Sarmiento Junin vs Rosario Central — Liga Profesional Argentina
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Sarmiento Junin and Rosario Central meet in the Liga Profesional Argentina 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Sarmiento Junin have recorded 13 wins from 32 matches this season (41% win rate), averaging 1.13 goals scored and 1.34 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 44%; and clean sheets in 28% of games. Rosario Central have won 53% of their 43 matches, with 1.37 goals scored and 0.84 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 47%, Over 2.5 at 47%, and clean sheets at 40%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.18 for Sarmiento Junin and 1.03 for Rosario Central. The models give Sarmiento Junin a 35% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Rosario Central win at 37%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 38% and BTTS at 45%.
Season Statistics
Sarmiento Junin—
Rosario Central21º
Position
7º
1.19
PPG
1.75
38%
Win %
50%
0.81
Goals / game
1.25
1.25
Conceded / game
1.00
50%
BTTS %
47%
28%
Clean sheet %
40%
44%
Over 2.5 %
47%
3.7
Avg corners
5.4
10.6
Avg shots
14.0
3.7
Avg shots on target
5.0
2.9
Avg yellow cards
2.4
13.9
Avg fouls
11.3
43.2%
Avg possession
57.0%
Home vs Away
Sarmiento Junin
Home (8)
—
Rosario Central
Away (9)
2.00
PPG
1.56
63%
Win %
44%
1.13
Goals / game
1.11
0.75
Conceded / game
1.11
47%
BTTS %
45%
47%
Clean sheet %
32%
29%
Over 2.5 %
45%
3.7
Avg corners
5.4
10.6
Avg shots
14.0
3.7
Avg shots on target
5.0
2.9
Avg yellow cards
2.4
43.2%
Avg possession
57.0%
Goals Scored
| Sarmiento Junin | Home | Away | Rosario Central | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 88% | 60% | 75% | 77% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 34% | 35% | 33% | 43% | 50% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 3% | 0% | 7% | 14% | 14% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 12% | 40% | 25% | 23% | 27% |
Goals Conceded
| Sarmiento Junin | Home | Away | Rosario Central | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 72% | 53% | 93% | 59% | 50% | 68% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 24% | 53% | 18% | 9% | 27% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 19% | 12% | 27% | 5% | 0% | 9% |
| Clean Sheets | 28% | 47% | 7% | 41% | 50% | 32% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Sarmiento Junin | Rosario Central | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 66% |
| Over 2.5 | 44% | 45% |
| Over 3.5 | 22% | 16% |
| Over 4.5 | 9% | 5% |
| BTTS | 50% | 45% |
| BTTS & Win | 16% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 9% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 41% | 36% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 3% | 9% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Sarmiento Junin | Rosario Central | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 44% | 36% |
| Draw 1st Half | 31% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 45% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 34% | 34% |
| Win 2nd Half | 22% | 43% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 28% | 34% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 50% | 23% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 44% | 52% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 66% | 34% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 66% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 22% | 23% |
Recent Venue Form
Sarmiento Junin (H)D
Barracas Central1–1
Barracas Central1–1D
River Plate1–1
River Plate1–1D
Belgrano Cordoba1–1
Belgrano Cordoba1–1W
Estudiantes L.P.2–0
Estudiantes L.P.2–0W
Huracan2–0
Huracan2–0W
Independ. Rivadavia2–1
Independ. Rivadavia2–1Rosario Central (A)W
Atletico Tucuman3–2
Atletico Tucuman3–2D
Banfield1–1
Banfield1–1WEstudiantes L.P.3–1
Estudiantes L.P.3–1W
Tigre1–0
Tigre1–0D
Talleres Cordoba2–2
Talleres Cordoba2–2L
Corinthians0–1
Corinthians0–1Number of Corners
9.4
Corners / Match
30 games
League Avg
8.8
446 games
9.5
Corners / Match
40 games
| Match Corners | Sarmiento Junin | Rosario Central | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 83% | 80% | 75% |
| Over 7 | 67% | 73% | 64% |
| Over 8 | 53% | 65% | 52% |
| Over 9 | 43% | 53% | 39% |
| Over 10 | 30% | 48% | 30% |
| Over 11 | 27% | 30% | 20% |
| Over 12 | 20% | 23% | 13% |
| Over 13 | 13% | 13% | 9% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Sarmiento Junin | Rosario Central |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.7 | 5.4 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.7 | 4.1 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 70% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 40% | 70% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 27% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 87% | 70% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 77% | 45% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 53% | 40% |
Head to Head · 11 matches
3
Sarmiento Junin
27%
2
Draws
18%
6
Rosario Central
55%
45%
Over 1.5
5/11
36%
Over 2.5
4/11
27%
Over 3.5
3/11
45%
BTTS
5/11
19/04/26Sarmiento Junin
Rosario Central
2–1Sarmiento Junin24/10/25Rosario Central
Sarmiento Junin
0–1Rosario Central23/02/25Sarmiento Junin
Rosario Central
1–0Sarmiento Junin20/07/24Sarmiento Junin
Rosario Central
4–2Sarmiento Junin03/03/23Rosario Central
Sarmiento Junin
4–1Rosario Central08/07/22Sarmiento Junin
Rosario Central
1–0Sarmiento Junin06/08/21Rosario Central
Sarmiento Junin
1–0Rosario Central02/04/17Rosario Central
Sarmiento Junin
2–2Rosario Central01/08/15Sarmiento Junin
Rosario Central
1–1Sarmiento Junin09/02/13Rosario Central
Sarmiento Junin
0–1Rosario Central11/08/12Sarmiento Junin
Rosario Central
0–1Sarmiento Junin| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boca Juniors | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 159 |
| 2 | River Plate | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 152 |
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 144 |
| 4 |  Racing Club | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 144 |
| 5 |  Argentinos JRS | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 142 |
| 6 | Rosario Central | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 141 |
| 7 | Estudiantes L.P. | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 136 |
| 8 |  Independiente | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 134 |
| 9 |  Lanus | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 133 |
| 10 | Talleres Cordoba | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 132 |
| 11 | Huracan | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 131 |
| 12 | Independ. Rivadavia | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 123 |
| 13 |  Union Santa Fe | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 120 |
| 14 | Barracas Central | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 119 |
| 15 |  San Lorenzo | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 118 |
| 16 |  Defensa Y Justicia | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 115 |
| 17 | Belgrano Cordoba | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 112 |
| 18 |  Gimnasia L.P. | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 112 |
| 19 |  Deportivo Riestra | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 111 |
| 20 |  Instituto Cordoba | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 108 |
| 21 | Tigre | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 108 |
| 22 |  Platense | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 108 |
| 22 |  Gimnasia M. | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -8 | 19 |
| 24 |  Central Cordoba de Santiago | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100 |
| 25 | Atletico Tucuman | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 98 |
| 26 |  Newells Old Boys | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 97 |
| 27 | Banfield | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 94 |
| 28 | Sarmiento Junin | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 89 |
| 29 |  Aldosivi | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 41 |
| 30 |  Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | -19 | 5 |
Team Insights
Sarmiento Junin- ●Sarmiento Junin have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Sarmiento Junin failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Sarmiento Junin have been undefeated in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Sarmiento Junin have scored in each of their last 10 home matches.
- ●Sarmiento Junin have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Sarmiento Junin have scored in 14 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Sarmiento Junin failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Sarmiento Junin have lost 11 of their 15 away matches.
- ●68% of Sarmiento Junin's goals conceded were conceded away.
Rosario Central- ●Rosario Central have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Rosario Central have scored in each of their last 12 matches.
- ●Rosario Central have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Rosario Central have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Rosario Central have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Rosario Central have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Rosario Central have been undefeated in their last 6 away matches.
- ●Rosario Central have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Rosario Central have won 8 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Rosario Central have scored in 13 of their 16 away matches.
Season Schedule
Sarmiento JuninLAGimnasia L.P.0–2
Gimnasia L.P.0–2DHBarracas Central1–1
Barracas Central1–1DHRiver Plate1–1
River Plate1–1WAAldosivi3–1
Aldosivi3–1LARacing Club1–3
Racing Club1–3DHBelgrano Cordoba1–1
Belgrano Cordoba1–1–HRosario Central31/10
Rosario Central31/10–ATigre08/11
Tigre08/11Rosario CentralWHHuracan2–0
Huracan2–0WAAtletico Tucuman3–2
Atletico Tucuman3–2WHIndepend. Rivadavia5–0
Independ. Rivadavia5–0DABanfield1–1
Banfield1–1WHArgentinos JRS1–0
Argentinos JRS1–0WATigre1–0
Tigre1–0–ASarmiento Junin31/10
Sarmiento Junin31/10–HEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto08/11
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto08/11Top Scorers
Sarmiento JuninJ. Marabel10 ⚽
Junior Marabel4 ⚽
J. Mavilla3 ⚽
M. Martinez2 ⚽
Diego Churin2 ⚽
P. Magnin2 ⚽
Rosario CentralA. Di Maria11 ⚽
E. Copetti7 ⚽
A. Veliz6 ⚽
Ángel Di María4 ⚽
I. Ovando4 ⚽
Gaston Avila3 ⚽
Cards Given
Sarmiento JuninSantiago Salle8 🟨
Juan Manuel Insaurralde7 🟨
Julian Contrera5 🟨
J. Insaurralde5 🟨
Cristian Zabala5 🟨
Carlos Villalba3 🟨
Rosario CentralF. Ibarra10 🟨
Franco Ibarra8 🟨
Emanuel Coronel7 🟨
Agustín Sández6 🟨
A. Di Maria5 🟨
E. Coronel5 🟨