Vitoria vs Fluminense — Serie A
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Vitoria and Fluminense meet in the Serie A 2026 season on 6 November 2026. Vitoria have recorded 24 wins from 59 matches this season (41% win rate), averaging 1.46 goals scored and 1.27 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 47% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 47%; and clean sheets in 34% of games. Fluminense have won 47% of their 60 matches, with 1.47 goals scored and 1.08 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 28%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.69 for Vitoria and 1.05 for Fluminense. The models give Vitoria a 47% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Fluminense win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51% and BTTS at 52%.
Season Statistics
Vitoria—
Fluminense14º
Position
5º
1.19
PPG
1.65
31%
Win %
45%
1.09
Goals / game
1.58
1.44
Conceded / game
1.26
47%
BTTS %
63%
34%
Clean sheet %
28%
47%
Over 2.5 %
50%
4.0
Avg corners
4.6
11.6
Avg shots
13.7
4.2
Avg shots on target
5.0
2.2
Avg yellow cards
2.5
12.7
Avg fouls
13.3
44.9%
Avg possession
58.6%
Home vs Away
Vitoria
Home (16)
—
Fluminense
Away (15)
2.00
PPG
1.00
63%
Win %
20%
1.44
Goals / game
1.33
0.81
Conceded / game
1.53
32%
BTTS %
57%
55%
Clean sheet %
25%
42%
Over 2.5 %
32%
4.0
Avg corners
4.6
11.6
Avg shots
13.7
4.2
Avg shots on target
5.0
2.2
Avg yellow cards
2.5
44.9%
Avg possession
58.6%
Goals Scored
| Vitoria | Home | Away | Fluminense | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 81% | 68% | 82% | 91% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 37% | 45% | 29% | 40% | 56% | 21% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 17% | 26% | 7% | 18% | 22% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 19% | 32% | 18% | 9% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Vitoria | Home | Away | Fluminense | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 66% | 45% | 89% | 72% | 69% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 44% | 23% | 68% | 30% | 25% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 12% | 6% | 18% | 7% | 3% | 11% |
| Clean Sheets | 34% | 55% | 11% | 28% | 31% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Vitoria | Fluminense | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 | 47% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 31% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 12% |
| BTTS | 47% | 63% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 28% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 37% | 48% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 2% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Vitoria | Fluminense | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 36% | 30% |
| Draw 1st Half | 39% | 48% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 22% |
| Scored 1st Half | 51% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 42% | 38% |
| Win 2nd Half | 39% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 24% | 35% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 37% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 49% | 63% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 53% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 34% | 28% |
Recent Venue Form
Vitoria (H)D
Atletico Paranaense1–1
Atletico Paranaense1–1W
Chapecoense-sc4–0
Chapecoense-sc4–0L
Cruzeiro1–3
Cruzeiro1–3W
Gremio1–0
Gremio1–0L
Vasco DA Gama0–2
Vasco DA Gama0–2L
Bahia0–2
Bahia0–2Fluminense (A)LChapecoense-sc1–2
Chapecoense-sc1–2W
Palmeiras1–0
Palmeiras1–0L
Flamengo0–1
Flamengo0–1W
Corinthians3–1
Corinthians3–1L
Platense1–2
Platense1–2L
Atletico-MG1–3
Atletico-MG1–3Number of Corners
9.1
Corners / Match
38 games
League Avg
10.4
314 games
8.6
Corners / Match
58 games
| Match Corners | Vitoria | Fluminense | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 79% | 71% | 85% |
| Over 7 | 68% | 62% | 77% |
| Over 8 | 61% | 53% | 68% |
| Over 9 | 39% | 36% | 57% |
| Over 10 | 24% | 24% | 42% |
| Over 11 | 21% | 17% | 34% |
| Over 12 | 16% | 12% | 27% |
| Over 13 | 8% | 7% | 21% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Vitoria | Fluminense |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.0 | 4.5 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.1 | 4.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 74% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 58% | 64% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 39% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 76% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 74% | 52% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 58% | 47% |
Head to Head · 17 matches
5
Vitoria
29%
7
Draws
41%
5
Fluminense
29%
76%
Over 1.5
13/17
65%
Over 2.5
11/17
29%
Over 3.5
5/17
76%
BTTS
13/17
09/05/26Vitoria
Fluminense
2–2Vitoria20/09/25Fluminense
Vitoria
0–1Fluminense20/04/25Vitoria
Fluminense
1–1Vitoria26/10/24Fluminense
Vitoria
2–1Fluminense27/06/24Vitoria
Fluminense
0–1Vitoria06/09/18Vitoria
Fluminense
0–0Vitoria06/05/18Fluminense
Vitoria
1–2Fluminense10/09/17Fluminense
Vitoria
2–2Fluminense03/06/17Vitoria
Fluminense
2–1Vitoria28/10/16Vitoria
Fluminense
2–2Vitoria10/07/16Fluminense
Vitoria
0–0Fluminense17/09/14Fluminense
Vitoria
3–1Fluminense04/05/14Vitoria
Fluminense
1–2Vitoria27/10/13Vitoria
Fluminense
2–3Vitoria07/08/13Fluminense
Vitoria
1–1Fluminense26/09/10Fluminense
Vitoria
1–2Fluminense02/06/10Vitoria
Fluminense
2–1Vitoria| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | +34 | 69 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | +36 | 67 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | +5 | 54 |
| 4 | Atletico Paranaense | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | +12 | 54 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | +10 | 51 |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | +7 | 50 |
| 7 | Bahia | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | +5 | 49 |
| 8 |  Santos | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | +2 | 45 |
| 9 |  Sao Paulo | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | +1 | 43 |
| 10 |  RB Bragantino | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | +1 | 41 |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | -7 | 39 |
| 12 |  Coritiba | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | -11 | 39 |
| 13 | Vasco DA Gama | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | -6 | 38 |
| 14 | Vitoria | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -11 | 38 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 37 |
| 16 |  Internacional | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | -4 | 35 |
| 17 | Corinthians | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | -8 | 33 |
| 18 | Gremio | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | -10 | 31 |
| 19 |  Remo | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | -16 | 26 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | -32 | 18 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense B | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | -22 | 10 |
Team Insights
Vitoria- ●Vitoria have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Vitoria have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Vitoria have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Vitoria failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Vitoria have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Vitoria have kept a clean sheet in 10 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Vitoria failed to keep a clean sheet in 15 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Vitoria have lost 10 of their 16 away matches.
- ●66% of Vitoria's goals have been scored at home.
- ●72% of Vitoria's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●84% of Vitoria's points have been earned at home.
Fluminense- ●Fluminense have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Fluminense have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Fluminense have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Fluminense have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Fluminense failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 13 away matches.
- ●Fluminense failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Fluminense have scored in 15 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Fluminense failed to keep a clean sheet in 15 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Fluminense have scored in 13 of their 16 away matches.
Season Schedule
VitoriaDHAtletico Paranaense1–1
Atletico Paranaense1–1DACorinthians1–1
Corinthians1–1LASao Paulo1–2
Sao Paulo1–2WHChapecoense-sc4–0
Chapecoense-sc4–0LHCruzeiro1–3
Cruzeiro1–3DAMirassol2–2
Mirassol2–2–ACoritiba29/10
Coritiba29/10–HFluminense06/11
Fluminense06/11–HRB Bragantino18/11
RB Bragantino18/11FluminenseLAChapecoense-sc1–2
Chapecoense-sc1–2LHSantos1–2
Santos1–2LAFlamengo0–1
Flamengo0–1WHCoritiba4–0
Coritiba4–0WACorinthians3–1
Corinthians3–1LAAtletico-MG1–3
Atletico-MG1–3–HInternacional28/10
Internacional28/10–AVitoria06/11
Vitoria06/11–ASao Paulo18/11
Sao Paulo18/11Top Scorers
VitoriaRenato Kayzer14 ⚽
Erick14 ⚽
Rene12 ⚽
Matheuzinho7 ⚽
Baralhas5 ⚽
Carlos Renê de Sousa Ferreira5 ⚽
FluminenseJohn Kennedy15 ⚽
K. Serna9 ⚽
Hulk8 ⚽
J. Savarino8 ⚽
A. Canobbio7 ⚽
Hercules6 ⚽
Cards Given
VitoriaEmmanuel Martinez9 🟨
Renato Kayzer8 🟨
Caca7 🟨
Caique Goncalves6 🟨
Ramon6 🟨
D. Tarzia5 🟨
FluminenseAgustín Canobbio9 🟨
Luciano Acosta8 🟨
Nonato7 🟨
Guga7 🟨
Facundo Bernal7 🟨
A. Canobbio6 🟨