New England Revolution vs Inter Miami — Major League Soccer
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New England Revolution and Inter Miami meet in the Major League Soccer 2026 season on 2 November 2026. New England Revolution have recorded 19 wins from 38 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.87 goals scored and 1.42 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 66% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 71%; and clean sheets in 18% of games. Inter Miami have won 46% of their 41 matches, with 2.17 goals scored and 1.66 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 73%, Over 2.5 at 73%, and clean sheets at 20%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.88 for New England Revolution and 1.67 for Inter Miami. The models give New England Revolution a 42% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Inter Miami win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 68% and BTTS at 68%.
Season Statistics
New England Revolution—
Inter Miami3º
Position
2º
1.73
PPG
1.83
53%
Win %
50%
1.63
Goals / game
2.43
1.37
Conceded / game
1.70
66%
BTTS %
73%
18%
Clean sheet %
20%
71%
Over 2.5 %
73%
4.7
Avg corners
4.9
12.2
Avg shots
14.6
4.8
Avg shots on target
5.9
1.8
Avg yellow cards
2.5
9.7
Avg fouls
12.9
50.3%
Avg possession
56.6%
Home vs Away
New England Revolution
Home (15)
—
Inter Miami
Away (15)
2.13
PPG
2.00
67%
Win %
60%
1.80
Goals / game
2.13
1.07
Conceded / game
1.67
59%
BTTS %
67%
27%
Clean sheet %
19%
64%
Over 2.5 %
71%
4.7
Avg corners
4.9
12.2
Avg shots
14.6
4.8
Avg shots on target
5.9
1.8
Avg yellow cards
2.5
50.3%
Avg possession
56.6%
Goals Scored
| New England | Home | Away | Inter Miami | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 82% | 82% | 81% | 88% | 100% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 50% | 50% | 68% | 80% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 26% | 32% | 19% | 29% | 30% | 29% |
| Failed To Score | 18% | 18% | 19% | 12% | 0% | 24% |
Goals Conceded
| New England | Home | Away | Inter Miami | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 82% | 73% | 94% | 80% | 80% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 37% | 32% | 44% | 61% | 65% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 18% | 18% | 19% | 17% | 15% | 19% |
| Clean Sheets | 18% | 27% | 6% | 20% | 20% | 19% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| New England | Inter Miami | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 84% | 93% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 | 32% | 54% |
| Over 4.5 | 24% | 29% |
| BTTS | 66% | 73% |
| BTTS & Win | 34% | 32% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 27% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 55% | 66% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 16% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| New England | Inter Miami | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 42% | 44% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 41% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 15% |
| Scored 1st Half | 53% | 71% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 59% |
| Win 2nd Half | 42% | 37% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 22% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 22% | 41% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 53% | 66% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 83% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 44% | 61% |
Recent Venue Form
New England (H)W
Chicago Fire1–0
Chicago Fire1–0L
Seattle Sounders0–3
Seattle Sounders0–3W
Orlando City SC4–2
Orlando City SC4–2D
New York City FC1–1
New York City FC1–1L
Houston Dynamo0–2
Houston Dynamo0–2W
Atlanta United FC4–1
Atlanta United FC4–1Inter Miami (A)L
New York Red Bulls0–2
New York Red Bulls0–2WAtlanta United FC3–1
Atlanta United FC3–1L
Columbus Crew1–2
Columbus Crew1–2DChicago Fire1–1
Chicago Fire1–1D
Philadelphia Union2–2
Philadelphia Union2–2L
Nashville SC1–4
Nashville SC1–4Number of Corners
10.5
Corners / Match
30 games
League Avg
10.0
450 games
8.9
Corners / Match
35 games
| Match Corners | New England | Inter Miami | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 87% | 77% | 83% |
| Over 7 | 83% | 60% | 73% |
| Over 8 | 73% | 46% | 64% |
| Over 9 | 60% | 40% | 53% |
| Over 10 | 40% | 29% | 43% |
| Over 11 | 40% | 26% | 34% |
| Over 12 | 30% | 14% | 23% |
| Over 13 | 13% | 11% | 18% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | New England | Inter Miami |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.7 | 4.9 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.8 | 4.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 77% | 77% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 57% | 69% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 47% | 49% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 93% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 73% | 51% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 63% | 31% |
Head to Head · 11 matches
3
New England
27%
1
Draws
9%
7
Inter Miami
64%
91%
Over 1.5
10/11
73%
Over 2.5
8/11
55%
Over 3.5
6/11
73%
BTTS
8/11
25/04/26New England Revolution
Inter Miami
1–1New England Revolution04/10/25New England Revolution
Inter Miami
4–1New England Revolution09/07/25Inter Miami
New England Revolution
1–2Inter Miami20/10/24New England Revolution
Inter Miami
6–2New England Revolution27/04/24Inter Miami
New England Revolution
1–4Inter Miami10/06/23Inter Miami
New England Revolution
3–1Inter Miami13/05/23New England Revolution
Inter Miami
2–1New England Revolution30/04/22Inter Miami
New England Revolution
2–0Inter Miami09/04/22New England Revolution
Inter Miami
3–2New England Revolution07/11/21Inter Miami
New England Revolution
0–1Inter Miami21/07/21New England Revolution
Inter Miami
0–5New England Revolution| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 31 | 21 | 7 | 3 | +43 | 70 |
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | +32 | 55 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | +22 | 55 |
| 2 |  St. Louis City | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +15 | 51 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 30 | 16 | 4 | 10 | +8 | 52 |
| 3 |  FC Dallas | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +8 | 51 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +8 | 48 |
| 4 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | +10 | 48 |
| 5 |  Charlotte | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +8 | 47 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +2 | 47 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | +15 | 46 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | +13 | 46 |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +2 | 42 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | -12 | 41 |
| 8 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | -9 | 40 |
| 8 |  FC Cincinnati | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -9 | 39 |
| 9 |  Colorado Rapids | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 9 | Columbus Crew | 31 | 11 | 5 | 15 | +1 | 38 |
| 10 |  Real Salt Lake | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -3 | 36 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -17 | 36 |
| 11 |  Toronto FC | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | -11 | 36 |
| 11 |  Portland Timbers | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | -5 | 34 |
| 12 |  San Diego | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | -3 | 34 |
| 12 | New York City FC | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | +2 | 34 |
| 13 |  Minnesota United FC | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | -8 | 34 |
| 13 |  DC United | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | -15 | 33 |
| 14 |  Austin | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -18 | 31 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | -14 | 30 |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | -26 | 25 |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | -39 | 22 |
Team Insights
New England- ●New England Revolution have won their last 3 matches.
- ●New England Revolution have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●New England Revolution failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●New England Revolution failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 15 home matches.
- ●New England Revolution failed to keep a clean sheet in 15 of their 16 away matches.
- ●New England Revolution have won 7 of their 16 away matches.
- ●New England Revolution have scored in 13 of their 16 away matches.
- ●New England Revolution have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.
Inter Miami- ●Inter Miami have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Inter Miami have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Inter Miami have scored in each of their last 15 home matches.
- ●Inter Miami failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Inter Miami failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Inter Miami have scored in 15 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Inter Miami failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Inter Miami have won 9 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Inter Miami have scored in 13 of their 16 away matches.
Season Schedule
New EnglandWAPhiladelphia Union2–1
Philadelphia Union2–1WHChicago Fire1–0
Chicago Fire1–0WAFC Cincinnati3–2
FC Cincinnati3–2LHSeattle Sounders0–3
Seattle Sounders0–3LAReal Salt Lake0–3
Real Salt Lake0–3WHOrlando City SC4–2
Orlando City SC4–2–HNew York Red Bulls28/10
New York Red Bulls28/10–HInter Miami02/11
Inter Miami02/11–AOrlando City SC07/11
Orlando City SC07/11Inter MiamiLANew York Red Bulls0–2
New York Red Bulls0–2WAAtlanta United FC3–1
Atlanta United FC3–1WHNew York City FC2–0
New York City FC2–0WHDC United4–0
DC United4–0LAColumbus Crew1–2
Columbus Crew1–2DHSan Diego2–2
San Diego2–2–HFC Cincinnati28/10
FC Cincinnati28/10–ANew England Revolution02/11
New England Revolution02/11–HCharlotte07/11
Charlotte07/11Top Scorers
New EnglandC. Gil10 ⚽
D. Turgeman7 ⚽
P. Miller6 ⚽
A. Yusuf5 ⚽
Dor Turgeman4 ⚽
Carles Gil3 ⚽
Inter MiamiL. Messi24 ⚽
L. Suarez13 ⚽
G. Berterame8 ⚽
Lionel Messi6 ⚽
R. de Paul5 ⚽
T. Segovia4 ⚽
Cards Given
New EnglandBrooklyn Raines6 🟨
William Sands4 🟨
Matt Polster4 🟨
Carles Gil4 🟨
Griffin Yow3 🟨
Mamadou Fofana3 🟨
Inter MiamiTelasco Segovia8 🟨
I. Fray5 🟨
Micael5 🟨
Germán Berterame5 🟨
Casemiro4 🟨
Dayne St. Clair4 🟨