Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union — Major League Soccer
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Nashville SC and Philadelphia Union meet in the Major League Soccer 2026 season on 29 October 2026. Nashville SC have recorded 27 wins from 46 matches this season (59% win rate), averaging 1.89 goals scored and 0.76 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 43% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 52%; and clean sheets in 46% of games. Philadelphia Union have won 42% of their 43 matches, with 2.02 goals scored and 1.47 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 65%, and clean sheets at 23%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.51 for Nashville SC and 1.61 for Philadelphia Union. The models give Nashville SC a 57% win probability, with a draw at 21% and an Philadelphia Union win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 77% and BTTS at 73%.
Season Statistics
Nashville SC—
Philadelphia Union1º
Position
6º
2.26
PPG
1.53
68%
Win %
43%
2.13
Goals / game
2.03
0.74
Conceded / game
1.60
43%
BTTS %
63%
46%
Clean sheet %
23%
52%
Over 2.5 %
65%
4.9
Avg corners
6.0
12.1
Avg shots
16.0
4.7
Avg shots on target
5.2
1.7
Avg yellow cards
2.2
12.3
Avg fouls
15.3
52.5%
Avg possession
48.0%
Home vs Away
Nashville SC
Home (15)
—
Philadelphia Union
Away (15)
2.87
PPG
1.33
93%
Win %
40%
3.00
Goals / game
2.27
0.80
Conceded / game
2.13
46%
BTTS %
75%
46%
Clean sheet %
10%
67%
Over 2.5 %
70%
4.9
Avg corners
6.0
12.1
Avg shots
16.0
4.7
Avg shots on target
5.2
1.7
Avg yellow cards
2.2
52.5%
Avg possession
48.0%
Goals Scored
| Nashville SC | Home | Away | Philadelphia Union | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 78% | 83% | 73% | 81% | 78% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 54% | 67% | 41% | 53% | 57% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 33% | 54% | 9% | 37% | 30% | 45% |
| Failed To Score | 22% | 17% | 27% | 19% | 22% | 15% |
Goals Conceded
| Nashville SC | Home | Away | Philadelphia Union | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 54% | 54% | 55% | 77% | 65% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 22% | 21% | 23% | 44% | 39% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 14% | 4% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 46% | 46% | 45% | 23% | 35% | 10% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Nashville SC | Philadelphia Union | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 65% | 84% |
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 65% |
| Over 3.5 | 37% | 44% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 28% |
| BTTS | 43% | 63% |
| BTTS & Win | 24% | 23% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 16% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 39% | 53% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 12% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Nashville SC | Philadelphia Union | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 41% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 48% | 24% |
| Loss 1st Half | 11% | 43% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 48% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 28% | 52% |
| Win 2nd Half | 52% | 43% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 15% | 24% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 35% | 45% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 61% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 35% | 36% |
Recent Venue Form
Nashville SC (H)W
Sporting Kansas City4–0
Sporting Kansas City4–0W
Toronto FC2–0
Toronto FC2–0W
Chicago Fire3–0
Chicago Fire3–0W
FC Cincinnati4–0
FC Cincinnati4–0W
Columbus Crew3–2
Columbus Crew3–2W
Inter Miami4–1
Inter Miami4–1Philadelphia Union (A)WChicago Fire3–1
Chicago Fire3–1WSporting Kansas City4–3
Sporting Kansas City4–3W
San Diego5–0
San Diego5–0W
New York Red Bulls3–1
New York Red Bulls3–1D
Austin1–1
Austin1–1W
New York City FC3–2
New York City FC3–2Number of Corners
8.9
Corners / Match
42 games
League Avg
10.0
450 games
9.4
Corners / Match
37 games
| Match Corners | Nashville SC | Philadelphia Union | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 71% | 81% | 83% |
| Over 7 | 57% | 65% | 73% |
| Over 8 | 52% | 51% | 64% |
| Over 9 | 43% | 43% | 53% |
| Over 10 | 33% | 41% | 43% |
| Over 11 | 19% | 35% | 34% |
| Over 12 | 14% | 19% | 23% |
| Over 13 | 12% | 14% | 18% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Nashville SC | Philadelphia Union |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.9 | 6.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.0 | 3.4 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 95% | 92% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 62% | 89% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 65% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 67% | 49% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 55% | 41% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 36% | 27% |
Head to Head · 13 matches
5
Nashville SC
38%
4
Draws
31%
4
Philadelphia Union
31%
62%
Over 1.5
8/13
31%
Over 2.5
4/13
15%
Over 3.5
2/13
38%
BTTS
5/13
02/05/26Nashville SC
Philadelphia Union
0–0Nashville SC17/09/25Philadelphia Union
Nashville SC
3–1Philadelphia Union06/07/25Philadelphia Union
Nashville SC
1–0Philadelphia Union16/03/25Nashville SC
Philadelphia Union
1–3Nashville SC20/07/24Nashville SC
Philadelphia Union
3–0Nashville SC07/04/24Philadelphia Union
Nashville SC
1–2Philadelphia Union07/10/23Nashville SC
Philadelphia Union
0–0Nashville SC13/07/23Philadelphia Union
Nashville SC
0–2Philadelphia Union14/02/23Philadelphia Union
Nashville SC
2–0Philadelphia Union01/05/22Philadelphia Union
Nashville SC
1–1Philadelphia Union28/11/21Nashville SC
Philadelphia Union
1–1Nashville SC23/10/21Nashville SC
Philadelphia Union
1–0Nashville SC04/07/21Philadelphia Union
Nashville SC
1–0Philadelphia Union| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 31 | 21 | 7 | 3 | +43 | 70 |
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | +32 | 55 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | +22 | 55 |
| 2 |  St. Louis City | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +15 | 51 |
| 3 |  New England Revolution | 30 | 16 | 4 | 10 | +8 | 52 |
| 3 |  FC Dallas | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +8 | 51 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +8 | 48 |
| 4 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | +10 | 48 |
| 5 |  Charlotte | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +8 | 47 |
| 5 |  Houston Dynamo | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +2 | 47 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | +15 | 46 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | +13 | 46 |
| 7 |  Seattle Sounders | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +2 | 42 |
| 7 |  Orlando City SC | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | -12 | 41 |
| 8 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | -9 | 40 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -9 | 39 |
| 9 |  Colorado Rapids | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 9 | Columbus Crew | 31 | 11 | 5 | 15 | +1 | 38 |
| 10 |  Real Salt Lake | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -3 | 36 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -17 | 36 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | -11 | 36 |
| 11 |  Portland Timbers | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | -5 | 34 |
| 12 | San Diego | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | -3 | 34 |
| 12 | New York City FC | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | +2 | 34 |
| 13 |  Minnesota United FC | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | -8 | 34 |
| 13 |  DC United | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | -15 | 33 |
| 14 | Austin | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -18 | 31 |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | -14 | 30 |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | -26 | 25 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | -39 | 22 |
Team Insights
Nashville SC- ●Nashville SC have been undefeated in their last 7 matches.
- ●Nashville SC have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Nashville SC have won their last 10 home matches.
- ●Nashville SC have kept a clean sheet in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Nashville SC have scored in each of their last 15 home matches.
- ●Nashville SC have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Nashville SC have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Nashville SC have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Nashville SC have scored in 15 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Nashville SC have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Nashville SC have won 7 of their 16 away matches.
- ●68% of Nashville SC's goals have been scored at home.
Philadelphia Union- ●Philadelphia Union failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Philadelphia Union have scored in each of their last 20 matches.
- ●Philadelphia Union have scored in each of their last 11 home matches.
- ●Philadelphia Union have won their last 4 away matches.
- ●Philadelphia Union have scored in each of their last 9 away matches.
- ●Philadelphia Union have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Philadelphia Union failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Philadelphia Union failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Philadelphia Union have won 6 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Philadelphia Union have scored in 13 of their 15 away matches.
Season Schedule
Nashville SCWACF Montreal2–0
CF Montreal2–0DASan Jose Earthquakes1–1
San Jose Earthquakes1–1WHSporting Kansas City4–0
Sporting Kansas City4–0WAAustin4–1
Austin4–1WHToronto FC2–0
Toronto FC2–0WHChicago Fire3–0
Chicago Fire3–0–HPhiladelphia Union29/10
Philadelphia Union29/10–HNew York Red Bulls01/11
New York Red Bulls01/11–AFC Cincinnati07/11
FC Cincinnati07/11Philadelphia UnionLHNew England Revolution1–2
New England Revolution1–2DHCharlotte2–2
Charlotte2–2WAChicago Fire3–1
Chicago Fire3–1WHReal Salt Lake2–1
Real Salt Lake2–1WHOrlando City SC4–2
Orlando City SC4–2WASporting Kansas City4–3
Sporting Kansas City4–3–ANashville SC29/10
Nashville SC29/10–AFC Cincinnati31/10
FC Cincinnati31/10–HToronto FC07/11
Toronto FC07/11Top Scorers
Nashville SCS. Surridge16 ⚽
H. Mukhtar12 ⚽
C. Espinoza7 ⚽
Hany Mukhtar5 ⚽
W. Madrigal5 ⚽
A. Qasem4 ⚽
Philadelphia UnionM. Iloski14 ⚽
B. Damiani10 ⚽
C. Sullivan7 ⚽
Milan Iloski6 ⚽
Bruno Damiani5 ⚽
N. Pierre4 ⚽
Cards Given
Nashville SCMatthew Corcoran4 🟨
Daniel Lovitz4 🟨
Hany Mukhtar4 🟨
Jeisson Palacios4 🟨
Andy Najar4 🟨
Bryan Acosta3 🟨
Philadelphia UnionOlwethu Makhanya8 🟨
Japhet Sery Larsen6 🟨
Danley Jean Jacques6 🟨
Bruno Damiani6 🟨
Geiner Martínez3 🟨
J. Bueno3 🟨