Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC — Major League Soccer
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Atlanta United FC and Toronto FC meet in the Major League Soccer 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Atlanta United FC have recorded 12 wins from 38 matches this season (32% win rate), averaging 1.39 goals scored and 1.63 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 63% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 63%; and clean sheets in 18% of games. Toronto FC have won 30% of their 37 matches, with 1.59 goals scored and 1.81 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 76%, Over 2.5 at 68%, and clean sheets at 14%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.69 for Atlanta United FC and 1.34 for Toronto FC. The models give Atlanta United FC a 42% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Toronto FC win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 58% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Atlanta United FC—
Toronto FC14º
Position
11º
1.00
PPG
1.16
27%
Win %
26%
1.23
Goals / game
1.55
1.70
Conceded / game
1.90
63%
BTTS %
76%
18%
Clean sheet %
14%
63%
Over 2.5 %
68%
5.1
Avg corners
4.8
13.4
Avg shots
12.3
4.1
Avg shots on target
4.5
2.2
Avg yellow cards
1.8
11.5
Avg fouls
11.2
51.4%
Avg possession
44.8%
Home vs Away
Atlanta United FC
Home (15)
—
Toronto FC
Away (15)
0.93
PPG
0.80
27%
Win %
20%
1.40
Goals / game
0.93
1.93
Conceded / game
1.80
74%
BTTS %
53%
16%
Clean sheet %
27%
79%
Over 2.5 %
60%
5.1
Avg corners
4.8
13.4
Avg shots
12.3
4.1
Avg shots on target
4.5
2.2
Avg yellow cards
1.8
51.4%
Avg possession
44.8%
Goals Scored
| Atlanta United | Home | Away | Toronto FC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 74% | 79% | 68% | 84% | 95% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 47% | 53% | 42% | 51% | 68% | 27% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 16% | 21% | 11% | 19% | 32% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 26% | 21% | 32% | 16% | 5% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Atlanta United | Home | Away | Toronto FC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 82% | 84% | 79% | 86% | 95% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 53% | 63% | 42% | 51% | 45% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 24% | 32% | 16% | 35% | 32% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 18% | 16% | 21% | 14% | 5% | 27% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Atlanta United | Toronto FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 84% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 68% |
| Over 3.5 | 45% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 | 18% | 27% |
| BTTS | 63% | 76% |
| BTTS & Win | 21% | 22% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 30% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 58% | 62% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Atlanta United | Toronto FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 20% |
| Draw 1st Half | 37% | 37% |
| Loss 1st Half | 34% | 43% |
| Scored 1st Half | 45% | 40% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 47% | 57% |
| Win 2nd Half | 34% | 34% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 24% | 31% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 42% | 34% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 63% | 63% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 53% | 66% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 74% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 39% | 34% |
Recent Venue Form
Atlanta United (H)L
Chicago Fire2–3
Chicago Fire2–3L
Inter Miami1–3
Inter Miami1–3L
FC Cincinnati1–3
FC Cincinnati1–3D
New York City FC2–2
New York City FC2–2L
Orlando City SC2–3
Orlando City SC2–3L
Charlotte0–2
Charlotte0–2Toronto FC (A)L
Columbus Crew2–4
Columbus Crew2–4W
New York Red Bulls2–0
New York Red Bulls2–0L
Nashville SC0–2
Nashville SC0–2L
St. Louis City1–3
St. Louis City1–3LOrlando City SC0–3
Orlando City SC0–3WInter Miami2–1
Inter Miami2–1Number of Corners
10.2
Corners / Match
29 games
League Avg
10.0
450 games
10.6
Corners / Match
31 games
| Match Corners | Atlanta United | Toronto FC | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 86% | 87% | 83% |
| Over 7 | 72% | 81% | 73% |
| Over 8 | 66% | 74% | 64% |
| Over 9 | 59% | 61% | 53% |
| Over 10 | 45% | 52% | 43% |
| Over 11 | 38% | 35% | 34% |
| Over 12 | 21% | 23% | 23% |
| Over 13 | 17% | 23% | 18% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Atlanta United | Toronto FC |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.1 | 4.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.2 | 5.8 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 86% | 81% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 69% | 65% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 48% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 86% | 94% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 79% | 77% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 59% | 61% |
Head to Head · 20 matches
6
Atlanta United
30%
8
Draws
40%
6
Toronto FC
30%
85%
Over 1.5
17/20
55%
Over 2.5
11/20
35%
Over 3.5
7/20
70%
BTTS
14/20
25/04/26Atlanta United FC
Toronto FC
1–2Atlanta United FC24/08/25Toronto FC
Atlanta United FC
0–0Toronto FC12/07/25Atlanta United FC
Toronto FC
1–1Atlanta United FC29/06/24Toronto FC
Atlanta United FC
2–1Toronto FC23/03/24Atlanta United FC
Toronto FC
2–0Atlanta United FC15/04/23Atlanta United FC
Toronto FC
2–2Atlanta United FC05/03/23Toronto FC
Atlanta United FC
1–1Toronto FC10/09/22Toronto FC
Atlanta United FC
4–2Toronto FC25/06/22Atlanta United FC
Toronto FC
2–1Atlanta United FC30/10/21Toronto FC
Atlanta United FC
1–1Toronto FC16/10/21Atlanta United FC
Toronto FC
0–2Atlanta United FC18/08/21Toronto FC
Atlanta United FC
1–0Toronto FC18/10/20Atlanta United FC
Toronto FC
1–0Atlanta United FC31/10/19Toronto FC
Atlanta United FC
1–2Toronto FC27/06/19Atlanta United FC
Toronto FC
3–2Atlanta United FC08/05/19Toronto FC
Atlanta United FC
2–0Toronto FC28/10/18Atlanta United FC
Toronto FC
4–1Atlanta United FC04/08/18Toronto FC
Atlanta United FC
2–2Toronto FC22/10/17Toronto FC
Atlanta United FC
2–2Toronto FC08/04/17Atlanta United FC
Toronto FC
2–2Atlanta United FC| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 31 | 21 | 7 | 3 | +43 | 70 |
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | +32 | 55 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | +22 | 55 |
| 2 | St. Louis City | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +15 | 51 |
| 3 |  New England Revolution | 30 | 16 | 4 | 10 | +8 | 52 |
| 3 |  FC Dallas | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +8 | 51 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +8 | 48 |
| 4 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | +10 | 48 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +8 | 47 |
| 5 |  Houston Dynamo | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +2 | 47 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | +15 | 46 |
| 6 |  Philadelphia Union | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | +13 | 46 |
| 7 |  Seattle Sounders | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +2 | 42 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | -12 | 41 |
| 8 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | -9 | 40 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -9 | 39 |
| 9 |  Colorado Rapids | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 9 | Columbus Crew | 31 | 11 | 5 | 15 | +1 | 38 |
| 10 |  Real Salt Lake | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -3 | 36 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -17 | 36 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | -11 | 36 |
| 11 |  Portland Timbers | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | -5 | 34 |
| 12 |  San Diego | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | -3 | 34 |
| 12 | New York City FC | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | +2 | 34 |
| 13 |  Minnesota United FC | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | -8 | 34 |
| 13 |  DC United | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | -15 | 33 |
| 14 |  Austin | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -18 | 31 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | -14 | 30 |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | -26 | 25 |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | -39 | 22 |
Team Insights
Atlanta United- ●Atlanta United FC have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Atlanta United FC have failed to win in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Atlanta United FC have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Atlanta United FC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 13 home matches.
- ●Atlanta United FC have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Atlanta United FC have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Atlanta United FC have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Atlanta United FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 15 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Atlanta United FC have lost 10 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Atlanta United FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 away matches.
Toronto FC- ●Toronto FC have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Toronto FC have been undefeated in their last 7 home matches.
- ●Toronto FC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 16 home matches.
- ●Toronto FC have scored in each of their last 16 home matches.
- ●Toronto FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 16 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Toronto FC have scored in 16 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Toronto FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Toronto FC have lost 9 of their 15 away matches.
- ●71% of Toronto FC's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Atlanta UnitedLHChicago Fire2–3
Chicago Fire2–3LHInter Miami1–3
Inter Miami1–3WACF Montreal3–0
CF Montreal3–0LHFC Cincinnati1–3
FC Cincinnati1–3DHNew York City FC2–2
New York City FC2–2WAPortland Timbers1–0
Portland Timbers1–0–ANew York City FC28/10
New York City FC28/10–HToronto FC01/11
Toronto FC01/11–ANew York Red Bulls07/11
New York Red Bulls07/11Toronto FCLAColumbus Crew2–4
Columbus Crew2–4WANew York Red Bulls2–0
New York Red Bulls2–0DHOrlando City SC3–3
Orlando City SC3–3WHCF Montreal2–1
CF Montreal2–1LANashville SC0–2
Nashville SC0–2LASt. Louis City1–3
St. Louis City1–3–HDC United28/10
DC United28/10–AAtlanta United FC01/11
Atlanta United FC01/11–APhiladelphia Union07/11
Philadelphia Union07/11Top Scorers
Atlanta UnitedA. Miranchuk7 ⚽
T. Muyumba4 ⚽
F. Picault4 ⚽
M. Almiron3 ⚽
Breel Embolo3 ⚽
E. Latte Lath3 ⚽
Toronto FCD. Salloi6 ⚽
Josh Sargent4 ⚽
J. Sargent4 ⚽
Dániel Sallói3 ⚽
D. Etienne3 ⚽
E. Aristizabal3 ⚽
Cards Given
Atlanta UnitedTomás Jacob9 🟨
Lucas Hoyos4 🟨
C. Sanchez4 🟨
Cooper Sanchez4 🟨
Enea Mihaj4 🟨
Tristan Muyumba4 🟨
Toronto FCRaheem Edwards4 🟨
W. Zimmerman4 🟨
Jonathan Osorio4 🟨
Benjamin Kuscevic4 🟨
Richie Laryea4 🟨
Alonso Coello3 🟨