Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City — Major League Soccer
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Minnesota United FC and Sporting Kansas City meet in the Major League Soccer 2026 season on 29 October 2026. Minnesota United FC have recorded 10 wins from 39 matches this season (26% win rate), averaging 1.46 goals scored and 1.64 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 64%; and clean sheets in 26% of games. Sporting Kansas City have won 24% of their 38 matches, with 1.11 goals scored and 2.26 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 55%, Over 2.5 at 74%, and clean sheets at 8%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.92 for Minnesota United FC and 1.14 for Sporting Kansas City. The models give Minnesota United FC a 58% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Sporting Kansas City win at 20%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 58% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Minnesota United | Home | Away | Sporting Kansas | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 77% | 76% | 77% | 63% | 73% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 44% | 41% | 45% | 34% | 36% | 31% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 18% | 18% | 18% | 13% | 18% | 6% |
| Failed To Score | 23% | 24% | 23% | 37% | 27% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Minnesota United | Home | Away | Sporting Kansas | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 74% | 76% | 73% | 92% | 91% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 51% | 47% | 55% | 63% | 50% | 81% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 21% | 12% | 27% | 45% | 32% | 63% |
| Clean Sheets | 26% | 24% | 27% | 8% | 9% | 6% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Minnesota United | Sporting Kansas | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 85% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 74% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 | 64% | 74% |
| Over 3.5 | 41% | 39% |
| Over 4.5 | 23% | 18% |
| BTTS | 67% | 55% |
| BTTS & Win | 15% | 16% |
| BTTS & Draw | 21% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 59% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 24% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Minnesota United | Sporting Kansas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 18% | 26% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 18% |
| Loss 1st Half | 49% | 55% |
| Scored 1st Half | 36% | 45% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 64% | 61% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 18% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 46% | 32% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 21% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 56% | 39% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 54% | 71% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 74% | 87% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 53% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Minnesota United | Sporting Kansas | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 97% | 87% | 83% |
| Over 7 | 76% | 77% | 73% |
| Over 8 | 70% | 57% | 64% |
| Over 9 | 55% | 50% | 53% |
| Over 10 | 42% | 37% | 43% |
| Over 11 | 30% | 23% | 34% |
| Over 12 | 24% | 17% | 23% |
| Over 13 | 15% | 10% | 18% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Minnesota United | Sporting Kansas |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.4 | 4.1 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.2 | 5.8 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 88% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 70% | 53% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 64% | 37% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 88% | 87% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 76% | 77% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 52% | 57% |
Head to Head · 31 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 31 | 21 | 7 | 3 | +43 | 70 | |
| 1 | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | +32 | 55 | |
| 2 | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | +22 | 55 | |
| 2 | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +15 | 51 | |
| 3 | 30 | 16 | 4 | 10 | +8 | 52 | |
| 3 | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +8 | 51 | |
| 4 | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +8 | 48 | |
| 4 | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | +10 | 48 | |
| 5 | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +8 | 47 | |
| 5 | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +2 | 47 | |
| 6 | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | +15 | 46 | |
| 6 | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | +13 | 46 | |
| 7 | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +2 | 42 | |
| 7 | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | -12 | 41 | |
| 8 | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | -9 | 40 | |
| 8 | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -9 | 39 | |
| 9 | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 | |
| 9 | 31 | 11 | 5 | 15 | +1 | 38 | |
| 10 | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -3 | 36 | |
| 10 | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -17 | 36 | |
| 11 | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | -11 | 36 | |
| 11 | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | -5 | 34 | |
| 12 | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | -3 | 34 | |
| 12 | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | +2 | 34 | |
| 13 | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | -8 | 34 | |
| 13 | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | -15 | 33 | |
| 14 | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -18 | 31 | |
| 14 | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | -14 | 30 | |
| 15 | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | -26 | 25 | |
| 15 | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | -39 | 22 |
Team Insights
- ●Minnesota United FC have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Minnesota United FC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Minnesota United FC have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Minnesota United FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Minnesota United FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Minnesota United FC have scored in 14 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Minnesota United FC have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Sporting Kansas City have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Sporting Kansas City have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Sporting Kansas City failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Sporting Kansas City have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Sporting Kansas City have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Sporting Kansas City failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 16 home matches.
- ●Sporting Kansas City have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Sporting Kansas City have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Sporting Kansas City failed to keep a clean sheet in 16 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Sporting Kansas City have lost 9 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Sporting Kansas City failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Sporting Kansas City have lost 12 of their 15 away matches.
- ●62% of Sporting Kansas City's goals have been scored at home.