FC Cincinnati vs Nashville SC — Major League Soccer
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FC Cincinnati and Nashville SC meet in the Major League Soccer 2026 season on 7 November 2026. FC Cincinnati have recorded 18 wins from 43 matches this season (42% win rate), averaging 2.21 goals scored and 1.98 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 70% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 70%; and clean sheets in 19% of games. Nashville SC have won 59% of their 46 matches, with 1.89 goals scored and 0.76 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 43%, Over 2.5 at 52%, and clean sheets at 46%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.85 for FC Cincinnati and 1.55 for Nashville SC. The models give FC Cincinnati a 39% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Nashville SC win at 37%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 65% and BTTS at 65%.
Season Statistics
FC Cincinnati—
Nashville SC8º
Position
1º
1.30
PPG
2.26
33%
Win %
68%
2.07
Goals / game
2.13
2.37
Conceded / game
0.74
70%
BTTS %
43%
19%
Clean sheet %
46%
70%
Over 2.5 %
52%
5.0
Avg corners
4.9
14.8
Avg shots
12.1
5.9
Avg shots on target
4.7
2.2
Avg yellow cards
1.7
11.1
Avg fouls
12.3
51.1%
Avg possession
52.5%
Home vs Away
FC Cincinnati
Home (15)
—
Nashville SC
Away (16)
1.80
PPG
1.69
53%
Win %
44%
2.53
Goals / game
1.31
2.00
Conceded / game
0.69
64%
BTTS %
41%
27%
Clean sheet %
45%
68%
Over 2.5 %
36%
5.0
Avg corners
4.9
14.8
Avg shots
12.1
5.9
Avg shots on target
4.7
2.2
Avg yellow cards
1.7
51.1%
Avg possession
52.5%
Goals Scored
| FC Cincinnati | Home | Away | Nashville SC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 88% | 91% | 86% | 78% | 83% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 63% | 77% | 48% | 54% | 67% | 41% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 37% | 50% | 24% | 33% | 54% | 9% |
| Failed To Score | 12% | 9% | 14% | 22% | 17% | 27% |
Goals Conceded
| FC Cincinnati | Home | Away | Nashville SC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 81% | 73% | 90% | 54% | 54% | 55% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 53% | 45% | 62% | 22% | 21% | 23% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 35% | 27% | 43% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 19% | 27% | 10% | 46% | 46% | 45% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| FC Cincinnati | Nashville SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 93% | 65% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 52% |
| Over 3.5 | 58% | 37% |
| Over 4.5 | 40% | 20% |
| BTTS | 70% | 43% |
| BTTS & Win | 23% | 24% |
| BTTS & Draw | 26% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 58% | 39% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 12% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| FC Cincinnati | Nashville SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 35% | 41% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 48% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 11% |
| Scored 1st Half | 70% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 58% | 28% |
| Win 2nd Half | 44% | 52% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 21% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 35% | 15% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 35% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 86% | 61% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 56% | 35% |
Recent Venue Form
FC Cincinnati (H)W
DC United2–1
DC United2–1L
Columbus Crew0–2
Columbus Crew0–2L
New England Revolution2–3
New England Revolution2–3D
Charlotte3–3
Charlotte3–3D
Seattle Sounders1–1
Seattle Sounders1–1W
New York City FC2–1
New York City FC2–1Nashville SC (A)W
CF Montreal2–0
CF Montreal2–0D
San Jose Earthquakes1–1
San Jose Earthquakes1–1W
Austin4–1
Austin4–1D
Inter Miami2–2
Inter Miami2–2L
Toronto FC1–2
Toronto FC1–2DNew York City FC0–0
New York City FC0–0Number of Corners
9.9
Corners / Match
36 games
League Avg
10.0
450 games
8.9
Corners / Match
42 games
| Match Corners | FC Cincinnati | Nashville SC | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 86% | 71% | 83% |
| Over 7 | 72% | 57% | 73% |
| Over 8 | 67% | 52% | 64% |
| Over 9 | 53% | 43% | 53% |
| Over 10 | 36% | 33% | 43% |
| Over 11 | 22% | 19% | 34% |
| Over 12 | 22% | 14% | 23% |
| Over 13 | 19% | 12% | 18% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | FC Cincinnati | Nashville SC |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.0 | 4.9 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.8 | 4.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 75% | 95% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 69% | 62% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 72% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 64% | 55% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 56% | 36% |
Head to Head · 13 matches
4
FC Cincinnati
31%
4
Draws
31%
5
Nashville SC
38%
92%
Over 1.5
12/13
69%
Over 2.5
9/13
46%
Over 3.5
6/13
69%
BTTS
9/13
30/08/26FC Cincinnati
Nashville SC
4–0FC Cincinnati13/09/25Nashville SC
FC Cincinnati
2–1Nashville SC30/03/25FC Cincinnati
Nashville SC
1–2FC Cincinnati22/09/24FC Cincinnati
Nashville SC
2–2FC Cincinnati29/05/24Nashville SC
FC Cincinnati
0–2Nashville SC05/08/23Nashville SC
FC Cincinnati
1–1Nashville SC15/07/23Nashville SC
FC Cincinnati
3–1Nashville SC26/03/23FC Cincinnati
Nashville SC
0–1FC Cincinnati17/02/23FC Cincinnati
Nashville SC
6–3FC Cincinnati23/07/22Nashville SC
FC Cincinnati
1–1Nashville SC27/10/21Nashville SC
FC Cincinnati
3–6Nashville SC25/07/21FC Cincinnati
Nashville SC
3–0FC Cincinnati18/04/21FC Cincinnati
Nashville SC
2–2FC Cincinnati| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 31 | 21 | 7 | 3 | +43 | 70 |
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | +32 | 55 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | +22 | 55 |
| 2 |  St. Louis City | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +15 | 51 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 30 | 16 | 4 | 10 | +8 | 52 |
| 3 |  FC Dallas | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +8 | 51 |
| 4 |  Chicago Fire | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +8 | 48 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | +10 | 48 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +8 | 47 |
| 5 |  Houston Dynamo | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +2 | 47 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | +15 | 46 |
| 6 |  Philadelphia Union | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | +13 | 46 |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +2 | 42 |
| 7 |  Orlando City SC | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | -12 | 41 |
| 8 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | -9 | 40 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -9 | 39 |
| 9 |  Colorado Rapids | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 9 | Columbus Crew | 31 | 11 | 5 | 15 | +1 | 38 |
| 10 |  Real Salt Lake | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -3 | 36 |
| 10 |  New York Red Bulls | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -17 | 36 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | -11 | 36 |
| 11 |  Portland Timbers | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | -5 | 34 |
| 12 |  San Diego | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | -3 | 34 |
| 12 | New York City FC | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | +2 | 34 |
| 13 |  Minnesota United FC | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | -8 | 34 |
| 13 | DC United | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | -15 | 33 |
| 14 | Austin | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -18 | 31 |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | -14 | 30 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | -26 | 25 |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | -39 | 22 |
Team Insights
FC Cincinnati- ●FC Cincinnati have won their last 2 matches.
- ●FC Cincinnati failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 home matches.
- ●FC Cincinnati have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●FC Cincinnati have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●FC Cincinnati failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 15 home matches.
- ●FC Cincinnati have scored in 13 of their 15 home matches.
- ●FC Cincinnati failed to keep a clean sheet in 15 of their 16 away matches.
- ●FC Cincinnati have scored in 13 of their 16 away matches.
Nashville SC- ●Nashville SC have been undefeated in their last 7 matches.
- ●Nashville SC have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Nashville SC have won their last 10 home matches.
- ●Nashville SC have kept a clean sheet in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Nashville SC have scored in each of their last 15 home matches.
- ●Nashville SC have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Nashville SC have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Nashville SC have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Nashville SC have scored in 15 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Nashville SC have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Nashville SC have won 7 of their 16 away matches.
- ●68% of Nashville SC's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
FC CincinnatiWADC United2–0
DC United2–0WHDC United2–1
DC United2–1LHColumbus Crew0–2
Columbus Crew0–2LHNew England Revolution2–3
New England Revolution2–3WAAtlanta United FC3–1
Atlanta United FC3–1LACF Montreal1–3
CF Montreal1–3–AInter Miami28/10
Inter Miami28/10–HPhiladelphia Union31/10
Philadelphia Union31/10–HNashville SC07/11
Nashville SC07/11Nashville SCWACF Montreal2–0
CF Montreal2–0DASan Jose Earthquakes1–1
San Jose Earthquakes1–1WHSporting Kansas City4–0
Sporting Kansas City4–0WAAustin4–1
Austin4–1WHToronto FC2–0
Toronto FC2–0WHChicago Fire3–0
Chicago Fire3–0–HPhiladelphia Union29/10
Philadelphia Union29/10–HNew York Red Bulls01/11
New York Red Bulls01/11–AFC Cincinnati07/11
FC Cincinnati07/11Top Scorers
FC CincinnatiK. Denkey19 ⚽
Evander16 ⚽
T. Barlow9 ⚽
K. Mboma9 ⚽
P. Bucha7 ⚽
A. Jabbari5 ⚽
Nashville SCS. Surridge16 ⚽
H. Mukhtar12 ⚽
C. Espinoza7 ⚽
Hany Mukhtar5 ⚽
W. Madrigal5 ⚽
A. Qasem4 ⚽
Cards Given
FC CincinnatiObinna Nwobodo7 🟨
Bryan Ramirez6 🟨
Evander6 🟨
Tom Barlow6 🟨
Kévin Denkey5 🟨
Teenage Hadebe5 🟨
Nashville SCMatthew Corcoran4 🟨
Daniel Lovitz4 🟨
Hany Mukhtar4 🟨
Jeisson Palacios4 🟨
Andy Najar4 🟨
Bryan Acosta3 🟨