Austin vs Real Salt Lake — Major League Soccer
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Austin and Real Salt Lake meet in the Major League Soccer 2026 season on 29 October 2026. Austin have recorded 11 wins from 43 matches this season (26% win rate), averaging 1.21 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 58%; and clean sheets in 23% of games. Real Salt Lake have won 38% of their 40 matches, with 1.63 goals scored and 1.52 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 68%, Over 2.5 at 68%, and clean sheets at 13%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.69 for Austin and 1.30 for Real Salt Lake. The models give Austin a 46% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Real Salt Lake win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Austin—
Real Salt Lake14º
Position
10º
1.03
PPG
1.20
23%
Win %
33%
1.27
Goals / game
1.50
1.87
Conceded / game
1.60
56%
BTTS %
68%
23%
Clean sheet %
13%
58%
Over 2.5 %
68%
4.6
Avg corners
4.6
10.6
Avg shots
13.9
4.0
Avg shots on target
5.4
1.8
Avg yellow cards
2.3
10.4
Avg fouls
12.2
48.6%
Avg possession
49.1%
Home vs Away
Austin
Home (15)
—
Real Salt Lake
Away (15)
1.20
PPG
0.60
27%
Win %
13%
1.40
Goals / game
1.13
1.40
Conceded / game
1.80
55%
BTTS %
80%
41%
Clean sheet %
0%
50%
Over 2.5 %
70%
4.6
Avg corners
4.6
10.6
Avg shots
13.9
4.0
Avg shots on target
5.4
1.8
Avg yellow cards
2.3
48.6%
Avg possession
49.1%
Goals Scored
| Austin | Home | Away | Real Salt | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 73% | 86% | 59% | 80% | 81% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 36% | 41% | 32% | 49% | 67% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 11% | 18% | 5% | 29% | 43% | 15% |
| Failed To Score | 27% | 14% | 41% | 20% | 19% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Austin | Home | Away | Real Salt | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 77% | 59% | 95% | 85% | 71% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 36% | 64% | 46% | 33% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 9% | 32% | 15% | 10% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 23% | 41% | 5% | 15% | 29% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Austin | Real Salt | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 95% |
| Over 2.5 | 59% | 68% |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 11% | 12% |
| BTTS | 57% | 66% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 24% |
| BTTS & Draw | 23% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 48% | 51% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Austin | Real Salt | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 23% | 40% |
| Draw 1st Half | 47% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 40% | 60% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 47% | 43% |
| Win 2nd Half | 21% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 47% | 28% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 40% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 51% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 58% | 70% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 70% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Austin (H)L
Vancouver Whitecaps1–2
Vancouver Whitecaps1–2L
Nashville SC1–4
Nashville SC1–4D
San Diego3–3
San Diego3–3D
Colorado Rapids1–1
Colorado Rapids1–1D
San Jose Earthquakes1–1
San Jose Earthquakes1–1D
Philadelphia Union1–1
Philadelphia Union1–1Real Salt (A)W
Sporting Kansas City3–1
Sporting Kansas City3–1LPhiladelphia Union1–2
Philadelphia Union1–2L
Seattle Sounders0–2
Seattle Sounders0–2L
Houston Dynamo1–2
Houston Dynamo1–2LColorado Rapids0–1
Colorado Rapids0–1L
Leon0–3
Leon0–3Number of Corners
10.7
Corners / Match
34 games
League Avg
10.0
450 games
10.4
Corners / Match
34 games
| Match Corners | Austin | Real Salt | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 91% | 88% | 83% |
| Over 7 | 85% | 76% | 73% |
| Over 8 | 79% | 65% | 64% |
| Over 9 | 71% | 53% | 53% |
| Over 10 | 53% | 47% | 43% |
| Over 11 | 38% | 35% | 34% |
| Over 12 | 26% | 26% | 23% |
| Over 13 | 24% | 15% | 18% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Austin | Real Salt |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.7 | 4.6 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.1 | 5.8 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 88% | 76% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 71% | 65% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 47% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 91% | 85% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 88% | 82% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 74% | 62% |
Head to Head · 12 matches
3
Austin
25%
3
Draws
25%
6
Real Salt
50%
92%
Over 1.5
11/12
83%
Over 2.5
10/12
33%
Over 3.5
4/12
83%
BTTS
10/12
15/03/26Austin
Real Salt Lake
2–1Austin28/09/25Austin
Real Salt Lake
3–1Austin29/05/25Real Salt Lake
Austin
1–1Real Salt Lake29/09/24Real Salt Lake
Austin
2–2Real Salt Lake02/06/24Austin
Real Salt Lake
5–1Austin04/06/23Real Salt Lake
Austin
1–2Real Salt Lake12/03/23Austin
Real Salt Lake
1–2Austin16/10/22Real Salt Lake
Austin
2–2Real Salt Lake15/09/22Real Salt Lake
Austin
3–0Real Salt Lake15/05/22Austin
Real Salt Lake
2–1Austin02/10/21Real Salt Lake
Austin
2–1Real Salt Lake15/08/21Austin
Real Salt Lake
1–0Austin| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 31 | 21 | 7 | 3 | +43 | 70 |
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | +32 | 55 |
| 2 |  Inter Miami | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | +22 | 55 |
| 2 |  St. Louis City | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +15 | 51 |
| 3 |  New England Revolution | 30 | 16 | 4 | 10 | +8 | 52 |
| 3 |  FC Dallas | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +8 | 51 |
| 4 |  Chicago Fire | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +8 | 48 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | +10 | 48 |
| 5 |  Charlotte | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +8 | 47 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +2 | 47 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | +15 | 46 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | +13 | 46 |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +2 | 42 |
| 7 |  Orlando City SC | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | -12 | 41 |
| 8 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | -9 | 40 |
| 8 |  FC Cincinnati | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -9 | 39 |
| 9 | Colorado Rapids | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 9 |  Columbus Crew | 31 | 11 | 5 | 15 | +1 | 38 |
| 10 | Real Salt Lake | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -3 | 36 |
| 10 |  New York Red Bulls | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -17 | 36 |
| 11 |  Toronto FC | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | -11 | 36 |
| 11 |  Portland Timbers | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | -5 | 34 |
| 12 | San Diego | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | -3 | 34 |
| 12 |  New York City FC | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | +2 | 34 |
| 13 |  Minnesota United FC | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | -8 | 34 |
| 13 |  DC United | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | -15 | 33 |
| 14 | Austin | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -18 | 31 |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | -14 | 30 |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | -26 | 25 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | -39 | 22 |
Team Insights
Austin- ●Austin failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Austin have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Austin have failed to win in their last 7 home matches.
- ●Austin failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 home matches.
- ●Austin have scored in each of their last 12 home matches.
- ●Austin failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Austin have scored in 14 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Austin failed to keep a clean sheet in 15 of their 16 away matches.
Real Salt- ●Real Salt Lake have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Real Salt Lake have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Real Salt Lake have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Real Salt Lake failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 15 away matches.
- ●Real Salt Lake failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Real Salt Lake failed to keep a clean sheet in 15 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Real Salt Lake have lost 10 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Real Salt Lake have scored in 12 of their 15 away matches.
- ●65% of Real Salt Lake's goals have been scored at home.
- ●77% of Real Salt Lake's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
AustinWASporting Kansas City2–1
Sporting Kansas City2–1LHVancouver Whitecaps1–2
Vancouver Whitecaps1–2LALos Angeles FC1–3
Los Angeles FC1–3LHNashville SC1–4
Nashville SC1–4DHSan Diego3–3
San Diego3–3DAFC Dallas0–0
FC Dallas0–0–HReal Salt Lake29/10
Real Salt Lake29/10–ALos Angeles Galaxy31/10
Los Angeles Galaxy31/10–HPortland Timbers08/11
Portland Timbers08/11Real SaltWHSt. Louis City3–0
St. Louis City3–0WASporting Kansas City3–1
Sporting Kansas City3–1DHSan Jose Earthquakes1–1
San Jose Earthquakes1–1LAPhiladelphia Union1–2
Philadelphia Union1–2WHNew England Revolution3–0
New England Revolution3–0LASeattle Sounders0–2
Seattle Sounders0–2–AAustin29/10
Austin29/10–ASan Jose Earthquakes31/10
San Jose Earthquakes31/10–HLos Angeles Galaxy08/11
Los Angeles Galaxy08/11Top Scorers
AustinM. Uzuni11 ⚽
C. Ramirez6 ⚽
Christian Ramirez4 ⚽
Brandon Vazquez3 ⚽
F. Torres3 ⚽
Guilherme Biro3 ⚽
Real SaltS. Solans14 ⚽
D. Luna7 ⚽
Z. Gozo7 ⚽
Sergi Solans5 ⚽
L. Engel3 ⚽
M. Guilavogui3 ⚽
Cards Given
AustinGuilherme Biro8 🟨
J. Rosales6 🟨
M. Uzuni5 🟨
Ilie Sánchez4 🟨
M. Desler4 🟨
O. Svatok4 🟨
Real SaltDeAndre Yedlin6 🟨
Morgan Guilavogui5 🟨
D. Yedlin4 🟨
Juan Sanabria3 🟨
D. Luna3 🟨
Diego Luna3 🟨