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Atletico-MG vs Corinthians — Serie A

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Atletico-MG
Atletico-MG
6º · 1.61 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 31d 23h
vs
–
–
Corinthians
Corinthians
17º · 1.03 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 28d 23h
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Atletico-MG and Corinthians meet in the Serie A 2026 season on 22 November 2026. Atletico-MG have recorded 26 wins from 60 matches this season (43% win rate), averaging 1.40 goals scored and 1.07 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 53% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 45%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Corinthians have won 34% of their 58 matches, with 1.07 goals scored and 1.03 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 47%, Over 2.5 at 33%, and clean sheets at 38%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.70 for Atletico-MG and 1.07 for Corinthians. The models give Atletico-MG a 57% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Corinthians win at 20%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 54%.

Season Statistics

Atletico-MG
—
Corinthians
6º
Position
17º
1.61
PPG
1.03
45%
Win %
25%
1.35
Goals / game
1.06
1.13
Conceded / game
1.31
53%
BTTS %
47%
27%
Clean sheet %
38%
45%
Over 2.5 %
33%
5.1
Avg corners
5.3
13.3
Avg shots
13.0
4.8
Avg shots on target
4.2
1.7
Avg yellow cards
2.5
11.6
Avg fouls
12.6
51.1%
Avg possession
57.1%

Home vs Away

Atletico-MG
Home (16)
—
Corinthians
Away (16)
2.19
PPG
0.88
63%
Win %
19%
1.69
Goals / game
1.13
1.06
Conceded / game
1.56
63%
BTTS %
58%
33%
Clean sheet %
32%
53%
Over 2.5 %
32%
5.1
Avg corners
5.3
13.3
Avg shots
13.0
4.8
Avg shots on target
4.2
1.7
Avg yellow cards
2.5
51.1%
Avg possession
57.1%

Goals Scored

Atletico-MGHomeAwayCorinthiansHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored73%90%57%76%70%81%
Over 1.5 Scored40%53%27%22%30%16%
Over 2.5 Scored17%20%13%9%15%3%
Failed To Score27%10%43%24%30%19%

Goals Conceded

Atletico-MGHomeAwayCorinthiansHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded73%67%80%62%56%68%
Over 1.5 Conceded28%17%40%29%26%32%
Over 2.5 Conceded3%7%0%10%4%16%
Clean Sheets27%33%20%38%44%32%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Atletico-MGCorinthians
Over 0.593%91%
Over 1.570%69%
Over 2.545%33%
Over 3.523%12%
Over 4.55%5%
BTTS53%47%
BTTS & Win23%5%
BTTS & Draw25%21%
BTTS & Over 2.538%26%
BTTS No & Over 2.57%7%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Atletico-MGCorinthians
Win 1st Half33%14%
Draw 1st Half42%52%
Loss 1st Half25%34%
Scored 1st Half43%28%
Conceded 1st Half37%45%
Win 2nd Half33%36%
Draw 2nd Half40%40%
Loss 2nd Half27%24%
Scored 2nd Half55%55%
Conceded 2nd Half53%40%
Over 0.5 HT67%59%
Over 1.5 HT25%22%

Recent Venue Form

Atletico-MG (H)
WCoritiba1–0
WAtletico Torque3–0
WSantos2–1
WRB Bragantino1–0
DChapecoense-sc1–1
WSantos4–2
Corinthians (A)
LVasco DA Gama2–3
LPalmeiras1–4
LInternacional1–2
LFlamengo1–2
DEstudiantes L.P.1–1
LCoritiba1–2

Number of Corners

10.2
Corners / Match
48 games
League Avg
10.4
314 games
9.8
Corners / Match
56 games
Match CornersAtletico-MGCorinthiansLeague Avg
Over 685%79%85%
Over 773%73%77%
Over 869%61%68%
Over 958%50%57%
Over 1040%34%42%
Over 1133%25%34%
Over 1227%18%27%
Over 1323%16%21%

Team Corners

Team CornersAtletico-MGCorinthians
Corners Earned / Match5.15.3
Corners Against / Match5.14.5
Over 2.5 Corners For77%82%
Over 3.5 Corners For67%61%
Over 4.5 Corners For52%54%
Over 2.5 Corners Against77%80%
Over 3.5 Corners Against65%63%
Over 4.5 Corners Against56%39%

Head to Head · 34 matches

13
Atletico-MG
38%
7
Draws
21%
14
Corinthians
41%
53%
Over 1.5
18/34
38%
Over 2.5
13/34
9%
Over 3.5
3/34
38%
BTTS
13/34
24/05/26
Corinthians
1–0
Atletico-MG
18/10/25
Corinthians
1–0
Atletico-MG
25/05/25
Atletico-MG
0–0
Corinthians
28/07/24
Atletico-MG
2–1
Corinthians
14/04/24
Corinthians
0–0
Atletico-MG
09/11/23
Corinthians
1–1
Atletico-MG
08/07/23
Atletico-MG
0–1
Corinthians
01/06/23
Corinthians
2–0
Atletico-MG
18/05/23
Atletico-MG
2–0
Corinthians
13/11/22
Corinthians
0–1
Atletico-MG
24/07/22
Atletico-MG
1–2
Corinthians
10/11/21
Atletico-MG
3–0
Corinthians
17/07/21
Corinthians
1–2
Atletico-MG
14/11/20
Corinthians
1–2
Atletico-MG
12/08/20
Atletico-MG
3–2
Corinthians
01/12/19
Atletico-MG
2–1
Corinthians
01/09/19
Corinthians
1–0
Atletico-MG
02/09/18
Corinthians
1–1
Atletico-MG
29/04/18
Atletico-MG
1–0
Corinthians
26/11/17
Corinthians
2–2
Atletico-MG
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Palmeiras322093+3469
2Flamengo312074+3667
3Cruzeiro3216610+554
4Atletico Paranaense321598+1254
5Fluminense311498+1051
6Atletico-MG311489+750
7Bahia3113108+549
8Santos3112910+245
9Sao Paulo3212713+143
10RB Bragantino3211813+141
11Botafogo3210913-739
12Coritiba3110912-1139
13Vasco DA Gama3110813-638
14Vitoria3210814-1138
15Mirassol3291013-837
16Internacional3281113-435
17Corinthians328915-833
18Gremio3171014-1031
19Remo3251116-1626
20Chapecoense-sc303918-3218
20Chapecoense B201712-2210

Team Insights

Atletico-MG
  • ●Atletico-MG have won their last 2 matches.
  • ●Atletico-MG have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
  • ●Atletico-MG have won their last 3 home matches.
  • ●Atletico-MG have scored in each of their last 10 home matches.
  • ●Atletico-MG failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 16 home matches.
  • ●Atletico-MG have scored in 15 of their 16 home matches.
  • ●Atletico-MG failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 away matches.
  • ●64% of Atletico-MG's goals have been scored at home.
Corinthians
  • ●Corinthians have failed to win in their last 10 matches.
  • ●Corinthians failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
  • ●Corinthians have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
  • ●Corinthians have failed to win in their last 6 home matches.
  • ●Corinthians failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Corinthians have lost their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Corinthians failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Corinthians have scored in each of their last 10 away matches.
  • ●Corinthians have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Corinthians failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 16 away matches.
  • ●Corinthians have scored in 14 of their 16 away matches.
  • ●Corinthians have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.
LAAtletico Torque1º0–2
LAAtletico Torque1º0–2
WHCoritiba12º1–0
WHAtletico Torque1º3–0
WHAtletico Torque1º3–0
WHSantos8º2–1
WHRB Bragantino10º1–0
DHChapecoense-sc20º1–1
WHSantos2º4–2
LAVasco DA Gama13º2–3
DHVitoria14º1–1
LAPalmeiras1º1–4
LAInternacional16º1–2
LHFluminense5º1–3
LAFlamengo2º1–2

Season Schedule

Atletico-MG
WHCoritiba1–0
WHSantos2–1
DAAtletico Paranaense2–2
WHRB Bragantino1–0
DHChapecoense-sc1–1
WHFluminense3–1
–AFlamengo26/10
–HCruzeiro29/10
–ABotafogo05/11
Corinthians
LAVasco DA Gama2–3
DHVitoria1–1
LAPalmeiras1–4
LAInternacional1–2
LHFluminense1–3
LAFlamengo1–2
–HMirassol30/10
–ASao Paulo05/11
–HBotafogo18/11

Top Scorers

Atletico-MG
Reinier6 ⚽
Victor Hugo6 ⚽
Cuello6 ⚽
Bernard6 ⚽
M. Cassierra5 ⚽
R. Lodi5 ⚽
Corinthians
Gustavo Henrique9 ⚽
Yuri Alberto9 ⚽
Andre5 ⚽
Breno Bidon4 ⚽
Matheus Bidu4 ⚽
R. Garro3 ⚽

Cards Given

Atletico-MG
Alan Franco8 🟨
Lyanco7 🟨
Ruan Tressoldi7 🟨
Ruan6 🟨
Natanael5 🟨
A. Franco5 🟨
Corinthians
Breno Bidon14 🟨
Allan12 🟨
Raniele10 🟨
Matheuzinho10 🟨
Gabriel Paulista9 🟨
Gustavo Henrique8 🟨