Flamengo vs Atletico Paranaense — Serie A
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Flamengo and Atletico Paranaense meet in the Serie A 2026 season on 18 November 2026. Flamengo have recorded 35 wins from 61 matches this season (57% win rate), averaging 1.90 goals scored and 0.89 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 49% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 41% of games. Atletico Paranaense have won 44% of their 48 matches, with 1.52 goals scored and 1.15 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 27%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.81 for Flamengo and 1.17 for Atletico Paranaense. The models give Flamengo a 55% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Atletico Paranaense win at 21%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
Flamengo—
Atletico Paranaense2º
Position
4º
2.16
PPG
1.69
65%
Win %
47%
1.97
Goals / game
1.56
0.81
Conceded / game
1.19
49%
BTTS %
54%
41%
Clean sheet %
27%
56%
Over 2.5 %
50%
5.6
Avg corners
5.1
15.4
Avg shots
12.8
5.8
Avg shots on target
4.8
1.8
Avg yellow cards
2.2
11.9
Avg fouls
13.8
58.1%
Avg possession
48.8%
Home vs Away
Flamengo
Home (15)
—
Atletico Paranaense
Away (16)
2.40
PPG
1.38
73%
Win %
38%
1.93
Goals / game
1.44
0.67
Conceded / game
1.44
48%
BTTS %
64%
45%
Clean sheet %
16%
55%
Over 2.5 %
60%
5.6
Avg corners
5.1
15.4
Avg shots
12.8
5.8
Avg shots on target
4.8
1.8
Avg yellow cards
2.2
58.1%
Avg possession
48.8%
Goals Scored
| Flamengo | Home | Away | Atletico Paranaense | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 85% | 90% | 80% | 73% | 74% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 56% | 68% | 43% | 50% | 61% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 29% | 20% | 19% | 22% | 16% |
| Failed To Score | 15% | 10% | 20% | 27% | 26% | 28% |
Goals Conceded
| Flamengo | Home | Away | Atletico Paranaense | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 59% | 55% | 63% | 73% | 61% | 84% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 23% | 19% | 27% | 27% | 13% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 7% | 6% | 7% | 13% | 4% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 41% | 45% | 37% | 27% | 39% | 16% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Flamengo | Atletico Paranaense | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 85% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 17% |
| BTTS | 49% | 54% |
| BTTS & Win | 21% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 19% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 34% | 44% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 21% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Flamengo | Atletico Paranaense | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 39% | 35% |
| Draw 1st Half | 44% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 16% | 27% |
| Scored 1st Half | 49% | 56% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 30% | 54% |
| Win 2nd Half | 52% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 44% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 23% | 23% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 72% | 52% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 41% | 40% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 64% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 28% | 48% |
Recent Venue Form
Flamengo (H)D
Estudiantes L.P.0–0
Estudiantes L.P.0–0W
Fluminense1–0
Fluminense1–0W
RB Bragantino2–1
RB Bragantino2–1D
Independiente del Valle1–1
Independiente del Valle1–1W
Corinthians2–1
Corinthians2–1W
Mirassol2–0
Mirassol2–0Atletico Paranaense (A)D
Vitoria1–1
Vitoria1–1W
Chapecoense-sc4–1
Chapecoense-sc4–1D
Coritiba3–3
Coritiba3–3L
Cruzeiro1–3
Cruzeiro1–3W
Botafogo3–2
Botafogo3–2W
Santos2–0
Santos2–0Number of Corners
9.5
Corners / Match
54 games
League Avg
10.4
314 games
9.9
Corners / Match
36 games
| Match Corners | Flamengo | Atletico Paranaense | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 83% | 83% | 85% |
| Over 7 | 72% | 81% | 77% |
| Over 8 | 59% | 67% | 68% |
| Over 9 | 46% | 56% | 57% |
| Over 10 | 33% | 36% | 42% |
| Over 11 | 22% | 28% | 34% |
| Over 12 | 13% | 22% | 27% |
| Over 13 | 9% | 14% | 21% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Flamengo | Atletico Paranaense |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.6 | 5.1 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.9 | 4.8 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 81% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 69% | 61% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 54% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 63% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 56% | 58% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 44% | 42% |
Head to Head · 41 matches
16
Flamengo
39%
11
Draws
27%
14
Atletico Paranaense
34%
76%
Over 1.5
31/41
54%
Over 2.5
22/41
22%
Over 3.5
9/41
51%
BTTS
21/41
17/05/26Flamengo
Atletico Paranaense
1–1Flamengo29/09/24Atletico Paranaense
Flamengo
1–0Atletico Paranaense16/06/24Flamengo
Atletico Paranaense
1–1Flamengo14/09/23Atletico Paranaense
Flamengo
0–3Atletico Paranaense13/07/23Flamengo
Atletico Paranaense
0–2Flamengo06/07/23Atletico Paranaense
Flamengo
2–1Atletico Paranaense07/05/23Flamengo
Atletico Paranaense
2–1Flamengo29/10/22Atletico Paranaense
Flamengo
1–0Atletico Paranaense18/08/22Flamengo
Atletico Paranaense
0–1Flamengo14/08/22Atletico Paranaense
Flamengo
5–0Atletico Paranaense28/07/22Atletico Paranaense
Flamengo
0–0Atletico Paranaense23/04/22Flamengo
Atletico Paranaense
1–0Flamengo02/11/21Flamengo
Atletico Paranaense
2–2Flamengo28/10/21Atletico Paranaense
Flamengo
0–3Atletico Paranaense21/10/21Flamengo
Atletico Paranaense
2–2Flamengo03/10/21Atletico Paranaense
Flamengo
3–0Atletico Paranaense24/01/21Flamengo
Atletico Paranaense
2–1Flamengo05/11/20Atletico Paranaense
Flamengo
3–2Atletico Paranaense29/10/20Flamengo
Atletico Paranaense
0–1Flamengo04/10/20Atletico Paranaense
Flamengo
3–1Atletico Paranaense| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palmeiras | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | +34 | 69 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | +36 | 67 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | +5 | 54 |
| 4 | Atletico Paranaense | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | +12 | 54 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | +10 | 51 |
| 6 |  Atletico-MG | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | +7 | 50 |
| 7 |  Bahia | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | +5 | 49 |
| 8 | Santos | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | +2 | 45 |
| 9 |  Sao Paulo | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | +1 | 43 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | +1 | 41 |
| 11 | Botafogo | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | -7 | 39 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | -11 | 39 |
| 13 |  Vasco DA Gama | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | -6 | 38 |
| 14 | Vitoria | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -11 | 38 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 37 |
| 16 |  Internacional | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | -4 | 35 |
| 17 | Corinthians | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | -8 | 33 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | -10 | 31 |
| 19 |  Remo | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | -16 | 26 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | -32 | 18 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense B | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | -22 | 10 |
Team Insights
Flamengo- ●Flamengo have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Flamengo have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Flamengo have scored in each of their last 15 matches.
- ●Flamengo have won their last 6 home matches.
- ●Flamengo have scored in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Flamengo have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Flamengo have scored in each of their last 11 away matches.
- ●Flamengo have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Flamengo have scored in 14 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Flamengo have won 9 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Flamengo have scored in 15 of their 16 away matches.
Atletico Paranaense- ●Atletico Paranaense failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Atletico Paranaense failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Atletico Paranaense have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Atletico Paranaense failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Atletico Paranaense have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Atletico Paranaense failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Atletico Paranaense failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Atletico Paranaense have won 6 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Atletico Paranaense have scored in 12 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Atletico Paranaense have conceded 58% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
FlamengoWABahia3–0
Bahia3–0WHFluminense1–0
Fluminense1–0DASantos2–2
Santos2–2WHRB Bragantino2–1
RB Bragantino2–1WHCorinthians2–1
Corinthians2–1WARemo1–0
Remo1–0–HAtletico-MG26/10
Atletico-MG26/10–AVasco DA Gama29/10
Vasco DA Gama29/10–HGremio04/11
Gremio04/11Atletico ParanaenseDAVitoria1–1
Vitoria1–1LHPalmeiras0–2
Palmeiras0–2WAChapecoense-sc4–1
Chapecoense-sc4–1DHAtletico-MG2–2
Atletico-MG2–2WHBahia2–1
Bahia2–1DACoritiba3–3
Coritiba3–3–AGremio30/10
Gremio30/10–HVasco DA Gama04/11
Vasco DA Gama04/11–AFlamengo18/11
Flamengo18/11Top Scorers
FlamengoPedro26 ⚽
Samuel Lino14 ⚽
Bruno Henrique11 ⚽
Lucas Paqueta9 ⚽
G. de Arrascaeta8 ⚽
J. Carrascal5 ⚽
Atletico ParanaenseK. Viveros18 ⚽
S. Mendoza5 ⚽
Leozinho5 ⚽
Chiqueti5 ⚽
Joao Cruz4 ⚽
Bruninho4 ⚽
Cards Given
FlamengoErick Pulgar11 🟨
Jorginho9 🟨
Evertton Araujo7 🟨
Bruno Henrique6 🟨
Guillermo Varela5 🟨
Alex Sandro5 🟨
Atletico ParanaenseArthur Dias9 🟨
Luiz Gustavo6 🟨
Gastón Benavídez5 🟨
Bruno Zapelli5 🟨
Diogo Riquelme4 🟨
F. Aguirre4 🟨