Coritiba vs Vitoria — Serie A
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Coritiba and Vitoria meet in the Serie A 2026 season on 29 October 2026. Coritiba have recorded 14 wins from 43 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.21 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 49% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 47%; and clean sheets in 26% of games. Vitoria have won 41% of their 59 matches, with 1.46 goals scored and 1.27 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 47%, Over 2.5 at 47%, and clean sheets at 34%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.66 for Coritiba and 1.17 for Vitoria. The models give Coritiba a 48% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Vitoria win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 54% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Coritiba—
Vitoria12º
Position
14º
1.26
PPG
1.19
32%
Win %
31%
1.23
Goals / game
1.09
1.58
Conceded / game
1.44
49%
BTTS %
47%
26%
Clean sheet %
34%
47%
Over 2.5 %
47%
3.8
Avg corners
4.0
11.2
Avg shots
11.6
3.2
Avg shots on target
4.2
1.7
Avg yellow cards
2.2
11.1
Avg fouls
12.7
41.2%
Avg possession
44.9%
Home vs Away
Coritiba
Home (15)
—
Vitoria
Away (16)
1.33
PPG
0.38
33%
Win %
0%
1.33
Goals / game
0.75
1.33
Conceded / game
2.06
62%
BTTS %
64%
14%
Clean sheet %
11%
48%
Over 2.5 %
54%
3.8
Avg corners
4.0
11.2
Avg shots
11.6
3.2
Avg shots on target
4.2
1.7
Avg yellow cards
2.2
41.2%
Avg possession
44.9%
Goals Scored
| Coritiba | Home | Away | Vitoria | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 70% | 76% | 64% | 75% | 81% | 68% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 40% | 48% | 32% | 37% | 45% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 12% | 10% | 14% | 17% | 26% | 7% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 24% | 36% | 25% | 19% | 32% |
Goals Conceded
| Coritiba | Home | Away | Vitoria | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 74% | 86% | 64% | 66% | 45% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 42% | 43% | 41% | 44% | 23% | 68% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 19% | 14% | 23% | 12% | 6% | 18% |
| Clean Sheets | 26% | 14% | 36% | 34% | 55% | 11% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Coritiba | Vitoria | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 47% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 31% |
| Over 4.5 | 16% | 10% |
| BTTS | 49% | 47% |
| BTTS & Win | 12% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 28% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 37% | 37% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Coritiba | Vitoria | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 23% | 36% |
| Draw 1st Half | 44% | 39% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 40% | 51% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 42% | 42% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 39% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 35% | 24% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 37% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 58% | 49% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 60% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 65% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 28% | 34% |
Recent Venue Form
Coritiba (H)D
Botafogo1–1
Botafogo1–1D
Atletico Paranaense3–3
Atletico Paranaense3–3L
Mirassol1–2
Mirassol1–2W
Corinthians2–1
Corinthians2–1W
Chapecoense-sc2–1
Chapecoense-sc2–1L
Cruzeiro0–1
Cruzeiro0–1Vitoria (A)DCorinthians1–1
Corinthians1–1L
Sao Paulo1–2
Sao Paulo1–2DMirassol2–2
Mirassol2–2L
Atletico-MG1–2
Atletico-MG1–2L
Vasco DA Gama0–1
Vasco DA Gama0–1L
Flamengo0–2
Flamengo0–2Number of Corners
10.2
Corners / Match
32 games
League Avg
10.4
314 games
9.1
Corners / Match
38 games
| Match Corners | Coritiba | Vitoria | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 78% | 79% | 85% |
| Over 7 | 72% | 68% | 77% |
| Over 8 | 72% | 61% | 68% |
| Over 9 | 66% | 39% | 57% |
| Over 10 | 50% | 24% | 42% |
| Over 11 | 31% | 21% | 34% |
| Over 12 | 25% | 16% | 27% |
| Over 13 | 19% | 8% | 21% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Coritiba | Vitoria |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.8 | 4.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.4 | 5.1 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 75% | 74% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 53% | 58% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 25% | 39% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 91% | 76% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 78% | 74% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 72% | 58% |
Head to Head · 13 matches
4
Coritiba
31%
4
Draws
31%
5
Vitoria
38%
62%
Over 1.5
8/13
31%
Over 2.5
4/13
15%
Over 3.5
2/13
54%
BTTS
7/13
02/05/26Coritiba
Vitoria
4–1Coritiba22/09/21Coritiba
Vitoria
0–0Coritiba23/06/21Vitoria
Coritiba
1–0Vitoria30/11/19Coritiba
Vitoria
1–2Coritiba27/08/19Vitoria
Coritiba
1–1Vitoria28/08/17Vitoria
Coritiba
0–1Vitoria28/05/17Coritiba
Vitoria
0–1Coritiba28/11/16Vitoria
Coritiba
0–1Vitoria03/08/16Coritiba
Vitoria
3–1Coritiba19/11/14Coritiba
Vitoria
1–1Coritiba21/08/14Vitoria
Coritiba
2–0Vitoria12/10/13Coritiba
Vitoria
2–1Coritiba28/07/13Vitoria
Coritiba
1–1Vitoria| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palmeiras | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | +34 | 69 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | +36 | 67 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | +5 | 54 |
| 4 | Atletico Paranaense | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | +12 | 54 |
| 5 |  Fluminense | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | +10 | 51 |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | +7 | 50 |
| 7 |  Bahia | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | +5 | 49 |
| 8 |  Santos | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | +2 | 45 |
| 9 | Sao Paulo | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | +1 | 43 |
| 10 |  RB Bragantino | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | +1 | 41 |
| 11 | Botafogo | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | -7 | 39 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | -11 | 39 |
| 13 | Vasco DA Gama | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | -6 | 38 |
| 14 | Vitoria | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -11 | 38 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 37 |
| 16 |  Internacional | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | -4 | 35 |
| 17 | Corinthians | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | -8 | 33 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | -10 | 31 |
| 19 |  Remo | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | -16 | 26 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | -32 | 18 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense B | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | -22 | 10 |
Team Insights
Coritiba- ●Coritiba have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Coritiba failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Coritiba failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 home matches.
- ●Coritiba have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Coritiba have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Coritiba failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Coritiba failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Coritiba failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 16 away matches.
Vitoria- ●Vitoria have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Vitoria have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Vitoria have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Vitoria failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Vitoria have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Vitoria have kept a clean sheet in 10 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Vitoria failed to keep a clean sheet in 15 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Vitoria have lost 10 of their 16 away matches.
- ●66% of Vitoria's goals have been scored at home.
- ●72% of Vitoria's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●84% of Vitoria's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
CoritibaLAAtletico-MG0–1
Atletico-MG0–1DHBotafogo1–1
Botafogo1–1LAFluminense0–4
Fluminense0–4LAVasco DA Gama0–5
Vasco DA Gama0–5DHAtletico Paranaense3–3
Atletico Paranaense3–3LHMirassol1–2
Mirassol1–2–HGremio26/10
Gremio26/10–HVitoria29/10
Vitoria29/10–AInternacional04/11
Internacional04/11VitoriaDHAtletico Paranaense1–1
Atletico Paranaense1–1DACorinthians1–1
Corinthians1–1LASao Paulo1–2
Sao Paulo1–2WHChapecoense-sc4–0
Chapecoense-sc4–0LHCruzeiro1–3
Cruzeiro1–3DAMirassol2–2
Mirassol2–2–ACoritiba29/10
Coritiba29/10–HFluminense06/11
Fluminense06/11–HRB Bragantino18/11
RB Bragantino18/11Top Scorers
CoritibaPedro Rocha11 ⚽
Breno Lopes8 ⚽
J. Lavega5 ⚽
Tiago Coser4 ⚽
Rodrigo Moledo3 ⚽
Lucas Ronier3 ⚽
VitoriaRenato Kayzer14 ⚽
Erick14 ⚽
Rene12 ⚽
Matheuzinho7 ⚽
Baralhas5 ⚽
Carlos Renê de Sousa Ferreira5 ⚽
Cards Given
CoritibaThiago Santos11 🟨
Vini Paulista6 🟨
Bruno Melo5 🟨
Tiago Coser4 🟨
Breno Lopes4 🟨
Lucas Ronier4 🟨
VitoriaEmmanuel Martinez9 🟨
Renato Kayzer8 🟨
Caca7 🟨
Caique Goncalves6 🟨
Ramon6 🟨
D. Tarzia5 🟨