Santos vs Palmeiras — Serie A
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Santos and Palmeiras meet in the Serie A 2026 season on 28 October 2026. Santos have recorded 23 wins from 60 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 1.22 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 62% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 55%; and clean sheets in 28% of games. Palmeiras have won 63% of their 62 matches, with 1.69 goals scored and 0.74 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 48%, Over 2.5 at 47%, and clean sheets at 45%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.23 for Santos and 1.44 for Palmeiras. The models give Santos a 31% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Palmeiras win at 42%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Santos—
Palmeiras8º
Position
1º
1.45
PPG
2.16
39%
Win %
63%
1.55
Goals / game
1.75
1.48
Conceded / game
0.69
62%
BTTS %
48%
28%
Clean sheet %
45%
55%
Over 2.5 %
47%
5.3
Avg corners
5.9
13.6
Avg shots
15.7
4.1
Avg shots on target
5.1
2.8
Avg yellow cards
1.9
12.2
Avg fouls
12.6
53.1%
Avg possession
53.2%
Home vs Away
Santos
Home (15)
—
Palmeiras
Away (16)
1.53
PPG
1.88
40%
Win %
50%
1.47
Goals / game
1.63
1.33
Conceded / game
0.75
57%
BTTS %
50%
37%
Clean sheet %
43%
50%
Over 2.5 %
47%
5.3
Avg corners
5.9
13.6
Avg shots
15.7
4.1
Avg shots on target
5.1
2.8
Avg yellow cards
1.9
53.1%
Avg possession
53.2%
Goals Scored
| Santos | Home | Away | Palmeiras | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 80% | 80% | 85% | 91% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 48% | 53% | 43% | 48% | 50% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 17% | 10% | 23% | 28% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 20% | 20% | 15% | 9% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Santos | Home | Away | Palmeiras | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 72% | 63% | 80% | 55% | 53% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 35% | 27% | 43% | 11% | 3% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 12% | 7% | 17% | 6% | 0% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 28% | 37% | 20% | 45% | 47% | 43% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Santos | Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 66% |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 24% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 13% |
| BTTS | 62% | 48% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 26% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 45% | 35% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Santos | Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 30% | 52% |
| Draw 1st Half | 47% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 23% | 8% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 66% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 43% | 26% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 39% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 32% | 47% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 15% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 61% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 45% | 37% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 72% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 38% | 35% |
Recent Venue Form
Santos (H)D
Bahia1–1
Bahia1–1D
Flamengo2–2
Flamengo2–2W
Cruzeiro2–1
Cruzeiro2–1W
Atletico-MG2–0
Atletico-MG2–0DPalmeiras0–0
Palmeiras0–0D
Mirassol1–1
Mirassol1–1Palmeiras (A)W
Atletico Paranaense2–0
Atletico Paranaense2–0W
Fluminense2–1
Fluminense2–1D
Gremio0–0
Gremio0–0L
LDU de Quito2–3
LDU de Quito2–3D
Botafogo0–0
Botafogo0–0DSantos0–0
Santos0–0Number of Corners
10.2
Corners / Match
57 games
League Avg
10.4
314 games
11.1
Corners / Match
62 games
| Match Corners | Santos | Palmeiras | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 88% | 89% | 85% |
| Over 7 | 82% | 79% | 77% |
| Over 8 | 74% | 73% | 68% |
| Over 9 | 61% | 66% | 57% |
| Over 10 | 42% | 56% | 42% |
| Over 11 | 28% | 45% | 34% |
| Over 12 | 21% | 37% | 27% |
| Over 13 | 11% | 29% | 21% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Santos | Palmeiras |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.3 | 5.9 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.9 | 5.2 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 84% | 82% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 74% | 79% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 61% | 66% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 79% | 79% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 68% | 61% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 49% | 50% |
Head to Head · 41 matches
13
Santos
32%
8
Draws
20%
20
Palmeiras
49%
63%
Over 1.5
26/41
41%
Over 2.5
17/41
20%
Over 3.5
8/41
44%
BTTS
18/41
03/09/26Palmeiras
Santos
0–0Palmeiras27/08/26Santos
Palmeiras
3–0Santos02/05/26Santos
Palmeiras
1–1Santos14/01/26Santos
Palmeiras
1–0Santos16/11/25Palmeiras
Santos
1–0Palmeiras07/11/25Santos
Palmeiras
2–0Santos23/01/25Palmeiras
Santos
1–2Palmeiras07/04/24Santos
Palmeiras
2–0Santos31/03/24Palmeiras
Santos
1–0Palmeiras28/01/24Santos
Palmeiras
2–1Santos08/10/23Santos
Palmeiras
1–2Santos21/05/23Palmeiras
Santos
0–0Palmeiras04/02/23Santos
Palmeiras
3–1Santos18/09/22Santos
Palmeiras
1–0Santos29/05/22Palmeiras
Santos
0–1Palmeiras13/03/22Santos
Palmeiras
1–0Santos07/11/21Palmeiras
Santos
0–2Palmeiras10/07/21Santos
Palmeiras
3–2Santos07/05/21Santos
Palmeiras
3–2Santos30/01/21Santos
Palmeiras
1–0Santos| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | +34 | 69 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | +36 | 67 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | +5 | 54 |
| 4 | Atletico Paranaense | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | +12 | 54 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | +10 | 51 |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | +7 | 50 |
| 7 | Bahia | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | +5 | 49 |
| 8 | Santos | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | +2 | 45 |
| 9 |  Sao Paulo | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | +1 | 43 |
| 10 |  RB Bragantino | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | +1 | 41 |
| 11 | Botafogo | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | -7 | 39 |
| 12 |  Coritiba | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | -11 | 39 |
| 13 |  Vasco DA Gama | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | -6 | 38 |
| 14 |  Vitoria | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -11 | 38 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 37 |
| 16 |  Internacional | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | -4 | 35 |
| 17 |  Corinthians | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | -8 | 33 |
| 18 | Gremio | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | -10 | 31 |
| 19 |  Remo | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | -16 | 26 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | -32 | 18 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense B | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | -22 | 10 |
Team Insights
Santos- ●Santos failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Santos have scored in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Santos have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Santos failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Santos have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Santos failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Santos have scored in each of their last 12 away matches.
- ●Santos failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Santos have scored in 14 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Santos failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Santos have won 6 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Santos have scored in 15 of their 16 away matches.
Palmeiras- ●Palmeiras have won their last 4 matches.
- ●Palmeiras have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Palmeiras have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Palmeiras have won their last 5 home matches.
- ●Palmeiras have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Palmeiras have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Palmeiras have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Palmeiras have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Palmeiras have scored in 15 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Palmeiras have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Palmeiras have won 8 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Palmeiras have scored in 13 of their 16 away matches.
Season Schedule
SantosDHBahia1–1
Bahia1–1WAFluminense2–1
Fluminense2–1LAAtletico-MG1–2
Atletico-MG1–2DHFlamengo2–2
Flamengo2–2WASao Paulo2–1
Sao Paulo2–1WARemo2–1
Remo2–1–HPalmeiras28/10
Palmeiras28/10–ARB Bragantino02/11
RB Bragantino02/11–ACoritiba18/11
Coritiba18/11PalmeirasWHRB Bragantino2–0
RB Bragantino2–0WAAtletico Paranaense2–0
Atletico Paranaense2–0WHCorinthians4–1
Corinthians4–1WHBahia1–0
Bahia1–0DAGremio0–0
Gremio0–0WHSao Paulo2–0
Sao Paulo2–0–ASantos28/10
Santos28/10–HRemo05/11
Remo05/11–ACruzeiro18/11
Cruzeiro18/11Top Scorers
SantosGabriel Barbosa25 ⚽
Neymar8 ⚽
A. Barreal6 ⚽
Gabriel Bontempo6 ⚽
Rony5 ⚽
Thaciano5 ⚽
PalmeirasJ. Lopez21 ⚽
Mauricio11 ⚽
Vitor Roque10 ⚽
R. Sosa9 ⚽
J. Arias8 ⚽
Allan Elias6 ⚽
Cards Given
SantosGabriel Barbosa14 🟨
Gonzalo Escobar13 🟨
Luan Peres12 🟨
Neymar10 🟨
Gabriel Menino9 🟨
Rony9 🟨
PalmeirasAndreas Pereira9 🟨
Murilo7 🟨
Marlon Freitas7 🟨
Arthur Gabriel6 🟨
Agustin Giay6 🟨
Gustavo Gómez6 🟨