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Sao Paulo vs Corinthians — Serie A

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Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
9º · 1.34 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 11d 5h
vs
–
–
Corinthians
Corinthians
17º · 1.03 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 11d 3h
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Sao Paulo and Corinthians meet in the Serie A 2026 season on 5 November 2026. Sao Paulo have recorded 22 wins from 54 matches this season (41% win rate), averaging 1.19 goals scored and 1.09 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 39%; and clean sheets in 28% of games. Corinthians have won 34% of their 58 matches, with 1.07 goals scored and 1.03 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 47%, Over 2.5 at 33%, and clean sheets at 38%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.57 for Sao Paulo and 0.99 for Corinthians. The models give Sao Paulo a 53% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Corinthians win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 47% and BTTS at 50%.

Season Statistics

Sao Paulo
—
Corinthians
9º
Position
17º
1.34
PPG
1.03
38%
Win %
25%
1.16
Goals / game
1.06
1.13
Conceded / game
1.31
56%
BTTS %
47%
28%
Clean sheet %
38%
39%
Over 2.5 %
33%
6.4
Avg corners
5.3
12.8
Avg shots
13.0
3.8
Avg shots on target
4.2
2.1
Avg yellow cards
2.5
13.2
Avg fouls
12.6
54.1%
Avg possession
57.1%

Home vs Away

Sao Paulo
Home (16)
—
Corinthians
Away (16)
2.06
PPG
0.88
63%
Win %
19%
1.56
Goals / game
1.13
0.81
Conceded / game
1.56
54%
BTTS %
58%
42%
Clean sheet %
32%
38%
Over 2.5 %
32%
6.4
Avg corners
5.3
12.8
Avg shots
13.0
3.8
Avg shots on target
4.2
2.1
Avg yellow cards
2.5
54.1%
Avg possession
57.1%

Goals Scored

Sao PauloHomeAwayCorinthiansHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored80%96%64%76%70%81%
Over 1.5 Scored33%54%14%22%30%16%
Over 2.5 Scored4%8%0%9%15%3%
Failed To Score20%4%36%24%30%19%

Goals Conceded

Sao PauloHomeAwayCorinthiansHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded72%58%86%62%56%68%
Over 1.5 Conceded28%15%39%29%26%32%
Over 2.5 Conceded9%4%14%10%4%16%
Clean Sheets28%42%14%38%44%32%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Sao PauloCorinthians
Over 0.596%91%
Over 1.574%69%
Over 2.539%33%
Over 3.513%12%
Over 4.56%5%
BTTS56%47%
BTTS & Win17%5%
BTTS & Draw20%21%
BTTS & Over 2.537%26%
BTTS No & Over 2.52%7%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Sao PauloCorinthians
Win 1st Half35%14%
Draw 1st Half43%52%
Loss 1st Half22%34%
Scored 1st Half44%28%
Conceded 1st Half30%45%
Win 2nd Half35%36%
Draw 2nd Half24%40%
Loss 2nd Half41%24%
Scored 2nd Half52%55%
Conceded 2nd Half57%40%
Over 0.5 HT65%59%
Over 1.5 HT19%22%

Recent Venue Form

Sao Paulo (H)
WVasco DA Gama1–0
WVitoria2–1
LSantos1–2
WInternacional1–0
DBoca Juniors1–1
WAtletico-MG2–0
Corinthians (A)
LVasco DA Gama2–3
LPalmeiras1–4
LInternacional1–2
LFlamengo1–2
DEstudiantes L.P.1–1
LCoritiba1–2

Number of Corners

11.1
Corners / Match
53 games
League Avg
10.4
314 games
9.8
Corners / Match
56 games
Match CornersSao PauloCorinthiansLeague Avg
Over 689%79%85%
Over 779%73%77%
Over 872%61%68%
Over 966%50%57%
Over 1049%34%42%
Over 1142%25%34%
Over 1238%18%27%
Over 1328%16%21%

Team Corners

Team CornersSao PauloCorinthians
Corners Earned / Match6.45.3
Corners Against / Match4.74.5
Over 2.5 Corners For91%82%
Over 3.5 Corners For81%61%
Over 4.5 Corners For62%54%
Over 2.5 Corners Against77%80%
Over 3.5 Corners Against57%63%
Over 4.5 Corners Against45%39%

Head to Head · 41 matches

15
Sao Paulo
37%
14
Draws
34%
12
Corinthians
29%
80%
Over 1.5
33/41
51%
Over 2.5
21/41
32%
Over 3.5
13/41
66%
BTTS
27/41
10/05/26
Corinthians
3–2
Sao Paulo
18/01/26
Corinthians
1–1
Sao Paulo
20/11/25
Corinthians
3–1
Sao Paulo
20/07/25
Sao Paulo
2–0
Corinthians
26/01/25
Sao Paulo
3–1
Corinthians
29/09/24
Sao Paulo
3–1
Corinthians
16/06/24
Corinthians
2–2
Sao Paulo
30/01/24
Corinthians
1–2
Sao Paulo
30/09/23
Sao Paulo
2–1
Corinthians
16/08/23
Sao Paulo
2–0
Corinthians
26/07/23
Corinthians
2–1
Sao Paulo
14/05/23
Corinthians
1–1
Sao Paulo
29/01/23
Sao Paulo
1–2
Corinthians
11/09/22
Sao Paulo
1–1
Corinthians
22/05/22
Corinthians
1–1
Sao Paulo
27/03/22
Sao Paulo
2–1
Corinthians
05/03/22
Sao Paulo
1–0
Corinthians
18/10/21
Sao Paulo
1–0
Corinthians
01/07/21
Corinthians
0–0
Sao Paulo
03/05/21
Corinthians
2–2
Sao Paulo
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Palmeiras322093+3469
2Flamengo312074+3667
3Cruzeiro3216610+554
4Atletico Paranaense321598+1254
5Fluminense311498+1051
6Atletico-MG311489+750
7Bahia3113108+549
8Santos3112910+245
9Sao Paulo3212713+143
10RB Bragantino3211813+141
11Botafogo3210913-739
12Coritiba3110912-1139
13Vasco DA Gama3110813-638
14Vitoria3210814-1138
15Mirassol3291013-837
16Internacional3281113-435
17Corinthians328915-833
18Gremio3171014-1031
19Remo3251116-1626
20Chapecoense-sc303918-3218
20Chapecoense B201712-2210

Team Insights

Sao Paulo
  • ●Sao Paulo have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
  • ●Sao Paulo have won their last 2 home matches.
  • ●Sao Paulo have scored in each of their last 12 home matches.
  • ●Sao Paulo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 14 away matches.
  • ●Sao Paulo have scored in 15 of their 16 home matches.
  • ●Sao Paulo failed to keep a clean sheet in 15 of their 16 away matches.
  • ●Sao Paulo have lost 10 of their 16 away matches.
  • ●68% of Sao Paulo's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●77% of Sao Paulo's points have been earned at home.
Corinthians
  • ●Corinthians have failed to win in their last 10 matches.
  • ●Corinthians failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
  • ●Corinthians have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
  • ●Corinthians have failed to win in their last 6 home matches.
  • ●Corinthians failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Corinthians have lost their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Corinthians failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Corinthians have scored in each of their last 10 away matches.
  • ●Corinthians have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Corinthians failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 16 away matches.
  • ●Corinthians have scored in 14 of their 16 away matches.
  • ●Corinthians have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.
DAMirassol15º1–1
WHVasco DA Gama13º1–0
WHVitoria14º2–1
LACruzeiro3º0–2
LHSantos8º1–2
WHInternacional16º1–0
LAPalmeiras1º0–2
WHAtletico-MG6º2–0
LAVasco DA Gama13º2–3
DHVitoria14º1–1
LAPalmeiras1º1–4
LAInternacional16º1–2
LHFluminense5º1–3
LAFlamengo2º1–2

Season Schedule

Sao Paulo
DAMirassol1–1
WHVasco DA Gama1–0
WHVitoria2–1
LACruzeiro0–2
LHSantos1–2
WHInternacional1–0
–ABahia29/10
–HCorinthians05/11
–HFluminense18/11
Corinthians
LAVasco DA Gama2–3
DHVitoria1–1
LAPalmeiras1–4
LAInternacional1–2
LHFluminense1–3
LAFlamengo1–2
–HMirassol30/10
–ASao Paulo05/11
–HBotafogo18/11

Top Scorers

Sao Paulo
Jonathan Calleri16 ⚽
Luciano15 ⚽
Artur4 ⚽
Ferreira4 ⚽
G. Tapia3 ⚽
D. Bobadilla3 ⚽
Corinthians
Gustavo Henrique9 ⚽
Yuri Alberto9 ⚽
Andre5 ⚽
Breno Bidon4 ⚽
Matheus Bidu4 ⚽
R. Garro3 ⚽

Cards Given

Sao Paulo
Jonathan Calleri11 🟨
Enzo Díaz10 🟨
Luciano10 🟨
Wendell7 🟨
Damián Bobadilla6 🟨
Alan Franco6 🟨
Corinthians
Breno Bidon14 🟨
Allan12 🟨
Raniele10 🟨
Matheuzinho10 🟨
Gabriel Paulista9 🟨
Gustavo Henrique8 🟨