Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC — Major League Soccer
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Philadelphia Union and Toronto FC meet in the Major League Soccer 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Philadelphia Union have recorded 18 wins from 43 matches this season (42% win rate), averaging 2.02 goals scored and 1.47 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 63% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 65%; and clean sheets in 23% of games. Toronto FC have won 30% of their 37 matches, with 1.59 goals scored and 1.81 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 76%, Over 2.5 at 68%, and clean sheets at 14%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.88 for Philadelphia Union and 1.04 for Toronto FC. The models give Philadelphia Union a 58% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Toronto FC win at 18%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Philadelphia Union—
Toronto FC6º
Position
11º
1.53
PPG
1.16
43%
Win %
26%
2.03
Goals / game
1.55
1.60
Conceded / game
1.90
63%
BTTS %
76%
23%
Clean sheet %
14%
65%
Over 2.5 %
68%
6.0
Avg corners
4.8
16.0
Avg shots
12.3
5.2
Avg shots on target
4.5
2.2
Avg yellow cards
1.8
15.3
Avg fouls
11.2
48.0%
Avg possession
44.8%
Home vs Away
Philadelphia Union
Home (15)
—
Toronto FC
Away (15)
1.73
PPG
0.80
47%
Win %
20%
1.80
Goals / game
0.93
1.07
Conceded / game
1.80
52%
BTTS %
53%
35%
Clean sheet %
27%
61%
Over 2.5 %
60%
6.0
Avg corners
4.8
16.0
Avg shots
12.3
5.2
Avg shots on target
4.5
2.2
Avg yellow cards
1.8
48.0%
Avg possession
44.8%
Goals Scored
| Philadelphia Union | Home | Away | Toronto FC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 81% | 78% | 85% | 84% | 95% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 53% | 57% | 50% | 51% | 68% | 27% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 37% | 30% | 45% | 19% | 32% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 19% | 22% | 15% | 16% | 5% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Philadelphia Union | Home | Away | Toronto FC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 77% | 65% | 90% | 86% | 95% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 44% | 39% | 50% | 51% | 45% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 4% | 25% | 35% | 32% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 23% | 35% | 10% | 14% | 5% | 27% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Philadelphia Union | Toronto FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 84% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 | 65% | 68% |
| Over 3.5 | 44% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 | 28% | 27% |
| BTTS | 63% | 76% |
| BTTS & Win | 23% | 22% |
| BTTS & Draw | 16% | 30% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 53% | 62% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 12% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Philadelphia Union | Toronto FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 20% |
| Draw 1st Half | 24% | 37% |
| Loss 1st Half | 43% | 43% |
| Scored 1st Half | 48% | 40% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 52% | 57% |
| Win 2nd Half | 43% | 34% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 31% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 24% | 34% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 63% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 45% | 66% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 86% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 36% | 34% |
Recent Venue Form
Philadelphia Union (H)L
New England Revolution1–2
New England Revolution1–2D
Charlotte2–2
Charlotte2–2W
Real Salt Lake2–1
Real Salt Lake2–1W
Orlando City SC4–2
Orlando City SC4–2W
FC Cincinnati5–0
FC Cincinnati5–0W
CF Montreal2–0
CF Montreal2–0Toronto FC (A)L
Columbus Crew2–4
Columbus Crew2–4W
New York Red Bulls2–0
New York Red Bulls2–0L
Nashville SC0–2
Nashville SC0–2L
St. Louis City1–3
St. Louis City1–3LOrlando City SC0–3
Orlando City SC0–3W
Inter Miami2–1
Inter Miami2–1Number of Corners
9.4
Corners / Match
37 games
League Avg
10.0
450 games
10.6
Corners / Match
31 games
| Match Corners | Philadelphia Union | Toronto FC | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 81% | 87% | 83% |
| Over 7 | 65% | 81% | 73% |
| Over 8 | 51% | 74% | 64% |
| Over 9 | 43% | 61% | 53% |
| Over 10 | 41% | 52% | 43% |
| Over 11 | 35% | 35% | 34% |
| Over 12 | 19% | 23% | 23% |
| Over 13 | 14% | 23% | 18% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Philadelphia Union | Toronto FC |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.0 | 4.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.4 | 5.8 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 92% | 81% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 89% | 65% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 65% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 49% | 94% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 41% | 77% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 27% | 61% |
Head to Head · 33 matches
10
Philadelphia Union
30%
9
Draws
27%
14
Toronto FC
42%
85%
Over 1.5
28/33
64%
Over 2.5
21/33
33%
Over 3.5
11/33
61%
BTTS
20/33
22/04/26Philadelphia Union
Toronto FC
3–3Philadelphia Union09/08/25Toronto FC
Philadelphia Union
1–1Toronto FC28/05/25Philadelphia Union
Toronto FC
1–2Philadelphia Union13/07/24Philadelphia Union
Toronto FC
2–1Philadelphia Union29/05/24Toronto FC
Philadelphia Union
0–0Toronto FC30/08/23Philadelphia Union
Toronto FC
3–1Philadelphia Union22/04/23Toronto FC
Philadelphia Union
4–2Toronto FC09/10/22Toronto FC
Philadelphia Union
4–0Toronto FC16/04/22Philadelphia Union
Toronto FC
2–1Philadelphia Union27/10/21Philadelphia Union
Toronto FC
2–2Philadelphia Union04/08/21Toronto FC
Philadelphia Union
3–0Toronto FC25/10/20Toronto FC
Philadelphia Union
5–0Toronto FC03/10/20Philadelphia Union
Toronto FC
2–1Philadelphia Union11/05/19Philadelphia Union
Toronto FC
1–2Philadelphia Union02/03/19Toronto FC
Philadelphia Union
1–3Toronto FC09/06/18Toronto FC
Philadelphia Union
0–2Toronto FC05/05/18Philadelphia Union
Toronto FC
3–0Philadelphia Union24/08/17Philadelphia Union
Toronto FC
3–0Philadelphia Union11/03/17Toronto FC
Philadelphia Union
2–2Toronto FC26/10/16Philadelphia Union
Toronto FC
3–1Philadelphia Union| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 31 | 21 | 7 | 3 | +43 | 70 |
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | +32 | 55 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | +22 | 55 |
| 2 | St. Louis City | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +15 | 51 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 30 | 16 | 4 | 10 | +8 | 52 |
| 3 |  FC Dallas | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +8 | 51 |
| 4 |  Chicago Fire | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +8 | 48 |
| 4 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | +10 | 48 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +8 | 47 |
| 5 |  Houston Dynamo | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +2 | 47 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | +15 | 46 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | +13 | 46 |
| 7 |  Seattle Sounders | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +2 | 42 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | -12 | 41 |
| 8 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | -9 | 40 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -9 | 39 |
| 9 |  Colorado Rapids | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 9 | Columbus Crew | 31 | 11 | 5 | 15 | +1 | 38 |
| 10 | Real Salt Lake | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -3 | 36 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -17 | 36 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | -11 | 36 |
| 11 |  Portland Timbers | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | -5 | 34 |
| 12 |  San Diego | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | -3 | 34 |
| 12 |  New York City FC | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | +2 | 34 |
| 13 |  Minnesota United FC | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | -8 | 34 |
| 13 |  DC United | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | -15 | 33 |
| 14 |  Austin | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -18 | 31 |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | -14 | 30 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | -26 | 25 |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | -39 | 22 |
Team Insights
Philadelphia Union- ●Philadelphia Union failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Philadelphia Union have scored in each of their last 20 matches.
- ●Philadelphia Union have scored in each of their last 11 home matches.
- ●Philadelphia Union have won their last 4 away matches.
- ●Philadelphia Union have scored in each of their last 9 away matches.
- ●Philadelphia Union have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Philadelphia Union failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Philadelphia Union failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Philadelphia Union have won 6 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Philadelphia Union have scored in 13 of their 15 away matches.
Toronto FC- ●Toronto FC have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Toronto FC have been undefeated in their last 7 home matches.
- ●Toronto FC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 16 home matches.
- ●Toronto FC have scored in each of their last 16 home matches.
- ●Toronto FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 16 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Toronto FC have scored in 16 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Toronto FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Toronto FC have lost 9 of their 15 away matches.
- ●71% of Toronto FC's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Philadelphia UnionLHNew England Revolution1–2
New England Revolution1–2DHCharlotte2–2
Charlotte2–2WAChicago Fire3–1
Chicago Fire3–1WHReal Salt Lake2–1
Real Salt Lake2–1WHOrlando City SC4–2
Orlando City SC4–2WASporting Kansas City4–3
Sporting Kansas City4–3–ANashville SC29/10
Nashville SC29/10–AFC Cincinnati31/10
FC Cincinnati31/10–HToronto FC07/11
Toronto FC07/11Toronto FCLAColumbus Crew2–4
Columbus Crew2–4WANew York Red Bulls2–0
New York Red Bulls2–0DHOrlando City SC3–3
Orlando City SC3–3WHCF Montreal2–1
CF Montreal2–1LANashville SC0–2
Nashville SC0–2LASt. Louis City1–3
St. Louis City1–3–HDC United28/10
DC United28/10–AAtlanta United FC01/11
Atlanta United FC01/11–APhiladelphia Union07/11
Philadelphia Union07/11Top Scorers
Philadelphia UnionM. Iloski14 ⚽
B. Damiani10 ⚽
C. Sullivan7 ⚽
Milan Iloski6 ⚽
Bruno Damiani5 ⚽
N. Pierre4 ⚽
Toronto FCD. Salloi6 ⚽
Josh Sargent4 ⚽
J. Sargent4 ⚽
Dániel Sallói3 ⚽
D. Etienne3 ⚽
E. Aristizabal3 ⚽
Cards Given
Philadelphia UnionOlwethu Makhanya8 🟨
Japhet Sery Larsen6 🟨
Danley Jean Jacques6 🟨
Bruno Damiani6 🟨
Geiner Martínez3 🟨
J. Bueno3 🟨
Toronto FCRaheem Edwards4 🟨
W. Zimmerman4 🟨
Jonathan Osorio4 🟨
Benjamin Kuscevic4 🟨
Richie Laryea4 🟨
Alonso Coello3 🟨