Palmeiras vs Coritiba — Serie A
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Palmeiras and Coritiba meet in the Serie A 2026 season on 2 December 2026. Palmeiras have recorded 40 wins from 64 matches this season (63% win rate), averaging 1.66 goals scored and 0.72 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 47% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 45%; and clean sheets in 47% of games. Coritiba have won 33% of their 45 matches, with 1.20 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 47%, Over 2.5 at 44%, and clean sheets at 27%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.80 for Palmeiras and 0.96 for Coritiba. The models give Palmeiras a 61% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Coritiba win at 16%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
Palmeiras—
Coritiba2º
Position
11º
2.12
PPG
1.27
61%
Win %
33%
1.70
Goals / game
1.21
0.67
Conceded / game
1.52
47%
BTTS %
47%
47%
Clean sheet %
27%
45%
Over 2.5 %
44%
6.0
Avg corners
3.9
15.7
Avg shots
11.5
5.1
Avg shots on target
3.3
1.9
Avg yellow cards
1.7
12.6
Avg fouls
11.3
53.2%
Avg possession
41.4%
Home vs Away
Palmeiras
Home (16)
—
Coritiba
Away (16)
2.44
PPG
1.19
75%
Win %
31%
1.88
Goals / game
1.13
0.63
Conceded / game
1.81
45%
BTTS %
36%
48%
Clean sheet %
36%
45%
Over 2.5 %
45%
6.0
Avg corners
3.9
15.7
Avg shots
11.5
5.1
Avg shots on target
3.3
1.9
Avg yellow cards
1.7
53.2%
Avg possession
41.4%
Goals Scored
| Palmeiras | Home | Away | Coritiba | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 84% | 91% | 77% | 69% | 74% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 47% | 48% | 45% | 40% | 48% | 32% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 22% | 27% | 16% | 11% | 9% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 16% | 9% | 23% | 31% | 26% | 36% |
Goals Conceded
| Palmeiras | Home | Away | Coritiba | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 53% | 52% | 55% | 73% | 83% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 11% | 3% | 19% | 40% | 39% | 41% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 6% | 0% | 13% | 18% | 13% | 23% |
| Clean Sheets | 47% | 48% | 45% | 27% | 17% | 36% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Palmeiras | Coritiba | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 64% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 | 23% | 31% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 16% |
| BTTS | 47% | 47% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 27% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 34% | 36% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 9% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Palmeiras | Coritiba | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 52% | 22% |
| Draw 1st Half | 41% | 47% |
| Loss 1st Half | 8% | 31% |
| Scored 1st Half | 66% | 38% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 25% | 40% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 48% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 14% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 59% | 58% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 36% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 72% | 62% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 34% | 27% |
Recent Venue Form
Palmeiras (H)W
Vasco DA Gama1–0
Vasco DA Gama1–0W
RB Bragantino2–0
RB Bragantino2–0L
Fluminense0–1
Fluminense0–1W
Corinthians4–1
Corinthians4–1W
Bahia1–0
Bahia1–0W
Sao Paulo2–0
Sao Paulo2–0Coritiba (A)L
Atletico-MG0–1
Atletico-MG0–1LFluminense0–4
Fluminense0–4LVasco DA Gama0–5
Vasco DA Gama0–5W
Remo3–2
Remo3–2DSao Paulo1–1
Sao Paulo1–1DRB Bragantino0–0
RB Bragantino0–0Number of Corners
11.0
Corners / Match
64 games
League Avg
10.4
328 games
10.4
Corners / Match
34 games
| Match Corners | Palmeiras | Coritiba | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 88% | 79% | 85% |
| Over 7 | 78% | 74% | 77% |
| Over 8 | 72% | 74% | 69% |
| Over 9 | 66% | 68% | 57% |
| Over 10 | 56% | 53% | 44% |
| Over 11 | 45% | 35% | 35% |
| Over 12 | 38% | 26% | 28% |
| Over 13 | 28% | 21% | 21% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Palmeiras | Coritiba |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.0 | 3.9 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.1 | 6.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 83% | 76% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 78% | 56% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 66% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 78% | 91% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 59% | 79% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 48% | 74% |
Head to Head · 19 matches
8
Palmeiras
42%
3
Draws
16%
8
Coritiba
42%
74%
Over 1.5
14/19
37%
Over 2.5
7/19
26%
Over 3.5
5/19
42%
BTTS
8/19
22/07/26Palmeiras
Coritiba
1–3Palmeiras22/10/23Palmeiras
Coritiba
0–2Palmeiras04/06/23Coritiba
Palmeiras
3–1Coritiba06/10/22Coritiba
Palmeiras
4–0Coritiba12/06/22Palmeiras
Coritiba
0–2Palmeiras17/02/21Palmeiras
Coritiba
1–0Palmeiras14/10/20Coritiba
Palmeiras
1–3Coritiba18/09/17Coritiba
Palmeiras
1–0Coritiba07/06/17Palmeiras
Coritiba
1–0Palmeiras24/09/16Coritiba
Palmeiras
2–1Coritiba16/06/16Palmeiras
Coritiba
2–2Palmeiras29/11/15Coritiba
Palmeiras
0–2Coritiba12/08/15Palmeiras
Coritiba
2–1Palmeiras23/11/14Palmeiras
Coritiba
2–0Palmeiras24/08/14Coritiba
Palmeiras
1–0Coritiba12/10/12Coritiba
Palmeiras
0–1Coritiba20/07/12Palmeiras
Coritiba
1–1Palmeiras06/11/11Coritiba
Palmeiras
0–2Coritiba04/08/11Palmeiras
Coritiba
1–1Palmeiras| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | +40 | 73 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 33 | 20 | 10 | 3 | +34 | 70 |
| 3 |  Cruzeiro | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | +6 | 57 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | +10 | 54 |
| 5 |  Atletico Paranaense | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | +10 | 54 |
| 6 | Bahia | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | +6 | 53 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | +5 | 50 |
| 8 |  Santos | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | +2 | 47 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | +4 | 44 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 0 | 43 |
| 11 | Coritiba | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | -10 | 42 |
| 12 |  Botafogo | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | -8 | 39 |
| 13 | Vasco DA Gama | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -9 | 38 |
| 14 |  Vitoria | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | -13 | 38 |
| 15 |  Gremio | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | -7 | 37 |
| 16 |  Mirassol | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | -10 | 37 |
| 17 | Corinthians | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 36 |
| 18 |  Internacional | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | -5 | 35 |
| 19 | Remo | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -15 | 29 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 32 | 4 | 9 | 19 | -34 | 21 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense B | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | -22 | 10 |
Team Insights
Palmeiras- ●Palmeiras have been undefeated in their last 10 matches.
- ●Palmeiras have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Palmeiras have won their last 5 home matches.
- ●Palmeiras have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Palmeiras have been undefeated in their last 5 away matches.
- ●Palmeiras have kept a clean sheet in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Palmeiras have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Palmeiras have scored in 15 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Palmeiras have kept a clean sheet in 9 of their 17 away matches.
- ●Palmeiras have won 8 of their 17 away matches.
- ●Palmeiras have scored in 13 of their 17 away matches.
Coritiba- ●Coritiba have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Coritiba failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Coritiba failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Coritiba failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 16 away matches.
Season Schedule
PalmeirasDASantos0–0
Santos0–0WHRB Bragantino2–0
RB Bragantino2–0WAAtletico Paranaense2–0
Atletico Paranaense2–0WHCorinthians4–1
Corinthians4–1WHBahia1–0
Bahia1–0DAGremio0–0
Gremio0–0–HRemo05/11
Remo05/11–ACruzeiro18/11
Cruzeiro18/11–HFlamengo21/11
Flamengo21/11CoritibaWHVitoria2–0
Vitoria2–0LHGremio0–1
Gremio0–1LAAtletico-MG0–1
Atletico-MG0–1DHBotafogo1–1
Botafogo1–1LAFluminense0–4
Fluminense0–4LAVasco DA Gama0–5
Vasco DA Gama0–5–HSantos18/11
Santos18/11–ABahia21/11
Bahia21/11–HFlamengo29/11
Flamengo29/11Top Scorers
PalmeirasJ. Lopez21 ⚽
Mauricio11 ⚽
Vitor Roque10 ⚽
R. Sosa9 ⚽
J. Arias8 ⚽
Allan Elias6 ⚽
CoritibaPedro Rocha12 ⚽
Breno Lopes8 ⚽
J. Lavega5 ⚽
Tiago Coser4 ⚽
Rodrigo Moledo3 ⚽
Lucas Ronier3 ⚽
Cards Given
PalmeirasAndreas Pereira9 🟨
Marlon Freitas8 🟨
Murilo7 🟨
Agustin Giay7 🟨
Alexander Barboza7 🟨
Arthur Gabriel6 🟨
CoritibaThiago Santos11 🟨
Vini Paulista6 🟨
Tiago Coser5 🟨
Bruno Melo5 🟨
Breno Lopes4 🟨
Lucas Ronier4 🟨