Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras — Serie A
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Cruzeiro and Palmeiras meet in the Serie A 2026 season on 18 November 2026. Cruzeiro have recorded 30 wins from 62 matches this season (48% win rate), averaging 1.45 goals scored and 1.11 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 58% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 53%; and clean sheets in 35% of games. Palmeiras have won 63% of their 62 matches, with 1.69 goals scored and 0.74 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 48%, Over 2.5 at 47%, and clean sheets at 45%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.39 for Cruzeiro and 1.30 for Palmeiras. The models give Cruzeiro a 37% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Palmeiras win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Cruzeiro—
Palmeiras3º
Position
1º
1.69
PPG
2.16
50%
Win %
63%
1.59
Goals / game
1.75
1.44
Conceded / game
0.69
58%
BTTS %
48%
35%
Clean sheet %
45%
53%
Over 2.5 %
47%
5.2
Avg corners
5.9
14.7
Avg shots
15.7
5.0
Avg shots on target
5.1
2.4
Avg yellow cards
1.9
13.4
Avg fouls
12.6
54.6%
Avg possession
53.2%
Home vs Away
Cruzeiro
Home (16)
—
Palmeiras
Away (16)
1.94
PPG
1.88
56%
Win %
50%
1.69
Goals / game
1.63
1.00
Conceded / game
0.75
47%
BTTS %
50%
47%
Clean sheet %
43%
41%
Over 2.5 %
47%
5.2
Avg corners
5.9
14.7
Avg shots
15.7
5.0
Avg shots on target
5.1
2.4
Avg yellow cards
1.9
54.6%
Avg possession
53.2%
Goals Scored
| Cruzeiro | Home | Away | Palmeiras | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 85% | 88% | 83% | 85% | 91% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 40% | 44% | 37% | 48% | 50% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 19% | 7% | 23% | 28% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 15% | 13% | 17% | 15% | 9% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Cruzeiro | Home | Away | Palmeiras | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 65% | 53% | 77% | 55% | 53% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 31% | 16% | 47% | 11% | 3% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 6% | 17% | 6% | 0% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 35% | 47% | 23% | 45% | 47% | 43% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Cruzeiro | Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 74% | 66% |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 | 24% | 24% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 13% |
| BTTS | 58% | 48% |
| BTTS & Win | 21% | 26% |
| BTTS & Draw | 16% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 47% | 35% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Cruzeiro | Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 31% | 52% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 8% |
| Scored 1st Half | 48% | 66% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 42% | 26% |
| Win 2nd Half | 40% | 39% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 39% | 47% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 21% | 15% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 65% | 61% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 42% | 37% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 32% | 35% |
Recent Venue Form
Cruzeiro (H)W
Remo1–0
Remo1–0W
Sao Paulo2–0
Sao Paulo2–0W
Atletico Paranaense3–1
Atletico Paranaense3–1D
Atletico-MG1–1
Atletico-MG1–1W
Flamengo2–1
Flamengo2–1DFlamengo1–1
Flamengo1–1Palmeiras (A)WAtletico Paranaense2–0
Atletico Paranaense2–0W
Fluminense2–1
Fluminense2–1D
Gremio0–0
Gremio0–0L
LDU de Quito2–3
LDU de Quito2–3D
Botafogo0–0
Botafogo0–0D
Santos0–0
Santos0–0Number of Corners
10.0
Corners / Match
46 games
League Avg
10.4
314 games
11.1
Corners / Match
62 games
| Match Corners | Cruzeiro | Palmeiras | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 76% | 89% | 85% |
| Over 7 | 72% | 79% | 77% |
| Over 8 | 65% | 73% | 68% |
| Over 9 | 52% | 66% | 57% |
| Over 10 | 39% | 56% | 42% |
| Over 11 | 28% | 45% | 34% |
| Over 12 | 26% | 37% | 27% |
| Over 13 | 15% | 29% | 21% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Cruzeiro | Palmeiras |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.2 | 5.9 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.8 | 5.2 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 76% | 82% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 70% | 79% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 59% | 66% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 76% | 79% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 61% | 61% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 43% | 50% |
Head to Head · 28 matches
9
Cruzeiro
32%
12
Draws
43%
7
Palmeiras
25%
79%
Over 1.5
22/28
39%
Over 2.5
11/28
18%
Over 3.5
5/28
68%
BTTS
19/28
17/05/26Cruzeiro
Palmeiras
1–1Cruzeiro26/10/25Cruzeiro
Palmeiras
0–0Cruzeiro01/06/25Palmeiras
Cruzeiro
2–1Palmeiras05/12/24Palmeiras
Cruzeiro
1–2Palmeiras21/07/24Cruzeiro
Palmeiras
2–0Cruzeiro07/12/23Palmeiras
Cruzeiro
1–1Palmeiras14/08/23Cruzeiro
Palmeiras
1–0Cruzeiro08/12/19Palmeiras
Cruzeiro
0–2Palmeiras14/09/19Cruzeiro
Palmeiras
1–0Cruzeiro30/09/18Cruzeiro
Palmeiras
3–1Cruzeiro27/09/18Palmeiras
Cruzeiro
1–1Palmeiras13/09/18Cruzeiro
Palmeiras
0–1Cruzeiro31/05/18Palmeiras
Cruzeiro
1–0Palmeiras30/10/17Cruzeiro
Palmeiras
2–2Cruzeiro27/07/17Palmeiras
Cruzeiro
1–1Palmeiras09/07/17Palmeiras
Cruzeiro
3–1Palmeiras29/06/17Cruzeiro
Palmeiras
3–3Cruzeiro13/10/16Cruzeiro
Palmeiras
0–0Cruzeiro25/06/16Palmeiras
Cruzeiro
2–1Palmeiras21/11/15Cruzeiro
Palmeiras
1–1Cruzeiro| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | +34 | 69 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | +36 | 67 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | +5 | 54 |
| 4 | Atletico Paranaense | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | +12 | 54 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | +10 | 51 |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | +7 | 50 |
| 7 |  Bahia | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | +5 | 49 |
| 8 | Santos | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | +2 | 45 |
| 9 | Sao Paulo | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | +1 | 43 |
| 10 |  RB Bragantino | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | +1 | 41 |
| 11 | Botafogo | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | -7 | 39 |
| 12 |  Coritiba | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | -11 | 39 |
| 13 |  Vasco DA Gama | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | -6 | 38 |
| 14 |  Vitoria | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -11 | 38 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 37 |
| 16 |  Internacional | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | -4 | 35 |
| 17 |  Corinthians | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | -8 | 33 |
| 18 | Gremio | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | -10 | 31 |
| 19 | Remo | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | -16 | 26 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | -32 | 18 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense B | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | -22 | 10 |
Team Insights
Cruzeiro- ●Cruzeiro have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Cruzeiro have scored in each of their last 12 matches.
- ●Cruzeiro have won their last 5 home matches.
- ●Cruzeiro have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Cruzeiro have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Cruzeiro failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Cruzeiro have scored in each of their last 13 away matches.
- ●Cruzeiro have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Cruzeiro failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Cruzeiro have scored in 14 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Cruzeiro failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Cruzeiro have won 7 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Cruzeiro have scored in 14 of their 16 away matches.
- ●65% of Cruzeiro's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Cruzeiro have conceded 57% of their goals in the first half.
Palmeiras- ●Palmeiras have won their last 4 matches.
- ●Palmeiras have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Palmeiras have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Palmeiras have won their last 5 home matches.
- ●Palmeiras have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Palmeiras have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Palmeiras have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Palmeiras have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Palmeiras have scored in 15 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Palmeiras have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Palmeiras have won 8 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Palmeiras have scored in 13 of their 16 away matches.
Season Schedule
CruzeiroWHRemo1–0
Remo1–0WAGremio4–2
Gremio4–2LARB Bragantino2–4
RB Bragantino2–4WHSao Paulo2–0
Sao Paulo2–0WAVitoria3–1
Vitoria3–1LASantos1–2
Santos1–2–AAtletico-MG29/10
Atletico-MG29/10–HBahia06/11
Bahia06/11–HPalmeiras18/11
Palmeiras18/11PalmeirasWHRB Bragantino2–0
RB Bragantino2–0WAAtletico Paranaense2–0
Atletico Paranaense2–0WHCorinthians4–1
Corinthians4–1WHBahia1–0
Bahia1–0DAGremio0–0
Gremio0–0WHSao Paulo2–0
Sao Paulo2–0–ASantos28/10
Santos28/10–HRemo05/11
Remo05/11–ACruzeiro18/11
Cruzeiro18/11Top Scorers
CruzeiroKaio Jorge22 ⚽
Matheus Pereira14 ⚽
Christian8 ⚽
K. Arroyo7 ⚽
N. Villarreal4 ⚽
L. Romero3 ⚽
PalmeirasJ. Lopez21 ⚽
Mauricio11 ⚽
Vitor Roque10 ⚽
R. Sosa9 ⚽
J. Arias8 ⚽
Allan Elias6 ⚽
Cards Given
CruzeiroMatheus Pereira16 🟨
Matheus Henrique9 🟨
K. Arroyo9 🟨
Gerson7 🟨
Lucas Silva7 🟨
Fagner6 🟨
PalmeirasAndreas Pereira9 🟨
Murilo7 🟨
Marlon Freitas7 🟨
Arthur Gabriel6 🟨
Agustin Giay6 🟨
Gustavo Gómez6 🟨