MatchPulse

Cruzeiro vs Bahia — Serie A

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Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro
3º · 1.69 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 13d 1h
vs
–
–
Bahia
Bahia
7º · 1.58 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 12d 0h
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Cruzeiro and Bahia meet in the Serie A 2026 season on 6 November 2026. Cruzeiro have recorded 30 wins from 62 matches this season (48% win rate), averaging 1.45 goals scored and 1.11 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 58% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 53%; and clean sheets in 35% of games. Bahia have won 49% of their 49 matches, with 1.73 goals scored and 1.27 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 65%, Over 2.5 at 59%, and clean sheets at 24%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.66 for Cruzeiro and 1.28 for Bahia. The models give Cruzeiro a 48% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Bahia win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 58%.

Season Statistics

Cruzeiro
—
Bahia
3º
Position
7º
1.69
PPG
1.58
50%
Win %
42%
1.59
Goals / game
1.42
1.44
Conceded / game
1.26
58%
BTTS %
65%
35%
Clean sheet %
24%
53%
Over 2.5 %
59%
5.2
Avg corners
5.7
14.7
Avg shots
13.4
5.0
Avg shots on target
4.6
2.4
Avg yellow cards
2.4
13.4
Avg fouls
13.4
54.6%
Avg possession
55.6%

Home vs Away

Cruzeiro
Home (16)
—
Bahia
Away (15)
1.94
PPG
1.47
56%
Win %
40%
1.69
Goals / game
1.40
1.00
Conceded / game
1.47
47%
BTTS %
57%
47%
Clean sheet %
26%
41%
Over 2.5 %
48%
5.2
Avg corners
5.7
14.7
Avg shots
13.4
5.0
Avg shots on target
4.6
2.4
Avg yellow cards
2.4
54.6%
Avg possession
55.6%

Goals Scored

CruzeiroHomeAwayBahiaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored85%88%83%86%92%78%
Over 1.5 Scored40%44%37%51%62%39%
Over 2.5 Scored13%19%7%24%31%17%
Failed To Score15%13%17%14%8%22%

Goals Conceded

CruzeiroHomeAwayBahiaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded65%53%77%76%77%74%
Over 1.5 Conceded31%16%47%39%35%43%
Over 2.5 Conceded11%6%17%10%8%13%
Clean Sheets35%47%23%24%23%26%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

CruzeiroBahia
Over 0.592%96%
Over 1.574%84%
Over 2.553%59%
Over 3.524%31%
Over 4.58%20%
BTTS58%65%
BTTS & Win21%29%
BTTS & Draw16%22%
BTTS & Over 2.547%51%
BTTS No & Over 2.56%8%

1st Half / 2nd Half

CruzeiroBahia
Win 1st Half31%43%
Draw 1st Half40%35%
Loss 1st Half29%22%
Scored 1st Half48%61%
Conceded 1st Half42%53%
Win 2nd Half40%31%
Draw 2nd Half39%39%
Loss 2nd Half21%31%
Scored 2nd Half65%49%
Conceded 2nd Half42%47%
Over 0.5 HT73%84%
Over 1.5 HT32%49%

Recent Venue Form

Cruzeiro (H)
WRemo1–0
WSao Paulo2–0
WAtletico Paranaense3–1
DAtletico-MG1–1
WFlamengo2–1
DFlamengo1–1
Bahia (A)
DSantos1–1
LPalmeiras0–1
LAtletico Paranaense1–2
WRB Bragantino3–2
WVitoria2–0
DChapecoense-sc3–3

Number of Corners

10.0
Corners / Match
46 games
League Avg
10.4
314 games
11.1
Corners / Match
34 games
Match CornersCruzeiroBahiaLeague Avg
Over 676%91%85%
Over 772%88%77%
Over 865%74%68%
Over 952%62%57%
Over 1039%44%42%
Over 1128%44%34%
Over 1226%32%27%
Over 1315%29%21%

Team Corners

Team CornersCruzeiroBahia
Corners Earned / Match5.25.7
Corners Against / Match4.85.4
Over 2.5 Corners For76%88%
Over 3.5 Corners For70%79%
Over 4.5 Corners For59%65%
Over 2.5 Corners Against76%79%
Over 3.5 Corners Against61%65%
Over 4.5 Corners Against43%56%

Head to Head · 23 matches

12
Cruzeiro
52%
7
Draws
30%
4
Bahia
17%
70%
Over 1.5
16/23
52%
Over 2.5
12/23
17%
Over 3.5
4/23
57%
BTTS
13/23
10/05/26
Bahia
1–2
Cruzeiro
15/09/25
Bahia
1–2
Cruzeiro
18/04/25
Cruzeiro
3–0
Bahia
19/10/24
Cruzeiro
1–1
Bahia
23/06/24
Bahia
4–1
Cruzeiro
25/10/23
Cruzeiro
3–0
Bahia
10/06/23
Bahia
2–2
Cruzeiro
23/07/22
Cruzeiro
1–0
Bahia
09/04/22
Bahia
2–0
Cruzeiro
03/11/19
Cruzeiro
1–1
Bahia
20/07/19
Bahia
0–0
Cruzeiro
02/12/18
Bahia
0–0
Cruzeiro
19/08/18
Cruzeiro
1–1
Bahia
17/09/17
Cruzeiro
1–0
Bahia
09/06/17
Bahia
1–0
Cruzeiro
11/09/14
Cruzeiro
2–1
Bahia
20/04/14
Bahia
1–2
Cruzeiro
01/12/13
Cruzeiro
1–2
Bahia
05/09/13
Bahia
1–3
Cruzeiro
11/11/12
Cruzeiro
3–1
Bahia
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Palmeiras322093+3469
2Flamengo312074+3667
3Cruzeiro3216610+554
4Atletico Paranaense321598+1254
5Fluminense311498+1051
6Atletico-MG311489+750
7Bahia3113108+549
8Santos3112910+245
9Sao Paulo3212713+143
10RB Bragantino3211813+141
11Botafogo3210913-739
12Coritiba3110912-1139
13Vasco DA Gama3110813-638
14Vitoria3210814-1138
15Mirassol3291013-837
16Internacional3281113-435
17Corinthians328915-833
18Gremio3171014-1031
19Remo3251116-1626
20Chapecoense-sc303918-3218
20Chapecoense B201712-2210

Team Insights

Cruzeiro
  • ●Cruzeiro have won their last 2 matches.
  • ●Cruzeiro have scored in each of their last 12 matches.
  • ●Cruzeiro have won their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Cruzeiro have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
  • ●Cruzeiro have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Cruzeiro failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
  • ●Cruzeiro have scored in each of their last 13 away matches.
  • ●Cruzeiro have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Cruzeiro failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 16 home matches.
  • ●Cruzeiro have scored in 14 of their 16 home matches.
  • ●Cruzeiro failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 16 away matches.
  • ●Cruzeiro have won 7 of their 16 away matches.
  • ●Cruzeiro have scored in 14 of their 16 away matches.
  • ●65% of Cruzeiro's goals conceded were conceded away.
  • ●Cruzeiro have conceded 57% of their goals in the first half.
Bahia
  • ●Bahia failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 16 home matches.
  • ●Bahia have scored in 14 of their 16 home matches.
  • ●Bahia failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 16 away matches.
  • ●Bahia have won 6 of their 16 away matches.
  • ●Bahia have scored in 13 of their 16 away matches.
  • ●Bahia have scored 58% of their goals in the first half.
WHRemo19º1–0
WAGremio18º4–2
LARB Bragantino10º2–4
WHSao Paulo9º2–0
WAVitoria14º3–1
LASantos8º1–2
LAVasco DA Gama13º1–3
DASantos8º1–1
LHFlamengo2º0–3
WHMirassol15º1–0
LAPalmeiras1º0–1
WHRemo19º2–1
WARB Bragantino10º3–2
WHInternacional16º3–2
WAVitoria14º2–0
DAChapecoense-sc20º3–3

Season Schedule

Cruzeiro
WHRemo1–0
WAGremio4–2
LARB Bragantino2–4
WHSao Paulo2–0
WAVitoria3–1
LASantos1–2
–AAtletico-MG29/10
–HBahia06/11
–HPalmeiras18/11
Bahia
DASantos1–1
LHFlamengo0–3
WHMirassol1–0
LAPalmeiras0–1
LAAtletico Paranaense1–2
WHRemo2–1
–HSao Paulo29/10
–ACruzeiro06/11
–AGremio18/11

Top Scorers

Cruzeiro
Kaio Jorge22 ⚽
Matheus Pereira14 ⚽
Christian8 ⚽
K. Arroyo7 ⚽
N. Villarreal4 ⚽
L. Romero3 ⚽
Bahia
Willian Jose9 ⚽
Luciano Juba8 ⚽
Erick8 ⚽
Everaldo7 ⚽
Jean Lucas6 ⚽
Luciano4 ⚽

Cards Given

Cruzeiro
Matheus Pereira16 🟨
Matheus Henrique9 🟨
K. Arroyo9 🟨
Gerson7 🟨
Lucas Silva7 🟨
Fagner6 🟨
Bahia
Erick7 🟨
Jean Lucas7 🟨
Nicolás Acevedo7 🟨
Luciano Juba6 🟨
Ademir6 🟨
Erick Pulga5 🟨