Boca Juniors vs River Plate — Liga Profesional Argentina
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Boca Juniors and River Plate meet in the Liga Profesional Argentina 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Boca Juniors have recorded 26 wins from 51 matches this season (51% win rate), averaging 1.45 goals scored and 0.76 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 45% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 39%; and clean sheets in 43% of games. River Plate have won 50% of their 46 matches, with 1.33 goals scored and 0.83 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 41%, Over 2.5 at 35%, and clean sheets at 41%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.06 for Boca Juniors and 0.94 for River Plate. The models give Boca Juniors a 43% win probability, with a draw at 30% and an River Plate win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 32% and BTTS at 40%.
Season Statistics
Boca Juniors—
River Plate3º
Position
4º
1.88
PPG
1.81
50%
Win %
56%
1.38
Goals / game
1.38
0.56
Conceded / game
0.75
45%
BTTS %
41%
43%
Clean sheet %
41%
39%
Over 2.5 %
35%
5.2
Avg corners
5.4
14.3
Avg shots
16.2
4.5
Avg shots on target
5.5
2.0
Avg yellow cards
2.2
9.6
Avg fouls
12.3
58.2%
Avg possession
64.5%
Home vs Away
Boca Juniors
Home (9)
—
River Plate
Away (8)
1.56
PPG
1.75
33%
Win %
50%
1.11
Goals / game
1.00
0.67
Conceded / game
0.50
38%
BTTS %
40%
54%
Clean sheet %
40%
27%
Over 2.5 %
30%
5.2
Avg corners
5.4
14.3
Avg shots
16.2
4.5
Avg shots on target
5.5
2.0
Avg yellow cards
2.2
58.2%
Avg possession
64.5%
Goals Scored
| Boca Juniors | Home | Away | River Plate | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 81% | 80% | 76% | 85% | 65% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 43% | 38% | 48% | 41% | 42% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 18% | 15% | 20% | 15% | 19% | 10% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 19% | 20% | 24% | 15% | 35% |
Goals Conceded
| Boca Juniors | Home | Away | River Plate | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 57% | 46% | 68% | 59% | 58% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 16% | 4% | 28% | 15% | 19% | 10% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 4% | 4% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 43% | 54% | 32% | 41% | 42% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Boca Juniors | River Plate | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 61% |
| Over 2.5 | 39% | 35% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 20% |
| Over 4.5 | 4% | 7% |
| BTTS | 45% | 41% |
| BTTS & Win | 16% | 15% |
| BTTS & Draw | 24% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 27% | 28% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 12% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Boca Juniors | River Plate | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 37% | 30% |
| Draw 1st Half | 47% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 16% | 26% |
| Scored 1st Half | 49% | 41% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 31% | 37% |
| Win 2nd Half | 37% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 47% | 35% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 16% | 15% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 65% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 33% | 30% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 65% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 20% |
Recent Venue Form
Boca Juniors (H)W
Talleres Cordoba2–1
Talleres Cordoba2–1L
Vasco DA Gama0–1
Vasco DA Gama0–1W
Union Santa Fe3–0
Union Santa Fe3–0W
Central Cordoba de Santiago3–1
Central Cordoba de Santiago3–1W
Sao Paulo1–0
Sao Paulo1–0W
Lanus1–0
Lanus1–0River Plate (A)W
Belgrano Cordoba3–0
Belgrano Cordoba3–0D
Sarmiento Junin1–1
Sarmiento Junin1–1W
Atletico Tucuman2–1
Atletico Tucuman2–1W
Banfield3–2
Banfield3–2D
Santa Fe0–0
Santa Fe0–0L
Tigre0–1
Tigre0–1Number of Corners
8.5
Corners / Match
43 games
League Avg
8.8
446 games
8.3
Corners / Match
41 games
| Match Corners | Boca Juniors | River Plate | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 67% | 71% | 75% |
| Over 7 | 63% | 63% | 64% |
| Over 8 | 53% | 46% | 52% |
| Over 9 | 40% | 32% | 39% |
| Over 10 | 26% | 27% | 30% |
| Over 11 | 19% | 20% | 20% |
| Over 12 | 12% | 10% | 13% |
| Over 13 | 5% | 7% | 9% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Boca Juniors | River Plate |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.2 | 5.4 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.3 | 2.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 67% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 60% | 68% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 51% | 61% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 60% | 49% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 44% | 39% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 28% | 24% |
Head to Head · 24 matches
10
Boca Juniors
42%
6
Draws
25%
8
River Plate
33%
63%
Over 1.5
15/24
29%
Over 2.5
7/24
17%
Over 3.5
4/24
42%
BTTS
10/24
19/04/26Boca Juniors
River Plate
0–1Boca Juniors09/11/25River Plate
Boca Juniors
2–0River Plate27/04/25Boca Juniors
River Plate
2–1Boca Juniors21/09/24River Plate
Boca Juniors
0–1River Plate21/04/24Boca Juniors
River Plate
2–3Boca Juniors25/02/24Boca Juniors
River Plate
1–1Boca Juniors01/10/23River Plate
Boca Juniors
0–2River Plate07/05/23Boca Juniors
River Plate
1–0Boca Juniors11/09/22River Plate
Boca Juniors
1–0River Plate20/03/22Boca Juniors
River Plate
0–1Boca Juniors03/10/21Boca Juniors
River Plate
2–1Boca Juniors04/08/21River Plate
Boca Juniors
0–0River Plate16/05/21River Plate
Boca Juniors
1–1River Plate14/03/21River Plate
Boca Juniors
1–1River Plate03/01/21River Plate
Boca Juniors
2–2River Plate23/10/19River Plate
Boca Juniors
1–0River Plate02/10/19Boca Juniors
River Plate
2–0Boca Juniors01/09/19Boca Juniors
River Plate
0–0Boca Juniors23/09/18River Plate
Boca Juniors
0–2River Plate05/11/17Boca Juniors
River Plate
1–2Boca Juniors| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boca Juniors | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 159 |
| 2 | River Plate | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 152 |
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 144 |
| 4 |  Racing Club | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 144 |
| 5 |  Argentinos JRS | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 142 |
| 6 |  Rosario Central | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 141 |
| 7 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 136 |
| 8 |  Independiente | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 134 |
| 9 | Lanus | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 133 |
| 10 | Talleres Cordoba | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 132 |
| 11 |  Huracan | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 131 |
| 12 |  Independ. Rivadavia | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 123 |
| 13 | Union Santa Fe | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 120 |
| 14 |  Barracas Central | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 119 |
| 15 |  San Lorenzo | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 118 |
| 16 |  Defensa Y Justicia | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 115 |
| 17 | Belgrano Cordoba | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 112 |
| 18 |  Gimnasia L.P. | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 112 |
| 19 |  Deportivo Riestra | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 111 |
| 20 |  Instituto Cordoba | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 108 |
| 21 | Tigre | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 108 |
| 22 |  Platense | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 108 |
| 22 |  Gimnasia M. | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -8 | 19 |
| 24 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100 |
| 25 | Atletico Tucuman | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 98 |
| 26 |  Newells Old Boys | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 97 |
| 27 | Banfield | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 94 |
| 28 | Sarmiento Junin | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 89 |
| 29 |  Aldosivi | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 41 |
| 30 |  Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | -19 | 5 |
Team Insights
Boca Juniors- ●Boca Juniors have been undefeated in their last 12 matches.
- ●Boca Juniors have scored in each of their last 12 matches.
- ●Boca Juniors have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Boca Juniors have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Boca Juniors have scored in each of their last 11 home matches.
- ●Boca Juniors have been undefeated in their last 6 away matches.
- ●Boca Juniors have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Boca Juniors have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Boca Juniors have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Boca Juniors have scored in 13 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Boca Juniors have won 6 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Boca Juniors have scored in 14 of their 15 away matches.
- ●65% of Boca Juniors's goals conceded were conceded away.
River Plate- ●River Plate have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●River Plate have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●River Plate have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●River Plate have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●River Plate have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●River Plate have won 7 of their 14 away matches.
- ●63% of River Plate's goals have been scored at home.
- ●66% of River Plate's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Season Schedule
Boca JuniorsWHTalleres Cordoba2–1
Talleres Cordoba2–1DAInstituto Cordoba2–2
Instituto Cordoba2–2WHUnion Santa Fe3–0
Union Santa Fe3–0WASan Lorenzo2–0
San Lorenzo2–0WHCentral Cordoba de Santiago3–1
Central Cordoba de Santiago3–1DAGimnasia M.2–2
Gimnasia M.2–2–AIndependiente25/10
Independiente25/10–HRiver Plate01/11
River Plate01/11–HDefensa Y Justicia08/11
Defensa Y Justicia08/11River PlateWABelgrano Cordoba3–0
Belgrano Cordoba3–0DASarmiento Junin1–1
Sarmiento Junin1–1WHEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto1–0
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto1–0LHHuracan1–2
Huracan1–2WAAtletico Tucuman2–1
Atletico Tucuman2–1WHIndepend. Rivadavia3–1
Independ. Rivadavia3–1–HRacing Club25/10
Racing Club25/10–ABoca Juniors01/11
Boca Juniors01/11–AAldosivi08/11
Aldosivi08/11Top Scorers
Boca JuniorsMiguel Merentiel16 ⚽
S. Ascacibar8 ⚽
A. Bareiro6 ⚽
A. Velasco5 ⚽
M. Gimenez4 ⚽
L. Blanco3 ⚽
River PlateS. Driussi11 ⚽
F. Colidio5 ⚽
G. Montiel5 ⚽
A. Correa4 ⚽
J. Quintero4 ⚽
T. Galvan4 ⚽
Cards Given
Boca JuniorsA. Costa10 🟨
Leandro Paredes8 🟨
Milton Delgado6 🟨
L. Paredes5 🟨
Adam Bareiro4 🟨
A. Bareiro4 🟨
River PlateMatías Viña9 🟨
Fausto Vera7 🟨
Lucas Martínez Quarta6 🟨
Marcos Acuña6 🟨
L. Rivero5 🟨
Lautaro Rivero5 🟨