Vasco DA Gama vs Flamengo — Serie A
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Vasco DA Gama and Flamengo meet in the Serie A 2026 season on 29 October 2026. Vasco DA Gama have recorded 24 wins from 60 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 1.35 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Flamengo have won 57% of their 61 matches, with 1.90 goals scored and 0.89 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 49%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 41%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.26 for Vasco DA Gama and 1.61 for Flamengo. The models give Vasco DA Gama a 25% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Flamengo win at 50%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
Vasco DA Gama—
Flamengo13º
Position
2º
1.23
PPG
2.16
32%
Win %
65%
1.26
Goals / game
1.97
1.45
Conceded / game
0.81
50%
BTTS %
49%
33%
Clean sheet %
41%
50%
Over 2.5 %
56%
5.4
Avg corners
5.6
16.0
Avg shots
15.4
5.2
Avg shots on target
5.8
2.0
Avg yellow cards
1.8
12.6
Avg fouls
11.9
54.2%
Avg possession
58.1%
Home vs Away
Vasco DA Gama
Home (16)
—
Flamengo
Away (16)
1.69
PPG
1.94
50%
Win %
56%
1.50
Goals / game
2.00
1.25
Conceded / game
0.94
45%
BTTS %
50%
39%
Clean sheet %
37%
52%
Over 2.5 %
57%
5.4
Avg corners
5.6
16.0
Avg shots
15.4
5.2
Avg shots on target
5.8
2.0
Avg yellow cards
1.8
54.2%
Avg possession
58.1%
Goals Scored
| Vasco DA | Home | Away | Flamengo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 70% | 71% | 69% | 85% | 90% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 40% | 42% | 38% | 56% | 68% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 18% | 23% | 14% | 25% | 29% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 29% | 31% | 15% | 10% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Vasco DA | Home | Away | Flamengo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 61% | 72% | 59% | 55% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 28% | 29% | 28% | 23% | 19% | 27% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 12% | 10% | 14% | 7% | 6% | 7% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 39% | 28% | 41% | 45% | 37% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Vasco DA | Flamengo | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 85% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 20% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 10% |
| BTTS | 50% | 49% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 21% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 40% | 34% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 21% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Vasco DA | Flamengo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 32% | 39% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 44% |
| Loss 1st Half | 28% | 16% |
| Scored 1st Half | 35% | 49% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 38% | 30% |
| Win 2nd Half | 40% | 52% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 27% | 23% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 53% | 72% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 47% | 41% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 63% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 17% | 28% |
Recent Venue Form
Vasco DA (H)W
Corinthians3–2
Corinthians3–2L
Boca Juniors1–3
Boca Juniors1–3D
Remo0–0
Remo0–0W
Coritiba5–0
Coritiba5–0W
Santa Fe2–0
Santa Fe2–0W
Cruzeiro3–1
Cruzeiro3–1Flamengo (A)W
Bahia3–0
Bahia3–0D
Estudiantes L.P.0–0
Estudiantes L.P.0–0D
Santos2–2
Santos2–2W
Independiente del Valle2–0
Independiente del Valle2–0WRemo1–0
Remo1–0LCruzeiro1–2
Cruzeiro1–2Number of Corners
9.5
Corners / Match
59 games
League Avg
10.4
314 games
9.5
Corners / Match
54 games
| Match Corners | Vasco DA | Flamengo | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 83% | 83% | 85% |
| Over 7 | 68% | 72% | 77% |
| Over 8 | 59% | 59% | 68% |
| Over 9 | 51% | 46% | 57% |
| Over 10 | 36% | 33% | 42% |
| Over 11 | 25% | 22% | 34% |
| Over 12 | 17% | 13% | 27% |
| Over 13 | 14% | 9% | 21% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Vasco DA | Flamengo |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.4 | 5.6 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.1 | 3.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 86% | 81% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 69% | 69% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 58% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 78% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 58% | 56% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 46% | 44% |
Head to Head · 38 matches
4
Vasco DA
11%
15
Draws
39%
19
Flamengo
50%
58%
Over 1.5
22/38
32%
Over 2.5
12/38
21%
Over 3.5
8/38
53%
BTTS
20/38
03/05/26Vasco DA Gama
Flamengo
2–2Vasco DA Gama22/01/26Vasco DA Gama
Flamengo
1–0Vasco DA Gama21/09/25Vasco DA Gama
Flamengo
1–1Vasco DA Gama19/04/25Flamengo
Vasco DA Gama
0–0Flamengo08/03/25Vasco DA Gama
Flamengo
2–1Vasco DA Gama01/03/25Flamengo
Vasco DA Gama
0–1Flamengo16/02/25Vasco DA Gama
Flamengo
2–0Vasco DA Gama15/09/24Vasco DA Gama
Flamengo
1–1Vasco DA Gama02/06/24Flamengo
Vasco DA Gama
1–6Flamengo04/02/24Flamengo
Vasco DA Gama
0–0Flamengo22/10/23Vasco DA Gama
Flamengo
1–0Vasco DA Gama05/06/23Flamengo
Vasco DA Gama
1–4Flamengo19/03/23Flamengo
Vasco DA Gama
1–3Flamengo14/03/23Vasco DA Gama
Flamengo
3–2Vasco DA Gama05/03/23Vasco DA Gama
Flamengo
0–1Vasco DA Gama20/03/22Vasco DA Gama
Flamengo
1–0Vasco DA Gama16/03/22Flamengo
Vasco DA Gama
0–1Flamengo06/03/22Vasco DA Gama
Flamengo
2–1Vasco DA Gama16/04/21Vasco DA Gama
Flamengo
1–3Vasco DA Gama05/02/21Vasco DA Gama
Flamengo
2–0Vasco DA Gama| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palmeiras | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | +34 | 69 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | +36 | 67 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | +5 | 54 |
| 4 |  Atletico Paranaense | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | +12 | 54 |
| 5 |  Fluminense | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | +10 | 51 |
| 6 |  Atletico-MG | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | +7 | 50 |
| 7 | Bahia | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | +5 | 49 |
| 8 | Santos | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | +2 | 45 |
| 9 |  Sao Paulo | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | +1 | 43 |
| 10 |  RB Bragantino | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | +1 | 41 |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | -7 | 39 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | -11 | 39 |
| 13 | Vasco DA Gama | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | -6 | 38 |
| 14 |  Vitoria | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -11 | 38 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 37 |
| 16 |  Internacional | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | -4 | 35 |
| 17 | Corinthians | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | -8 | 33 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | -10 | 31 |
| 19 | Remo | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | -16 | 26 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | -32 | 18 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense B | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | -22 | 10 |
Team Insights
Vasco DA- ●Vasco DA Gama have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Vasco DA Gama failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Vasco DA Gama failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Vasco DA Gama failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 15 away matches.
- ●62% of Vasco DA Gama's goals have been scored at home.
Flamengo- ●Flamengo have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Flamengo have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Flamengo have scored in each of their last 15 matches.
- ●Flamengo have won their last 6 home matches.
- ●Flamengo have scored in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Flamengo have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Flamengo have scored in each of their last 11 away matches.
- ●Flamengo have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Flamengo have scored in 14 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Flamengo have won 9 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Flamengo have scored in 15 of their 16 away matches.
Season Schedule
Vasco DAWHCorinthians3–2
Corinthians3–2LASao Paulo0–1
Sao Paulo0–1DHRemo0–0
Remo0–0WABotafogo2–1
Botafogo2–1WHCoritiba5–0
Coritiba5–0WAGremio2–1
Gremio2–1–HFlamengo29/10
Flamengo29/10–AAtletico Paranaense04/11
Atletico Paranaense04/11–HInternacional18/11
Internacional18/11FlamengoWABahia3–0
Bahia3–0WHFluminense1–0
Fluminense1–0DASantos2–2
Santos2–2WHRB Bragantino2–1
RB Bragantino2–1WHCorinthians2–1
Corinthians2–1WARemo1–0
Remo1–0–HAtletico-MG26/10
Atletico-MG26/10–AVasco DA Gama29/10
Vasco DA Gama29/10–HGremio04/11
Gremio04/11Top Scorers
Vasco DAThiago Mendes8 ⚽
C. Spinelli7 ⚽
David6 ⚽
J. Rodriguez6 ⚽
Brenner5 ⚽
Adson5 ⚽
FlamengoPedro26 ⚽
Samuel Lino14 ⚽
Bruno Henrique11 ⚽
Lucas Paqueta9 ⚽
G. de Arrascaeta8 ⚽
J. Carrascal5 ⚽
Cards Given
Vasco DAThiago Mendes14 🟨
Cauan Barros13 🟨
Andrés Gómez12 🟨
Tchê Tchê6 🟨
Robert Renan6 🟨
Cuiabano5 🟨
FlamengoErick Pulgar11 🟨
Jorginho9 🟨
Evertton Araujo7 🟨
Bruno Henrique6 🟨
Guillermo Varela5 🟨
Alex Sandro5 🟨