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Atletico-MG vs Cruzeiro — Serie A

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Brazil · Serie A · Regular Season - 33
Atletico-MG
Atletico-MG
6º · 1.61 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 8d 0h
vs
–
–
Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro
3º · 1.69 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 5d 23h
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Atletico-MG and Cruzeiro meet in the Serie A 2026 season on 29 October 2026. Atletico-MG have recorded 26 wins from 60 matches this season (43% win rate), averaging 1.40 goals scored and 1.07 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 53% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 45%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Cruzeiro have won 48% of their 62 matches, with 1.45 goals scored and 1.11 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 58%, Over 2.5 at 53%, and clean sheets at 35%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.80 for Atletico-MG and 1.32 for Cruzeiro. The models give Atletico-MG a 46% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Cruzeiro win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 60% and BTTS at 61%.

Season Statistics

Atletico-MG
—
Cruzeiro
6º
Position
3º
1.61
PPG
1.69
45%
Win %
50%
1.35
Goals / game
1.59
1.13
Conceded / game
1.44
53%
BTTS %
58%
27%
Clean sheet %
35%
45%
Over 2.5 %
53%
5.1
Avg corners
5.2
13.3
Avg shots
14.7
4.8
Avg shots on target
5.0
1.7
Avg yellow cards
2.4
11.6
Avg fouls
13.4
51.1%
Avg possession
54.6%

Home vs Away

Atletico-MG
Home (16)
—
Cruzeiro
Away (16)
2.19
PPG
1.44
63%
Win %
44%
1.69
Goals / game
1.50
1.06
Conceded / game
1.88
63%
BTTS %
70%
33%
Clean sheet %
23%
53%
Over 2.5 %
67%
5.1
Avg corners
5.2
13.3
Avg shots
14.7
4.8
Avg shots on target
5.0
1.7
Avg yellow cards
2.4
51.1%
Avg possession
54.6%

Goals Scored

Atletico-MGHomeAwayCruzeiroHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored73%90%57%85%88%83%
Over 1.5 Scored40%53%27%40%44%37%
Over 2.5 Scored17%20%13%13%19%7%
Failed To Score27%10%43%15%13%17%

Goals Conceded

Atletico-MGHomeAwayCruzeiroHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded73%67%80%65%53%77%
Over 1.5 Conceded28%17%40%31%16%47%
Over 2.5 Conceded3%7%0%11%6%17%
Clean Sheets27%33%20%35%47%23%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Atletico-MGCruzeiro
Over 0.593%92%
Over 1.570%74%
Over 2.545%53%
Over 3.523%24%
Over 4.55%8%
BTTS53%58%
BTTS & Win23%21%
BTTS & Draw25%16%
BTTS & Over 2.538%47%
BTTS No & Over 2.57%6%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Atletico-MGCruzeiro
Win 1st Half33%31%
Draw 1st Half42%40%
Loss 1st Half25%29%
Scored 1st Half43%48%
Conceded 1st Half37%42%
Win 2nd Half33%40%
Draw 2nd Half40%39%
Loss 2nd Half27%21%
Scored 2nd Half55%65%
Conceded 2nd Half53%42%
Over 0.5 HT67%73%
Over 1.5 HT25%32%

Recent Venue Form

Atletico-MG (H)
WCoritiba1–0
WAtletico Torque3–0
WSantos2–1
WRB Bragantino1–0
DChapecoense-sc1–1
WSantos4–2
Cruzeiro (A)
WGremio4–2
LRB Bragantino2–4
WVitoria3–1
LSantos1–2
LAtletico-MG1–2
LVasco DA Gama1–3

Number of Corners

10.2
Corners / Match
48 games
League Avg
10.4
314 games
10.0
Corners / Match
46 games
Match CornersAtletico-MGCruzeiroLeague Avg
Over 685%76%85%
Over 773%72%77%
Over 869%65%68%
Over 958%52%57%
Over 1040%39%42%
Over 1133%28%34%
Over 1227%26%27%
Over 1323%15%21%

Team Corners

Team CornersAtletico-MGCruzeiro
Corners Earned / Match5.15.2
Corners Against / Match5.14.8
Over 2.5 Corners For77%76%
Over 3.5 Corners For67%70%
Over 4.5 Corners For52%59%
Over 2.5 Corners Against77%76%
Over 3.5 Corners Against65%61%
Over 4.5 Corners Against56%43%

Head to Head · 45 matches

20
Atletico-MG
44%
12
Draws
27%
13
Cruzeiro
29%
73%
Over 1.5
33/45
49%
Over 2.5
22/45
31%
Over 3.5
14/45
56%
BTTS
25/45
02/09/26
Atletico-MG
2–1
Cruzeiro
26/08/26
Cruzeiro
1–1
Atletico-MG
03/05/26
Cruzeiro
1–3
Atletico-MG
08/03/26
Cruzeiro
1–0
Atletico-MG
25/01/26
Atletico-MG
2–1
Cruzeiro
16/10/25
Atletico-MG
1–1
Cruzeiro
11/09/25
Cruzeiro
2–0
Atletico-MG
27/08/25
Atletico-MG
0–2
Cruzeiro
18/05/25
Cruzeiro
0–0
Atletico-MG
09/02/25
Cruzeiro
0–2
Atletico-MG
18/01/25
Atletico-MG
0–0
Cruzeiro
11/08/24
Cruzeiro
0–0
Atletico-MG
21/04/24
Atletico-MG
3–0
Cruzeiro
07/04/24
Cruzeiro
1–3
Atletico-MG
30/03/24
Atletico-MG
2–2
Cruzeiro
03/02/24
Atletico-MG
0–2
Cruzeiro
22/10/23
Atletico-MG
0–1
Cruzeiro
03/06/23
Cruzeiro
0–1
Atletico-MG
13/02/23
Cruzeiro
1–1
Atletico-MG
02/04/22
Atletico-MG
3–1
Cruzeiro
Serie A
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Palmeiras322093+3469
2Flamengo312074+3667
3Cruzeiro3216610+554
4Atletico Paranaense321598+1254
5Fluminense311498+1051
6Atletico-MG311489+750
7Bahia3113108+549
8Santos3112910+245
9Sao Paulo3212713+143
10RB Bragantino3211813+141
11Botafogo3210913-739
12Coritiba3110912-1139
13Vasco DA Gama3110813-638
14Vitoria3210814-1138
15Mirassol3291013-837
16Internacional3281113-435
17Corinthians328915-833
18Gremio3171014-1031
19Remo3251116-1626
20Chapecoense-sc303918-3218
20Chapecoense B201712-2210

Team Insights

Atletico-MG
  • ●Atletico-MG have won their last 2 matches.
  • ●Atletico-MG have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
  • ●Atletico-MG have won their last 3 home matches.
  • ●Atletico-MG have scored in each of their last 10 home matches.
  • ●Atletico-MG failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 16 home matches.
  • ●Atletico-MG have scored in 15 of their 16 home matches.
  • ●Atletico-MG failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 away matches.
  • ●64% of Atletico-MG's goals have been scored at home.
Cruzeiro
  • ●Cruzeiro have won their last 2 matches.
  • ●Cruzeiro have scored in each of their last 12 matches.
  • ●Cruzeiro have won their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Cruzeiro have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
  • ●Cruzeiro have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Cruzeiro failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
  • ●Cruzeiro have scored in each of their last 13 away matches.
  • ●Cruzeiro have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Cruzeiro failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 16 home matches.
  • ●Cruzeiro have scored in 14 of their 16 home matches.
  • ●Cruzeiro failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 16 away matches.
  • ●Cruzeiro have won 7 of their 16 away matches.
  • ●Cruzeiro have scored in 14 of their 16 away matches.
  • ●65% of Cruzeiro's goals conceded were conceded away.
  • ●Cruzeiro have conceded 57% of their goals in the first half.
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
LAAtletico Torque1º0–2
LAAtletico Torque1º0–2
WHCoritiba12º1–0
WHAtletico Torque1º3–0
WHAtletico Torque1º3–0
WHSantos8º2–1
DAAtletico Paranaense4º2–2
WHRB Bragantino10º1–0
DHChapecoense-sc20º1–1
WHSantos2º4–2
CruzeiroCruzeiro
WHRemo19º1–0
WAGremio18º4–2
LARB Bragantino10º2–4
WHSao Paulo9º2–0
WAVitoria14º3–1
LASantos8º1–2
WHAtletico Paranaense4º3–1
LAAtletico-MG1–2
LAVasco DA Gama13º1–3
DHAtletico-MG1–1

Season Schedule

Atletico-MG
WHCoritiba1–0
WHSantos2–1
DAAtletico Paranaense2–2
WHRB Bragantino1–0
DHChapecoense-sc1–1
WHFluminense3–1
–AFlamengo26/10
–HCruzeiro29/10
–ABotafogo05/11
Cruzeiro
WHRemo1–0
WAGremio4–2
LARB Bragantino2–4
WHSao Paulo2–0
WAVitoria3–1
LASantos1–2
–AAtletico-MG29/10
–HBahia06/11
–HPalmeiras18/11

Top Scorers

Atletico-MG
Reinier6 ⚽
Victor Hugo6 ⚽
Cuello6 ⚽
Bernard6 ⚽
M. Cassierra5 ⚽
R. Lodi5 ⚽
Cruzeiro
Kaio Jorge22 ⚽
Matheus Pereira14 ⚽
Christian8 ⚽
K. Arroyo7 ⚽
N. Villarreal4 ⚽
L. Romero3 ⚽

Cards Given

Atletico-MG
Alan Franco8 🟨
Lyanco7 🟨
Ruan Tressoldi7 🟨
Ruan6 🟨
Natanael5 🟨
A. Franco5 🟨
Cruzeiro
Matheus Pereira16 🟨
Matheus Henrique9 🟨
K. Arroyo9 🟨
Gerson7 🟨
Lucas Silva7 🟨
Fagner6 🟨