Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes — Major League Soccer
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Minnesota United FC and San Jose Earthquakes meet in the Major League Soccer 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Minnesota United FC have recorded 10 wins from 39 matches this season (26% win rate), averaging 1.46 goals scored and 1.64 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 64%; and clean sheets in 26% of games. San Jose Earthquakes have won 46% of their 39 matches, with 1.67 goals scored and 1.41 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 59%, Over 2.5 at 51%, and clean sheets at 26%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.38 for Minnesota United FC and 1.56 for San Jose Earthquakes. The models give Minnesota United FC a 34% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an San Jose Earthquakes win at 39%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Minnesota United FC—
San Jose Earthquakes13º
Position
4º
1.13
PPG
1.60
27%
Win %
43%
1.57
Goals / game
1.73
1.83
Conceded / game
1.40
67%
BTTS %
59%
26%
Clean sheet %
26%
64%
Over 2.5 %
51%
5.4
Avg corners
6.1
13.7
Avg shots
13.6
4.9
Avg shots on target
5.0
2.0
Avg yellow cards
2.3
12.5
Avg fouls
12.4
46.5%
Avg possession
49.0%
Home vs Away
Minnesota United FC
Home (15)
—
San Jose Earthquakes
Away (15)
1.07
PPG
1.73
20%
Win %
47%
1.27
Goals / game
1.73
1.33
Conceded / game
1.27
65%
BTTS %
61%
24%
Clean sheet %
17%
53%
Over 2.5 %
44%
5.4
Avg corners
6.1
13.7
Avg shots
13.6
4.9
Avg shots on target
5.0
2.0
Avg yellow cards
2.3
46.5%
Avg possession
49.0%
Goals Scored
| Minnesota United | Home | Away | San Jose | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 77% | 76% | 77% | 82% | 90% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 44% | 41% | 45% | 46% | 52% | 39% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 18% | 18% | 18% | 28% | 29% | 28% |
| Failed To Score | 23% | 24% | 23% | 18% | 10% | 28% |
Goals Conceded
| Minnesota United | Home | Away | San Jose | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 74% | 76% | 73% | 74% | 67% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 51% | 47% | 55% | 38% | 38% | 39% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 21% | 12% | 27% | 18% | 19% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 26% | 24% | 27% | 26% | 33% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Minnesota United | San Jose | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 85% | 97% |
| Over 1.5 | 74% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 | 64% | 51% |
| Over 3.5 | 41% | 41% |
| Over 4.5 | 23% | 26% |
| BTTS | 67% | 59% |
| BTTS & Win | 15% | 23% |
| BTTS & Draw | 21% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 59% | 41% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Minnesota United | San Jose | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 18% | 37% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 32% |
| Loss 1st Half | 49% | 32% |
| Scored 1st Half | 36% | 58% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 64% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 34% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 46% | 37% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 21% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 56% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 54% | 45% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 74% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 45% |
Recent Venue Form
Minnesota United (H)W
St. Louis City3–2
St. Louis City3–2D
Houston Dynamo2–2
Houston Dynamo2–2L
Los Angeles Galaxy2–3
Los Angeles Galaxy2–3L
FC Dallas1–2
FC Dallas1–2D
Orlando City SC3–3
Orlando City SC3–3L
Atlanta United FC1–2
Atlanta United FC1–2San Jose (A)LFC Dallas0–3
FC Dallas0–3D
Real Salt Lake1–1
Real Salt Lake1–1D
Colorado Rapids1–1
Colorado Rapids1–1W
San Diego3–2
San Diego3–2D
Austin1–1
Austin1–1DHouston Dynamo0–0
Houston Dynamo0–0Number of Corners
10.6
Corners / Match
33 games
League Avg
10.0
450 games
10.7
Corners / Match
29 games
| Match Corners | Minnesota United | San Jose | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 97% | 76% | 83% |
| Over 7 | 76% | 72% | 73% |
| Over 8 | 70% | 66% | 64% |
| Over 9 | 55% | 59% | 53% |
| Over 10 | 42% | 52% | 43% |
| Over 11 | 30% | 45% | 34% |
| Over 12 | 24% | 34% | 23% |
| Over 13 | 15% | 34% | 18% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Minnesota United | San Jose |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.4 | 6.1 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.2 | 4.6 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 88% | 90% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 70% | 69% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 64% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 88% | 76% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 76% | 59% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 52% | 45% |
Head to Head · 22 matches
10
Minnesota United
45%
4
Draws
18%
8
San Jose
36%
82%
Over 1.5
18/22
59%
Over 2.5
13/22
50%
Over 3.5
11/22
68%
BTTS
15/22
23/08/26Minnesota United FC
San Jose Earthquakes
1–5Minnesota United FC29/04/26Minnesota United FC
San Jose Earthquakes
4–2Minnesota United FC13/07/25San Jose Earthquakes
Minnesota United FC
4–1San Jose Earthquakes09/03/25Minnesota United FC
San Jose Earthquakes
0–1Minnesota United FC01/09/24Minnesota United FC
San Jose Earthquakes
1–2Minnesota United FC21/07/24San Jose Earthquakes
Minnesota United FC
2–0San Jose Earthquakes01/10/23San Jose Earthquakes
Minnesota United FC
1–1San Jose Earthquakes03/09/23Minnesota United FC
San Jose Earthquakes
1–1Minnesota United FC15/02/23San Jose Earthquakes
Minnesota United FC
1–4San Jose Earthquakes02/10/22Minnesota United FC
San Jose Earthquakes
2–0Minnesota United FC20/03/22San Jose Earthquakes
Minnesota United FC
1–0San Jose Earthquakes18/08/21Minnesota United FC
San Jose Earthquakes
1–1Minnesota United FC04/07/21San Jose Earthquakes
Minnesota United FC
2–2San Jose Earthquakes02/08/20Minnesota United FC
San Jose Earthquakes
1–4Minnesota United FC08/03/20Minnesota United FC
San Jose Earthquakes
2–5Minnesota United FC04/07/19San Jose Earthquakes
Minnesota United FC
3–1San Jose Earthquakes10/03/19Minnesota United FC
San Jose Earthquakes
0–3Minnesota United FC12/05/18San Jose Earthquakes
Minnesota United FC
1–3San Jose Earthquakes04/03/18Minnesota United FC
San Jose Earthquakes
3–2Minnesota United FC22/10/17Minnesota United FC
San Jose Earthquakes
3–2Minnesota United FC| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 31 | 21 | 7 | 3 | +43 | 70 |
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | +32 | 55 |
| 2 |  Inter Miami | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | +22 | 55 |
| 2 | St. Louis City | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +15 | 51 |
| 3 |  New England Revolution | 30 | 16 | 4 | 10 | +8 | 52 |
| 3 | FC Dallas | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +8 | 51 |
| 4 |  Chicago Fire | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +8 | 48 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | +10 | 48 |
| 5 |  Charlotte | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +8 | 47 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +2 | 47 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | +15 | 46 |
| 6 |  Philadelphia Union | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | +13 | 46 |
| 7 |  Seattle Sounders | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +2 | 42 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | -12 | 41 |
| 8 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | -9 | 40 |
| 8 |  FC Cincinnati | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -9 | 39 |
| 9 | Colorado Rapids | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 9 |  Columbus Crew | 31 | 11 | 5 | 15 | +1 | 38 |
| 10 | Real Salt Lake | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -3 | 36 |
| 10 |  New York Red Bulls | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -17 | 36 |
| 11 |  Toronto FC | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | -11 | 36 |
| 11 |  Portland Timbers | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | -5 | 34 |
| 12 | San Diego | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | -3 | 34 |
| 12 |  New York City FC | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | +2 | 34 |
| 13 | Minnesota United FC | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | -8 | 34 |
| 13 |  DC United | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | -15 | 33 |
| 14 | Austin | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -18 | 31 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | -14 | 30 |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | -26 | 25 |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | -39 | 22 |
Team Insights
Minnesota United- ●Minnesota United FC have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Minnesota United FC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Minnesota United FC have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Minnesota United FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Minnesota United FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Minnesota United FC have scored in 14 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Minnesota United FC have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
San Jose- ●San Jose Earthquakes have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●San Jose Earthquakes failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●San Jose Earthquakes have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●San Jose Earthquakes have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●San Jose Earthquakes failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●San Jose Earthquakes failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 15 home matches.
- ●San Jose Earthquakes have scored in 13 of their 15 home matches.
- ●San Jose Earthquakes failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 16 away matches.
- ●San Jose Earthquakes have won 7 of their 16 away matches.
- ●San Jose Earthquakes have scored in 13 of their 16 away matches.
Season Schedule
Minnesota UnitedDAHouston Dynamo0–0
Houston Dynamo0–0WHSt. Louis City3–2
St. Louis City3–2DAColorado Rapids2–2
Colorado Rapids2–2DHHouston Dynamo2–2
Houston Dynamo2–2LASeattle Sounders1–3
Seattle Sounders1–3LHLos Angeles Galaxy2–3
Los Angeles Galaxy2–3–HSporting Kansas City29/10
Sporting Kansas City29/10–ALos Angeles FC02/11
Los Angeles FC02/11–HSan Jose Earthquakes08/11
San Jose Earthquakes08/11San JoseLAFC Dallas0–3
FC Dallas0–3DHNashville SC1–1
Nashville SC1–1DAReal Salt Lake1–1
Real Salt Lake1–1DAColorado Rapids1–1
Colorado Rapids1–1WHPortland Timbers3–1
Portland Timbers3–1DHLos Angeles FC2–2
Los Angeles FC2–2–HColorado Rapids29/10
Colorado Rapids29/10–HReal Salt Lake31/10
Real Salt Lake31/10–AMinnesota United FC08/11
Minnesota United FC08/11Top Scorers
Minnesota UnitedK. Yeboah12 ⚽
A. Markanich6 ⚽
J. Pereyra5 ⚽
Kelvin Yeboah5 ⚽
Marcus Caldeira4 ⚽
T. Chancalay4 ⚽
San JoseP. Judd14 ⚽
O. Bouda7 ⚽
T. Werner6 ⚽
N. Tsakiris5 ⚽
B. Leroux5 ⚽
D. Munie4 ⚽
Cards Given
Minnesota UnitedJefferson Díaz6 🟨
Kyle Duncan5 🟨
Morris Duggan5 🟨
Owen Gene4 🟨
J. Pereyra3 🟨
Joaquín Pereyra3 🟨
San JoseReid Roberts6 🟨
P. Judd6 🟨
B. Kikanovic5 🟨
R. Roberts4 🟨
Preston Judd4 🟨
Beau Leroux4 🟨