Brazil · Serie A · Regular Season - 33

Gremio

18º · 1.00 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 11d 5h

–

Atletico Paranaense

4º · 1.69 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 5d 5h

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Gremio and Atletico Paranaense meet in the Serie A 2026 season on 30 October 2026. Gremio have recorded 21 wins from 59 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 1.37 goals scored and 1.12 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 53% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 44%; and clean sheets in 32% of games. Atletico Paranaense have won 44% of their 48 matches, with 1.52 goals scored and 1.15 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 27%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.63 for Gremio and 1.41 for Atletico Paranaense. The models give Gremio a 37% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Atletico Paranaense win at 38%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 58% and BTTS at 61%.

Season Statistics

Gremio

—

Atletico Paranaense

18º

Position

4º

1.00

PPG

1.69

23%

Win %

47%

1.10

Goals / game

1.56

1.42

Conceded / game

1.19

53%

BTTS %

54%

32%

Clean sheet %

27%

44%

Over 2.5 %

50%

4.2

Avg corners

5.1

12.3

Avg shots

12.8

4.0

Avg shots on target

4.8

2.6

Avg yellow cards

2.2

12.7

Avg fouls

13.8

51.4%

Avg possession

48.8%

Home vs Away

Gremio

Home (16)

—

Atletico Paranaense

Away (16)

1.63

PPG

1.38

44%

Win %

38%

1.56

Goals / game

1.44

1.31

Conceded / game

1.44

55%

BTTS %

64%

35%

Clean sheet %

16%

45%

Over 2.5 %

60%

4.2

Avg corners

5.1

12.3

Avg shots

12.8

4.0

Avg shots on target

4.8

2.6

Avg yellow cards

2.2

51.4%

Avg possession

48.8%

Goals Scored

	Gremio	Home	Away	Atletico Paranaense	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	75%	84%	64%	73%	74%	72%
Over 1.5 Scored	37%	45%	29%	50%	61%	40%
Over 2.5 Scored	17%	23%	11%	19%	22%	16%
Failed To Score	25%	16%	36%	27%	26%	28%

Goals Conceded

	Gremio	Home	Away	Atletico Paranaense	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	68%	65%	71%	73%	61%	84%
Over 1.5 Conceded	29%	23%	36%	27%	13%	40%
Over 2.5 Conceded	12%	10%	14%	13%	4%	20%
Clean Sheets	32%	35%	29%	27%	39%	16%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Gremio	Atletico Paranaense
Over 0.5	90%	92%
Over 1.5	73%	75%
Over 2.5	44%	50%
Over 3.5	22%	29%
Over 4.5	12%	17%
BTTS	53%	54%
BTTS & Win	14%	25%
BTTS & Draw	20%	19%
BTTS & Over 2.5	34%	44%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	10%	6%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Gremio	Atletico Paranaense
Win 1st Half	29%	35%
Draw 1st Half	47%	38%
Loss 1st Half	24%	27%
Scored 1st Half	44%	56%
Conceded 1st Half	41%	54%
Win 2nd Half	41%	33%
Draw 2nd Half	29%	44%
Loss 2nd Half	31%	23%
Scored 2nd Half	54%	52%
Conceded 2nd Half	46%	40%
Over 0.5 HT	64%	81%
Over 1.5 HT	29%	48%

Recent Venue Form

Gremio (H)

Cruzeiro2–4

Internacional1–1

Palmeiras0–0

Vasco DA Gama1–2

Internacional3–1

Chapecoense-sc3–1

Atletico Paranaense (A)

Vitoria1–1

Chapecoense-sc4–1

Coritiba3–3

Cruzeiro1–3

Botafogo3–2

Santos2–0

Number of Corners

9.4

Corners / Match

45 games

League Avg

10.4

314 games

9.9

Corners / Match

36 games

Match Corners	Gremio	Atletico Paranaense	League Avg
Over 6	76%	83%	85%
Over 7	71%	81%	77%
Over 8	67%	67%	68%
Over 9	51%	56%	57%
Over 10	38%	36%	42%
Over 11	29%	28%	34%
Over 12	18%	22%	27%
Over 13	11%	14%	21%

Team Corners

Team Corners	Gremio	Atletico Paranaense
Corners Earned / Match	4.2	5.1
Corners Against / Match	5.2	4.8
Over 2.5 Corners For	69%	75%
Over 3.5 Corners For	53%	61%
Over 4.5 Corners For	38%	56%
Over 2.5 Corners Against	82%	75%
Over 3.5 Corners Against	67%	58%
Over 4.5 Corners Against	62%	42%

Head to Head · 33 matches

Gremio

58%

Draws

15%

Atletico Paranaense

27%

64%

Over 1.5

21/33

36%

Over 2.5

12/33

15%

Over 3.5

5/33

36%

BTTS

12/33

02/05/26

Atletico Paranaense

0–0

Gremio

04/08/24

Atletico Paranaense

0–2

Gremio

17/04/24

Gremio

2–0

Atletico Paranaense

18/10/23

Gremio

1–2

Atletico Paranaense

27/05/23

Atletico Paranaense

1–2

Gremio

26/09/21

Atletico Paranaense

4–2

Gremio

13/06/21

Gremio

0–1

Atletico Paranaense

21/02/21

Gremio

1–0

Atletico Paranaense

25/10/20

Atletico Paranaense

1–2

Gremio

28/11/19

Atletico Paranaense

2–0

Gremio

04/09/19

Atletico Paranaense

2–0

Gremio

24/08/19

Gremio

2–1

Atletico Paranaense

15/08/19

Gremio

2–0

Atletico Paranaense

25/08/18

Atletico Paranaense

2–1

Gremio

22/04/18

Gremio

0–0

Atletico Paranaense

20/08/17

Gremio

0–0

Atletico Paranaense

28/07/17

Atletico Paranaense

2–3

Gremio

28/06/17

Gremio

4–0

Atletico Paranaense

21/05/17

Atletico Paranaense

0–2

Gremio

14/10/16

Gremio

1–0

Atletico Paranaense

Serie A

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Palmeiras	32	20	9	3	+34	69
2	Flamengo	31	20	7	4	+36	67
3	Cruzeiro	32	16	6	10	+5	54
4	Atletico Paranaense	32	15	9	8	+12	54
5	Fluminense	31	14	9	8	+10	51
6	Atletico-MG	31	14	8	9	+7	50
7	Bahia	31	13	10	8	+5	49
8	Santos	31	12	9	10	+2	45
9	Sao Paulo	32	12	7	13	+1	43
10	RB Bragantino	32	11	8	13	+1	41
11	Botafogo	32	10	9	13	-7	39
12	Coritiba	31	10	9	12	-11	39
13	Vasco DA Gama	31	10	8	13	-6	38
14	Vitoria	32	10	8	14	-11	38
15	Mirassol	32	9	10	13	-8	37
16	Internacional	32	8	11	13	-4	35
17	Corinthians	32	8	9	15	-8	33
18	Gremio	31	7	10	14	-10	31
19	Remo	32	5	11	16	-16	26
20	Chapecoense-sc	30	3	9	18	-32	18
20	Chapecoense B	20	1	7	12	-22	10

Team Insights

Gremio

●Gremio have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
●Gremio have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
●Gremio failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
●Gremio failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 16 home matches.
●Gremio failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 15 away matches.
●Gremio have lost 10 of their 15 away matches.
●74% of Gremio's goals have been scored at home.
●84% of Gremio's points have been earned at home.

Atletico Paranaense

●Atletico Paranaense failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
●Atletico Paranaense failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
●Atletico Paranaense have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
●Atletico Paranaense failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
●Atletico Paranaense have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
●Atletico Paranaense failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 16 home matches.
●Atletico Paranaense failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 16 away matches.
●Atletico Paranaense have won 6 of their 16 away matches.
●Atletico Paranaense have scored in 12 of their 16 away matches.
●Atletico Paranaense have conceded 58% of their goals in the first half.

Gremio

LHCruzeiro3º2–4

DHInternacional16º1–1

DARemo19º1–1

DHPalmeiras1º0–0

LABotafogo11º2–3

LHVasco DA Gama13º1–2

LAVitoria14º0–1

WHInternacional3–1

WHChapecoense-sc20º3–1

DAInternacional0–0

Atletico Paranaense

DAVitoria14º1–1

LHPalmeiras1º0–2

WAChapecoense-sc20º4–1

DHAtletico-MG6º2–2

WHBahia7º2–1

DACoritiba12º3–3

LACruzeiro3º1–3

DHFluminense5º3–3

WABotafogo11º3–2

DHRB Bragantino10º1–1

Season Schedule

Gremio

Cruzeiro2–4

Internacional1–1

Remo1–1

Palmeiras0–0

Botafogo2–3

Vasco DA Gama1–2

–A

Coritiba26/10

–H

Atletico Paranaense30/10

–A

Flamengo04/11

Atletico Paranaense

Vitoria1–1

Palmeiras0–2

Chapecoense-sc4–1

Atletico-MG2–2

Bahia2–1

Coritiba3–3

–A

Gremio30/10

–H

Vasco DA Gama04/11

–A

Flamengo18/11

Top Scorers

Gremio

Carlos Vinicius21 ⚽

F. Amuzu8 ⚽

C. Pavon5 ⚽

Gustavo Martins4 ⚽

M. Braithwaite4 ⚽

Carlos Vinícius3 ⚽

Atletico Paranaense

K. Viveros18 ⚽

S. Mendoza5 ⚽

Leozinho5 ⚽

Chiqueti5 ⚽

Joao Cruz4 ⚽

Bruninho4 ⚽

Cards Given

Gremio

Walter Kannemann13 🟨

Viery9 🟨

Gustavo Martins8 🟨

Wagner Leonardo7 🟨

Pedro Gabriel7 🟨

Carlos Vinicius6 🟨

Atletico Paranaense

Arthur Dias9 🟨

Luiz Gustavo6 🟨

Gastón Benavídez5 🟨

Bruno Zapelli5 🟨

Diogo Riquelme4 🟨

F. Aguirre4 🟨

Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense — Serie A

Unlock all Match Predictions

Season Statistics

Home vs Away

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

1st Half / 2nd Half

Recent Venue Form

Number of Corners

Team Corners

Head to Head · 33 matches

Team Insights

Season Schedule

Top Scorers

Cards Given