FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union — Major League Soccer
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FC Cincinnati and Philadelphia Union meet in the Major League Soccer 2026 season on 31 October 2026. FC Cincinnati have recorded 18 wins from 43 matches this season (42% win rate), averaging 2.21 goals scored and 1.98 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 70% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 70%; and clean sheets in 19% of games. Philadelphia Union have won 42% of their 43 matches, with 2.02 goals scored and 1.47 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 65%, and clean sheets at 23%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.41 for FC Cincinnati and 2.11 for Philadelphia Union. The models give FC Cincinnati a 43% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Philadelphia Union win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 82% and BTTS at 80%.
Season Statistics
FC Cincinnati—
Philadelphia Union8º
Position
6º
1.30
PPG
1.53
33%
Win %
43%
2.07
Goals / game
2.03
2.37
Conceded / game
1.60
70%
BTTS %
63%
19%
Clean sheet %
23%
70%
Over 2.5 %
65%
5.0
Avg corners
6.0
14.8
Avg shots
16.0
5.9
Avg shots on target
5.2
2.2
Avg yellow cards
2.2
11.1
Avg fouls
15.3
51.1%
Avg possession
48.0%
Home vs Away
FC Cincinnati
Home (15)
—
Philadelphia Union
Away (15)
1.80
PPG
1.33
53%
Win %
40%
2.53
Goals / game
2.27
2.00
Conceded / game
2.13
64%
BTTS %
75%
27%
Clean sheet %
10%
68%
Over 2.5 %
70%
5.0
Avg corners
6.0
14.8
Avg shots
16.0
5.9
Avg shots on target
5.2
2.2
Avg yellow cards
2.2
51.1%
Avg possession
48.0%
Goals Scored
| FC Cincinnati | Home | Away | Philadelphia Union | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 88% | 91% | 86% | 81% | 78% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 63% | 77% | 48% | 53% | 57% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 37% | 50% | 24% | 37% | 30% | 45% |
| Failed To Score | 12% | 9% | 14% | 19% | 22% | 15% |
Goals Conceded
| FC Cincinnati | Home | Away | Philadelphia Union | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 81% | 73% | 90% | 77% | 65% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 53% | 45% | 62% | 44% | 39% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 35% | 27% | 43% | 14% | 4% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 19% | 27% | 10% | 23% | 35% | 10% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| FC Cincinnati | Philadelphia Union | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 93% | 84% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 65% |
| Over 3.5 | 58% | 44% |
| Over 4.5 | 40% | 28% |
| BTTS | 70% | 63% |
| BTTS & Win | 23% | 23% |
| BTTS & Draw | 26% | 16% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 58% | 53% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 12% | 12% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| FC Cincinnati | Philadelphia Union | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 35% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 24% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 43% |
| Scored 1st Half | 70% | 48% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 58% | 52% |
| Win 2nd Half | 44% | 43% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 21% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 35% | 24% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 45% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 86% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 56% | 36% |
Recent Venue Form
FC Cincinnati (H)W
DC United2–1
DC United2–1L
Columbus Crew0–2
Columbus Crew0–2L
New England Revolution2–3
New England Revolution2–3D
Charlotte3–3
Charlotte3–3D
Seattle Sounders1–1
Seattle Sounders1–1W
New York City FC2–1
New York City FC2–1Philadelphia Union (A)W
Chicago Fire3–1
Chicago Fire3–1W
Sporting Kansas City4–3
Sporting Kansas City4–3W
San Diego5–0
San Diego5–0W
New York Red Bulls3–1
New York Red Bulls3–1D
Austin1–1
Austin1–1WNew York City FC3–2
New York City FC3–2Number of Corners
9.9
Corners / Match
36 games
League Avg
10.0
450 games
9.4
Corners / Match
37 games
| Match Corners | FC Cincinnati | Philadelphia Union | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 86% | 81% | 83% |
| Over 7 | 72% | 65% | 73% |
| Over 8 | 67% | 51% | 64% |
| Over 9 | 53% | 43% | 53% |
| Over 10 | 36% | 41% | 43% |
| Over 11 | 22% | 35% | 34% |
| Over 12 | 22% | 19% | 23% |
| Over 13 | 19% | 14% | 18% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | FC Cincinnati | Philadelphia Union |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.0 | 6.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.8 | 3.4 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 75% | 92% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 69% | 89% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 65% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 72% | 49% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 64% | 41% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 56% | 27% |
Head to Head · 21 matches
7
FC Cincinnati
33%
3
Draws
14%
11
Philadelphia Union
52%
76%
Over 1.5
16/21
57%
Over 2.5
12/21
43%
Over 3.5
9/21
52%
BTTS
11/21
09/09/26FC Cincinnati
Philadelphia Union
5–0FC Cincinnati30/08/25Philadelphia Union
FC Cincinnati
0–1Philadelphia Union02/03/25FC Cincinnati
Philadelphia Union
4–1FC Cincinnati07/02/25Philadelphia Union
FC Cincinnati
4–1Philadelphia Union20/10/24FC Cincinnati
Philadelphia Union
1–2FC Cincinnati13/08/24Philadelphia Union
FC Cincinnati
2–4Philadelphia Union19/06/24Philadelphia Union
FC Cincinnati
4–3Philadelphia Union09/02/24Philadelphia Union
FC Cincinnati
4–3Philadelphia Union26/11/23Philadelphia Union
FC Cincinnati
1–0Philadelphia Union16/09/23FC Cincinnati
Philadelphia Union
2–2FC Cincinnati08/04/23Philadelphia Union
FC Cincinnati
1–0Philadelphia Union10/02/23FC Cincinnati
Philadelphia Union
3–1FC Cincinnati21/10/22FC Cincinnati
Philadelphia Union
1–0FC Cincinnati06/08/22Philadelphia Union
FC Cincinnati
3–1Philadelphia Union18/06/22FC Cincinnati
Philadelphia Union
1–1FC Cincinnati31/10/21FC Cincinnati
Philadelphia Union
2–0FC Cincinnati10/10/21Philadelphia Union
FC Cincinnati
1–2Philadelphia Union07/10/20FC Cincinnati
Philadelphia Union
3–0FC Cincinnati23/09/20Philadelphia Union
FC Cincinnati
0–0Philadelphia Union01/05/19FC Cincinnati
Philadelphia Union
2–0FC Cincinnati| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 31 | 21 | 7 | 3 | +43 | 70 |
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | +32 | 55 |
| 2 |  Inter Miami | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | +22 | 55 |
| 2 |  St. Louis City | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +15 | 51 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 30 | 16 | 4 | 10 | +8 | 52 |
| 3 |  FC Dallas | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +8 | 51 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +8 | 48 |
| 4 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | +10 | 48 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +8 | 47 |
| 5 |  Houston Dynamo | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +2 | 47 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | +15 | 46 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | +13 | 46 |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +2 | 42 |
| 7 |  Orlando City SC | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | -12 | 41 |
| 8 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | -9 | 40 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -9 | 39 |
| 9 |  Colorado Rapids | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 9 | Columbus Crew | 31 | 11 | 5 | 15 | +1 | 38 |
| 10 |  Real Salt Lake | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -3 | 36 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -17 | 36 |
| 11 |  Toronto FC | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | -11 | 36 |
| 11 |  Portland Timbers | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | -5 | 34 |
| 12 | San Diego | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | -3 | 34 |
| 12 | New York City FC | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | +2 | 34 |
| 13 |  Minnesota United FC | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | -8 | 34 |
| 13 | DC United | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | -15 | 33 |
| 14 | Austin | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -18 | 31 |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | -14 | 30 |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | -26 | 25 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | -39 | 22 |
Team Insights
FC Cincinnati- ●FC Cincinnati have won their last 2 matches.
- ●FC Cincinnati failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 home matches.
- ●FC Cincinnati have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●FC Cincinnati have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●FC Cincinnati failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 15 home matches.
- ●FC Cincinnati have scored in 13 of their 15 home matches.
- ●FC Cincinnati failed to keep a clean sheet in 15 of their 16 away matches.
- ●FC Cincinnati have scored in 13 of their 16 away matches.
Philadelphia Union- ●Philadelphia Union failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Philadelphia Union have scored in each of their last 20 matches.
- ●Philadelphia Union have scored in each of their last 11 home matches.
- ●Philadelphia Union have won their last 4 away matches.
- ●Philadelphia Union have scored in each of their last 9 away matches.
- ●Philadelphia Union have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Philadelphia Union failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Philadelphia Union failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Philadelphia Union have won 6 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Philadelphia Union have scored in 13 of their 15 away matches.
Season Schedule
FC CincinnatiWADC United2–0
DC United2–0WHDC United2–1
DC United2–1LHColumbus Crew0–2
Columbus Crew0–2LHNew England Revolution2–3
New England Revolution2–3WAAtlanta United FC3–1
Atlanta United FC3–1LACF Montreal1–3
CF Montreal1–3–AInter Miami28/10
Inter Miami28/10–HPhiladelphia Union31/10
Philadelphia Union31/10–HNashville SC07/11
Nashville SC07/11Philadelphia UnionLHNew England Revolution1–2
New England Revolution1–2DHCharlotte2–2
Charlotte2–2WAChicago Fire3–1
Chicago Fire3–1WHReal Salt Lake2–1
Real Salt Lake2–1WHOrlando City SC4–2
Orlando City SC4–2WASporting Kansas City4–3
Sporting Kansas City4–3–ANashville SC29/10
Nashville SC29/10–AFC Cincinnati31/10
FC Cincinnati31/10–HToronto FC07/11
Toronto FC07/11Top Scorers
FC CincinnatiK. Denkey19 ⚽
Evander16 ⚽
T. Barlow9 ⚽
K. Mboma9 ⚽
P. Bucha7 ⚽
A. Jabbari5 ⚽
Philadelphia UnionM. Iloski14 ⚽
B. Damiani10 ⚽
C. Sullivan7 ⚽
Milan Iloski6 ⚽
Bruno Damiani5 ⚽
N. Pierre4 ⚽
Cards Given
FC CincinnatiObinna Nwobodo7 🟨
Bryan Ramirez6 🟨
Evander6 🟨
Tom Barlow6 🟨
Kévin Denkey5 🟨
Teenage Hadebe5 🟨
Philadelphia UnionOlwethu Makhanya8 🟨
Japhet Sery Larsen6 🟨
Danley Jean Jacques6 🟨
Bruno Damiani6 🟨
Geiner Martínez3 🟨
J. Bueno3 🟨