Cruzeiro vs Bahia — Serie A
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Cruzeiro and Bahia meet in the Serie A 2026 season on 6 November 2026. Cruzeiro have recorded 30 wins from 62 matches this season (48% win rate), averaging 1.45 goals scored and 1.11 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 58% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 53%; and clean sheets in 35% of games. Bahia have won 49% of their 49 matches, with 1.73 goals scored and 1.27 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 65%, Over 2.5 at 59%, and clean sheets at 24%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.66 for Cruzeiro and 1.28 for Bahia. The models give Cruzeiro a 48% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Bahia win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Cruzeiro | Home | Away | Bahia | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 85% | 88% | 83% | 86% | 92% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 40% | 44% | 37% | 51% | 62% | 39% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 19% | 7% | 24% | 31% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 15% | 13% | 17% | 14% | 8% | 22% |
Goals Conceded
| Cruzeiro | Home | Away | Bahia | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 65% | 53% | 77% | 76% | 77% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 31% | 16% | 47% | 39% | 35% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 6% | 17% | 10% | 8% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 35% | 47% | 23% | 24% | 23% | 26% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Cruzeiro | Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 74% | 84% |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 59% |
| Over 3.5 | 24% | 31% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 20% |
| BTTS | 58% | 65% |
| BTTS & Win | 21% | 29% |
| BTTS & Draw | 16% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 47% | 51% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Cruzeiro | Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 31% | 43% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 35% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 22% |
| Scored 1st Half | 48% | 61% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 42% | 53% |
| Win 2nd Half | 40% | 31% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 39% | 39% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 21% | 31% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 65% | 49% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 42% | 47% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 84% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 32% | 49% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Cruzeiro | Bahia | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 76% | 91% | 85% |
| Over 7 | 72% | 88% | 77% |
| Over 8 | 65% | 74% | 68% |
| Over 9 | 52% | 62% | 57% |
| Over 10 | 39% | 44% | 42% |
| Over 11 | 28% | 44% | 34% |
| Over 12 | 26% | 32% | 27% |
| Over 13 | 15% | 29% | 21% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Cruzeiro | Bahia |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.2 | 5.7 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.8 | 5.4 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 76% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 70% | 79% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 59% | 65% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 76% | 79% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 61% | 65% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 43% | 56% |
Head to Head · 23 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | +34 | 69 | |
| 2 | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | +36 | 67 | |
| 3 | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | +5 | 54 | |
| 4 | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | +12 | 54 | |
| 5 | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | +10 | 51 | |
| 6 | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | +7 | 50 | |
| 7 | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | +5 | 49 | |
| 8 | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | +2 | 45 | |
| 9 | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | +1 | 43 | |
| 10 | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | +1 | 41 | |
| 11 | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | -7 | 39 | |
| 12 | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | -11 | 39 | |
| 13 | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | -6 | 38 | |
| 14 | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -11 | 38 | |
| 15 | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 37 | |
| 16 | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | -4 | 35 | |
| 17 | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | -8 | 33 | |
| 18 | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | -10 | 31 | |
| 19 | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | -16 | 26 | |
| 20 | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | -32 | 18 | |
| 20 | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | -22 | 10 |
Team Insights
- ●Cruzeiro have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Cruzeiro have scored in each of their last 12 matches.
- ●Cruzeiro have won their last 5 home matches.
- ●Cruzeiro have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Cruzeiro have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Cruzeiro failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Cruzeiro have scored in each of their last 13 away matches.
- ●Cruzeiro have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Cruzeiro failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Cruzeiro have scored in 14 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Cruzeiro failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Cruzeiro have won 7 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Cruzeiro have scored in 14 of their 16 away matches.
- ●65% of Cruzeiro's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Cruzeiro have conceded 57% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Bahia failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Bahia have scored in 14 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Bahia failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Bahia have won 6 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Bahia have scored in 13 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Bahia have scored 58% of their goals in the first half.

