Gremio vs Mirassol — Serie A
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Gremio and Mirassol meet in the Serie A 2026 season on 2 December 2026. Gremio have recorded 24 wins from 62 matches this season (39% win rate), averaging 1.39 goals scored and 1.06 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 42%; and clean sheets in 35% of games. Mirassol have won 31% of their 54 matches, with 1.17 goals scored and 1.19 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 41%, and clean sheets at 20%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.64 for Gremio and 1.01 for Mirassol. The models give Gremio a 48% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Mirassol win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
Gremio—
Mirassol16º
Position
12º
1.12
PPG
1.18
27%
Win %
29%
1.12
Goals / game
1.15
1.33
Conceded / game
1.41
50%
BTTS %
54%
35%
Clean sheet %
20%
42%
Over 2.5 %
41%
4.3
Avg corners
4.9
12.4
Avg shots
13.0
4.0
Avg shots on target
4.1
2.5
Avg yellow cards
2.5
12.9
Avg fouls
11.8
50.5%
Avg possession
50.9%
Home vs Away
Gremio
Home (17)
—
Mirassol
Away (17)
1.71
PPG
0.76
47%
Win %
18%
1.59
Goals / game
0.88
1.24
Conceded / game
1.53
52%
BTTS %
44%
39%
Clean sheet %
11%
42%
Over 2.5 %
37%
4.3
Avg corners
4.9
12.4
Avg shots
13.0
4.0
Avg shots on target
4.1
2.5
Avg yellow cards
2.5
50.5%
Avg possession
50.9%
Goals Scored
| Gremio | Home | Away | Mirassol | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 76% | 85% | 66% | 71% | 89% | 54% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 39% | 48% | 28% | 38% | 48% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 16% | 21% | 10% | 5% | 4% | 7% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 15% | 34% | 29% | 11% | 46% |
Goals Conceded
| Gremio | Home | Away | Mirassol | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 65% | 61% | 69% | 80% | 70% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 27% | 21% | 34% | 25% | 22% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 9% | 14% | 9% | 4% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 35% | 39% | 31% | 20% | 30% | 11% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Gremio | Mirassol | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 73% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 | 42% | 42% |
| Over 3.5 | 21% | 20% |
| Over 4.5 | 11% | 4% |
| BTTS | 50% | 55% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 16% |
| BTTS & Draw | 19% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 32% | 36% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Gremio | Mirassol | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 31% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 47% | 45% |
| Loss 1st Half | 23% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 45% | 51% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 39% | 44% |
| Win 2nd Half | 44% | 27% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 27% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 36% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 56% | 42% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 44% | 49% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 65% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 27% | 42% |
Recent Venue Form
Gremio (H)W
Atletico-MG2–0
Atletico-MG2–0W
Atletico Paranaense2–0
Atletico Paranaense2–0L
Cruzeiro2–4
Cruzeiro2–4D
Internacional1–1
Internacional1–1D
Palmeiras0–0
Palmeiras0–0L
Vasco DA Gama1–2
Vasco DA Gama1–2Mirassol (A)W
Chapecoense-sc2–1
Chapecoense-sc2–1L
Corinthians0–2
Corinthians0–2L
Bahia0–1
Bahia0–1D
RB Bragantino1–1
RB Bragantino1–1W
Uberlandia4–0
Uberlandia4–0W
Coritiba2–1
Coritiba2–1Number of Corners
9.8
Corners / Match
48 games
League Avg
10.4
329 games
10.0
Corners / Match
54 games
| Match Corners | Gremio | Mirassol | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 77% | 83% | 85% |
| Over 7 | 73% | 70% | 77% |
| Over 8 | 69% | 59% | 69% |
| Over 9 | 54% | 46% | 57% |
| Over 10 | 42% | 41% | 43% |
| Over 11 | 33% | 35% | 35% |
| Over 12 | 23% | 24% | 28% |
| Over 13 | 17% | 17% | 21% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Gremio | Mirassol |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.3 | 4.9 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.5 | 5.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 71% | 81% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 56% | 69% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 40% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 83% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 69% | 72% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 65% | 48% |
Head to Head · 6 matches
1
Gremio
17%
1
Draws
17%
4
Mirassol
67%
67%
Over 1.5
4/6
50%
Over 2.5
3/6
33%
Over 3.5
2/6
67%
BTTS
4/6
05/08/26Mirassol
Gremio
1–0Mirassol02/08/26Gremio
Mirassol
1–1Gremio17/07/26Gremio
Mirassol
2–1Gremio13/09/25Mirassol
Gremio
0–1Mirassol16/04/25Gremio
Mirassol
4–1Gremio02/03/22Gremio
Mirassol
3–2Gremio| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | +40 | 73 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 33 | 20 | 10 | 3 | +34 | 70 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | +6 | 57 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | +10 | 54 |
| 5 | Atletico Paranaense | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | +10 | 54 |
| 6 | Bahia | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | +6 | 53 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | +5 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | +5 | 47 |
| 9 |  Santos | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | +1 | 47 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 0 | 43 |
| 11 | Coritiba | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | -10 | 42 |
| 12 | Mirassol | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | -9 | 40 |
| 13 |  Botafogo | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | -8 | 39 |
| 14 | Vasco DA Gama | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -9 | 38 |
| 15 |  Vitoria | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | -13 | 38 |
| 16 | Gremio | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | -7 | 37 |
| 17 | Corinthians | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 36 |
| 18 | Internacional | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | -5 | 35 |
| 19 |  Remo | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -15 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | -35 | 21 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense B | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | -22 | 10 |
Team Insights
Gremio- ●Gremio have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Gremio have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Gremio have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Gremio failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Gremio failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Gremio have lost 10 of their 16 away matches.
- ●73% of Gremio's goals have been scored at home.
- ●78% of Gremio's points have been earned at home.
Mirassol- ●Mirassol have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Mirassol have scored in each of their last 12 home matches.
- ●Mirassol failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 17 away matches.
- ●Mirassol failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Mirassol have scored in 15 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Mirassol failed to keep a clean sheet in 17 of their 17 away matches.
- ●62% of Mirassol's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
GremioWHAtletico Paranaense2–0
Atletico Paranaense2–0WACoritiba1–0
Coritiba1–0LHCruzeiro2–4
Cruzeiro2–4DHInternacional1–1
Internacional1–1DARemo1–1
Remo1–1DHPalmeiras0–0
Palmeiras0–0–AFlamengo04/11
Flamengo04/11–HBahia19/11
Bahia19/11–ASantos24/11
Santos24/11MirassolWAChapecoense-sc2–1
Chapecoense-sc2–1LACorinthians0–2
Corinthians0–2DHSao Paulo1–1
Sao Paulo1–1WHInternacional2–0
Internacional2–0LABahia0–1
Bahia0–1DARB Bragantino1–1
RB Bragantino1–1–HAtletico-MG14/11
Atletico-MG14/11–AFluminense22/11
Fluminense22/11–HAtletico Paranaense29/11
Atletico Paranaense29/11Top Scorers
GremioCarlos Vinicius21 ⚽
F. Amuzu8 ⚽
C. Pavon5 ⚽
Carlos Vinícius4 ⚽
Gustavo Martins4 ⚽
M. Braithwaite4 ⚽
MirassolEduardo7 ⚽
Igor Formiga5 ⚽
Edson Carioca4 ⚽
Carlos Eduardo3 ⚽
Alesson3 ⚽
Bruno Santos3 ⚽
Cards Given
GremioWalter Kannemann13 🟨
Gustavo Martins10 🟨
Viery9 🟨
Carlos Vinicius7 🟨
E. Noriega7 🟨
Pedro Gabriel7 🟨
MirassolDenilson10 🟨
José Aldo10 🟨
Neto Moura9 🟨
Reinaldo8 🟨
Lucas Oliveira7 🟨
Alesson6 🟨