Chicago Fire vs Orlando City SC — Major League Soccer
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Chicago Fire and Orlando City SC meet in the Major League Soccer 2026 season on 29 October 2026. Chicago Fire have recorded 21 wins from 43 matches this season (49% win rate), averaging 1.74 goals scored and 1.42 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 70% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 72%; and clean sheets in 26% of games. Orlando City SC have won 40% of their 42 matches, with 1.95 goals scored and 2.21 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 76%, Over 2.5 at 81%, and clean sheets at 12%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.44 for Chicago Fire and 1.68 for Orlando City SC. The models give Chicago Fire a 53% win probability, with a draw at 21% and an Orlando City SC win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 78% and BTTS at 74%.
Season Statistics
Chicago Fire—
Orlando City SC4º
Position
7º
1.60
PPG
1.37
47%
Win %
40%
1.73
Goals / game
1.93
1.47
Conceded / game
2.33
70%
BTTS %
76%
26%
Clean sheet %
12%
72%
Over 2.5 %
81%
4.6
Avg corners
4.1
14.5
Avg shots
12.3
5.2
Avg shots on target
4.9
2.1
Avg yellow cards
2.2
12.7
Avg fouls
10.6
52.0%
Avg possession
49.9%
Home vs Away
Chicago Fire
Home (15)
—
Orlando City SC
Away (15)
1.87
PPG
0.80
60%
Win %
20%
1.87
Goals / game
1.87
1.27
Conceded / game
3.33
74%
BTTS %
68%
26%
Clean sheet %
11%
79%
Over 2.5 %
84%
4.6
Avg corners
4.1
14.5
Avg shots
12.3
5.2
Avg shots on target
4.9
2.1
Avg yellow cards
2.2
52.0%
Avg possession
49.9%
Goals Scored
| Chicago Fire | Home | Away | Orlando City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 88% | 100% | 79% | 88% | 96% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 56% | 58% | 54% | 60% | 57% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 23% | 26% | 21% | 31% | 30% | 32% |
| Failed To Score | 12% | 0% | 21% | 12% | 4% | 21% |
Goals Conceded
| Chicago Fire | Home | Away | Orlando City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 74% | 74% | 75% | 88% | 87% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 42% | 37% | 46% | 64% | 52% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 21% | 21% | 21% | 36% | 13% | 63% |
| Clean Sheets | 26% | 26% | 25% | 12% | 13% | 11% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Chicago Fire | Orlando City | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 81% | 90% |
| Over 2.5 | 72% | 81% |
| Over 3.5 | 37% | 60% |
| Over 4.5 | 19% | 50% |
| BTTS | 70% | 76% |
| BTTS & Win | 30% | 29% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 19% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 65% | 69% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 12% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Chicago Fire | Orlando City | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 37% | 40% |
| Draw 1st Half | 37% | 24% |
| Loss 1st Half | 26% | 36% |
| Scored 1st Half | 60% | 60% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 47% | 57% |
| Win 2nd Half | 35% | 29% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 31% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 40% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 63% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 56% | 71% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 81% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 52% |
Recent Venue Form
Chicago Fire (H)L
Philadelphia Union1–3
Philadelphia Union1–3W
New York City FC2–1
New York City FC2–1W
Vancouver Whitecaps3–1
Vancouver Whitecaps3–1L
New England Revolution1–2
New England Revolution1–2D
Inter Miami1–1
Inter Miami1–1W
Portland Timbers2–1
Portland Timbers2–1Orlando City (A)D
Toronto FC3–3
Toronto FC3–3LPhiladelphia Union2–4
Philadelphia Union2–4LNew England Revolution2–4
New England Revolution2–4L
Columbus Crew1–2
Columbus Crew1–2W
Atlanta United FC3–2
Atlanta United FC3–2D
Minnesota United FC3–3
Minnesota United FC3–3Number of Corners
9.3
Corners / Match
34 games
League Avg
10.0
450 games
10.5
Corners / Match
33 games
| Match Corners | Chicago Fire | Orlando City | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 82% | 88% | 83% |
| Over 7 | 74% | 76% | 73% |
| Over 8 | 65% | 76% | 64% |
| Over 9 | 41% | 58% | 53% |
| Over 10 | 26% | 45% | 43% |
| Over 11 | 21% | 42% | 34% |
| Over 12 | 15% | 33% | 23% |
| Over 13 | 12% | 27% | 18% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Chicago Fire | Orlando City |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.6 | 4.1 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.8 | 6.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 71% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 53% | 55% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 38% | 39% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 82% | 97% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 62% | 82% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 47% | 73% |
Head to Head · 25 matches
9
Chicago Fire
36%
8
Draws
32%
8
Orlando City
32%
76%
Over 1.5
19/25
60%
Over 2.5
15/25
52%
Over 3.5
13/25
68%
BTTS
17/25
19/08/26Chicago Fire
Orlando City SC
1–2Chicago Fire23/10/25Orlando City SC
Chicago Fire
3–1Orlando City SC31/05/25Chicago Fire
Orlando City SC
1–3Chicago Fire04/05/25Orlando City SC
Chicago Fire
0–0Orlando City SC22/06/24Chicago Fire
Orlando City SC
4–2Chicago Fire30/05/24Orlando City SC
Chicago Fire
1–1Orlando City SC21/08/23Orlando City SC
Chicago Fire
1–3Orlando City SC01/07/23Chicago Fire
Orlando City SC
3–1Chicago Fire09/04/22Chicago Fire
Orlando City SC
1–0Chicago Fire05/03/22Orlando City SC
Chicago Fire
0–0Orlando City SC22/08/21Chicago Fire
Orlando City SC
1–0Chicago Fire08/07/21Orlando City SC
Chicago Fire
3–1Orlando City SC19/09/20Chicago Fire
Orlando City SC
4–1Chicago Fire06/10/19Chicago Fire
Orlando City SC
2–5Chicago Fire09/03/19Orlando City SC
Chicago Fire
1–1Orlando City SC16/09/18Orlando City SC
Chicago Fire
4–0Orlando City SC26/05/18Chicago Fire
Orlando City SC
1–2Chicago Fire25/06/17Orlando City SC
Chicago Fire
4–0Orlando City SC04/06/17Chicago Fire
Orlando City SC
0–0Chicago Fire14/08/16Orlando City SC
Chicago Fire
2–2Orlando City SC| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 31 | 21 | 7 | 3 | +43 | 70 |
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | +32 | 55 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | +22 | 55 |
| 2 |  St. Louis City | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +15 | 51 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 30 | 16 | 4 | 10 | +8 | 52 |
| 3 |  FC Dallas | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +8 | 51 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +8 | 48 |
| 4 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | +10 | 48 |
| 5 |  Charlotte | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +8 | 47 |
| 5 |  Houston Dynamo | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +2 | 47 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | +15 | 46 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | +13 | 46 |
| 7 |  Seattle Sounders | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +2 | 42 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | -12 | 41 |
| 8 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | -9 | 40 |
| 8 |  FC Cincinnati | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -9 | 39 |
| 9 |  Colorado Rapids | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 9 | Columbus Crew | 31 | 11 | 5 | 15 | +1 | 38 |
| 10 |  Real Salt Lake | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -3 | 36 |
| 10 |  New York Red Bulls | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -17 | 36 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | -11 | 36 |
| 11 | Portland Timbers | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | -5 | 34 |
| 12 |  San Diego | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | -3 | 34 |
| 12 | New York City FC | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | +2 | 34 |
| 13 | Minnesota United FC | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | -8 | 34 |
| 13 |  DC United | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | -15 | 33 |
| 14 |  Austin | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -18 | 31 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | -14 | 30 |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | -26 | 25 |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | -39 | 22 |
Team Insights
Chicago Fire- ●Chicago Fire failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Chicago Fire failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 home matches.
- ●Chicago Fire have scored in each of their last 15 home matches.
- ●Chicago Fire failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Chicago Fire have scored in 15 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Chicago Fire failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Chicago Fire have won 6 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Chicago Fire have scored in 13 of their 16 away matches.
Orlando City- ●Orlando City SC have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Orlando City SC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Orlando City SC have scored in each of their last 19 matches.
- ●Orlando City SC have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Orlando City SC have been undefeated in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Orlando City SC have scored in each of their last 12 home matches.
- ●Orlando City SC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Orlando City SC have scored in each of their last 8 away matches.
- ●Orlando City SC have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 8 away matches.
- ●Orlando City SC have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Orlando City SC failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Orlando City SC have scored in 15 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Orlando City SC failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Orlando City SC have lost 9 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Orlando City SC have scored in 11 of their 15 away matches.
- ●69% of Orlando City SC's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
Chicago FireWAAtlanta United FC3–2
Atlanta United FC3–2LANew England Revolution0–1
New England Revolution0–1LHPhiladelphia Union1–3
Philadelphia Union1–3WHNew York City FC2–1
New York City FC2–1WHVancouver Whitecaps3–1
Vancouver Whitecaps3–1WACharlotte1–0
Charlotte1–0–HOrlando City SC29/10
Orlando City SC29/10–AColorado Rapids01/11
Colorado Rapids01/11–HColumbus Crew07/11
Columbus Crew07/11Orlando CityDHNew York City FC2–2
New York City FC2–2WHDC United4–1
DC United4–1DAToronto FC3–3
Toronto FC3–3WHColumbus Crew3–2
Columbus Crew3–2LAPhiladelphia Union2–4
Philadelphia Union2–4LANew England Revolution2–4
New England Revolution2–4–AChicago Fire29/10
Chicago Fire29/10–ACharlotte31/10
Charlotte31/10–HNew England Revolution07/11
New England Revolution07/11Top Scorers
Chicago FireH. Cuypers13 ⚽
P. Zinckernagel7 ⚽
Maren Haile-Selassie6 ⚽
M. Haile-Selassie5 ⚽
R. Lewandowski5 ⚽
R. Lod5 ⚽
Orlando CityM. Ojeda13 ⚽
Antoine Griezmann9 ⚽
T. Spicer8 ⚽
A. Griezmann6 ⚽
G. Dorsey5 ⚽
Iván Angulo4 ⚽
Cards Given
Chicago FireJ. Waterman7 🟨
Jack Elliott6 🟨
A. Saletros5 🟨
Dje Tah D'Avilla5 🟨
Mbekezeli Mbokazi5 🟨
Philip Zinckernagel5 🟨
Orlando CityEduard Atuesta7 🟨
David Brekalo5 🟨
W. Cartagena5 🟨
Iván Angulo4 🟨
Iago Silva4 🟨
Iago Teodoro4 🟨