Botafogo vs Atletico-MG — Serie A
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Estádio Nilton Santos·Rio de Janeiro·Brazil·46,931
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Botafogo and Atletico-MG meet in the Serie A 2026 season on 5 November 2026. Botafogo have recorded 23 wins from 56 matches this season (41% win rate), averaging 1.38 goals scored and 1.34 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 54% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 52%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Atletico-MG have won 43% of their 60 matches, with 1.40 goals scored and 1.07 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 53%, Over 2.5 at 45%, and clean sheets at 27%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.42 for Botafogo and 1.19 for Atletico-MG. The models give Botafogo a 39% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Atletico-MG win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 48% and BTTS at 53%.
Season Statistics
Botafogo—
Atletico-MG11º
Position
6º
1.22
PPG
1.61
31%
Win %
45%
1.38
Goals / game
1.35
1.59
Conceded / game
1.13
54%
BTTS %
53%
27%
Clean sheet %
27%
52%
Over 2.5 %
45%
4.7
Avg corners
5.1
14.3
Avg shots
13.3
5.2
Avg shots on target
4.8
2.4
Avg yellow cards
1.7
13.1
Avg fouls
11.6
51.0%
Avg possession
51.1%
Home vs Away
Botafogo
Home (16)
—
Atletico-MG
Away (15)
1.50
PPG
1.00
38%
Win %
27%
1.63
Goals / game
1.00
1.38
Conceded / game
1.20
52%
BTTS %
43%
38%
Clean sheet %
20%
52%
Over 2.5 %
37%
4.7
Avg corners
5.1
14.3
Avg shots
13.3
5.2
Avg shots on target
4.8
2.4
Avg yellow cards
1.7
51.0%
Avg possession
51.1%
Goals Scored
| Botafogo | Home | Away | Atletico-MG | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 79% | 70% | 73% | 90% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 39% | 45% | 33% | 40% | 53% | 27% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 21% | 19% | 17% | 20% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 21% | 30% | 27% | 10% | 43% |
Goals Conceded
| Botafogo | Home | Away | Atletico-MG | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 73% | 62% | 85% | 73% | 67% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 31% | 44% | 28% | 17% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 7% | 19% | 3% | 7% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 27% | 38% | 15% | 27% | 33% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Botafogo | Atletico-MG | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 77% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 45% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 23% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 5% |
| BTTS | 54% | 53% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 23% |
| BTTS & Draw | 16% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 41% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Botafogo | Atletico-MG | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 32% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 32% | 42% |
| Loss 1st Half | 36% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 41% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 52% | 37% |
| Win 2nd Half | 39% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 27% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 55% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 48% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 30% | 25% |
Recent Venue Form
Botafogo (H)W
Chapecoense-sc1–0
Chapecoense-sc1–0L
Vasco DA Gama1–2
Vasco DA Gama1–2W
Gremio3–2
Gremio3–2D
RB Bragantino1–1
RB Bragantino1–1D
Palmeiras0–0
Palmeiras0–0L
Atletico Paranaense2–3
Atletico Paranaense2–3Atletico-MG (A)L
Atletico Torque0–2
Atletico Torque0–2DAtletico Paranaense2–2
Atletico Paranaense2–2L
Santos0–2
Santos0–2L
Sao Paulo0–2
Sao Paulo0–2D
Cruzeiro1–1
Cruzeiro1–1D
Internacional0–0
Internacional0–0Number of Corners
10.1
Corners / Match
55 games
League Avg
10.4
314 games
10.2
Corners / Match
48 games
| Match Corners | Botafogo | Atletico-MG | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 78% | 85% | 85% |
| Over 7 | 71% | 73% | 77% |
| Over 8 | 58% | 69% | 68% |
| Over 9 | 55% | 58% | 57% |
| Over 10 | 36% | 40% | 42% |
| Over 11 | 35% | 33% | 34% |
| Over 12 | 27% | 27% | 27% |
| Over 13 | 24% | 23% | 21% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Botafogo | Atletico-MG |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.7 | 5.1 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.4 | 5.1 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 80% | 77% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 67% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 51% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 82% | 77% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 73% | 65% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 51% | 56% |
Head to Head · 34 matches
13
Botafogo
38%
6
Draws
18%
15
Atletico-MG
44%
65%
Over 1.5
22/34
44%
Over 2.5
15/34
24%
Over 3.5
8/34
35%
BTTS
12/34
10/05/26Botafogo
Atletico-MG
1–1Botafogo20/09/25Atletico-MG
Botafogo
1–0Atletico-MG20/04/25Botafogo
Atletico-MG
1–0Botafogo30/11/24Botafogo
Atletico-MG
1–3Botafogo21/11/24Botafogo
Atletico-MG
0–0Botafogo07/07/24Atletico-MG
Botafogo
3–0Atletico-MG17/09/23Botafogo
Atletico-MG
1–0Botafogo07/05/23Atletico-MG
Botafogo
2–0Atletico-MG07/11/22Botafogo
Atletico-MG
0–2Botafogo17/07/22Atletico-MG
Botafogo
0–1Atletico-MG26/11/20Botafogo
Atletico-MG
2–1Botafogo20/08/20Atletico-MG
Botafogo
2–1Atletico-MG04/12/19Botafogo
Atletico-MG
2–0Botafogo08/09/19Atletico-MG
Botafogo
2–1Atletico-MG01/08/19Botafogo
Atletico-MG
2–0Botafogo25/07/19Atletico-MG
Botafogo
0–1Atletico-MG01/12/18Botafogo
Atletico-MG
1–0Botafogo19/08/18Atletico-MG
Botafogo
0–3Atletico-MG29/10/17Botafogo
Atletico-MG
0–0Botafogo26/07/17Atletico-MG
Botafogo
3–0Atletico-MG| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | +34 | 69 |
| 2 |  Flamengo | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | +36 | 67 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | +5 | 54 |
| 4 | Atletico Paranaense | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | +12 | 54 |
| 5 |  Fluminense | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | +10 | 51 |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | +7 | 50 |
| 7 |  Bahia | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | +5 | 49 |
| 8 | Santos | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | +2 | 45 |
| 9 | Sao Paulo | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | +1 | 43 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | +1 | 41 |
| 11 | Botafogo | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | -7 | 39 |
| 12 |  Coritiba | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | -11 | 39 |
| 13 | Vasco DA Gama | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | -6 | 38 |
| 14 |  Vitoria | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -11 | 38 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 37 |
| 16 | Internacional | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | -4 | 35 |
| 17 |  Corinthians | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | -8 | 33 |
| 18 | Gremio | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | -10 | 31 |
| 19 |  Remo | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | -16 | 26 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | -32 | 18 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense B | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | -22 | 10 |
Team Insights
Botafogo- ●Botafogo have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Botafogo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Botafogo failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Botafogo failed to keep a clean sheet in 15 of their 16 away matches.
Atletico-MG- ●Atletico-MG have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Atletico-MG have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Atletico-MG have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Atletico-MG have scored in each of their last 10 home matches.
- ●Atletico-MG failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Atletico-MG have scored in 15 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Atletico-MG failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 away matches.
- ●64% of Atletico-MG's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
BotafogoLAInternacional0–3
Internacional0–3WHChapecoense-sc1–0
Chapecoense-sc1–0DACoritiba1–1
Coritiba1–1LHVasco DA Gama1–2
Vasco DA Gama1–2LAMirassol0–2
Mirassol0–2WHGremio3–2
Gremio3–2–ARemo29/10
Remo29/10–HAtletico-MG05/11
Atletico-MG05/11–ACorinthians18/11
Corinthians18/11Atletico-MGWHCoritiba1–0
Coritiba1–0WHSantos2–1
Santos2–1DAAtletico Paranaense2–2
Atletico Paranaense2–2WHRB Bragantino1–0
RB Bragantino1–0DHChapecoense-sc1–1
Chapecoense-sc1–1WHFluminense3–1
Fluminense3–1–AFlamengo26/10
Flamengo26/10–HCruzeiro29/10
Cruzeiro29/10–ABotafogo05/11
Botafogo05/11Top Scorers
BotafogoDanilo10 ⚽
Arthur Cabral9 ⚽
Alex Telles7 ⚽
Matheus Martins6 ⚽
Edenilson4 ⚽
Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira3 ⚽
Atletico-MGReinier6 ⚽
Victor Hugo6 ⚽
Cuello6 ⚽
Bernard6 ⚽
M. Cassierra5 ⚽
R. Lodi5 ⚽
Cards Given
BotafogoAlexander Barboza8 🟨
Álvaro Montoro8 🟨
Huguinho6 🟨
Alex Telles6 🟨
Allan6 🟨
Arthur Cabral6 🟨
Atletico-MGAlan Franco8 🟨
Lyanco7 🟨
Ruan Tressoldi7 🟨
Ruan6 🟨
Natanael5 🟨
A. Franco5 🟨