Palmeiras vs Flamengo — Serie A
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Palmeiras and Flamengo meet in the Serie A 2026 season on 22 November 2026. Palmeiras have recorded 39 wins from 62 matches this season (63% win rate), averaging 1.69 goals scored and 0.74 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 48% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 47%; and clean sheets in 45% of games. Flamengo have won 57% of their 61 matches, with 1.90 goals scored and 0.89 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 49%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 41%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.45 for Palmeiras and 1.34 for Flamengo. The models give Palmeiras a 40% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Flamengo win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
Palmeiras—
Flamengo1º
Position
2º
2.16
PPG
2.16
63%
Win %
65%
1.75
Goals / game
1.97
0.69
Conceded / game
0.81
48%
BTTS %
49%
45%
Clean sheet %
41%
47%
Over 2.5 %
56%
5.9
Avg corners
5.6
15.7
Avg shots
15.4
5.1
Avg shots on target
5.8
1.9
Avg yellow cards
1.8
12.6
Avg fouls
11.9
53.2%
Avg possession
58.1%
Home vs Away
Palmeiras
Home (16)
—
Flamengo
Away (16)
2.44
PPG
1.94
75%
Win %
56%
1.88
Goals / game
2.00
0.63
Conceded / game
0.94
47%
BTTS %
50%
47%
Clean sheet %
37%
47%
Over 2.5 %
57%
5.9
Avg corners
5.6
15.7
Avg shots
15.4
5.1
Avg shots on target
5.8
1.9
Avg yellow cards
1.8
53.2%
Avg possession
58.1%
Goals Scored
| Palmeiras | Home | Away | Flamengo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 85% | 91% | 80% | 85% | 90% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 48% | 50% | 47% | 56% | 68% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 23% | 28% | 17% | 25% | 29% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 15% | 9% | 20% | 15% | 10% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Palmeiras | Home | Away | Flamengo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 55% | 53% | 57% | 59% | 55% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 11% | 3% | 20% | 23% | 19% | 27% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 6% | 0% | 13% | 7% | 6% | 7% |
| Clean Sheets | 45% | 47% | 43% | 41% | 45% | 37% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Palmeiras | Flamengo | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 66% | 85% |
| Over 2.5 | 47% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 24% | 20% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 10% |
| BTTS | 48% | 49% |
| BTTS & Win | 26% | 21% |
| BTTS & Draw | 15% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 35% | 34% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 21% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Palmeiras | Flamengo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 52% | 39% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 44% |
| Loss 1st Half | 8% | 16% |
| Scored 1st Half | 66% | 49% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 26% | 30% |
| Win 2nd Half | 39% | 52% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 47% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 15% | 23% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 61% | 72% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 37% | 41% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 35% | 28% |
Recent Venue Form
Palmeiras (H)W
RB Bragantino2–0
RB Bragantino2–0L
Fluminense0–1
Fluminense0–1W
Corinthians4–1
Corinthians4–1W
Bahia1–0
Bahia1–0W
Sao Paulo2–0
Sao Paulo2–0W
LDU de Quito1–0
LDU de Quito1–0Flamengo (A)WBahia3–0
Bahia3–0D
Estudiantes L.P.0–0
Estudiantes L.P.0–0D
Santos2–2
Santos2–2W
Independiente del Valle2–0
Independiente del Valle2–0W
Remo1–0
Remo1–0L
Cruzeiro1–2
Cruzeiro1–2Number of Corners
11.1
Corners / Match
62 games
League Avg
10.4
314 games
9.5
Corners / Match
54 games
| Match Corners | Palmeiras | Flamengo | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 89% | 83% | 85% |
| Over 7 | 79% | 72% | 77% |
| Over 8 | 73% | 59% | 68% |
| Over 9 | 66% | 46% | 57% |
| Over 10 | 56% | 33% | 42% |
| Over 11 | 45% | 22% | 34% |
| Over 12 | 37% | 13% | 27% |
| Over 13 | 29% | 9% | 21% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Palmeiras | Flamengo |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.9 | 5.6 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.2 | 3.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 82% | 81% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 79% | 69% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 66% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 79% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 61% | 56% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 44% |
Head to Head · 37 matches
10
Palmeiras
27%
15
Draws
41%
12
Flamengo
32%
78%
Over 1.5
29/37
43%
Over 2.5
16/37
27%
Over 3.5
10/37
59%
BTTS
22/37
24/05/26Palmeiras
Flamengo
0–3Palmeiras29/11/25Flamengo
Palmeiras
0–1Flamengo19/10/25Palmeiras
Flamengo
3–2Palmeiras25/05/25Flamengo
Palmeiras
0–2Flamengo11/08/24Palmeiras
Flamengo
1–1Palmeiras07/08/24Flamengo
Palmeiras
1–0Flamengo31/07/24Palmeiras
Flamengo
2–0Palmeiras21/04/24Flamengo
Palmeiras
0–0Flamengo09/11/23Palmeiras
Flamengo
3–0Palmeiras09/07/23Flamengo
Palmeiras
1–1Flamengo28/01/23Flamengo
Palmeiras
4–3Flamengo21/08/22Flamengo
Palmeiras
1–1Flamengo20/04/22Palmeiras
Flamengo
0–0Palmeiras27/11/21Flamengo
Palmeiras
2–1Flamengo12/09/21Flamengo
Palmeiras
1–3Flamengo30/05/21Palmeiras
Flamengo
1–0Palmeiras11/04/21Palmeiras
Flamengo
2–2Palmeiras21/01/21Palmeiras
Flamengo
2–0Palmeiras27/09/20Flamengo
Palmeiras
1–1Flamengo01/12/19Flamengo
Palmeiras
1–3Flamengo| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | +34 | 69 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | +36 | 67 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | +5 | 54 |
| 4 |  Atletico Paranaense | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | +12 | 54 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | +10 | 51 |
| 6 |  Atletico-MG | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | +7 | 50 |
| 7 | Bahia | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | +5 | 49 |
| 8 | Santos | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | +2 | 45 |
| 9 | Sao Paulo | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | +1 | 43 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | +1 | 41 |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | -7 | 39 |
| 12 |  Coritiba | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | -11 | 39 |
| 13 |  Vasco DA Gama | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | -6 | 38 |
| 14 |  Vitoria | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -11 | 38 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 37 |
| 16 |  Internacional | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | -4 | 35 |
| 17 | Corinthians | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | -8 | 33 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | -10 | 31 |
| 19 | Remo | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | -16 | 26 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | -32 | 18 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense B | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | -22 | 10 |
Team Insights
Palmeiras- ●Palmeiras have won their last 4 matches.
- ●Palmeiras have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Palmeiras have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Palmeiras have won their last 5 home matches.
- ●Palmeiras have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Palmeiras have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Palmeiras have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Palmeiras have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Palmeiras have scored in 15 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Palmeiras have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Palmeiras have won 8 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Palmeiras have scored in 13 of their 16 away matches.
Flamengo- ●Flamengo have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Flamengo have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Flamengo have scored in each of their last 15 matches.
- ●Flamengo have won their last 6 home matches.
- ●Flamengo have scored in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Flamengo have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Flamengo have scored in each of their last 11 away matches.
- ●Flamengo have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Flamengo have scored in 14 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Flamengo have won 9 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Flamengo have scored in 15 of their 16 away matches.
Season Schedule
PalmeirasWHRB Bragantino2–0
RB Bragantino2–0WAAtletico Paranaense2–0
Atletico Paranaense2–0WHCorinthians4–1
Corinthians4–1WHBahia1–0
Bahia1–0DAGremio0–0
Gremio0–0WHSao Paulo2–0
Sao Paulo2–0–ASantos28/10
Santos28/10–HRemo05/11
Remo05/11–ACruzeiro18/11
Cruzeiro18/11FlamengoWABahia3–0
Bahia3–0WHFluminense1–0
Fluminense1–0DASantos2–2
Santos2–2WHRB Bragantino2–1
RB Bragantino2–1WHCorinthians2–1
Corinthians2–1WARemo1–0
Remo1–0–HAtletico-MG26/10
Atletico-MG26/10–AVasco DA Gama29/10
Vasco DA Gama29/10–HGremio04/11
Gremio04/11Top Scorers
PalmeirasJ. Lopez21 ⚽
Mauricio11 ⚽
Vitor Roque10 ⚽
R. Sosa9 ⚽
J. Arias8 ⚽
Allan Elias6 ⚽
FlamengoPedro26 ⚽
Samuel Lino14 ⚽
Bruno Henrique11 ⚽
Lucas Paqueta9 ⚽
G. de Arrascaeta8 ⚽
J. Carrascal5 ⚽
Cards Given
PalmeirasAndreas Pereira9 🟨
Murilo7 🟨
Marlon Freitas7 🟨
Arthur Gabriel6 🟨
Agustin Giay6 🟨
Gustavo Gómez6 🟨
FlamengoErick Pulgar11 🟨
Jorginho9 🟨
Evertton Araujo7 🟨
Bruno Henrique6 🟨
Guillermo Varela5 🟨
Alex Sandro5 🟨