over 1.5
4/13
31%
Over 2.5
4/13
15%
Over 3.5
2/13
31%
BTTS
4/13
20/04/26Velez Sarsfield
San Lorenzo
0–0Velez Sarsfield07/08/25Velez Sarsfield
San Lorenzo
1–0Velez Sarsfield08/02/25San Lorenzo
Velez Sarsfield
0–0San Lorenzo14/09/24Velez Sarsfield
San Lorenzo
0–1Velez Sarsfield07/08/24Velez Sarsfield
San Lorenzo
1–3Velez Sarsfield29/04/23San Lorenzo
Velez Sarsfield
0–0San Lorenzo08/10/22Velez Sarsfield
San Lorenzo
1–0Velez Sarsfield07/11/21San Lorenzo
Velez Sarsfield
2–1San Lorenzo09/02/20Velez Sarsfield
San Lorenzo
1–0Velez Sarsfield13/11/18San Lorenzo
Velez Sarsfield
0–0San Lorenzo17/04/18San Lorenzo
Velez Sarsfield
2–2San Lorenzo17/09/16Velez Sarsfield
San Lorenzo
2–1Velez Sarsfield02/05/15Velez Sarsfield
San Lorenzo
1–0Velez Sarsfield| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boca Juniors | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 159 |
| 2 |  River Plate | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 152 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 144 |
| 4 |  Racing Club | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 144 |
| 5 |  Argentinos JRS | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 142 |
| 6 |  Rosario Central | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 141 |
| 7 | Estudiantes L.P. | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 136 |
| 8 | Independiente | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 134 |
| 9 |  Lanus | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 133 |
| 10 |  Talleres Cordoba | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 132 |
| 11 |  Huracan | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 131 |
| 12 |  Independ. Rivadavia | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 123 |
| 13 |  Union Santa Fe | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 120 |
| 14 |  Barracas Central | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 119 |
| 15 | San Lorenzo | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 118 |
| 16 | Defensa Y Justicia | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 115 |
| 17 |  Belgrano Cordoba | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 112 |
| 18 |  Gimnasia L.P. | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 112 |
| 19 |  Deportivo Riestra | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 111 |
| 20 | Instituto Cordoba | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 108 |
| 21 | Tigre | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 108 |
| 22 | Platense | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 108 |
| 22 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -8 | 19 |
| 24 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100 |
| 25 |  Atletico Tucuman | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 98 |
| 26 |  Newells Old Boys | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 97 |
| 27 |  Banfield | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 94 |
| 28 |  Sarmiento Junin | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 89 |
| 29 |  Aldosivi | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 41 |
| 30 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | -19 | 5 |
Team Insights
Velez Sarsfield- ●Velez Sarsfield have been undefeated in their last 7 home matches.
- ●Velez Sarsfield have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Velez Sarsfield failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Velez Sarsfield have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Velez Sarsfield failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Velez Sarsfield have scored in 12 of their 14 away matches.
San Lorenzo- ●San Lorenzo have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●San Lorenzo have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●San Lorenzo have kept a clean sheet in 9 of their 15 home matches.
- ●64% of San Lorenzo's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Velez SarsfieldWHGimnasia M.1–0
Gimnasia M.1–0LALanus0–2
Lanus0–2DHPlatense2–2
Platense2–2WHTigre3–2
Tigre3–2DANewells Old Boys1–1
Newells Old Boys1–1WHEstudiantes L.P.1–0
Estudiantes L.P.1–0–ACentral Cordoba de Santiago26/10
Central Cordoba de Santiago26/10–HSan Lorenzo31/10
San Lorenzo31/10–AUnion Santa Fe08/11
Union Santa Fe08/11San LorenzoDHNewells Old Boys0–0
Newells Old Boys0–0WAEstudiantes L.P.2–1
Estudiantes L.P.2–1WHDeportivo Riestra1–0
Deportivo Riestra1–0LADefensa Y Justicia0–3
Defensa Y Justicia0–3LHBoca Juniors0–2
Boca Juniors0–2DAIndependiente1–1
Independiente1–1–AVelez Sarsfield31/10
Velez Sarsfield31/10–HPlatense08/11
Platense08/11Top Scorers
Velez SarsfieldF. Monzon6 ⚽
M. Lanzini6 ⚽
Ronaldo Martinez4 ⚽
D. Valdes4 ⚽
J. Garcia3 ⚽
M. Pellegrini3 ⚽
San LorenzoR. Auzmendi9 ⚽
A. Cuello7 ⚽
L. Vietto3 ⚽
M. Reali2 ⚽
E. Herrera2 ⚽
G. Rodriguez2 ⚽
Cards Given
Velez SarsfieldLucas Robertone8 🟨
M. Pellegrini6 🟨
C. Baeza4 🟨
Florián Monzón3 🟨
Elías Gómez3 🟨
Claudio Baeza3 🟨
San LorenzoAlexis Cuello8 🟨
Nicolás Tripichio6 🟨
Ezequiel Herrera4 🟨
Jhohan Romaña4 🟨
M. De Ritis4 🟨
Facundo Gulli3 🟨