Brazil · Serie A · Regular Season - 38

Atletico Paranaense

5º · 1.64 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 33d 20h

–

Sao Paulo

10º · 1.30 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 34d 20h

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Atletico Paranaense and Sao Paulo meet in the Serie A 2026 season on 2 December 2026. Atletico Paranaense have recorded 21 wins from 49 matches this season (43% win rate), averaging 1.49 goals scored and 1.16 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 53% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 49%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Sao Paulo have won 40% of their 55 matches, with 1.20 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 40%, and clean sheets at 27%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.70 for Atletico Paranaense and 0.88 for Sao Paulo. The models give Atletico Paranaense a 57% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Sao Paulo win at 19%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 47% and BTTS at 48%.

Season Statistics

Atletico Paranaense

—

Sao Paulo

5º

Position

10º

1.64

PPG

1.30

45%

Win %

36%

1.52

Goals / game

1.18

1.21

Conceded / game

1.18

53%

BTTS %

56%

27%

Clean sheet %

27%

49%

Over 2.5 %

40%

5.2

Avg corners

6.5

12.8

Avg shots

12.8

4.8

Avg shots on target

3.9

2.3

Avg yellow cards

2.1

13.9

Avg fouls

13.2

49.4%

Avg possession

54.1%

Home vs Away

Atletico Paranaense

Home (16)

—

Sao Paulo

Away (17)

2.00

PPG

0.59

56%

Win %

12%

1.69

Goals / game

0.82

0.94

Conceded / game

1.53

43%

BTTS %

59%

39%

Clean sheet %

14%

39%

Over 2.5 %

41%

5.2

Avg corners

6.5

12.8

Avg shots

12.8

4.8

Avg shots on target

3.9

2.3

Avg yellow cards

2.1

49.4%

Avg possession

54.1%

Goals Scored

	Atletico Paranaense	Home	Away	Sao Paulo	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	71%	74%	69%	80%	96%	66%
Over 1.5 Scored	49%	61%	38%	35%	54%	17%
Over 2.5 Scored	18%	22%	15%	4%	8%	0%
Failed To Score	29%	26%	31%	20%	4%	34%

Goals Conceded

	Atletico Paranaense	Home	Away	Sao Paulo	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	73%	61%	85%	73%	58%	86%
Over 1.5 Conceded	29%	13%	42%	29%	15%	41%
Over 2.5 Conceded	12%	4%	19%	11%	4%	17%
Clean Sheets	27%	39%	15%	27%	42%	14%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Atletico Paranaense	Sao Paulo
Over 0.5	92%	96%
Over 1.5	76%	75%
Over 2.5	49%	40%
Over 3.5	29%	15%
Over 4.5	16%	7%
BTTS	53%	56%
BTTS & Win	24%	16%
BTTS & Draw	18%	20%
BTTS & Over 2.5	43%	38%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	6%	2%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Atletico Paranaense	Sao Paulo
Win 1st Half	35%	35%
Draw 1st Half	37%	44%
Loss 1st Half	29%	22%
Scored 1st Half	55%	45%
Conceded 1st Half	55%	31%
Win 2nd Half	33%	35%
Draw 2nd Half	43%	24%
Loss 2nd Half	24%	42%
Scored 2nd Half	51%	51%
Conceded 2nd Half	41%	58%
Over 0.5 HT	82%	65%
Over 1.5 HT	47%	20%

Recent Venue Form

Atletico Paranaense (H)

Palmeiras0–2

Atletico-MG2–2

Bahia2–1

Fluminense3–3

RB Bragantino1–1

Vitoria2–0

Sao Paulo (A)

Bahia2–3

Mirassol1–1

Cruzeiro0–2

Palmeiras0–2

Boca Juniors0–1

Chapecoense-sc0–1

Number of Corners

10.0

Corners / Match

37 games

League Avg

10.4

328 games

11.2

Corners / Match

54 games

Match Corners	Atletico Paranaense	Sao Paulo	League Avg
Over 6	84%	89%	85%
Over 7	81%	80%	77%
Over 8	68%	72%	69%
Over 9	57%	67%	57%
Over 10	38%	50%	44%
Over 11	30%	43%	35%
Over 12	24%	39%	28%
Over 13	16%	30%	21%

Team Corners

Team Corners	Atletico Paranaense	Sao Paulo
Corners Earned / Match	5.2	6.5
Corners Against / Match	4.8	4.7
Over 2.5 Corners For	76%	91%
Over 3.5 Corners For	62%	81%
Over 4.5 Corners For	57%	63%
Over 2.5 Corners Against	76%	78%
Over 3.5 Corners Against	59%	57%
Over 4.5 Corners Against	43%	46%

Head to Head · 33 matches

Atletico Paranaense

33%

Draws

27%

Sao Paulo

39%

61%

Over 1.5

20/33

48%

Over 2.5

16/33

12%

Over 3.5

4/33

55%

BTTS

18/33

23/07/26

Sao Paulo

1–2

Atletico Paranaense

06/08/25

Atletico Paranaense

1–0

Sao Paulo

31/07/25

Sao Paulo

2–1

Atletico Paranaense

10/11/24

Sao Paulo

2–1

Atletico Paranaense

04/07/24

Atletico Paranaense

1–2

Sao Paulo

29/10/23

Atletico Paranaense

1–1

Sao Paulo

21/06/23

Sao Paulo

2–1

Atletico Paranaense

31/07/22

Atletico Paranaense

1–0

Sao Paulo

10/04/22

Sao Paulo

4–0

Atletico Paranaense

25/11/21

Sao Paulo

0–0

Atletico Paranaense

07/08/21

Atletico Paranaense

1–2

Sao Paulo

17/01/21

Atletico Paranaense

1–1

Sao Paulo

27/08/20

Sao Paulo

1–0

Atletico Paranaense

10/11/19

Sao Paulo

0–1

Atletico Paranaense

21/08/19

Atletico Paranaense

0–1

Sao Paulo

20/10/18

Sao Paulo

0–0

Atletico Paranaense

09/06/18

Atletico Paranaense

0–1

Sao Paulo

19/04/18

Sao Paulo

2–2

Atletico Paranaense

05/04/18

Atletico Paranaense

2–1

Sao Paulo

15/10/17

Sao Paulo

2–1

Atletico Paranaense

Serie A

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	33	22	7	4	+40	73
2	Palmeiras	33	20	10	3	+34	70
3	Cruzeiro	33	17	6	10	+6	57
4	Fluminense	33	15	9	9	+10	54
5	Atletico Paranaense	33	15	9	9	+10	54
6	Bahia	33	14	11	8	+6	53
7	Atletico-MG	33	14	8	11	+5	50
8	Santos	33	12	11	10	+2	47
9	RB Bragantino	33	12	8	13	+4	44
10	Sao Paulo	33	12	7	14	0	43
11	Coritiba	33	11	9	13	-10	42
12	Botafogo	33	10	9	14	-8	39
13	Vasco DA Gama	32	10	8	14	-9	38
14	Vitoria	33	10	8	15	-13	38
15	Gremio	33	9	10	14	-7	37
16	Mirassol	33	9	10	14	-10	37
17	Corinthians	33	9	9	15	-6	36
18	Internacional	33	8	11	14	-5	35
19	Remo	33	6	11	16	-15	29
20	Chapecoense-sc	32	4	9	19	-34	21
20	Chapecoense B	20	1	7	12	-22	10

Team Insights

Atletico Paranaense

●Atletico Paranaense have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
●Atletico Paranaense failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 matches.
●Atletico Paranaense failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
●Atletico Paranaense failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
●Atletico Paranaense failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 16 home matches.
●Atletico Paranaense failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 17 away matches.
●Atletico Paranaense have won 6 of their 17 away matches.
●Atletico Paranaense have scored in 12 of their 17 away matches.
●Atletico Paranaense have conceded 57% of their goals in the first half.

Sao Paulo

●Sao Paulo have won their last 2 home matches.
●Sao Paulo have scored in each of their last 12 home matches.
●Sao Paulo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 15 away matches.
●Sao Paulo have scored in 15 of their 16 home matches.
●Sao Paulo failed to keep a clean sheet in 16 of their 17 away matches.
●Sao Paulo have lost 11 of their 17 away matches.
●64% of Sao Paulo's goals have been scored at home.
●67% of Sao Paulo's goals conceded were conceded away.
●77% of Sao Paulo's points have been earned at home.

Atletico Paranaense

LAGremio15º0–2

DAVitoria14º1–1

LHPalmeiras2º0–2

WAChapecoense-sc20º4–1

DHAtletico-MG7º2–2

WHBahia6º2–1

DACoritiba11º3–3

LACruzeiro3º1–3

DHFluminense4º3–3

WABotafogo12º3–2

Sao Paulo

LABahia6º2–3

DAMirassol16º1–1

WHVasco DA Gama13º1–0

WHVitoria14º2–1

LACruzeiro3º0–2

LHSantos8º1–2

WHInternacional18º1–0

DHBoca Juniors1–1

LAPalmeiras2º0–2

LABoca Juniors0–1

Season Schedule

Atletico Paranaense

Gremio0–2

Vitoria1–1

Palmeiras0–2

Chapecoense-sc4–1

Atletico-MG2–2

Bahia2–1

–H

Vasco DA Gama04/11

–A

Flamengo18/11

–H

Remo22/11

Sao Paulo

Bahia2–3

Mirassol1–1

Vasco DA Gama1–0

Vitoria2–1

Cruzeiro0–2

Santos1–2

–H

Corinthians05/11

–H

Fluminense20/11

–A

Botafogo23/11

Top Scorers

Atletico Paranaense

K. Viveros18 ⚽

S. Mendoza5 ⚽

Leozinho5 ⚽

Chiqueti5 ⚽

Joao Cruz4 ⚽

Bruninho4 ⚽

Sao Paulo

Jonathan Calleri16 ⚽

Luciano15 ⚽

Lucas Moura4 ⚽

Artur4 ⚽

D. Bobadilla4 ⚽

Ferreira4 ⚽

Cards Given

Atletico Paranaense

Arthur Dias9 🟨

Luiz Gustavo6 🟨

Gastón Benavídez5 🟨

Bruno Zapelli5 🟨

Diogo Riquelme4 🟨

F. Aguirre4 🟨

Sao Paulo

Jonathan Calleri11 🟨

Enzo Díaz10 🟨

Luciano10 🟨

Wendell7 🟨

Damián Bobadilla6 🟨

Alan Franco6 🟨

Atletico Paranaense vs Sao Paulo — Serie A

Unlock all Match Predictions

Season Statistics

Home vs Away

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

1st Half / 2nd Half

Recent Venue Form

Number of Corners

Team Corners

Head to Head · 33 matches

Team Insights

Season Schedule

Top Scorers

Cards Given