Mirassol vs Atletico-MG — Serie A
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Mirassol and Atletico-MG meet in the Serie A 2026 season on 18 November 2026. Mirassol have recorded 17 wins from 53 matches this season (32% win rate), averaging 1.19 goals scored and 1.17 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 55% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 42%; and clean sheets in 21% of games. Atletico-MG have won 43% of their 60 matches, with 1.40 goals scored and 1.07 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 53%, Over 2.5 at 45%, and clean sheets at 27%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.34 for Mirassol and 1.16 for Atletico-MG. The models give Mirassol a 39% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Atletico-MG win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 46% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
Mirassol—
Atletico-MG15º
Position
6º
1.16
PPG
1.61
28%
Win %
45%
1.16
Goals / game
1.35
1.41
Conceded / game
1.13
55%
BTTS %
53%
21%
Clean sheet %
27%
42%
Over 2.5 %
45%
5.0
Avg corners
5.1
13.2
Avg shots
13.3
4.2
Avg shots on target
4.8
2.6
Avg yellow cards
1.7
11.9
Avg fouls
11.6
51.1%
Avg possession
51.1%
Home vs Away
Mirassol
Home (17)
—
Atletico-MG
Away (15)
1.59
PPG
1.00
41%
Win %
27%
1.41
Goals / game
1.00
1.29
Conceded / game
1.20
63%
BTTS %
43%
30%
Clean sheet %
20%
44%
Over 2.5 %
37%
5.0
Avg corners
5.1
13.2
Avg shots
13.3
4.2
Avg shots on target
4.8
2.6
Avg yellow cards
1.7
51.1%
Avg possession
51.1%
Goals Scored
| Mirassol | Home | Away | Atletico-MG | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 72% | 89% | 54% | 73% | 90% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 48% | 27% | 40% | 53% | 27% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 6% | 4% | 8% | 17% | 20% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 28% | 11% | 46% | 27% | 10% | 43% |
Goals Conceded
| Mirassol | Home | Away | Atletico-MG | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 79% | 70% | 88% | 73% | 67% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 25% | 22% | 27% | 28% | 17% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 4% | 15% | 3% | 7% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 21% | 30% | 12% | 27% | 33% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Mirassol | Atletico-MG | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 72% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 42% | 45% |
| Over 3.5 | 21% | 23% |
| Over 4.5 | 4% | 5% |
| BTTS | 55% | 53% |
| BTTS & Win | 15% | 23% |
| BTTS & Draw | 26% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 36% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Mirassol | Atletico-MG | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 30% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 42% |
| Loss 1st Half | 26% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 51% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 43% | 37% |
| Win 2nd Half | 26% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 36% | 27% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 42% | 55% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 49% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 74% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 42% | 25% |
Recent Venue Form
Mirassol (H)D
Sao Paulo1–1
Sao Paulo1–1W
Internacional2–0
Internacional2–0W
Botafogo2–0
Botafogo2–0D
Vitoria2–2
Vitoria2–2D
Palmeiras1–1
Palmeiras1–1L
Flamengo1–5
Flamengo1–5Atletico-MG (A)L
Atletico Torque0–2
Atletico Torque0–2D
Atletico Paranaense2–2
Atletico Paranaense2–2L
Santos0–2
Santos0–2LSao Paulo0–2
Sao Paulo0–2D
Cruzeiro1–1
Cruzeiro1–1DInternacional0–0
Internacional0–0Number of Corners
10.1
Corners / Match
52 games
League Avg
10.4
314 games
10.2
Corners / Match
48 games
| Match Corners | Mirassol | Atletico-MG | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 85% | 85% | 85% |
| Over 7 | 73% | 73% | 77% |
| Over 8 | 62% | 69% | 68% |
| Over 9 | 48% | 58% | 57% |
| Over 10 | 42% | 40% | 42% |
| Over 11 | 37% | 33% | 34% |
| Over 12 | 25% | 27% | 27% |
| Over 13 | 17% | 23% | 21% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Mirassol | Atletico-MG |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.0 | 5.1 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.1 | 5.1 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 83% | 77% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 69% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 54% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 81% | 77% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 73% | 65% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 56% |
Head to Head · 3 matches
0
Mirassol
0%
1
Draws
33%
2
Atletico-MG
67%
67%
Over 1.5
2/3
67%
Over 2.5
2/3
67%
Over 3.5
2/3
67%
BTTS
2/3
16/05/26Mirassol
Atletico-MG
3–1Mirassol28/09/25Mirassol
Atletico-MG
1–0Mirassol26/04/25Atletico-MG
Mirassol
2–2Atletico-MG| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | +34 | 69 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | +36 | 67 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | +5 | 54 |
| 4 | Atletico Paranaense | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | +12 | 54 |
| 5 |  Fluminense | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | +10 | 51 |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | +7 | 50 |
| 7 |  Bahia | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | +5 | 49 |
| 8 | Santos | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | +2 | 45 |
| 9 | Sao Paulo | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | +1 | 43 |
| 10 |  RB Bragantino | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | +1 | 41 |
| 11 | Botafogo | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | -7 | 39 |
| 12 |  Coritiba | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | -11 | 39 |
| 13 |  Vasco DA Gama | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | -6 | 38 |
| 14 | Vitoria | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -11 | 38 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 37 |
| 16 | Internacional | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | -4 | 35 |
| 17 |  Corinthians | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | -8 | 33 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | -10 | 31 |
| 19 |  Remo | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | -16 | 26 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | -32 | 18 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense B | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | -22 | 10 |
Team Insights
Mirassol- ●Mirassol have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Mirassol have scored in each of their last 12 home matches.
- ●Mirassol failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 15 away matches.
- ●Mirassol failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Mirassol have scored in 15 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Mirassol failed to keep a clean sheet in 15 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Mirassol have lost 9 of their 15 away matches.
- ●65% of Mirassol's goals have been scored at home.
Atletico-MG- ●Atletico-MG have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Atletico-MG have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Atletico-MG have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Atletico-MG have scored in each of their last 10 home matches.
- ●Atletico-MG failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Atletico-MG have scored in 15 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Atletico-MG failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 away matches.
- ●64% of Atletico-MG's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
MirassolDHSao Paulo1–1
Sao Paulo1–1WHInternacional2–0
Internacional2–0LABahia0–1
Bahia0–1DARB Bragantino1–1
RB Bragantino1–1WHBotafogo2–0
Botafogo2–0DHVitoria2–2
Vitoria2–2–ACorinthians30/10
Corinthians30/10–AChapecoense-sc03/11
Chapecoense-sc03/11–HAtletico-MG18/11
Atletico-MG18/11Atletico-MGWHCoritiba1–0
Coritiba1–0WHSantos2–1
Santos2–1DAAtletico Paranaense2–2
Atletico Paranaense2–2WHRB Bragantino1–0
RB Bragantino1–0DHChapecoense-sc1–1
Chapecoense-sc1–1WHFluminense3–1
Fluminense3–1–AFlamengo26/10
Flamengo26/10–HCruzeiro29/10
Cruzeiro29/10–ABotafogo05/11
Botafogo05/11Top Scorers
MirassolEduardo7 ⚽
Igor Formiga5 ⚽
Edson Carioca4 ⚽
Carlos Eduardo3 ⚽
Alesson3 ⚽
Bruno Santos3 ⚽
Atletico-MGReinier6 ⚽
Victor Hugo6 ⚽
Cuello6 ⚽
Bernard6 ⚽
M. Cassierra5 ⚽
R. Lodi5 ⚽
Cards Given
MirassolJosé Aldo10 🟨
Neto Moura9 🟨
Denilson9 🟨
Reinaldo8 🟨
Lucas Oliveira7 🟨
Alesson6 🟨
Atletico-MGAlan Franco8 🟨
Lyanco7 🟨
Ruan Tressoldi7 🟨
Ruan6 🟨
Natanael5 🟨
A. Franco5 🟨