Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls — Major League Soccer
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Nashville SC and New York Red Bulls meet in the Major League Soccer 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Nashville SC have recorded 27 wins from 46 matches this season (59% win rate), averaging 1.89 goals scored and 0.76 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 43% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 52%; and clean sheets in 46% of games. New York Red Bulls have won 36% of their 39 matches, with 1.49 goals scored and 1.87 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 62%, Over 2.5 at 64%, and clean sheets at 15%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.38 for Nashville SC and 1.08 for New York Red Bulls. The models give Nashville SC a 68% win probability, with a draw at 20% and an New York Red Bulls win at 13%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 67% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Nashville SC—
New York Red Bulls1º
Position
10º
2.26
PPG
1.20
68%
Win %
33%
2.13
Goals / game
1.30
0.74
Conceded / game
1.87
43%
BTTS %
62%
46%
Clean sheet %
15%
52%
Over 2.5 %
64%
4.9
Avg corners
5.7
12.1
Avg shots
14.2
4.7
Avg shots on target
5.0
1.7
Avg yellow cards
2.0
12.3
Avg fouls
12.6
52.5%
Avg possession
51.7%
Home vs Away
Nashville SC
Home (15)
—
New York Red Bulls
Away (15)
2.87
PPG
1.20
93%
Win %
33%
3.00
Goals / game
1.13
0.80
Conceded / game
1.80
46%
BTTS %
71%
46%
Clean sheet %
18%
67%
Over 2.5 %
65%
4.9
Avg corners
5.7
12.1
Avg shots
14.2
4.7
Avg shots on target
5.0
1.7
Avg yellow cards
2.0
52.5%
Avg possession
51.7%
Goals Scored
| Nashville SC | Home | Away | New York | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 78% | 83% | 73% | 74% | 68% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 54% | 67% | 41% | 38% | 41% | 35% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 33% | 54% | 9% | 23% | 36% | 6% |
| Failed To Score | 22% | 17% | 27% | 26% | 32% | 18% |
Goals Conceded
| Nashville SC | Home | Away | New York | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 54% | 54% | 55% | 85% | 86% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 22% | 21% | 23% | 59% | 59% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 31% | 32% | 29% |
| Clean Sheets | 46% | 46% | 45% | 15% | 14% | 18% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Nashville SC | New York | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 97% |
| Over 1.5 | 65% | 87% |
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 | 37% | 46% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 26% |
| BTTS | 43% | 62% |
| BTTS & Win | 24% | 23% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 39% | 54% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Nashville SC | New York | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 41% | 32% |
| Draw 1st Half | 48% | 26% |
| Loss 1st Half | 11% | 42% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 45% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 28% | 58% |
| Win 2nd Half | 52% | 29% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 21% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 15% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 58% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 35% | 71% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 61% | 84% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 35% | 53% |
Recent Venue Form
Nashville SC (H)W
Sporting Kansas City4–0
Sporting Kansas City4–0W
Toronto FC2–0
Toronto FC2–0W
Chicago Fire3–0
Chicago Fire3–0W
FC Cincinnati4–0
FC Cincinnati4–0W
Columbus Crew3–2
Columbus Crew3–2W
Inter Miami4–1
Inter Miami4–1New York (A)L
DC United1–2
DC United1–2W
New York City FC1–0
New York City FC1–0WColumbus Crew1–0
Columbus Crew1–0L
Los Angeles FC0–2
Los Angeles FC0–2D
Seattle Sounders0–0
Seattle Sounders0–0L
Atlanta United FC1–2
Atlanta United FC1–2Number of Corners
8.9
Corners / Match
42 games
League Avg
10.0
450 games
10.6
Corners / Match
30 games
| Match Corners | Nashville SC | New York | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 71% | 83% | 83% |
| Over 7 | 57% | 77% | 73% |
| Over 8 | 52% | 70% | 64% |
| Over 9 | 43% | 60% | 53% |
| Over 10 | 33% | 53% | 43% |
| Over 11 | 19% | 43% | 34% |
| Over 12 | 14% | 30% | 23% |
| Over 13 | 12% | 27% | 18% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Nashville SC | New York |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.9 | 5.7 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.0 | 5.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 95% | 93% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 62% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 67% | 77% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 55% | 63% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 36% | 50% |
Head to Head · 11 matches
2
Nashville SC
18%
4
Draws
36%
5
New York
45%
36%
Over 1.5
4/11
9%
Over 2.5
1/11
0%
Over 3.5
0/11
18%
BTTS
2/11
19/08/26Nashville SC
New York Red Bulls
0–1Nashville SC15/05/25New York Red Bulls
Nashville SC
2–1New York Red Bulls02/03/25Nashville SC
New York Red Bulls
2–0Nashville SC15/06/24Nashville SC
New York Red Bulls
0–0Nashville SC24/02/24New York Red Bulls
Nashville SC
0–0New York Red Bulls22/10/23New York Red Bulls
Nashville SC
0–1New York Red Bulls05/03/23Nashville SC
New York Red Bulls
0–0Nashville SC21/01/23Nashville SC
New York Red Bulls
1–0Nashville SC21/01/23New York Red Bulls
Nashville SC
0–1New York Red Bulls07/11/21New York Red Bulls
Nashville SC
1–1New York Red Bulls19/06/21Nashville SC
New York Red Bulls
2–0Nashville SC| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 31 | 21 | 7 | 3 | +43 | 70 |
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | +32 | 55 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | +22 | 55 |
| 2 |  St. Louis City | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +15 | 51 |
| 3 |  New England Revolution | 30 | 16 | 4 | 10 | +8 | 52 |
| 3 |  FC Dallas | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +8 | 51 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +8 | 48 |
| 4 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | +10 | 48 |
| 5 |  Charlotte | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +8 | 47 |
| 5 |  Houston Dynamo | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +2 | 47 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | +15 | 46 |
| 6 |  Philadelphia Union | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | +13 | 46 |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +2 | 42 |
| 7 |  Orlando City SC | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | -12 | 41 |
| 8 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | -9 | 40 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -9 | 39 |
| 9 |  Colorado Rapids | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 9 | Columbus Crew | 31 | 11 | 5 | 15 | +1 | 38 |
| 10 |  Real Salt Lake | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -3 | 36 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -17 | 36 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | -11 | 36 |
| 11 |  Portland Timbers | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | -5 | 34 |
| 12 |  San Diego | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | -3 | 34 |
| 12 | New York City FC | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | +2 | 34 |
| 13 |  Minnesota United FC | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | -8 | 34 |
| 13 | DC United | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | -15 | 33 |
| 14 |  Austin | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -18 | 31 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | -14 | 30 |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | -26 | 25 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | -39 | 22 |
Team Insights
Nashville SC- ●Nashville SC have been undefeated in their last 7 matches.
- ●Nashville SC have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Nashville SC have won their last 10 home matches.
- ●Nashville SC have kept a clean sheet in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Nashville SC have scored in each of their last 15 home matches.
- ●Nashville SC have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Nashville SC have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Nashville SC have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Nashville SC have scored in 15 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Nashville SC have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Nashville SC have won 7 of their 16 away matches.
- ●68% of Nashville SC's goals have been scored at home.
New York- ●New York Red Bulls failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 16 home matches.
- ●New York Red Bulls failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 away matches.
- ●New York Red Bulls have scored in 12 of their 15 away matches.
Season Schedule
Nashville SCWACF Montreal2–0
CF Montreal2–0DASan Jose Earthquakes1–1
San Jose Earthquakes1–1WHSporting Kansas City4–0
Sporting Kansas City4–0WAAustin4–1
Austin4–1WHToronto FC2–0
Toronto FC2–0WHChicago Fire3–0
Chicago Fire3–0–HPhiladelphia Union29/10
Philadelphia Union29/10–HNew York Red Bulls01/11
New York Red Bulls01/11–AFC Cincinnati07/11
FC Cincinnati07/11New YorkWHInter Miami2–0
Inter Miami2–0LHToronto FC0–2
Toronto FC0–2LADC United1–2
DC United1–2WHSan Diego4–1
San Diego4–1LHSt. Louis City0–3
St. Louis City0–3WANew York City FC1–0
New York City FC1–0–ANew England Revolution28/10
New England Revolution28/10–ANashville SC01/11
Nashville SC01/11–HAtlanta United FC07/11
Atlanta United FC07/11Top Scorers
Nashville SCS. Surridge16 ⚽
H. Mukhtar12 ⚽
C. Espinoza7 ⚽
Hany Mukhtar5 ⚽
W. Madrigal5 ⚽
A. Qasem4 ⚽
New YorkJ. Hall13 ⚽
J. Ruvalcaba7 ⚽
E. Forsberg4 ⚽
E. M. Choupo-Moting3 ⚽
C. Cowell2 ⚽
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting2 ⚽
Cards Given
Nashville SCMatthew Corcoran4 🟨
Daniel Lovitz4 🟨
Hany Mukhtar4 🟨
Jeisson Palacios4 🟨
Andy Najar4 🟨
Bryan Acosta3 🟨
New YorkRonald Donkor8 🟨
Omar Valencia4 🟨
Adri Mehmeti4 🟨
Jorge Ruvalcaba4 🟨
A. Mehmeti4 🟨
M. Sofo4 🟨