Sao Paulo vs Fluminense — Serie A
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Sao Paulo and Fluminense meet in the Serie A 2026 season on 18 November 2026. Sao Paulo have recorded 22 wins from 54 matches this season (41% win rate), averaging 1.19 goals scored and 1.09 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 39%; and clean sheets in 28% of games. Fluminense have won 47% of their 60 matches, with 1.47 goals scored and 1.08 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 28%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.55 for Sao Paulo and 1.04 for Fluminense. The models give Sao Paulo a 45% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Fluminense win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 48% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
Sao Paulo—
Fluminense9º
Position
5º
1.34
PPG
1.65
38%
Win %
45%
1.16
Goals / game
1.58
1.13
Conceded / game
1.26
56%
BTTS %
63%
28%
Clean sheet %
28%
39%
Over 2.5 %
50%
6.4
Avg corners
4.6
12.8
Avg shots
13.7
3.8
Avg shots on target
5.0
2.1
Avg yellow cards
2.5
13.2
Avg fouls
13.3
54.1%
Avg possession
58.6%
Home vs Away
Sao Paulo
Home (16)
—
Fluminense
Away (15)
2.06
PPG
1.00
63%
Win %
20%
1.56
Goals / game
1.33
0.81
Conceded / game
1.53
54%
BTTS %
57%
42%
Clean sheet %
25%
38%
Over 2.5 %
32%
6.4
Avg corners
4.6
12.8
Avg shots
13.7
3.8
Avg shots on target
5.0
2.1
Avg yellow cards
2.5
54.1%
Avg possession
58.6%
Goals Scored
| Sao Paulo | Home | Away | Fluminense | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 96% | 64% | 82% | 91% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 54% | 14% | 40% | 56% | 21% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 4% | 8% | 0% | 18% | 22% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 4% | 36% | 18% | 9% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Sao Paulo | Home | Away | Fluminense | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 72% | 58% | 86% | 72% | 69% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 28% | 15% | 39% | 30% | 25% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 4% | 14% | 7% | 3% | 11% |
| Clean Sheets | 28% | 42% | 14% | 28% | 31% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Sao Paulo | Fluminense | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 74% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 | 39% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 13% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 6% | 12% |
| BTTS | 56% | 63% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 28% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 37% | 48% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 2% | 2% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Sao Paulo | Fluminense | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 35% | 30% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 48% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 22% |
| Scored 1st Half | 44% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 30% | 38% |
| Win 2nd Half | 35% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 24% | 35% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 41% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 52% | 63% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 57% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 65% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 19% | 28% |
Recent Venue Form
Sao Paulo (H)W
Vasco DA Gama1–0
Vasco DA Gama1–0W
Vitoria2–1
Vitoria2–1L
Santos1–2
Santos1–2W
Internacional1–0
Internacional1–0D
Boca Juniors1–1
Boca Juniors1–1W
Atletico-MG2–0
Atletico-MG2–0Fluminense (A)L
Chapecoense-sc1–2
Chapecoense-sc1–2W
Palmeiras1–0
Palmeiras1–0L
Flamengo0–1
Flamengo0–1W
Corinthians3–1
Corinthians3–1L
Platense1–2
Platense1–2LAtletico-MG1–3
Atletico-MG1–3Number of Corners
11.1
Corners / Match
53 games
League Avg
10.4
314 games
8.6
Corners / Match
58 games
| Match Corners | Sao Paulo | Fluminense | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 89% | 71% | 85% |
| Over 7 | 79% | 62% | 77% |
| Over 8 | 72% | 53% | 68% |
| Over 9 | 66% | 36% | 57% |
| Over 10 | 49% | 24% | 42% |
| Over 11 | 42% | 17% | 34% |
| Over 12 | 38% | 12% | 27% |
| Over 13 | 28% | 7% | 21% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Sao Paulo | Fluminense |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.4 | 4.5 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.7 | 4.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 91% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 81% | 64% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 62% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 77% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 57% | 52% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 45% | 47% |
Head to Head · 33 matches
10
Sao Paulo
30%
8
Draws
24%
15
Fluminense
45%
88%
Over 1.5
29/33
64%
Over 2.5
21/33
30%
Over 3.5
10/33
73%
BTTS
24/33
16/05/26Sao Paulo
Fluminense
2–1Sao Paulo27/11/25Sao Paulo
Fluminense
6–0Sao Paulo27/07/25Fluminense
Sao Paulo
3–1Fluminense01/09/24Sao Paulo
Fluminense
2–0Sao Paulo13/05/24Fluminense
Sao Paulo
2–1Fluminense23/11/23Sao Paulo
Fluminense
1–0Sao Paulo01/07/23Fluminense
Sao Paulo
1–0Fluminense05/11/22Sao Paulo
Fluminense
3–1Sao Paulo17/07/22Fluminense
Sao Paulo
2–2Fluminense12/09/21Sao Paulo
Fluminense
2–1Sao Paulo30/05/21Fluminense
Sao Paulo
0–0Fluminense27/12/20Sao Paulo
Fluminense
1–2Sao Paulo06/09/20Fluminense
Sao Paulo
3–1Fluminense07/11/19Fluminense
Sao Paulo
0–2Fluminense27/07/19Sao Paulo
Fluminense
1–2Sao Paulo02/09/18Fluminense
Sao Paulo
1–1Fluminense29/04/18Sao Paulo
Fluminense
1–1Sao Paulo18/10/17Sao Paulo
Fluminense
3–1Sao Paulo25/06/17Fluminense
Sao Paulo
1–1Fluminense17/10/16Sao Paulo
Fluminense
1–2Sao Paulo| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | +34 | 69 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | +36 | 67 |
| 3 |  Cruzeiro | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | +5 | 54 |
| 4 |  Atletico Paranaense | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | +12 | 54 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | +10 | 51 |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | +7 | 50 |
| 7 |  Bahia | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | +5 | 49 |
| 8 | Santos | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | +2 | 45 |
| 9 | Sao Paulo | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | +1 | 43 |
| 10 |  RB Bragantino | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | +1 | 41 |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | -7 | 39 |
| 12 |  Coritiba | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | -11 | 39 |
| 13 | Vasco DA Gama | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | -6 | 38 |
| 14 | Vitoria | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -11 | 38 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 37 |
| 16 | Internacional | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | -4 | 35 |
| 17 | Corinthians | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | -8 | 33 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | -10 | 31 |
| 19 |  Remo | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | -16 | 26 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | -32 | 18 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense B | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | -22 | 10 |
Team Insights
Sao Paulo- ●Sao Paulo have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Sao Paulo have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Sao Paulo have scored in each of their last 12 home matches.
- ●Sao Paulo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 14 away matches.
- ●Sao Paulo have scored in 15 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Sao Paulo failed to keep a clean sheet in 15 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Sao Paulo have lost 10 of their 16 away matches.
- ●68% of Sao Paulo's goals have been scored at home.
- ●77% of Sao Paulo's points have been earned at home.
Fluminense- ●Fluminense have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Fluminense have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Fluminense have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Fluminense have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Fluminense failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 13 away matches.
- ●Fluminense failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Fluminense have scored in 15 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Fluminense failed to keep a clean sheet in 15 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Fluminense have scored in 13 of their 16 away matches.
Season Schedule
Sao PauloDAMirassol1–1
Mirassol1–1WHVasco DA Gama1–0
Vasco DA Gama1–0WHVitoria2–1
Vitoria2–1LACruzeiro0–2
Cruzeiro0–2LHSantos1–2
Santos1–2WHInternacional1–0
Internacional1–0–ABahia29/10
Bahia29/10–HCorinthians05/11
Corinthians05/11–HFluminense18/11
Fluminense18/11FluminenseLAChapecoense-sc1–2
Chapecoense-sc1–2LHSantos1–2
Santos1–2LAFlamengo0–1
Flamengo0–1WHCoritiba4–0
Coritiba4–0WACorinthians3–1
Corinthians3–1LAAtletico-MG1–3
Atletico-MG1–3–HInternacional28/10
Internacional28/10–AVitoria06/11
Vitoria06/11–ASao Paulo18/11
Sao Paulo18/11Top Scorers
Sao PauloJonathan Calleri16 ⚽
Luciano15 ⚽
Artur4 ⚽
Ferreira4 ⚽
G. Tapia3 ⚽
D. Bobadilla3 ⚽
FluminenseJohn Kennedy15 ⚽
K. Serna9 ⚽
Hulk8 ⚽
J. Savarino8 ⚽
A. Canobbio7 ⚽
Hercules6 ⚽
Cards Given
Sao PauloJonathan Calleri11 🟨
Enzo Díaz10 🟨
Luciano10 🟨
Wendell7 🟨
Damián Bobadilla6 🟨
Alan Franco6 🟨
FluminenseAgustín Canobbio9 🟨
Luciano Acosta8 🟨
Nonato7 🟨
Guga7 🟨
Facundo Bernal7 🟨
A. Canobbio6 🟨