New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC — Major League Soccer
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New York Red Bulls and Atlanta United FC meet in the Major League Soccer 2026 season on 7 November 2026. New York Red Bulls have recorded 14 wins from 39 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 1.49 goals scored and 1.87 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 62% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 64%; and clean sheets in 15% of games. Atlanta United FC have won 32% of their 38 matches, with 1.39 goals scored and 1.63 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 63%, and clean sheets at 18%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.64 for New York Red Bulls and 1.46 for Atlanta United FC. The models give New York Red Bulls a 46% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Atlanta United FC win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 60% and BTTS at 61%.
Season Statistics
New York Red Bulls—
Atlanta United FC10º
Position
14º
1.20
PPG
1.00
33%
Win %
27%
1.30
Goals / game
1.23
1.87
Conceded / game
1.70
62%
BTTS %
63%
15%
Clean sheet %
18%
64%
Over 2.5 %
63%
5.7
Avg corners
5.1
14.2
Avg shots
13.4
5.0
Avg shots on target
4.1
2.0
Avg yellow cards
2.2
12.6
Avg fouls
11.5
51.7%
Avg possession
51.4%
Home vs Away
New York Red Bulls
Home (15)
—
Atlanta United FC
Away (15)
1.20
PPG
1.07
33%
Win %
27%
1.47
Goals / game
1.07
1.93
Conceded / game
1.47
55%
BTTS %
53%
14%
Clean sheet %
21%
64%
Over 2.5 %
47%
5.7
Avg corners
5.1
14.2
Avg shots
13.4
5.0
Avg shots on target
4.1
2.0
Avg yellow cards
2.2
51.7%
Avg possession
51.4%
Goals Scored
| New York | Home | Away | Atlanta United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 74% | 68% | 82% | 74% | 79% | 68% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 41% | 35% | 47% | 53% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 23% | 36% | 6% | 16% | 21% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 26% | 32% | 18% | 26% | 21% | 32% |
Goals Conceded
| New York | Home | Away | Atlanta United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 85% | 86% | 82% | 82% | 84% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 59% | 59% | 59% | 53% | 63% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 31% | 32% | 29% | 24% | 32% | 16% |
| Clean Sheets | 15% | 14% | 18% | 18% | 16% | 21% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| New York | Atlanta United | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 87% | 84% |
| Over 2.5 | 64% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 | 46% | 45% |
| Over 4.5 | 26% | 18% |
| BTTS | 62% | 63% |
| BTTS & Win | 23% | 21% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 54% | 58% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| New York | Atlanta United | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 32% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 26% | 37% |
| Loss 1st Half | 42% | 34% |
| Scored 1st Half | 45% | 45% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 58% | 47% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 34% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 21% | 24% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 50% | 42% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 58% | 63% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 71% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 84% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 53% | 39% |
Recent Venue Form
New York (H)W
Inter Miami2–0
Inter Miami2–0L
Toronto FC0–2
Toronto FC0–2W
San Diego4–1
San Diego4–1L
St. Louis City0–3
St. Louis City0–3L
Philadelphia Union1–3
Philadelphia Union1–3D
Chicago Fire1–1
Chicago Fire1–1Atlanta United (A)W
CF Montreal3–0
CF Montreal3–0W
Portland Timbers1–0
Portland Timbers1–0D
DC United0–0
DC United0–0DInter Miami2–2
Inter Miami2–2W
Minnesota United FC2–1
Minnesota United FC2–1LPhiladelphia Union2–3
Philadelphia Union2–3Number of Corners
10.6
Corners / Match
30 games
League Avg
10.0
450 games
10.2
Corners / Match
29 games
| Match Corners | New York | Atlanta United | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 83% | 86% | 83% |
| Over 7 | 77% | 72% | 73% |
| Over 8 | 70% | 66% | 64% |
| Over 9 | 60% | 59% | 53% |
| Over 10 | 53% | 45% | 43% |
| Over 11 | 43% | 38% | 34% |
| Over 12 | 30% | 21% | 23% |
| Over 13 | 27% | 17% | 18% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | New York | Atlanta United |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.7 | 5.1 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.0 | 5.2 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 93% | 86% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 67% | 69% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 57% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 77% | 86% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 63% | 79% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 59% |
Head to Head · 22 matches
11
New York
50%
6
Draws
27%
5
Atlanta United
23%
59%
Over 1.5
13/22
50%
Over 2.5
11/22
23%
Over 3.5
5/22
41%
BTTS
9/22
15/08/26New York Red Bulls
Atlanta United FC
2–1New York Red Bulls11/02/26New York Red Bulls
Atlanta United FC
3–2New York Red Bulls31/05/25Atlanta United FC
New York Red Bulls
2–0Atlanta United FC09/03/25New York Red Bulls
Atlanta United FC
0–0New York Red Bulls05/10/24New York Red Bulls
Atlanta United FC
2–1New York Red Bulls21/09/24Atlanta United FC
New York Red Bulls
2–2Atlanta United FC24/06/23Atlanta United FC
New York Red Bulls
4–0Atlanta United FC01/04/23New York Red Bulls
Atlanta United FC
1–0New York Red Bulls17/08/22New York Red Bulls
Atlanta United FC
1–2New York Red Bulls01/07/22Atlanta United FC
New York Red Bulls
2–1Atlanta United FC03/11/21Atlanta United FC
New York Red Bulls
0–0Atlanta United FC27/06/21New York Red Bulls
Atlanta United FC
0–0New York Red Bulls11/10/20New York Red Bulls
Atlanta United FC
0–1New York Red Bulls12/07/20New York Red Bulls
Atlanta United FC
0–1New York Red Bulls07/07/19New York Red Bulls
Atlanta United FC
3–3New York Red Bulls19/05/19Atlanta United FC
New York Red Bulls
1–0Atlanta United FC30/11/18Atlanta United FC
New York Red Bulls
1–0Atlanta United FC25/11/18New York Red Bulls
Atlanta United FC
3–0New York Red Bulls30/09/18Atlanta United FC
New York Red Bulls
2–0Atlanta United FC20/05/18New York Red Bulls
Atlanta United FC
1–3New York Red Bulls| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 31 | 21 | 7 | 3 | +43 | 70 |
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | +32 | 55 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | +22 | 55 |
| 2 | St. Louis City | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +15 | 51 |
| 3 |  New England Revolution | 30 | 16 | 4 | 10 | +8 | 52 |
| 3 |  FC Dallas | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +8 | 51 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +8 | 48 |
| 4 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | +10 | 48 |
| 5 |  Charlotte | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +8 | 47 |
| 5 |  Houston Dynamo | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +2 | 47 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | +15 | 46 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | +13 | 46 |
| 7 |  Seattle Sounders | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +2 | 42 |
| 7 |  Orlando City SC | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | -12 | 41 |
| 8 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | -9 | 40 |
| 8 |  FC Cincinnati | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -9 | 39 |
| 9 |  Colorado Rapids | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 9 |  Columbus Crew | 31 | 11 | 5 | 15 | +1 | 38 |
| 10 |  Real Salt Lake | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -3 | 36 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -17 | 36 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | -11 | 36 |
| 11 | Portland Timbers | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | -5 | 34 |
| 12 | San Diego | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | -3 | 34 |
| 12 |  New York City FC | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | +2 | 34 |
| 13 | Minnesota United FC | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | -8 | 34 |
| 13 | DC United | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | -15 | 33 |
| 14 |  Austin | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -18 | 31 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | -14 | 30 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | -26 | 25 |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | -39 | 22 |
Team Insights
New York- ●New York Red Bulls failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 16 home matches.
- ●New York Red Bulls failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 away matches.
- ●New York Red Bulls have scored in 12 of their 15 away matches.
Atlanta United- ●Atlanta United FC have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Atlanta United FC have failed to win in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Atlanta United FC have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Atlanta United FC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 13 home matches.
- ●Atlanta United FC have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Atlanta United FC have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Atlanta United FC have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Atlanta United FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 15 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Atlanta United FC have lost 10 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Atlanta United FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 away matches.
Season Schedule
New YorkWHInter Miami2–0
Inter Miami2–0LHToronto FC0–2
Toronto FC0–2LADC United1–2
DC United1–2WHSan Diego4–1
San Diego4–1LHSt. Louis City0–3
St. Louis City0–3WANew York City FC1–0
New York City FC1–0–ANew England Revolution28/10
New England Revolution28/10–ANashville SC01/11
Nashville SC01/11–HAtlanta United FC07/11
Atlanta United FC07/11Atlanta UnitedLHChicago Fire2–3
Chicago Fire2–3LHInter Miami1–3
Inter Miami1–3WACF Montreal3–0
CF Montreal3–0LHFC Cincinnati1–3
FC Cincinnati1–3DHNew York City FC2–2
New York City FC2–2WAPortland Timbers1–0
Portland Timbers1–0–ANew York City FC28/10
New York City FC28/10–HToronto FC01/11
Toronto FC01/11–ANew York Red Bulls07/11
New York Red Bulls07/11Top Scorers
New YorkJ. Hall13 ⚽
J. Ruvalcaba7 ⚽
E. Forsberg4 ⚽
E. M. Choupo-Moting3 ⚽
C. Cowell2 ⚽
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting2 ⚽
Atlanta UnitedA. Miranchuk7 ⚽
T. Muyumba4 ⚽
F. Picault4 ⚽
M. Almiron3 ⚽
Breel Embolo3 ⚽
E. Latte Lath3 ⚽
Cards Given
New YorkRonald Donkor8 🟨
Omar Valencia4 🟨
Adri Mehmeti4 🟨
Jorge Ruvalcaba4 🟨
A. Mehmeti4 🟨
M. Sofo4 🟨
Atlanta UnitedTomás Jacob9 🟨
Lucas Hoyos4 🟨
C. Sanchez4 🟨
Cooper Sanchez4 🟨
Enea Mihaj4 🟨
Tristan Muyumba4 🟨