Fluminense vs Cruzeiro — Serie A
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Fluminense and Cruzeiro meet in the Serie A 2026 season on 29 November 2026. Fluminense have recorded 28 wins from 60 matches this season (47% win rate), averaging 1.47 goals scored and 1.08 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 63% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 28% of games. Cruzeiro have won 48% of their 62 matches, with 1.45 goals scored and 1.11 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 58%, Over 2.5 at 53%, and clean sheets at 35%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.82 for Fluminense and 1.31 for Cruzeiro. The models give Fluminense a 46% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Cruzeiro win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 60% and BTTS at 61%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Fluminense | Home | Away | Cruzeiro | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 82% | 91% | 71% | 85% | 88% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 40% | 56% | 21% | 40% | 44% | 37% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 18% | 22% | 14% | 13% | 19% | 7% |
| Failed To Score | 18% | 9% | 29% | 15% | 13% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Fluminense | Home | Away | Cruzeiro | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 72% | 69% | 75% | 65% | 53% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 30% | 25% | 36% | 31% | 16% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 7% | 3% | 11% | 11% | 6% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 28% | 31% | 25% | 35% | 47% | 23% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Fluminense | Cruzeiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 73% | 74% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 53% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 24% |
| Over 4.5 | 12% | 8% |
| BTTS | 63% | 58% |
| BTTS & Win | 28% | 21% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 16% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 48% | 47% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 2% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Fluminense | Cruzeiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 30% | 31% |
| Draw 1st Half | 48% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 43% | 48% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 38% | 42% |
| Win 2nd Half | 40% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 35% | 39% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 21% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 63% | 65% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 53% | 42% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 63% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 28% | 32% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Fluminense | Cruzeiro | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 71% | 76% | 85% |
| Over 7 | 62% | 72% | 77% |
| Over 8 | 53% | 65% | 68% |
| Over 9 | 36% | 52% | 57% |
| Over 10 | 24% | 39% | 42% |
| Over 11 | 17% | 28% | 34% |
| Over 12 | 12% | 26% | 27% |
| Over 13 | 7% | 15% | 21% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Fluminense | Cruzeiro |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.5 | 5.2 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.0 | 4.8 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 78% | 76% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 64% | 70% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 45% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 64% | 76% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 52% | 61% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 47% | 43% |
Head to Head · 30 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | +34 | 69 | |
| 2 | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | +36 | 67 | |
| 3 | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | +5 | 54 | |
| 4 | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | +12 | 54 | |
| 5 | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | +10 | 51 | |
| 6 | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | +7 | 50 | |
| 7 | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | +5 | 49 | |
| 8 | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | +2 | 45 | |
| 9 | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | +1 | 43 | |
| 10 | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | +1 | 41 | |
| 11 | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | -7 | 39 | |
| 12 | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | -11 | 39 | |
| 13 | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | -6 | 38 | |
| 14 | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -11 | 38 | |
| 15 | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 37 | |
| 16 | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | -4 | 35 | |
| 17 | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | -8 | 33 | |
| 18 | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | -10 | 31 | |
| 19 | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | -16 | 26 | |
| 20 | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | -32 | 18 | |
| 20 | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | -22 | 10 |
Team Insights
- ●Fluminense have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Fluminense have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Fluminense have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Fluminense have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Fluminense failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 13 away matches.
- ●Fluminense failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Fluminense have scored in 15 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Fluminense failed to keep a clean sheet in 15 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Fluminense have scored in 13 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Cruzeiro have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Cruzeiro have scored in each of their last 12 matches.
- ●Cruzeiro have won their last 5 home matches.
- ●Cruzeiro have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Cruzeiro have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Cruzeiro failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Cruzeiro have scored in each of their last 13 away matches.
- ●Cruzeiro have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Cruzeiro failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Cruzeiro have scored in 14 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Cruzeiro failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Cruzeiro have won 7 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Cruzeiro have scored in 14 of their 16 away matches.
- ●65% of Cruzeiro's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Cruzeiro have conceded 57% of their goals in the first half.